ANGI Angi Inc.

NASDAQ
$6.84

Angi Misses Badly on EPS as New CEO Trades Growth for Cash Flow, Pushing Revenue Recovery to Late 2027

Angi Inc. (ANGI) delivered a third quarter that looks very different depending on which line investors read. Reported earnings of $0.03 per share missed the $0.14 consensus by 78.6% and fell 87.0% from a year earlier, a sharp deterioration in per-share profitability. Revenue of $242.02 million was essentially in line, missing consensus by only 0.3%, but still fell 8.9% year over year. Yet the same quarter produced adjusted EBITDA of $42.2 million, up 6.3%, and the company's highest quarterly EBITDA margin since 2018. That is the central tension. A new CEO is steering Angi decisively toward profitability and cash generation, but the top line is still shrinking, and per-share earnings did not reflect the operating improvement.

The quality of the quarter deserves scrutiny. The press release itself offered little detail. It directed investors to results posted on the company's website and to a call featuring new CEO Mike Steib and CFO Julie Hoarau. The call analysis, however, shows that cost discipline did most of the work. Consumer marketing fell to 37% of revenue from 41.4% in the second quarter. Fixed expenses dropped $14 million, or 24.4%, year over year. Free cash flow nearly tripled to $14.4 million from $4.9 million, and operating cash flow rose to $28.5 million from $21 million. The supplied material does not explain the gap between rising adjusted EBITDA and collapsing reported EPS. That divergence is notable, and investors should not treat the EBITDA record as a substitute for bottom-line earnings.

Beneath the headline, the operating trends are mixed. The revenue decline narrowed from 11% in the second quarter to 8.9%. Service requests fell only 2.4%, an improvement from a 5.5% decline last quarter. Revenue per lead jumped 9.8% to $47, compared with a 1% gain in Q2, and large-pro revenue grew more than 20% for a second straight quarter. The supply side, though, weakened further:

  • Leads fell 17.6%, worse than the 13% decline in Q2.
  • U.S. active pros dropped 14.4% to roughly 101,000.
  • Small-pro revenue fell 13%.
  • Total pro capacity is now down mid-single digits, after management described it as roughly flat in July.

Angi is extracting more value from fewer leads and larger pros. That supports margins, but it leaves the network smaller.

The forward-looking message reinforces the profitability pivot. Management announced a second reduction in force of about 300 roles. The cut is expected to generate $40 million to $50 million in annualized operating savings plus about $10 million in capex reductions. These savings come on top of the first-quarter program of $70 million to $80 million, and at least half are expected to reach the bottom line. Management now expects 2027 EBITDA less capex to be substantially better than the $50 million floor it set earlier this year. Product catalysts included apps live in ChatGPT and Gemini, scaling ChatGPT ads, an on-schedule alpha of the pro-side replatforming, and a pro conversion test expanded to about 1,000 pros. Bears have legitimate ammunition, however:

  • The return to revenue growth is now anchored to the back half of 2027, versus earlier framing that pointed to acceleration around May 2027.
  • Management warned that difficult comparisons will persist for several quarters.
  • One-time restructuring charges of $18 million to $30 million are expected.
  • Roughly 650 roles have been cut in one year amid a CEO transition, which adds execution risk.
  • Refinancing roughly $400 million of 2028 notes, against $202 million in cash, is the top capital priority.
  • Management cautioned against extrapolating Q3 margins, since Q4 is seasonally softer and faces a tough comparison.

Investors appear to be warming to the cash-flow story. Earnings Whispers sentiment improved meaningfully, from -0.39 at the prior report to -0.08. That is still slightly negative but far less pessimistic. The stock has risen 23.4% since opening at $4.57 after the August report and now trades at $5.64. Even so, shares sit 16.4% below their 200-day moving average of $6.75, so the rally has not erased the longer-term downtrend. The Earnings Whispers trend signals remain mostly negative, with sequential growth and momentum still weak, although the AVWAP reading has turned positive.

The bottom line is that Angi's quarter was a headline miss wrapped around a credible but narrow profitability story. Record EBITDA margins, a deeper cost program, and a raised 2027 cash-flow outlook give the new CEO a cleaner narrative than his predecessor had. Shrinking leads, a shrinking pro base, a revenue recovery pushed into late 2027, and a looming refinancing mean the turnaround still rests on cost cuts rather than demonstrated growth.

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