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−1.50%−1.00%−0.50%0.00%0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%102030405060708080: 2.0%10: -2.0%Weekly Returns by Power RatingDecember 17, 2002 - May 13, 2025Buying at the open following an earnings release and selling one week later.

Real Surprises

There is no statistical advantage to buying based on beating consensus estimates - but there is power in the sentiment

The Earnings Whisper Power Rating is a comprehensive tool that reflects the magnitude of an earnings surprise relative to investor expectations, compressed into a single number to give traders an unparalleled edge in their short-term trades lasting up to a week. Stocks of companies that beat or miss consensus estimates have no directional bias in the short-term ... but the Power Rating dramatically changes that!

From December 17, 2002 until May 13, 2025, we have measured the power of 179,537 earnings releases. If you had randomly bought any of them at the open after their earnings release and held for one week, you would have averaged -0.0%. During the same period, there were 11,170 that measured a Power Rating of less than 30 and they averaged a decline of 1.6% for the week. On the other hand, there were 13,382 with a Power Rating of 70 or higher, and they averaged a 1.5% weekly gain.

The Whisper Report ®
Still A Lot of Bearishness
Monday, May 12, 2025
NXT
There remains a lot of bearishness in a market that is technically in an uptrend, now that the S&P 500 is back above its 200-day moving average.
Earnings
Top Earnings News
Walmart Beat Expectations
Thursday, May 15, 2025, 7:02 AM ET
WMT
Walmart (WMT) reported earnings of $0.61 per share on revenue of $165.61 billion for the fiscal first quarter ended April 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.57 per share on revenue of $165.87 billion. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.60 per share. The company beat expectations by 1.67%.
Earnings Sentiment
Sentiment of the earnings releases with the most interest among investors.
Size = interest, Color = sentiment
Recent Positive Earnings
HudBay Minerals Beat Expectations
Monday, May 12, 2025, 6:00 AM ET
HBM
HudBay Minerals (HBM) reported earnings of $0.24 per share on revenue of $594.90 million for the first quarter ended March 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.10 per share on revenue of $521.22 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.14 per share. The company beat expectations by 71.43% while revenue grew 13.32% on a year-over-year basis.
Expected Positive Earnings
Okta is Expected to Beat Estimates
Tuesday, May 27, 2025, 0:00 AM ET
OKTA
Okta (OKTA) is confirmed to report earnings on Tuesday, May 27, 2025 at approximately 4:00 PM ET. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.77 per share on revenue of $679.00 million, respresenting 10.0% year-over-year revenue growth, and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.83 per share. Option traders are pricing in a 6.8% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 13.4% move in recent quarters.
Earnings Discussions
The Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the Week of May 5, 2025
Monday, May 5, 2025
PLTR
The most anticipated earnings releases for the week of May 5, 2025 are Palantir #PLTR, AMD #AMD, Supermicro #SMCI, Hims & Hers #HIMS, AppLovin #APP, Celsius #CELH, Uber #UBER, The Trade Desk #TTD, Carvana #CVNA, and Coinbase #COIN.