RXT Rackspace Technology, Inc.

NASDAQ
$2.72

Rackspace Signs $610 Million in AI Deals and Lifts Revenue Guidance, but Shrinking Liquidity and Rising Dilution Weigh on the Story

Rackspace Technology (RXT) posted a non-GAAP loss of $0.06 per share on revenue of $609.1 million for the third quarter. Earnings fell 20.0% year over year and revenue declined 9.3%. No consensus figures were supplied, so the quarter cannot be judged as a beat or a miss. The more telling comparison is the company's own trajectory. Revenue grew 2% in the first quarter and 1% in the second, then fell 9% in the third, a sharp deceleration. Management still raised full-year revenue guidance by $35 million at the midpoint to $2.51 to $2.56 billion and reaffirmed its profit targets. The central tension is plain. Rackspace has turned its enterprise AI strategy into roughly $610 million of signed contract value, yet the balance sheet that must fund those deployments is getting thinner every quarter.

The quality of the quarter is mixed, and the GAAP and non-GAAP pictures diverge. On a GAAP basis, the loss from operations narrowed to $13 million from $34 million. The net loss improved to $0.21 per share from $0.28, helped by a 23% cut in SG&A and much lower share-based compensation. Non-GAAP operating profit rose 12% to $36 million, and adjusted EBITDA increased to $75 million from $69 million. That operating improvement did not reach the bottom line. Interest expense jumped to $35.5 million from $21.2 million, which is the main reason the non-GAAP per-share loss widened even as operating profit grew.

The segment mix has effectively flipped. Public Cloud revenue fell 17% as resale accounts moved directly to the hyperscalers and legacy service lines wound down. Even so, its segment margin more than doubled to 7.8% from 3.3%. Private Cloud, the supposed growth engine, grew 4%, but its segment margin compressed to 20.5% from 26.9%. Gross margin in that business slid to 31.5%, down 660 basis points from a year ago.

The full-year revenue guidance increase came entirely from Public Cloud, where the outlook improved to a 10% decline from 13% on stronger renewals and consumption. Private Cloud guidance was cut for the third time. It now calls for 2% growth, down from 4% last quarter and 6% at the start of the year, after a large healthcare implementation slipped into the first half of 2027. The reaffirmed profit targets of $125 to $135 million in operating profit and $285 to $295 million in EBITDA also remain well below the original 2026 outlook, which was lowered in July.

The call nonetheless preserved a credible AI growth narrative, and management's tone shifted from vision to execution. Recent commitments include:

  • **Together AI:** a definitive NVIDIA GB300 agreement worth about $380 million in contract value, expected in service mid-2027, plus a non-binding letter of intent framed as a potential multi-billion-dollar expansion.
  • **Blacksmith:** a roughly $230 million AMD bare-metal deal, with deployment expected to begin early 2027.
  • **AMD ramp:** pulled forward to about 17MW by end-2027, with total AI compute targeted at 20 to 22MW.
  • **Palantir:** seven contracts signed since the last call and certifications above 800.

Bears have legitimate ammunition on funding. Hardware financing for the Together AI build is not yet secured, and lenders are still in discussion. The expansion remains only a letter of intent, and all contract values are subject to deployment conditions. Several balance-sheet measures have weakened at once:

  • Capital expenditures jumped to $104 million from $34 million a year earlier.
  • Free cash flow was roughly $1 million, and the prior $50 to $70 million full-year free cash flow outlook was not repeated.
  • Total liquidity fell to $170 million, from $397 million at the end of 2025.
  • Debt maturities are approaching in 2028.

A $66 million Voss-led equity investment and ongoing at-the-market sales are filling the gap, but at a cost to shareholders. The share-count guide rose to 265 to 275 million from 250 to 260 million.

Investor expectations have reset dramatically. Earnings Whispers sentiment collapsed from a solidly positive 0.67 at the prior report to roughly neutral at -0.03. Shares have fallen 47.7% from the $5.20 open after the August report to $2.72 and now sit about 16% below their 200-day moving average. Price and AVWAP trend readings remain negative. These figures were captured on the report date, before the conference call, so they show the stock entering the update deeply out of favor.

The bottom line is that Rackspace delivered real progress on its AI pivot, with signed contracts, an accelerated AMD timeline and better Public Cloud profitability. That progress arrived alongside decelerating revenue, a repeatedly cut Private Cloud outlook, near-zero free cash flow and steadily rising dilution. The investment case now hinges less on winning AI demand than on financing it. Until the Together AI hardware funding is secured and liquidity stabilizes, the signed contract value is a promise the balance sheet still has to prove it can carry.

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