SCVL
$30.03
Shoe Carnival
$.31
1.04%

Earnings History

Earnings
Revenue
Reaction
Drift
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 01/2012
11/17/2011
4:05:01 PM
$0.33 to $0.36
$0.39
$191.0 mill
-7.7%
1.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.33 to $0.36 per share on revenue of $186.0 million to $190.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.39 per share on revenue of $191.0 million for the quarter ending January 31, 2012.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 01/2012
1/5/2012
4:15:00 PM
$0.20 to $0.23
$0.34
$187.0 mill
-0.8%
0.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Lower

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.20 to $0.23 per share on revenue of $181.0 million to $182.0 million. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $0.33 to $0.36 per share on revenue of $186.0 million to $190.0 million and the current consensus earnings estimate is $0.34 per share on revenue of $187.0 million for the quarter ending January 31, 2012.
EPS & Revenue Above Estimates
Q 04/2012
3/21/2012
4:05:01 PM
$0.75 to $0.78
$0.69
$207.7 mill
21.2%
11.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Above Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects first quarter earnings of $0.75 to $0.78 per share on revenue of $219.0 million to $222.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.69 per share on revenue of $207.7 million for the quarter ending April 30, 2012.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 07/2012
5/17/2012
4:01:01 PM
$0.08 to $0.11
$0.13
$182.1 mill
9.3%
8.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects second quarter earnings of $0.08 to $0.11 per share on revenue of $179.0 million to $182.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.13 per share on revenue of $182.1 million for the quarter ending July 31, 2012.
EPS In-line/Revenue Above
Q 10/2012
8/23/2012
4:05:01 PM
$0.55 to $0.60
$0.57
$234.5 mill
-7.4%
-6.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Revenue Above Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects third quarter earnings of $0.55 to $0.60 per share on revenue of $240.0 million to $245.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.57 per share on revenue of $234.5 million for the quarter ending October 31, 2012.
Reaffirms
Q 10/2012
10/17/2012
4:15:01 PM
$0.55 to $0.60
$0.58
$242.5 mill
-3.2%
-2.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Reaffirms

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it continues to expect third quarter earnings of $0.55 to $0.60 per share on revenue of $240.0 million to $245.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.58 per share on revenue of $242.5 million for the quarter ending October 31, 2012.
EPS Below/Revenue Above
Q 01/2013
11/19/2012
4:05:00 PM
$0.19 to $0.23
$0.27
$212.0 mill
-11.2%
5.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Provides Mixed Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.19 to $0.23 per share on revenue of $215.0 million to $220.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.27 per share on revenue of $212.0 million for the quarter ending January 31, 2013.
Updates Guidance
Q 01/2013
1/14/2013
4:05:00 PM
$0.20 to $0.22
$0.21
$216.9 mill
2.6%
4.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Updates Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it now expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.20 to $0.22 per share on revenue of $212.0 million to $214.0 million. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $0.19 to $0.23 per share on revenue of $215.0 million to $220.0 million and the current consensus earnings estimate is $0.21 per share on revenue of $216.9 million for the quarter ending February 2, 2013.
EPS Below Estimates
Q 01/2013
3/6/2013
4:05:00 PM
$0.16
$0.21
5.2%
12.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Warns

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it now expects fourth quarter earnings of approximately $0.16 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $0.20 to $0.22 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $0.21 per share for the quarter ending January 31, 2013.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 04/2013
4/1/2013
4:05:01 PM
$0.36 to $0.44
$0.58
$239.7 mill
1.3%
1.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects first quarter earnings of $0.36 to $0.44 per share on revenue of $226.0 million to $232.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.58 per share on revenue of $239.7 million for the quarter ending April 30, 2013.
In-line Guidance
Q 07/2013
5/23/2013
4:05:01 PM
$0.26 to $0.30
$0.29
$218.9 mill
10.1%
4.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides In-line

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects second quarter earnings of $0.26 to $0.30 per share on revenue of $217.0 million to $220.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.29 per share on revenue of $218.9 million for the quarter ending July 31, 2013.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 10/2013
8/29/2013
4:05:01 PM
$0.51 to $0.55
$0.56
$241.5 mill
-3.5%
3.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects third quarter earnings of $0.51 to $0.55 per share on revenue of $236.0 million to $240.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.56 per share on revenue of $241.5 million for the quarter ending October 31, 2013.
EPS In-line/Revenue Above
Q 01/2014
12/2/2013
4:05:01 PM
$0.18 to $0.22
$0.19
$213.9 mill
4.5%
2.7%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Revenue Above Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.18 to $0.22 per share on revenue of $215.0 million to $219.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.19 per share on revenue of $213.9 million for the quarter ending January 31, 2014.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 01/2014
1/9/2014
4:04:57 PM
$0.03 to $0.06
$0.21
$216.9 mill
-5.2%
-4.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Lowers Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.03 to $0.06 per share on revenue of $203.0 million to $205.0 million. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $0.18 to $0.22 per share on revenue of $215.0 million to $219.0 million and the current consensus earnings estimate is $0.21 per share on revenue of $216.9 million for the quarter ending January 31, 2014.
Revenue Below Estimates
Q 04/2014
3/20/2014
4:05:42 PM
$0.45 to $0.52
$0.50
$253.7 mill
-5.0%
-8.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Revenue Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects first quarter earnings of $0.45 to $0.52 per share on revenue of $232.0 million to $241.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.50 per share on revenue of $253.7 million for the quarter ending April 30, 2014.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 07/2014
5/22/2014
4:05:52 PM
$0.17 to $0.21
$0.26
$232.8 mill
-12.6%
-6.7%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects second quarter earnings of $0.17 to $0.21 per share, excluding one-time costs of $0.05 per share, on revenue of $223.0 million to $228.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.26 per share on revenue of $232.8 million for the quarter ending July 31, 2014.
EPS & Revenue Below Estimates
Q 10/2014
9/3/2014
4:05:15 PM
$0.45 to $0.51
$0.59
$252.1 mill
-10.4%
-3.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects third quarter earnings of $0.45 to $0.51 per share on revenue of $247.0 million to $252.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.59 per share on revenue of $252.1 million for the quarter ending November 1, 2014.
In-line Guidance
Q 01/2015
12/1/2014
4:05:06 PM
$0.06 to $0.10
$0.07
$217.5 mill
19.1%
12.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides In-line

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fourth quarter earnings of $0.06 to $0.10 per share on revenue of $218.0 million to $222.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $0.07 per share on revenue of $217.5 million for the quarter ending January 31, 2015.
In-line Guidance
FY 2016
3/18/2015
4:05:00 PM
$1.40 to $1.48
8.4%
6.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Guides In-line

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fiscal 2015 earnings of $1.40 to $1.48 per share on revenue of $977.0 million to $991.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.45 per share on revenue of $995.8 million for the year ending January 31, 2016.
Narrows Guidance
FY 2016
5/20/2015
4:05:00 PM
$1.42 to $1.48
$977.0 mil to $991.0 mil
$1.47
$991.6 mil
-0.8%
0.8%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Narrows Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it now expects fiscal year earnings of $1.42 to $1.48 per share and continues to expect revenue of $977.0 million to $991.0 million. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $1.40 to $1.48 per share on revenue of $977.0 million to $991.0 million and the current consensus earnings estimate is $1.47 per share on revenue of $991.6 million for the year ending January 31, 2016.
Reaffirms
FY 2016
9/1/2015
4:05:00 PM
$1.42 to $1.48
$977.0 mil to $991.0 mil
$1.48
$986.1 mil
3.4%
-6.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Reaffirms

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it continues to expect fiscal year earnings of $1.42 to $1.48 per share on revenue of $977.0 million to $991.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.48 per share on revenue of $986.1 million for the year ending January 31, 2016.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2016
11/30/2015
4:02:00 PM
$1.38 to $1.43
$980.0 mil to $987.0 mil
$1.47
$981.8 mil
11.8%
10.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Lowers Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fiscal year earnings of $1.38 to $1.43 per share on revenue of $980.0 million to $987.0 million. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $1.42 to $1.48 per share on revenue of $977.0 million to $991.0 million and the current consensus earnings estimate is $1.47 per share on revenue of $981.8 million for the year ending January 31, 2016.
Reaffirms
FY 2016
1/11/2016
8:00:04 AM
$1.38 to $1.43
$980.0 mil to $987.0 mil
$1.39
$983.4 mil
0.2%
-0.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Reaffirms

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it continues to expect fiscal year earnings of $1.38 to $1.43 per share on revenue of $980.0 million to $987.0 million. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.39 per share on revenue of $983.4 million for the year ending January 31, 2016.
EPS In-line/Revenue Below
FY 2017
3/17/2016
4:05:00 PM
$1.58 to $1.65
6.0%
-4.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Sees Revenue Below Estimates

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fiscal 2017 earnings of $1.58 to $1.65 per share on revenue of $1.007 billion to $1.027 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.62 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion for the year ending January 31, 2017.
Reaffirms
FY 2017
5/19/2016
4:05:00 PM
$1.58 to $1.65
$1.007 bil to $1.027 bil
$1.64
$1.03 bil
-9.1%
7.6%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Reaffirms

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it continues to expect fiscal year earnings of $1.58 to $1.65 per share on revenue of $1.007 billion to $1.027 billion. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.64 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion for the year ending January 31, 2017.
EPS In-line/Revenue Below
FY 2017
8/31/2016
4:05:00 PM
$1.58 to $1.65
$1.012 bil to $1.016 bil
$1.60
$1.02 bil
-11.7%
-0.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Lowers Revenue Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it continues to expect fiscal year earnings of $1.58 to $1.65 per share but now expects revenue of $1.012 billion to $1.016 billion. The company's previous guidance was revenue of $1.007 billion to $1.027 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $1.60 per share on revenue of $1.02 billion for the year ending January 31, 2017.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2017
11/28/2016
4:05:00 PM
$1.46 to $1.51
$1.002 bil to $1.006 bil
$1.59
$1.01 bil
-13.6%
8.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Shoe Carnival Lowers Guidance

Shoe Carnival, Inc. said it expects fiscal year earnings of $1.46 to $1.51 per share on revenue of $1.002 billion to $1.006 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $1.58 to $1.65 per share on revenue of $1.012 billion to $1.016 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $1.59 per share on revenue of $1.01 billion for the year ending January 31, 2017.
Date
Grade
Actual
Earnings
Whisper
Consensus
Estimate
Surprise
Growth
Gap
Drift
11/17/2011
4:05:01 PM
Oct '11
Q3 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.52
$215.47 Mil
-
$0.52
$217.06 Mil
-
-0.7%
15.1%
5.4%
-7.2%
5.7%
3/21/2012
4:05:01 PM
Jan '12
Q4 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.16
$181.94 Mil
-
$0.14
$181.13 Mil
14.3%
0.4%
-24.9%
1.2%
10.2%
11.9%
5/17/2012
4:01:01 PM
Apr '12
Q1 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.54
$222.61 Mil
-
$0.51
$221.31 Mil
5.9%
0.6%
11.1%
12.2%
0.1%
8.3%
8/23/2012
4:05:01 PM
Jul '12
Q2 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$0.14
$182.21 Mil
$0.13
$0.11
$181.97 Mil
7.7%
0.1%
5.3%
9.3%
-3.6%
-6.4%
11/19/2012
4:05:00 PM
Oct '12
Q3 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$0.60
$244.43 Mil
-
$0.58
$242.49 Mil
3.4%
0.8%
16.9%
13.4%
-9.1%
7.5%
3/6/2013
4:05:00 PM
Jan '13
Q4 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$0.16
$205.70 Mil
$0.16
$0.21
$213.64 Mil
-
-3.7%
20.2%
13.1%
-1.0%
12.2%
5/23/2013
4:05:01 PM
Apr '13
Q1 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.47
$232.29 Mil
-
$0.39
-
20.5%
-
-13.6%
4.3%
5.1%
5.5%
8/29/2013
4:05:01 PM
Jul '13
Q2 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G F
EPS
Rev
$0.29
$216.42 Mil
-
$0.29
$219.16 Mil
-
-1.3%
104.2%
18.8%
-3.8%
4.2%
12/2/2013
4:05:01 PM
Oct '13
Q3 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.54
$235.77 Mil
-
$0.51
$240.67 Mil
5.9%
-2.0%
-10.9%
-3.5%
0.0%
2.7%
3/20/2014
4:05:42 PM
Jan '14
Q4 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$0.03
$200.31 Mil
$0.06
$0.04
$203.87 Mil
-50.0%
-1.7%
-84.8%
-2.6%
0.8%
-8.5%
5/22/2014
4:05:52 PM
Apr '14
Q1 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$0.45
$235.77 Mil
-
$0.47
-
-4.3%
-
-3.9%
1.5%
-7.4%
-7.1%
9/3/2014
4:05:15 PM
Jul '14
Q2 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G F
EPS
Rev
$0.13
$222.07 Mil
$0.18
$0.17
$224.39 Mil
-27.8%
-1.0%
-55.7%
2.6%
-9.7%
-3.8%
12/1/2014
4:05:06 PM
Oct '14
Q3 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.54
$254.69 Mil
-
$0.49
$248.83 Mil
10.2%
2.4%
-0.9%
8.0%
10.1%
12.1%
3/18/2015
4:05:00 PM
Jan '15
Q4 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.15
$227.63 Mil
-
$0.09
$220.20 Mil
66.7%
3.4%
397.5%
13.6%
12.3%
6.4%
5/20/2015
4:05:00 PM
Apr '15
Q1 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.52
$252.77 Mil
-
$0.51
$254.63 Mil
2.0%
-0.7%
13.6%
7.2%
-0.9%
-
9/1/2015
4:05:00 PM
Jul '15
Q2 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$0.24
$227.82 Mil
-
$0.18
$228.29 Mil
33.3%
-0.2%
86.4%
2.6%
0.4%
-
11/30/2015
4:02:00 PM
Oct '15
Q3 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.47
$269.71 Mil
$0.49
$0.48
$264.25 Mil
-4.1%
2.1%
-13.2%
5.9%
2.7%
-
3/17/2016
4:05:00 PM
Jan '16
Q4 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$0.21
$233.67 Mil
$0.14
$0.14
$232.95 Mil
50.0%
0.3%
40.1%
2.7%
8.9%
-
5/19/2016
4:05:00 PM
Apr '16
Q1 '17
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$0.56
$260.47 Mil
$0.58
$0.58
$263.46 Mil
-3.4%
-1.1%
2.5%
3.0%
-7.4%
-
8/31/2016
4:05:00 PM
Jul '16
Q2 '17
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$0.22
$231.91 Mil
$0.27
$0.27
$236.20 Mil
-18.5%
-1.8%
-14.8%
1.8%
-8.2%
-
11/28/2016
4:05:00 PM
Oct '16
Q3 '17
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$0.54
$274.52 Mil
$0.56
$0.54
$275.70 Mil
-3.6%
-0.4%
3.0%
1.8%
-12.8%
-
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$0.16
$236.05 Mil
-
-
-23.8%
1.0%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$0.66
$274.00 Mil
-
-
17.9%
5.2%
3/17/2011
$17.24
$1.35
$739.2 Mil
-
-
-
3/21/2012
$17.67
$1.31
$762.5 Mil
-3.0%
3.2%
2.5%
4/1/2013
$20.21
$1.43
$855.0 Mil
9.2%
12.1%
14.4%
3/20/2014
$24.94
$1.32
$884.8 Mil
-7.7%
3.5%
23.4%
3/18/2015
$24.22
$1.27
$940.2 Mil
-3.8%
6.3%
-2.9%
3/17/2016
$25.67
$1.45
$984.0 Mil
14.2%
4.7%
6.0%
3/17/2017
$30.03
$1.49
$1.00 Bil
2.8%
1.6%
17.0%
3/17/2018
-
$1.73
$1.05 Bil
16.1%
5.0%
-
3/17/2019
-
-
-
-
-
-

Price Projection

Current Value
$24
-22%
Projected Price
-
-