CPRI Capri Holdings Limited

NYSE
$16.06

Capri Doubles EPS Consensus and Rebuilds Part of Its Outlook, but Michael Kors' Sales Decline Deepened Again

Capri Holdings delivered a decisive beat for its fiscal second quarter. Adjusted earnings of $0.42 per share doubled the $0.21 consensus, a 100.0% surprise, and swung sharply from an adjusted loss of $0.03 a year ago, which Earnings Whispers records as 1500.0% growth. Revenue of $809.0 million topped the $781.27 million consensus by 3.5% even as it fell 5.5% year over year. Management raised full-year guidance and doubled down on buybacks. The central tension is that the profit story is clearly improving while the core Michael Kors brand is still shrinking, and in the second quarter it shrank faster than in the first.

The quality of the beat deserves scrutiny. Roughly $20 million of revenue came from wholesale shipments that arrived earlier than planned and were pulled out of the third quarter. Without that shift, sales would have landed only modestly above consensus. Below the operating line, net interest income of $31 million matched adjusted operating income of $31 million. The cash from the Versace sale, which cut net debt to $336 million from $1.6 billion a year ago, is doing a lot of the earnings work. Share count also helped: Capri spent $150 million repurchasing about 10.3 million shares at roughly $14.56. On a GAAP basis, EPS was $0.25 versus a $0.28 loss last year.

The operating improvement is real where it matters most. Gross margin expanded 230 basis points to 63.3%, driven by:

  • higher full-price sell-throughs;
  • favorable brand mix;
  • lower tariff rates than a year ago.

Adjusted operating margin rose to 3.8% from 2.3%. Jimmy Choo grew 11.5%, its second straight double-digit quarter after 10.5% in the first quarter. Its operating margin swung 830 basis points to a positive 1.4%. Michael Kors is the problem. Revenue fell 8.6%, worse than the 7.1% decline in the first quarter, and the Americas dropped 11%. Management attributed much of the drag to deliberate and temporary factors:

  • roughly $50 million of Asia freight delays;
  • about 40% less markdown inventory;
  • around 50% fewer promotions.

Management also said trends improved each month through the quarter. The Kors operating margin still edged up to 10.3%, a sign that cleaner, full-price selling is protecting profitability as volume shrinks.

The call preserved a credible growth story. Management cited several early signs of traction:

  • The Hamilton Soft launch is selling above expectations, and the company is chasing inventory.
  • The Michael Kors TikTok Shop is running about four times its original plan.
  • Wholesale point-of-sale trends are positive.
  • About 100 shop-in-shops are under construction.
  • Airport and duty-free sales are returning to growth.

Management expects Kors full-price sales to turn positive in the third quarter and both brands to grow globally in fiscal 2028, supported by 50 to 75 planned new Kors stores. Management also said Jimmy Choo is not for sale and that its $800 million revenue target could be exceeded.

The raised outlook still has limits. Fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS guidance rose to $2.20 from $2.15, revenue to about $3.42 billion from $3.40 billion, and operating income to about $175 million from $170 million. Those targets remain below the original guidance of $3.525 billion in revenue and $190 million in operating income. The Kors third-quarter guide implies a roughly 1.5% underlying decline, so growth is not yet restored. Management also flagged that second-half gross margin gains will narrow as Capri laps quality-of-sale benefits, faces higher tariff rates and pays for air freight. Rising currency headwinds and Middle East pressure on EMEA add to that risk. Bears have legitimate ammunition here.

Investors entered the report skeptical. Earnings Whispers sentiment, measured the day before the release, weakened meaningfully from -0.17 to -0.31. Shares sat at $16.06, down 1.7% since the open after the August report. That leaves them 10.4% below the 200-day moving average of $17.92. The stock nonetheless rebounded about 29.5% from a 52-week low of $12.40 set on September 10 and finished just 5.3% below its inter-earnings high, so some recovery was already priced in before this beat.

The bottom line is that Capri produced a cleaner, more profitable quarter and a modestly higher outlook. A shrinking share count and a repaired balance sheet are amplifying the gains. The investment case now hinges on whether Michael Kors' monthly improvement turns into actual growth in the second half, because headline earnings strength has so far been built more on margins, interest income and buybacks than on demand.

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