ADS
$233.41
Alliance Data Systems
($.09)
(.04%)

Earnings History

Earnings
Revenue
Reaction
Drift
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2012
2/2/2012
7:00:00 AM
$8.45
1.2%
8.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Raises Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects first quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $2.13 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.17 per share for the quarter ending March 31, 2012. The company also said it expects 2012 earnings of approximately $8.45 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $8.30 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $8.37 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Mixed Guidance
FY 2012
4/19/2012
7:30:00 AM
$8.45
earnings of $8.50
0.1%
1.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Reaffirms for 2012 but Sees SEcond Quarter Below Estimates

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects second quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $1.85 per share and continues to expect 2012 earnings of approximately $8.45 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.99 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2012 and earnings of $8.50 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Mixed Guidance
FY 2012
7/19/2012
7:30:00 AM
$8.45
$3.50 bil
$8.58
$3.55 bil
1.3%
-1.7%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Sees Third Quarter Below Estimates; Reaffirms 2012 Earnings

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects third quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $2.18 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.33 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2012. The company also said it continues to expect 2012 earnings of approximately $8.45 per share but now expects revenue of approximately $3.50 billion. The company's previous guidance was for revenue of $3.46 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $8.58 per share on revenue of $3.55 billion for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Raises Guidance Closer to Estimates
FY 2013
4/18/2013
7:30:00 AM
$9.75
$4.25 bil
$9.85
$4.27 bil
0.7%
5.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Raises Guidance to be Closer to Estimates

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects second quarter earnings of approximately $2.35 per share on revenue of approximately $1.02 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.21 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion for the quarter ending June 30, 2013. The company also said it now expects 2013 earnings of approximately $9.75 per share on revenue of approximately $4.25 billion. The company's previous guidance was for earnings of $9.65 per share on revenue of $4.20 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $9.85 per share on revenue of $4.27 billion for the year ending December 31, 2013.
Provides Guidance
FY 2013
7/30/2013
7:30:00 AM
$9.85
$4.275 bil
$9.93
$4.28 bil
0.8%
6.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Provides Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects third quarter earnings of approximately $2.60 per share on revenue of approximately $1.07 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.73 per share on revenue of $1.07 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2013. The company also said it now expects 2013 earnings of approximately $9.85 per share on revenue of approximately $4.275 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $9.75 per share on revenue of approximately $4.25 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $9.93 per share on revenue of $4.28 billion for the year ending December 31, 2013.
Raises Guidance Closer to Estimates
FY 2013
10/17/2013
7:30:00 AM
$9.85 to $9.90
$4.275 bil to $4.30 bil
$9.95
$4.28 bil
0.7%
4.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Raises 2013 Guidance, but Remains Below Estimates

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it now expects 2013 non-GAAP earnings of $9.85 to $9.90 per share on revenue of $4.275 billion to $4.30 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $9.85 per share on revenue of approximately $4.275 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $9.95 per share on revenue of $4.28 billion for the year ending December 31, 2013. The company also said it expects 2014 earnings of approximately $12.00 per share on revenue of approximately $4.64 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $11.96 per share on revenue of $4.66 billion for the year ending December 31, 2014.
EPS & Revenue Above Estimates
FY 2014
2/6/2014
7:30:00 AM
$12.20
10.4%
17.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Raises Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects first quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $2.70 per share on revenue of approximately $1.25 billion and now expects 2014 earnings of approximately $12.20 per share on revenue of approximately $5.14 billion. The company's previous guidance was 2014 earnings of approximately $12.00 per share on revenue of approximately $4.64 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.88 per share on revenue of $1.15 billion for the quarter ending March 31, 2014 and $12.10 per share on revenue of $4.73 billion for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Mixed Guidance
FY 2014
4/17/2014
7:30:00 AM
$12.25
$5.25 bil
$12.30
$5.19 bil
-7.2%
-4.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Sees Second Quarter Below Estimates; Raises Fiscal Year Outlook Closer to Estimates

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects second quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $2.70 per share on revenue of approximately $1.25 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.93 per share on revenue of $1.24 billion for the quarter ending June 30, 2014. The company also said it now expects 2014 earnings of approximately $12.25 per share on revenue of approximately $5.25 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $12.20 per share on revenue of approximately $5.14 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $12.30 per share on revenue of $5.19 billion for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Mixed Guidance
FY 2014
7/17/2014
7:30:00 AM
$12.35
$5.30 bil
$12.35
$5.27 bil
-0.1%
-1.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Provides Mixed Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects third quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $3.25 per share on revenue of approximately $1.30 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.53 per share on revenue of $1.35 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2014. The company said it expects 2014 earnings of approximately $12.35 per share on revenue of approximately $5.30 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $12.25 per share on revenue of approximately $5.25 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $12.35 per share on revenue of $5.27 billion for the year ending December 31, 2014.
EPS & Revenue Above Estimates
FY 2015
10/16/2014
7:30:00 AM
$14.80 to $15.00
5.6%
14.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Guides Above Estimates for 2015

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it now expects 2014 non-GAAP earnings of approximately $12.40 per share and continues to expect revenue of approximately $5.30 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $12.35 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $12.44 per share on revenue of $5.31 billion for the year ending December 31, 2014. The company said it expects 2015 earnings of $14.80 to $15.00 per share on revenue of approximately $6.625 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $14.56 per share on revenue of $5.96 billion for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
FY 2015
2/5/2015
7:30:00 AM
$14.80
-4.3%
-1.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Lowers Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects first quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $3.40 per share on revenue of approximately $1.54 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.52 per share on revenue of $1.55 billion for the quarter ending March 31, 2015. The company said it expects 2015 earnings of approximately $14.80 per share on revenue of approximately $6.50 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $14.80 to $15.00 per share on revenue of approximately $6.625 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $14.98 per share on revenue of $6.63 billion for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2015
4/16/2015
7:30:00 AM
$14.90
$6.50 bil
$14.88
$6.53 bil
-0.8%
1.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Raises Earnings Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it now expects 2015 non-GAAP earnings of approximately $14.90 per share and continues to expect revenue of approximately $6.50 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $14.80 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $14.88 per share on revenue of $6.53 billion for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2015
7/23/2015
7:30:00 AM
$15.00
$6.50 bil
$14.96
$6.56 bil
-5.8%
-8.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Raises Earnings Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it now expects 2015 non-GAAP earnings of approximately $15.00 per share and continues to expect revenue of approximately $6.50 billion. The company's previous guidance was of approximately $14.90 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $14.96 per share on revenue of $6.56 billion for the year ending December 31, 2015.
Reaffirms
FY 2015
10/22/2015
7:30:00 AM
$15.00
$6.50 bil
$15.05
$6.49 bil
6.7%
4.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Reaffirms

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it continues to expect 2015 non-GAAP earnings of approximately $15.00 per share on revenue of approximately $6.50 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $15.05 per share on revenue of $6.49 billion for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
FY 2016
1/28/2016
7:30:00 AM
$17.00
-19.4%
-13.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Guides Below Estimates

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects first quarter earnings of approximately $3.83 per share on revenue of approximately $1.68 billion and 2016 earnings of approximately $17.00 per share on revenue of approximately $7.20 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $4.15 per share on revenue of $1.77 billion for the quarter ending March 31, 2016 and $17.19 per share on revenue of $7.26 billion for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Reaffirms
FY 2016
4/21/2016
7:30:00 AM
$16.75
$7.10 bil
$16.90
-7.0%
-0.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Reaffirms

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects second quarter earnings of approximately $3.58 per share on revenue of approximately $1.62 billion and continues to expect 2016 earnings of approximately $16.75 per share on revenue of approximately $7.10 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.78 per share on revenue of $1.69 billion for the quarter ending June 30, 2016 and $16.90 per share on revenue of $7.14 billion for the year ending December 31, 2016.
EPS & Revenue Above Estimates
FY 2016
7/21/2016
7:30:00 AM
$16.85
$7.15 bil
$16.80
6.4%
2.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Raises Guidance

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects third quarter non-GAAP earnings of approximately $4.42 per share on revenue of approximately $1.78 billion and now expects 2016 earnings of approximately $16.85 per share on revenue of approximately $7.15 billion. The company's previous guidance was 2016 earnings of approximately $16.75 per share on revenue of approximately $7.10 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $4.57 per share on revenue of $1.79 billion for the quarter ending September 30, 2016 and $16.80 per share on revenue of $7.09 billion for the year ending December 31, 2016.
2016 Above/2017 Below
FY 2017
10/20/2016
7:30:00 AM
$18.59
-4.7%
-6.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Alliance Data Systems Sees 2017 Below Estimates

Alliance Data Systems Corp. said it expects 2016 non-GAAP earnings of approximately $16.90 per share on revenue of approximately $7.20 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of approximately $16.85 per share on revenue of approximately $7.15 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $16.87 per share on revenue of $7.17 billion for the year ending December 31, 2016. The company said it expects 2017 earnings of approximately $18.59 per share on revenue of approximately $7.92 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $18.96 per share on revenue of $7.97 billion for the year ending December 31, 2017.
Date
Grade
Actual
Earnings
Whisper
Consensus
Estimate
Surprise
Growth
Gap
Drift
2/2/2012
7:00:00 AM
Dec '11
Q4 '11
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B
EPS
Rev
$1.73
$847.60 Mil
$1.65
$1.49
$848.23 Mil
4.8%
-0.1%
-
-
-1.8%
8.2%
4/19/2012
7:30:00 AM
Mar '12
Q1 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B+
EPS
Rev
$2.37
$891.60 Mil
$2.30
$2.20
$832.03 Mil
3.0%
7.2%
34.9%
20.4%
0.5%
1.4%
7/19/2012
7:30:00 AM
Jun '12
Q2 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$1.96
$866.50 Mil
$2.03
$1.90
$832.29 Mil
-3.4%
4.1%
29.4%
17.0%
0.6%
-1.7%
10/18/2012
7:30:00 AM
Sep '12
Q3 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B-
EPS
Rev
$2.18
$911.50 Mil
-
$2.13
$894.57 Mil
2.3%
1.9%
12.0%
7.9%
-0.3%
2.8%
1/31/2013
7:00:00 AM
Dec '12
Q4 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B
EPS
Rev
$1.83
$971.90 Mil
$1.83
$1.79
$941.10 Mil
-
3.3%
20.2%
14.7%
2.3%
-2.1%
4/18/2013
7:30:00 AM
Mar '13
Q1 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$2.42
$1.1 Bil
$2.55
$2.49
$1.1 Bil
-5.1%
0.3%
13.8%
18.1%
0.6%
5.0%
7/30/2013
7:30:00 AM
Jun '13
Q2 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$2.39
$1.0 Bil
$2.34
$2.30
$1.0 Bil
2.1%
-0.2%
31.5%
18.6%
0.0%
6.6%
10/17/2013
7:30:00 AM
Sep '13
Q3 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$2.52
$1.1 Bil
-
$2.53
$1.1 Bil
-0.4%
2.5%
17.3%
20.3%
0.5%
4.0%
2/6/2014
7:30:00 AM
Dec '13
Q4 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$2.38
$1.1 Bil
$2.37
$2.33
$1.1 Bil
0.4%
1.0%
30.0%
17.4%
1.8%
17.1%
4/17/2014
7:30:00 AM
Mar '14
Q1 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$2.66
$1.2 Bil
-
$2.59
$1.3 Bil
2.7%
-2.2%
10.3%
17.0%
-4.0%
-4.8%
7/17/2014
7:30:00 AM
Jun '14
Q2 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$2.90
$1.3 Bil
$2.77
$2.73
$1.3 Bil
4.7%
1.2%
11.1%
23.1%
0.0%
-1.3%
10/16/2014
7:30:00 AM
Sep '14
Q3 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$3.26
$1.3 Bil
-
$3.12
-
4.5%
-
17.6%
20.3%
-0.3%
14.8%
2/5/2015
7:30:00 AM
Dec '14
Q4 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$3.44
$1.5 Bil
$3.40
$3.33
$1.5 Bil
1.2%
-0.3%
33.4%
30.2%
-1.2%
-1.4%
4/16/2015
7:30:00 AM
Mar '15
Q1 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$3.60
$1.6 Bil
$3.51
$3.44
$1.5 Bil
2.6%
4.0%
23.2%
29.9%
1.2%
1.3%
7/23/2015
7:30:00 AM
Jun '15
Q2 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$3.31
$1.5 Bil
$3.30
$3.25
$1.5 Bil
0.3%
-1.9%
11.6%
18.6%
-1.0%
-8.8%
10/22/2015
7:30:00 AM
Sep '15
Q3 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$3.73
$1.6 Bil
-
$3.68
$1.6 Bil
1.4%
2.5%
19.2%
20.5%
3.3%
4.5%
1/28/2016
7:30:00 AM
Dec '15
Q4 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$4.12
$1.7 Bil
$4.15
$4.09
$1.8 Bil
-0.7%
-2.3%
21.3%
17.7%
-7.7%
-13.3%
4/21/2016
7:30:00 AM
Mar '16
Q1 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$3.93
$1.7 Bil
$3.85
$3.77
$1.7 Bil
2.1%
-0.8%
1.0%
4.7%
-7.3%
-0.4%
7/21/2016
7:30:00 AM
Jun '16
Q2 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$3.57
$1.7 Bil
$3.64
$3.61
$1.6 Bil
-1.9%
6.7%
5.6%
16.5%
6.5%
2.1%
10/20/2016
7:30:00 AM
Sep '16
Q3 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B
EPS
Rev
$4.81
$1.9 Bil
$4.48
$4.44
$1.8 Bil
7.4%
5.9%
13.9%
18.7%
0.4%
-6.1%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$4.41
$2.0 Bil
-
-
7.0%
11.5%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$4.01
$1.9 Bil
-
-
2.0%
12.2%
2/1/2011
$72.26
$4.96
$2.79 Bil
-
-
-
2/2/2012
$112.35
$7.21
$3.17 Bil
45.4%
13.7%
55.5%
1/31/2013
$157.60
$8.19
$3.64 Bil
13.6%
14.8%
40.3%
2/6/2014
$258.55
$9.44
$4.32 Bil
15.3%
18.6%
64.1%
2/5/2015
$279.73
$12.14
$5.30 Bil
28.6%
22.8%
8.2%
1/28/2016
$199.00
$14.05
$6.44 Bil
15.7%
21.4%
-28.9%
1/28/2017
$233.41
$16.01
$7.24 Bil
14.0%
12.4%
17.3%
1/28/2018
$311.15
$17.60
$7.94 Bil
9.9%
9.7%
33.3%
1/28/2019
-
$20.09
-
14.1%
-
-

Price Projection

Current Value
$273
17%
Projected Price
$311
33%