AFG
$82.77
American Financial Group
$.51
.62%

Earnings History

Earnings
Revenue
Reaction
Drift
In-line Guidance
FY 2012
2/1/2012
5:01:01 PM
$3.30 to $3.70
-1.2%
-1.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Group Guides In-line

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2012 earnings of $3.30 to $3.70 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.65 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2012
7/30/2012
5:01:01 PM
$3.00 to $3.40
$3.59
-0.5%
-0.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Lowers Guidance Below Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it now expects 2012 earnings of $3.00 to $3.40 per share. The company's previous guidance was for earnings of $3.40 to $3.80 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $3.59 per share on revenue of $2.71 billion for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2012
10/29/2012
5:48:00 PM
$3.10 to $3.50
$3.21
0.3%
-2.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Raises Guidance, but Remains In-line with Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it now expects 2012 earnings of $3.10 to $3.50 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $3.00 to $3.40 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $3.21 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Narows Guidance Below Estimates
FY 2012
11/15/2012
4:18:00 PM
$3.10 to $3.30
$3.35
0.9%
5.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Narrows Guidance Below Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2012 earnings of $3.10 to $3.30 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $3.10 to $3.50 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $3.35 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Reaffirms
FY 2012
12/13/2012
4:41:00 PM
$3.10 to $3.30
$3.30
-0.9%
-0.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2012 earnings of $3.10 to $3.30 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.30 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
In-line Guidance
FY 2013
2/11/2013
5:32:00 PM
$3.60 to $4.00
0.9%
2.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Guides In-line

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2013 earnings of $3.60 to $4.00 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.72 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
Reaffirms
FY 2013
5/8/2013
5:05:01 PM
$3.60 to $4.00
$3.95
-0.9%
1.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Group Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2013 earnings of $3.60 to $4.00 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $3.95 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2013
7/29/2013
5:42:00 PM
$3.70 to $4.10
$3.93
0.2%
-0.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Raises Guidance, but Remains In-line with Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2013 earnings of $3.70 to $4.10 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $3.60 to $4.00 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $3.93 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2013
10/29/2013
5:30:01 PM
$4.00 to $4.20
$4.12
0.2%
-0.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Raises Guidance, but Remains In-line with Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2013 earnings of $4.00 to $4.20 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $3.70 to $4.10 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $4.12 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2014
1/30/2014
5:43:09 PM
$4.50 to $4.90
-1.0%
1.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Provides 2014 Guidance

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2014 earnings of $4.50 to $4.90 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $4.59 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Reaffirms
FY 2014
5/6/2014
5:05:32 PM
$4.50 to $4.90
$4.69
1.1%
0.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2014 earnings of $4.50 to $4.90 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $4.69 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Reaffirms
FY 2014
7/28/2014
5:05:03 PM
$4.50 to $4.90
$4.74
-0.9%
-3.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2014 earnings of $4.50 to $4.90 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $4.74 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Reaffirms
FY 2014
10/28/2014
5:01:06 PM
$4.50 to $4.90
$4.77
0.1%
1.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2014 earnings of $4.50 to $4.90 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $4.77 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
In-line Guidance
FY 2015
2/2/2015
5:05:04 PM
$5.10 to $5.50
3.2%
5.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Guides In-line

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2015 earnings of $5.10 to $5.50 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.30 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2015
8/4/2015
5:01:00 PM
$5.25 to $5.55
$5.48
2.2%
3.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Raises Guidance, but Remains In-line with Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2015 earnings of $5.25 to $5.55 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $5.10 to $5.50 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $5.48 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2015
11/3/2015
5:00:02 PM
$5.30 to $5.60
$5.52
-1.9%
0.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Group Raises Guidance, but Remains In-line with Estimates

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2015 earnings of $5.30 to $5.60 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $5.25 to $5.55 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $5.52 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
In-line Guidance
FY 2016
2/2/2016
5:21:00 PM
$5.35 to $5.75
-0.7%
-4.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Guides In-line

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2016 earnings of $5.35 to $5.75 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.62 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Reaffirms
FY 2016
5/2/2016
5:00:02 PM
$5.35 to $5.75
$5.63
0.6%
3.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2016 earnings of $5.35 to $5.75 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.63 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Q2 Above/FY In-line
FY 2016
7/25/2016
8:45:00 AM
$5.35 to $5.75
$5.60
0.2%
0.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Sees Second Quarter Above Estimates but Reaffirms for the Year

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects second quarter earnings of $1.25 to $1.30 per share and continues to expect 2016 earnings of $5.35 to $5.75 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.22 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2016 and $5.60 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Reaffirms
FY 2016
8/2/2016
5:00:02 PM
$5.35 to $5.75
$5.63
-1.5%
1.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Reaffirms

American Financial Group, Inc. said it continues to expect 2016 earnings of $5.35 to $5.75 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.63 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Narrows Guidance
FY 2016
11/1/2016
5:00:01 PM
$5.55 to $5.75
$5.64
2.8%
4.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
American Financial Narrows Guidance

American Financial Group, Inc. said it expects 2016 earnings of $5.55 to $5.75 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $5.35 to $5.75 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $5.64 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Date
Grade
Actual
Earnings
Whisper
Consensus
Estimate
Surprise
Growth
Gap
Drift
2/1/2012
5:01:01 PM
Dec '11
Q4 '11
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$1.06
$1.3 Bil
-
$0.96
$682.20 Mil
10.4%
88.1%
-4.5%
11.0%
0.3%
-1.2%
4/30/2012
5:01:01 PM
Mar '12
Q1 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B-
EPS
Rev
$0.86
$1.1 Bil
-
$0.79
$697.10 Mil
8.9%
59.7%
-1.2%
7.1%
2.4%
-0.7%
7/30/2012
5:01:01 PM
Jun '12
Q2 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.91
$1.2 Bil
-
$0.78
$701.90 Mil
16.7%
63.8%
11.1%
5.2%
-1.7%
-0.4%
2/11/2013
5:32:00 PM
Dec '12
Q4 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B
EPS
Rev
$0.67
$1.2 Bil
-
$0.65
$726.28 Mil
3.1%
70.2%
-42.5%
-3.7%
-0.1%
2.8%
5/8/2013
5:05:01 PM
Mar '13
Q1 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.92
$1.1 Bil
-
$0.83
$713.00 Mil
10.8%
61.0%
-1.2%
3.1%
0.1%
1.0%
7/29/2013
5:42:00 PM
Jun '13
Q2 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.96
$1.1 Bil
-
$0.85
$729.73 Mil
12.9%
56.1%
-3.3%
-1.0%
1.6%
-0.3%
10/29/2013
5:30:01 PM
Sep '13
Q3 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$1.06
$1.4 Bil
-
$1.06
$844.08 Mil
-
71.0%
-
-
-0.4%
-0.5%
1/30/2014
5:43:09 PM
Dec '13
Q4 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$1.28
$1.4 Bil
-
$1.23
$837.35 Mil
4.1%
62.7%
91.8%
10.2%
-2.8%
1.6%
5/6/2014
5:05:32 PM
Mar '14
Q1 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$1.00
$1.2 Bil
$1.04
$0.98
$811.25 Mil
-3.8%
49.3%
8.3%
5.5%
0.1%
0.2%
7/28/2014
5:05:03 PM
Jun '14
Q2 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$1.07
$1.4 Bil
-
$0.95
$845.50 Mil
12.6%
64.6%
13.8%
22.2%
0.2%
-3.9%
10/28/2014
5:01:06 PM
Sep '14
Q3 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$1.40
$1.6 Bil
$1.18
$1.16
$1.0 Bil
18.6%
55.0%
30.9%
9.6%
0.0%
1.5%
2/2/2015
5:05:04 PM
Dec '14
Q4 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$1.35
$1.5 Bil
-
$1.29
$1.1 Bil
4.7%
45.6%
4.3%
12.3%
-0.2%
5.9%
4/27/2015
5:05:00 PM
Mar '15
Q1 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$1.25
$1.3 Bil
-
$1.17
$1.0 Bil
6.8%
28.1%
23.1%
6.9%
-0.2%
-1.0%
8/4/2015
5:01:00 PM
Jun '15
Q2 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$1.28
$1.5 Bil
-
$1.21
$1.0 Bil
5.8%
49.6%
16.2%
10.7%
0.9%
3.3%
11/3/2015
5:00:02 PM
Sep '15
Q3 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$1.38
$1.7 Bil
-
$1.50
$1.1 Bil
-8.0%
51.7%
-3.1%
6.5%
-0.7%
0.2%
2/2/2016
5:21:00 PM
Dec '15
Q4 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G F
EPS
Rev
$1.52
$1.6 Bil
$1.63
$1.60
$1.1 Bil
-6.7%
47.1%
10.9%
5.8%
0.0%
-4.9%
5/2/2016
5:00:02 PM
Mar '16
Q1 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$1.25
$1.5 Bil
-
$1.21
$1.0 Bil
3.3%
41.8%
-0.9%
14.0%
-1.0%
3.8%
8/2/2016
5:00:02 PM
Jun '16
Q2 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$1.28
$1.6 Bil
$1.30
$1.26
$1.2 Bil
-1.5%
37.5%
-1.7%
2.6%
-0.1%
1.2%
11/1/2016
5:00:01 PM
Sep '16
Q3 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$1.51
$1.7 Bil
-
$1.53
$1.3 Bil
-1.3%
35.3%
8.9%
1.2%
0.0%
4.3%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$1.59
$1.2 Bil
-
-
4.6%
-25.2%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$1.40
$1.2 Bil
-
-
12.0%
-21.4%
2/3/2011
$33.39
$3.92
$4.50 Bil
-
-
-
2/1/2012
$37.90
$3.53
$4.75 Bil
-9.9%
5.6%
13.5%
2/11/2013
$43.23
$3.27
$5.06 Bil
-7.4%
6.6%
14.1%
1/30/2014
$55.50
$4.22
$5.09 Bil
29.1%
0.6%
28.4%
2/2/2015
$58.90
$4.82
$5.71 Bil
14.2%
12.2%
6.1%
2/2/2016
$69.61
$5.44
$6.15 Bil
12.9%
7.6%
18.2%
2/2/2017
$82.77
$5.63
$4.69 Bil
3.5%
-23.7%
18.9%
2/2/2018
$66.37
$5.93
$4.84 Bil
5.3%
3.2%
-19.8%
2/2/2019
-
$5.95
-
0.3%
-
-

Price Projection

Current Value
$66
-20%
Projected Price
$66
-20%