CAKE
$50.42
Cheesecake Fact
($1.02)
(1.98%)

Earnings History

Earnings
Revenue
Reaction
Drift
EPS Below Estimates
Q 12/2012
10/24/2012
4:15:00 PM
$0.50 to $0.53
$0.54
0.7%
-1.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Sees Fourth Quarter Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.50 to $0.53 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.54 per share for the quarter ending December 31, 2012.
Q2 Below/FY In-line
FY 2013
4/24/2013
4:15:00 PM
$2.12 to $2.18
earnings of $2.14
5.3%
-0.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Sees Second Quarter Below Estimates; Fiscal Year In-line

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects second quarter earnings of $0.55 to $0.57 per share and 2013 earnings of $2.12 to $2.18 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.60 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2013 and earnings of $2.14 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
EPS Below Estimates
Q 09/2013
7/24/2013
4:15:00 PM
$0.51 to $0.53
$0.54
-2.5%
6.7%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Guides Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call said it expects third quarter earnings of $0.51 to $0.53 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.54 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2013.
Q4 In-line/2014 Below
FY 2014
10/23/2013
4:15:01 PM
$2.29 to $2.41
5.9%
5.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Sees 2014 Earnings Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.57 to $0.60 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.59 per share for the quarter ending December 31, 2013. The company said it expects 2014 earnings of $2.29 to $2.41 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.44 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
EPS Below Estimates
Q 03/2014
2/12/2014
4:15:12 PM
$0.48 to $0.50
$0.51
0.4%
3.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Guides First Quarter Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects first quarter earnings of $0.48 to $0.50 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.51 per share for the quarter ending March 31, 2014.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2014
4/23/2014
4:15:36 PM
$2.24 to $2.33
$2.35
-1.9%
-2.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Guides 2014 Earnings Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects second quarter earnings of $0.59 to $0.62 per share and 2014 earnings of $2.24 to $2.33 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.61 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2014 and $2.35 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
EPS Below Estimates
Q 09/2014
7/23/2014
4:15:02 PM
$0.55 to $0.58
$0.60
-1.3%
-1.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Guides Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects third quarter earnings of $0.55 to $0.58 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.60 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2014.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2015
10/22/2014
4:15:02 PM
$2.35 to $2.45
-2.9%
8.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Guides Below Next Year's Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.58 to $0.62 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.62 per share for the quarter ending December 31, 2014. The company said it expects 2015 earnings of $2.35 to $2.45 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $2.58 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
2015 Below Estimates
Q 03/2015
2/11/2015
4:15:02 PM
$0.47 to $0.50
$0.50
-7.1%
1.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Guides 2015 Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects first quarter earnings of $0.47 to $0.50 per share and 2015 earnings of $2.08 to $2.20 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.50 per share for the quarter ending March 31, 2015 and $2.42 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2015
4/22/2015
4:15:00 PM
$2.18 to $2.27
$2.16
4.7%
-7.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Raises Guidance

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects second quarter earnings of $0.59 to $0.62 per share and now expects 2015 earnings of $2.18 to $2.27 per share. The company's previous guidance was 2015 earnings of $2.08 to $2.20 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.61 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2015 and $2.16 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2015
7/22/2015
4:15:00 PM
$2.29 to $2.35
$2.26
2.5%
1.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Raises Guidance

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects third quarter earnings of $0.53 to $0.56 per share and now expects 2015 earnings of $2.29 to $2.35 per share. The company's previous guidance was 2015 earnings of $2.18 to $2.27 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.54 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2015 and $2.26 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
Q4 Below/2016 In-line
Q 12/2015
10/26/2015
4:15:01 PM
$0.50 to $0.53
$0.55
-4.6%
-1.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Sees Fourth Quarter Below Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.50 to $0.53 per share and 2016 earnings of $2.56 to $2.68 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.55 per share for the quarter ending December 31, 2015 and $2.68 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2016
4/27/2016
4:15:02 PM
$2.61 to $2.70
$2.65
-0.2%
2.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Raises Guidance, but Remains In-line with Estimates

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects second quarter earnings of $0.69 to $0.72 per share and now expects 2016 earnings of $2.61 to $2.70 per share. The company's previous guidance was 2016 earnings of $2.56 to $2.68 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.76 per share for the quarter ending June 30, 2016 and $2.65 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2016
7/27/2016
4:15:04 PM
$2.70 to $2.76
$2.66
4.9%
-4.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Cheesecake Factory Raises Guidance

Cheesecake Factory said during its conference call it expects third quarter earnings of $0.59 to $0.62 per share and 2016 earnings of $2.70 to $2.76 per share. The company's previous guidance was for 2016 earnings of $2.61 to $2.70 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.62 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2016 and $2.66 per share for the year ending December 31, 2016.
Date
Grade
Actual
Earnings
Whisper
Consensus
Estimate
Surprise
Growth
Gap
Drift
10/19/2011
4:15:01 PM
Sep '11
Q3 '11
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.36
$430.42 Mil
$0.39
$0.38
$435.68 Mil
-7.7%
-1.2%
-6.3%
2.9%
-2.6%
13.4%
2/21/2012
4:15:00 PM
Dec '11
Q4 '11
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B-
EPS
Rev
$0.53
$477.70 Mil
$0.50
$0.52
$471.74 Mil
6.0%
1.3%
34.3%
14.6%
-3.6%
-2.6%
4/25/2012
4:15:01 PM
Mar '12
Q1 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B
EPS
Rev
$0.37
$435.75 Mil
$0.37
$0.36
$439.85 Mil
-
-0.9%
1.3%
4.1%
2.8%
1.0%
7/25/2012
4:15:01 PM
Jun '12
Q2 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G A-
EPS
Rev
$0.51
$454.75 Mil
$0.50
$0.48
$457.40 Mil
2.0%
-0.6%
13.1%
5.6%
8.3%
0.7%
10/24/2012
4:15:00 PM
Sep '12
Q3 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$0.49
$453.82 Mil
$0.51
$0.49
$457.96 Mil
-3.9%
-0.9%
32.0%
5.4%
3.8%
-1.3%
2/20/2013
4:15:00 PM
Dec '12
Q4 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.51
$464.70 Mil
$0.53
$0.52
$468.54 Mil
-3.8%
-0.8%
-5.1%
-2.7%
-1.4%
6.2%
4/24/2013
4:15:00 PM
Mar '13
Q1 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B-
EPS
Rev
$0.47
$463.02 Mil
$0.41
$0.42
$455.12 Mil
14.6%
1.7%
23.9%
6.3%
5.7%
-0.8%
7/24/2013
4:15:00 PM
Jun '13
Q2 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.54
$470.12 Mil
$0.59
$0.57
$473.61 Mil
-8.5%
-0.7%
5.4%
3.4%
-3.7%
6.7%
10/23/2013
4:15:01 PM
Sep '13
Q3 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B-
EPS
Rev
$0.52
$469.70 Mil
$0.51
$0.51
$469.64 Mil
2.0%
0.0%
3.6%
3.5%
4.5%
5.6%
2/12/2014
4:15:12 PM
Dec '13
Q4 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.57
$475.08 Mil
$0.58
$0.58
$484.84 Mil
-1.7%
-2.0%
10.2%
2.2%
-0.6%
3.0%
4/23/2014
4:15:36 PM
Mar '14
Q1 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$0.43
$481.43 Mil
$0.49
$0.49
$478.72 Mil
-12.2%
0.6%
-11.9%
4.0%
0.0%
-2.6%
7/23/2014
4:15:02 PM
Jun '14
Q2 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.59
$496.41 Mil
$0.62
$0.61
$502.03 Mil
-4.8%
-1.1%
2.9%
5.6%
-1.4%
-1.1%
10/22/2014
4:15:02 PM
Sep '14
Q3 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$0.48
$499.11 Mil
$0.57
$0.57
$497.83 Mil
-15.8%
0.3%
-13.9%
6.3%
-4.5%
8.6%
2/11/2015
4:15:02 PM
Dec '14
Q4 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$0.48
$499.67 Mil
$0.57
$0.60
$508.97 Mil
-15.8%
-1.8%
-20.3%
5.2%
-8.2%
1.5%
4/22/2015
4:15:00 PM
Mar '15
Q1 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.56
$517.97 Mil
$0.47
$0.49
$519.95 Mil
19.1%
-0.4%
25.6%
7.6%
7.7%
-7.0%
7/22/2015
4:15:00 PM
Jun '15
Q2 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.69
$529.11 Mil
$0.63
$0.62
$530.37 Mil
9.5%
-0.2%
14.4%
6.6%
3.1%
1.6%
10/26/2015
4:15:01 PM
Sep '15
Q3 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$0.59
$526.69 Mil
$0.57
$0.56
$534.95 Mil
3.5%
-1.5%
23.0%
5.5%
-4.9%
-1.8%
2/16/2016
4:15:01 PM
Dec '15
Q4 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.54
$526.84 Mil
$0.54
$0.52
$529.12 Mil
-
-0.4%
11.1%
5.4%
-1.5%
4.0%
4/27/2016
4:15:02 PM
Mar '16
Q1 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.68
$553.69 Mil
$0.62
$0.60
$555.09 Mil
9.7%
-0.3%
19.5%
6.9%
-1.8%
2.9%
7/27/2016
4:15:04 PM
Jun '16
Q2 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.78
$558.86 Mil
-
$0.70
$562.96 Mil
11.4%
-0.7%
11.1%
5.6%
5.8%
-4.9%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$0.61
$558.30 Mil
-
-
3.4%
6.0%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$0.67
$596.47 Mil
-
-
24.1%
13.2%
2/10/2011
$30.37
$1.43
$1.66 Bil
-
-
-
2/21/2012
$31.57
$1.64
$1.76 Bil
14.7%
5.9%
4.0%
2/20/2013
$33.10
$1.88
$1.81 Bil
14.6%
2.9%
4.8%
2/12/2014
$45.33
$2.10
$1.88 Bil
11.7%
3.8%
36.9%
2/11/2015
$53.04
$1.97
$1.98 Bil
-6.2%
5.3%
17.0%
2/16/2016
$49.37
$2.37
$2.10 Bil
20.3%
6.3%
-6.9%
2/16/2017
$50.42
$2.73
$2.27 Bil
15.2%
8.1%
2.1%
2/16/2018
$58.44
$2.96
$2.36 Bil
8.4%
4.0%
15.9%
2/16/2019
-
$3.38
-
14.2%
-
-

Price Projection

Current Value
$51
2%
Projected Price
$58
16%