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Past Whisper Reports |
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| Crowded Trades |
| Double-dip Confirmation? |
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| Earnings Whispers' primary trading strategy is to trade ahead of an earnings announcement or after the news and to do so in the direction of the overall market or the stock's sector. We establish our weekly game plan with our Whisper Report using a combination of top-down and bottom-up analysis. Below is our list of past Whisper Reports. |
 | Fundamentals Should Prevail
Monday, August 16, 2010
An oversold stock market could provide a bounce, but in the end the weak fundamental data should prevail.
Featuring: HD, DE, GME
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Our Target Week
Monday, August 09, 2010
This is the week we've been targeting for the end of the rally off the recent lows so now we get to see if we are right. Treasuries and the fundamentals support our view, but we need a trend line break to confirm.
Featuring: CSCO, DIS, NVDA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Divergences Everywhere
Monday, August 02, 2010
There is mixed short-term technical data and bearish fundamental data, but the short-term trend is holding so a move higher through earnings season still seems reasonable.
Featuring: AEE, MA, PCLN, PH
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Yen/Treasury Divergence
Monday, July 26, 2010
The S&P 500 reached our target last week and now we wait for confirmation of the next move. If the market moves higher, it will likely need to come with a pullback in Treasuries and against the current crowded trade in the market - being long the Japanese Yen. Regardless of the short-term move, most evidence suggests new lows will be seen before new highs.
Featuring: AFL, EMN, THOR, PH
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Setup for a Potential One-week Move
Monday, July 19, 2010
We are remaining net short as the fundamentals continue to point to lower prices, but we are trading a long setup seen last quarter with continued upside earnings surprises expected.
Featuring: BPI, AAPL, UPS, XLNX, MSFT
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Earnings won't be as bad as feared... yet
Monday, July 12, 2010
Investors appear to have gotten too pessimistic relative to the earnings and guidance that will likely be announced in the weeks ahead, and that generally creates a rally through earnings season. However, overall data suggests lower prices are still ahead.
Featuring: CSX, INTC, GOOG, AA, MSFT
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Crowded Treasury Short
Monday, June 28, 2010
The S&P 500 is setting up for a potential head and shoulders top as fundamentals weaken, but perhaps the key is U.S. Treasuries as the fundamentals move against a crowded trade.
Featuring: MU, SCHN, GIS, AA, MSFT
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | FOMC Reversal
Monday, June 21, 2010
When there is pessimism in the market, stocks tend to rally going into the FOMC announcement, but when fundamentals are deteriorating, statistics show the move reverses following the announcement and fundamental and technical data are confirming the setup.
Featuring: SONC, KMX, ORCL, RIMM, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Deflation is the Risk
Monday, June 14, 2010
A short squeeze in the Euro could help lift U.S. equities, but it should be confirmed this week that deflation is the main risk to the market... and the economy.
Featuring: FDX, , BBY, RIMM, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Surprising Lack of Fear
Monday, June 07, 2010
Despite the overall selling recently, there appears to be a lack of fear as many investors have become more bullish - buying the dip, shorting the Yen, and buying calls.
Featuring: PLL, MW, NSM, RIMM, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Did the Recession just Start?
Tuesday, June 01, 2010
It hasn't shown up in the data yet, but the technical data is consistent with a cycle peak within a secular bear market.
Featuring: UNFI, SCVL, JOYG, RIMM, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | No Panic Yet
Monday, May 24, 2010
History says that panic selling even when growth is showing should be bought, but mixed data suggests there isn't panic yet.
Featuring: BCSI, JCG, MNRO, RIMM, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
| | Euro Bounce
Monday, May 17, 2010
Evidence suggests it is time to trade for a Euro bounce, and that should help Technology as fear has crept into the Tech investor.
Featuring: HD, HPQ, MRVL, WSM, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
| | Fade the Gap
Monday, May 10, 2010
While the money supply contraction suggests last week's selloff is likely to occur again, the panic selling has bullish implications after fading the gap higher bounce - with key support resistance points defined.
Featuring: CSCO, INTC, PCLN, WFMI, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Divergences
Monday, May 03, 2010
Treasuries are suggesting there is a lot of money crowded on the wrong side of the trade.
Featuring: AGU, EMR, MA, WFMI, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Still Crowded
Monday, April 26, 2010
The trades that have worked remain crowded at a near record level and there continue to be signs of weakness ahead, but the technicals have actually improved recently.
Featuring: UPS, PNRA, GLW, PG, BBBY
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Selling not for right reasons... yet
Monday, April 19, 2010
Expecting a bounce to start the week with an overwhelming number of likely earnings beats, but overall risk is to the downside as leading indicators show second-half estimates are too high and investors are too optimistic.
Featuring: GS, MS, AAPL, IBM, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Short Inflation
Monday, April 12, 2010
It should be near the time to short the inflation trade.
Featuring: JPM, INTC, CSX, GOOG, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | More Evidence
Monday, April 05, 2010
There is more evidence of downside risk despite a very solid earnings season expected.
Featuring: BBBY, STZ, FDO, MON, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Strong Earnings, but Potential Top
Monday, March 29, 2010
We are coming into a period of strong earnings news and positive economic data, but the leading indicators suggest a top and the technicals say sell.
Featuring: RIMM, MU, KMX, MOS, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | A Crowded Trade
Monday, March 22, 2010
The crowded trade is now being long while the leading indicators are turning over and some are pointing to a contraction. However, a short-term bounce should be expected.
Featuring: ORCL, ADBE, BBY, MOS, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Line in the Sand
Monday, March 15, 2010
We continue to see building support for shorting the market, but 1,150 is the new line in the sand.
Featuring: NKE, FDX, GES, MOS, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Pushing Through
Monday, March 08, 2010
The technicals indicate a move through 1,150 is likely for the S&P 500 but the fundamentals indicate slowing growth and downward earnings revisions ahead.
Featuring: TXN, NSM, MW, MOS, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Support/Resistance
Monday, March 01, 2010
Data continues to point to a weakening economy ahead, but 1,105 is our support/resistance line for trading the overall stock market.
Featuring: MRVL, TECD, JAKK, MOS, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
|  | Increasingly Bearish
Monday, February 22, 2010
We are becoming increasingly bearish, but prices are moving higher. Therefore, at this point, we need the S&P 500 to move below 1,105 before we can be comfortable shorting the market.
Featuring: TGT, HD, RIG, MOS, SYNA
View: Summary, Full Report
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