LNN Lindsay Corporation

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$111.99

Lindsay Beats on a Fourth-Quarter Rebound and Cost Cuts, but Shrinking Irrigation Margins and a $70 Million MENA Hole Overshadow FY27

Lindsay Corporation (LNN) closed fiscal 2026 with its strongest quarter of top-line momentum in a year. Fiscal fourth-quarter EPS of $1.10 beat the $0.98 consensus by 12.2% and grew 11.1% from a year ago. Revenue of $161.57 million topped expectations by 8.0% and rose 5.2%. That growth marks a clear turn: revenue fell 16% in the second quarter and 5% in the third before turning positive. North America irrigation drove much of the swing, up 11% to $55.4 million after an 11% decline in the third quarter. Management had guided to a typical-to-down fourth quarter for that business. The central tension is that the quarter's improvement rests largely on cost cuts, buybacks and a brief commodity bounce. Meanwhile, gross margins and next year's international revenue base are moving the wrong way.

The quality of the beat deserves scrutiny. Operating income jumped 39% to $15.8 million, and operating margin widened to 9.8% from 7.4%. Gross profit, however, actually slipped to $43.5 million from $44.7 million despite higher sales. The operating gain came from a $5.7 million reduction in operating expenses, chiefly lower G&A, engineering spending and corporate costs. A sharply higher tax charge, $6.0 million versus $2.8 million, held net earnings growth to just 4%. Per-share growth reached 11% only because diluted shares fell to roughly 10.2 million from 10.9 million after $80.7 million of repurchases during the year. Segment results tell a similar story. Irrigation margin compressed to 12.9% from 13.7%, and to 14.8% from 17.1% for the full year. On the call, management said input-cost inflation is outrunning pricing, with price realization lagging by a couple of quarters.

Infrastructure was the cleanest part of the report. Segment revenue rose 13% and operating income climbed 41%, lifting margin to 17.9% from 14.4%. Road safety products posted a third consecutive quarter of growth, and management expects further growth in fiscal 2027 behind newly launched products. Road Zipper leasing is expected to be flat. The call also produced several incremental positives:

  • The June restructuring is now quantified at about $8 million in net annualized savings beginning in fiscal 2027.
  • The new galvanizing line was pulled forward to before calendar year-end 2026, opening a third-party contract-galvanizing opportunity.
  • Ag tech ARR grew 11%.
  • Brazil quotation activity is up year over year.

The Brazil effort is backed by a definitive, cash-funded agreement to acquire hose-reel maker Setorial Irrigação, spelled Satorial in the call notes.

The forward picture is where bears have legitimate ammunition. Management said no large MENA project will deliver in fiscal 2027. That leaves a roughly $70 million revenue gap, of which it expects to cover only about half. The remaining ~$10 million of MENA services revenue, previously expected in early fiscal 2027, has slipped to a 12-to-24-month window because of installation delays. Backlog fell to $102.5 million from $110.7 million. Management still describes North America demand as subdued and below mid-cycle, as corn has receded after briefly topping $5 and fuel and fertilizer costs remain elevated. Brazil is still hampered by high rates, tight credit and election uncertainty. In infrastructure, IIJA funding expired at the end of September and was extended only through calendar year-end. The CFO has departed, with interim co-CFOs in place and a search in its final stages.

Cash generation also softened. Operating cash flow fell to $74.9 million from $132.9 million, and free cash flow covered only about 62% of net earnings during a year of record capital spending at the Lindsay, Nebraska facility. Year-end cash declined to $189.8 million from $250.6 million, although it rebuilt from $154.8 million at the end of the third quarter.

The market had been bracing for weakness. Shares fell 17.6% from the $129.35 open after the July report to $106.59. That left the stock 9.3% below its 200-day moving average and just 1.6% above the inter-earnings low of $104.90 set the day before the release. Investor sentiment stood firmly negative at -0.45, and the Earnings Whispers price and AVWAP trend readings remain negative. In other words, the beat landed on a stock positioned for disappointment rather than a rebound.

The bottom line is that Lindsay delivered a better fourth quarter than expected, with growth turning positive, North America volumes recovering and infrastructure firing. Much of the earnings leverage, however, came from expense reductions, a lower share count and a temporary commodity lift rather than healthier irrigation economics. With a known international revenue hole, lagging price realization and still-tempered farm demand heading into fiscal 2027, the report improves the near-term narrative more than it resolves the underlying margin and demand questions.

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