SCVL
$28.84
Shoe Carnival
$.81
2.89%
Earnings Details
3rd Quarter October 2016
Monday, November 28, 2016 4:05:00 PM
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Summary

Shoe Carnival Misses

Shoe Carnival (SCVL) reported 3rd Quarter October 2016 earnings of $0.54 per share on revenue of $274.5 million. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.54 per share on revenue of $275.7 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $0.56 per share. Revenue grew 1.8% on a year-over-year basis.

The company said it expects fiscal year earnings of $1.46 to $1.51 per share on revenue of $1.002 billion to $1.006 billion. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $1.58 to $1.65 per share on revenue of $1.012 billion to $1.016 billion and the current consensus earnings estimate is $1.59 per share on revenue of $1.01 billion for the year ending January 31, 2017.

Shoe Carnival is a family footwear retailer, offers customers an assortment of moderately priced dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children.

Results
Reported Earnings
$0.54
Earnings Whisper
$0.56
Consensus Estimate
$0.54
Reported Revenue
$274.5 Mil
Revenue Estimate
$275.7 Mil
Growth
Earnings Growth
Revenue Growth
Power Rating
Grade
Earnings Release

Shoe Carnival Reports Third Quarter Fiscal 2016 Financial Results

Shoe Carnival, Inc. (SCVL), a leading retailer of moderately priced footwear and accessories, today reported results for the third quarter ended October 29, 2016.

Third Quarter Highlights

Net sales increased $4.8 million to $274.5 million, compared to $269.7 million in the third quarter of fiscal 2015

Earnings per diluted share for the third quarter were $0.54, compared to earnings per diluted share of $0.47 for the third quarter of fiscal 2015

Repurchased 376,000 shares of common stock at a total cost of $10.2 million under the current share repurchase program

The Company ended the fiscal third quarter of 2016 with inventories down 3.9 percent on a per-store basis

"Our third quarter operating results were below our expectations due to slower sales of seasonal merchandise in the second half of the quarter," said Cliff Sifford, Shoe Carnival’s President and CEO. "We generated a comparable store sales increase in athletic merchandise in each month of the quarter, although this was offset by a high-single digit comparable store sales decline in our boot categories."

Mr. Sifford continued, "The slow sales of boots and other seasonal merchandise continued through November. While we achieved high-single digit comparable store sales increases in our athletic categories in November, the decline in sales of boots and other seasonal merchandise resulted in a comparable store sales decline of 3.3 percent for November. We now expect our fourth quarter comparable stores sales to range from a decrease of 1 percent to an increase of 1 percent. We will accelerate our promotional activity on seasonal merchandise with the goal of driving sales and ending the season with inventories in-line with our plan."

Third Quarter Financial Results

The Company reported net sales of $274.5 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2016, a 1.8 percent increase, compared to net sales of $269.7 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2015. Comparable store sales decreased 0.4 percent in the third quarter of fiscal 2016.

Gross profit margin for the third quarter of fiscal 2016 decreased slightly to 29.9 percent compared to 30.1 percent in the third quarter of fiscal 2015. Merchandise margin increased 0.1 percent and buying, distribution and occupancy expenses increased 0.3 percent as a percentage of sales as compared to the third quarter of fiscal 2015.

Selling, general and administrative expenses for the third quarter of fiscal 2016 increased $0.4 million to $66.6 million. As a percentage of sales, these expenses decreased to 24.3 percent from 24.5 percent in the third quarter of fiscal 2015.

Net earnings for the third quarter of fiscal 2016 were $9.7 million, or $0.54 per diluted share. For the third quarter of fiscal 2015, the Company reported net earnings of $9.4 million, or $0.47 per diluted share.

Nine Month Financial Results

Net sales during the first nine months of fiscal 2016 increased $16.6 million to $766.9 million compared to the same period last year. Comparable store sales for the thirty-nine week period ended October 29, 2016 increased 0.9 percent.

Net earnings for the first nine months of fiscal 2016 were $24.4 million, or $1.31 per diluted share, compared to net earnings of $24.6 million, or $1.23 per diluted share, in the first nine months of last year. Gross profit margin for the first nine months of fiscal 2016 was 29.3 percent compared to 29.6 percent last year. Selling, general and administrative expenses, as a percentage of sales, were 24.2 percent for the first nine months of fiscal 2016 compared to 24.3 percent in the same period last fiscal year. The Company opened 15 stores and closed five stores during the first nine months of fiscal 2016 compared to opening 18 stores and closing 14 stores during the first nine months of fiscal 2015.

Share Repurchase Program

In the third quarter of fiscal 2016, the Company repurchased approximately 376,000 shares of its common stock at an average price of $27.13 per share for a total cost of $10.2 million. As of October 29, 2016, the Company had $10.3 million available for future repurchases under its $50 million share repurchase authorization.

Fiscal 2016 Outlook

The Company updated its annual sales and diluted earnings per share outlook for fiscal 2016. Net sales are now expected to be in the range of $1.002 billion to $1.006 billion, with a comparable store sales increase ranging from approximately 0.5 percent to 0.9 percent. Earnings per diluted share for the fiscal year are expected to be in the range of $1.46 to $1.51. Fiscal 2015 earnings per diluted share were $1.45.

Store Growth

The Company expects to open 19 new stores, including seven small-market stores, and close nine stores in fiscal 2016. Store openings and closings by quarter for the fiscal year are as follows:

New Stores
Store Closings
1st quarter 2016
3
4
2nd quarter 2016
9
0
3rd quarter 2016
3
1
4th quarter 2016
4
4
Fiscal year 2016
19
9

The three new stores opened during the third quarter include locations in:

Total Stores in
City
Market
the Market
Oxford, MS
Memphis
6
Seymour, IN
Louisville
7
W. Burlington, IA
Davenport
2

Conference Call

Today, at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time, the Company will host a conference call to discuss the third quarter results. Participants can listen to the live webcast of the call by visiting Shoe Carnival’s Investors webpage at www.shoecarnival.com. While the question-and-answer session will be available to all listeners, questions from the audience will be limited to institutional analysts and investors. A replay of the webcast will be available on the Company’s website beginning approximately two hours after the conclusion of the conference call and will be archived for one year.

About Shoe Carnival

Shoe Carnival, Inc. is one of the nation’s largest family footwear retailers, offering a broad assortment of moderately priced dress, casual and athletic footwear for men, women and children with emphasis on national and regional name brands. As of November 28, 2016, the Company operates 419 stores in 35 states and Puerto Rico, and offers online shopping at www.shoecarnival.com. Headquartered in Evansville, IN, Shoe Carnival trades on The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC under the symbol SCVL. Shoe Carnival’s press releases and annual report are available on the Company’s website at www.shoecarnival.com.

Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information

This press release contains forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. A number of factors could cause our actual results, performance, achievements or industry results to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. These factors include, but are not limited to: general economic conditions in the areas of the continental United States in which our stores are located and the impact of the ongoing economic crisis in Puerto Rico on sales at, and cash flows of, our stores located in Puerto Rico; the effects and duration of economic downturns and unemployment rates; changes in the overall retail environment and more specifically in the apparel and footwear retail sectors; our ability to generate increased sales at our stores; the potential impact of national and international security concerns on the retail environment; changes in our relationships with key suppliers; the impact of competition and pricing; our ability to successfully manage and execute our marketing initiatives and maintain positive brand perception and recognition; changes in weather patterns, consumer buying trends and our ability to identify and respond to emerging fashion trends; the impact of disruptions in our distribution or information technology operations; the effectiveness of our inventory management; the impact of hurricanes or other natural disasters on our stores, as well as on consumer confidence and purchasing in general; risks associated with the seasonality of the retail industry; the impact of unauthorized disclosure or misuse of personal and confidential information about our customers, vendors and employees; our ability to manage our third-party vendor relationships; our ability to successfully execute our growth strategy, including the availability of desirable store locations at acceptable lease terms, our ability to open new stores in a timely and profitable manner, including our entry into major new markets, and the availability of sufficient funds to implement our growth plans; higher than anticipated costs or impairment charges associated with the closing of underperforming stores; our ability to successfully grow our e-commerce sales; the inability of manufacturers to deliver products in a timely manner; changes in the political and economic environments in China, Brazil, Europe and East Asia, where the primary manufacturers of footwear are located; the impact of regulatory changes in the United States and the countries where our manufacturers are located; the continued favorable trade relations between the United States and China and the other countries which are the major manufacturers of footwear; the resolution of litigation or regulatory proceedings in which we are or may become involved; our ability to meet our labor needs while controlling costs; and future stock repurchases under our stock repurchase program and future dividend payments, and other factors described in the Company’s SEC filings, including the Company’s latest Annual Report on Form 10-K.

In addition, these forward-looking statements necessarily depend upon assumptions, estimates and dates that may be incorrect or imprecise and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. Accordingly, any forward-looking statements included in this press release do not purport to be predictions of future events or circumstances and may not be realized. Forward-looking statements can be identified by, among other things, the use of forward-looking terms such as "believes," "expects," "may," "will," "should," "seeks," "pro forma," "anticipates," "intends" or the negative of any of these terms, or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy or intentions. Given these uncertainties, we caution investors not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date hereof. We disclaim any obligation to update any of these factors or to publicly announce any revisions to the forward-looking statements contained in this press release to reflect future events or developments.

Financial Tables Follow

SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
(In thousands, except per share)
(Unaudited)
Thirteen
Thirteen
Thirty-nine
Thirty-nine
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
October 29,
October 31,
October 29,
October 31,
2016
2015
2016
2015
Net sales
$ 274,524
$ 269,713
$ 766,901
$ 750,302
Cost of sales (including buying, distribution and occupancy costs)
192,514
188,396
542,105
528,022
Gross profit
82,010
81,317
224,796
222,280
Selling, general and administrative expenses
66,558
66,144
185,399
182,200
Operating income
15,452
15,173
39,397
40,080
Interest income
(1 )
(2 )
(6 )
(36 )
Interest expense
43
42
127
126
Income before income taxes
15,410
15,133
39,276
39,990
Income tax expense
5,738
5,747
14,839
15,391
Net income
$
9,672
$
9,386
$
24,437
$
24,599
Net income per share:
Basic
$
0.54
$
0.47
$
1.31
$
1.23
Diluted
$
0.54
$
0.47
$
1.31
$
1.23
Weighted average shares:
Basic
17,609
19,444
18,220
19,542
Diluted
17,614
19,452
18,225
19,553
Cash dividends declared per share
$
0.070
$
0.065
$
0.205
$
0.19
Financial Note:
Per share amounts are computed independently for each quarter of
the fiscal year. The sum of the quarters may not equal the total
year due to the impact of changes in weighted shares outstanding
and differing applications of earnings under the two-class method.
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
(In thousands)
October 29,
January 30,
October 31,
2016
2016
2015
(Unaudited)
(Audited)
(Unaudited)
ASSETS
Current Assets:
Cash and cash equivalents
$
33,509
$
68,814
$
49,035
Accounts receivable
3,540
2,131
2,665
Merchandise inventories
314,925
292,878
318,878
Deferred income taxes
0
1,061
1,236
Other
5,630
5,193
5,611
Total Current Assets
357,604
370,077
377,425
Property and equipment - net
102,932
103,386
106,374
Deferred income taxes
8,163
7,158
5,655
Other noncurrent assets
970
472
348
Total Assets
$ 469,669
$ 481,093
$
489,802
LIABILITIES AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY
Current Liabilities:
Accounts payable
$
69,986
$
72,086
$
75,006
Accrued and other liabilities
18,936
15,848
18,129
Total Current Liabilities
88,922
87,934
93,135
Deferred lease incentives
30,320
31,971
30,595
Accrued rent
11,465
11,224
11,221
Deferred compensation
10,171
9,612
9,892
Other
767
550
424
Total Liabilities
141,645
141,291
145,267
Total Shareholders’ Equity
328,024
339,802
344,535
Total Liabilities and Shareholders’ Equity
$ 469,669
$ 481,093
$
489,802
SHOE CARNIVAL, INC.
CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
(In thousands)
(Unaudited)
Thirty-nine
Thirty-nine
Weeks Ended
Weeks Ended
October 29,
October 31,
2016
2015
Cash Flows From Operating Activities
Net income
$
24,437
$
24,599
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by
operating activities:
Depreciation and amortization
17,698
17,132
Stock-based compensation
3,438
2,595
Loss on retirement and impairment of assets
500
958
Deferred income taxes
56
(1,707 )
Lease incentives
1,838
4,116
Other
(3,064 )
(3,597 )
Changes in operating assets and liabilities:
Accounts receivable
(1,409 )
55
Merchandise inventories
(22,047 )
(31,001 )
Accounts payable and accrued liabilities
(1,298 )
9,699
Other
1,303
456
Net cash provided by operating activities
21,452
23,305
Cash Flows From Investing Activities
Purchases of property and equipment
(17,426 )
(22,313 )
Proceeds from notes receivable
0
250
Net cash used in investing activities
(17,426 )
(22,063 )
Cash Flows From Financing Activities
Proceeds from issuance of stock
186
335
Dividends paid
(3,780 )
(3,782 )
Excess tax benefits from stock-based compensation
2
91
Purchase of common stock for treasury
(35,428 )
(10,181 )
Shares surrendered by employees to pay taxes on restricted stock
(311 )
(46 )
Net cash used in financing activities
(39,331 )
(13,583 )
Net decrease in cash and cash equivalents
(35,305 )
(12,341 )
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
68,814
61,376
Cash and Cash Equivalents at End of Period
$
33,509
$
49,035

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SOURCE: Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Shoe Carnival, Inc.
Cliff Sifford
President and Chief Executive Officer
or
W. Kerry Jackson
Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Operating and Financial Officer and Treasurer
(812) 867-6471