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−1.50%−1.00%−0.50%0.00%0.50%1.00%1.50%2.00%102030405060708080: 2.1%10: -1.9%Weekly Returns by Power RatingDecember 17, 2002 - July 30, 2025Buying at the open following an earnings release and selling one week later.

Real Surprises

There is no statistical advantage to buying based on beating consensus estimates - but there is power in the sentiment

The Earnings Whisper Power Rating is a comprehensive tool that reflects the magnitude of an earnings surprise relative to investor expectations, compressed into a single number to give traders an unparalleled edge in their short-term trades lasting up to a week. Stocks of companies that beat or miss consensus estimates have no directional bias in the short-term ... but the Power Rating dramatically changes that!

From December 17, 2002 until July 30, 2025, we have measured the power of 180,459 earnings releases. If you had randomly bought any of them at the open after their earnings release and held for one week, you would have averaged -0.0%. During the same period, there were 11,212 that measured a Power Rating of less than 30 and they averaged a decline of 1.6% for the week. On the other hand, there were 13,488 with a Power Rating of 70 or higher, and they averaged a 1.5% weekly gain.

The Whisper Report ®
Still About Guidance
Monday, July 28, 2025
VRT
Earnings guidance remains the story this earnings season, but seasonality becomes less favorable just as the payroll data hits on Friday.
VRTWDCTMDXPTONAFLSHAK
Earnings
Top Earnings News
Earnings Sentiment
Sentiment of the earnings releases with the most interest among investors.
Size = interest, Color = sentiment
Recent Positive Earnings
TransMedics Group Beat Expectations
Wednesday, July 30, 2025, 4:05 PM ET
TMDX
TransMedics Group (TMDX) reported earnings of $0.92 per share on revenue of $157.37 million for the second quarter ended June 2025. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.48 per share on revenue of $147.37 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.59 per share. The company beat expectations by 55.93% while revenue grew 37.68% on a year-over-year basis.
Expected Positive Earnings
NVIDIA is Expected to Beat Estimates
Wednesday, August 27, 2025, 0:00 AM ET
NVDA
NVIDIA (NVDA) is confirmed to report earnings on Wednesday, August 27, 2025 at approximately 4:20 PM ET. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.98 per share on revenue of $45.32 billion, respresenting 50.9% year-over-year revenue growth, and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.06 per share. Investors are 21.6% bullish going into the company's earnings release. The stock has averaged a 7.4% move in recent quarters.
Earnings Discussions
The Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the Week of July 28, 2025
Monday, July 28, 2025
UNH
The most anticipated earnings releases for the week of July 28, 2025 are UnitedHealth Group #UNH, Apple #AAPL, Meta Platforms #META, Microsoft #MSFT, Amazon #AMZN, SoFi #SOFI, Robinhood Markets #HOOD, PayPal #PYPL, Strategy #MSTR, and Boeing #BA.