AAP
$170.14
Advance Auto Parts
($.62)
(.36%)

Earnings History

Earnings
Revenue
Reaction
Drift
In-line Guidance
FY 2012
2/16/2012
8:30:05 AM
$5.55 to $5.75
8.2%
1.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Guides In-line

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects 2012 earnings of $5.55 to $5.75 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.66 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Reaffirms Below Estimates
FY 2012
5/17/2012
8:30:01 AM
$5.55 to $5.75
$5.95
-17.0%
0.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Reaffirms Below Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it continues to expect 2012 earnings of $5.55 to $5.75 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.95 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
EPS Below Estimates
Q 09/2012
10/22/2012
8:30:03 AM
$1.21
$1.35
-3.3%
7.9%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Guides Below Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects third quarter earnings of approximately $1.21 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $1.35 per share for the quarter ending September 30, 2012. The company also said it expects 2012 earnings of $5.05 to $5.15 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.33 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
Reaffirms
FY 2012
11/8/2012
8:30:01 AM
$5.05 to $5.15
$5.10
-0.5%
-2.7%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Reaffirms

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it continues to expect 2012 earnings of $5.05 to $5.15 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.10 per share for the year ending December 31, 2012.
In-line Guidance
FY 2013
2/7/2013
8:30:03 AM
$5.45 to $5.60
5.8%
-1.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Guides In-line

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects 2013 earnings of $5.45 to $5.60 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.57 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2013
5/23/2013
8:30:02 AM
$5.30 to $5.45
$5.52
-2.0%
-3.0%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Lowers Guidance

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it now expects 2013 earnings of $5.30 to $5.45 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $5.45 to $5.60 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $5.52 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
Reaffirms Below Estimates
FY 2013
10/31/2013
8:30:01 AM
$5.30 to $5.45
$5.50
-0.8%
-3.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Reaffirms Below Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it continues to expect 2013 earnings of $5.30 to $5.45 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $5.50 per share for the year ending December 31, 2013.
EPS Above Estimates
FY 2014
2/6/2014
8:30:12 AM
$7.20 to $7.40
12.7%
3.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Guides Above Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects 2014 earnings of $7.20 to $7.40 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $6.99 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2014
5/15/2014
8:31:23 AM
$7.30 to $7.50
$7.50
0.9%
-4.3%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Raises Guidance to be In-line with Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it now expects 2014 earnings of $7.30 to $7.50 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $7.20 to $7.40 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $7.50 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Raises Guidance In-line with Estimates
FY 2014
8/14/2014
8:30:24 AM
$7.50 to $7.60
$7.60
7.0%
4.2%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Raises Guidance to be In-line with Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects 2014 earnings of $7.50 to $7.60 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $7.30 to $7.50 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $7.60 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
Reaffirms Below Estimates
FY 2014
11/6/2014
8:30:41 AM
$7.50 to $7.60
$7.71
-2.6%
5.4%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Reaffirms Below Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it continues to expect 2014 earnings of $7.50 to $7.60 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $7.71 per share for the year ending December 31, 2014.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2015
2/12/2015
8:30:52 AM
$8.35 to $8.55
-6.8%
-1.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Sees 2015 Below Estimates

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects 2015 earnings of $8.35 to $8.55 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $8.74 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2015
5/21/2015
8:30:02 AM
$8.10 to $8.30
$8.50
5.1%
8.7%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Lowers Guidance

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it expects 2015 earnings of $8.10 to $8.30 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $8.35 to $8.55 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $8.50 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
Reaffirms
FY 2015
8/13/2015
8:30:01 AM
$8.10 to $8.30
$8.25
9.2%
6.1%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Reaffirms

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it continues to expect 2015 earnings of $8.10 to $8.30 per share. The current consensus earnings estimate is $8.25 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
EPS Below Estimates
FY 2015
11/12/2015
6:45:01 AM
$7.75 to $7.90
$8.27
-15.4%
-6.5%
Guidance:
Consensus:
Advance Auto Parts Lowers Guidance

Advance Auto Parts Inc. said it now expects 2015 earnings of $7.75 to $7.90 per share. The company's previous guidance was earnings of $8.10 to $8.30 per share and the current consensus earnings estimate is $8.27 per share for the year ending December 31, 2015.
Date
Grade
Actual
Earnings
Whisper
Consensus
Estimate
Surprise
Growth
Gap
Drift
2/16/2012
8:30:05 AM
Dec '11
Q4 '11
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B+
EPS
Rev
$0.90
$1.3 Bil
$0.81
$0.74
$1.3 Bil
11.1%
-0.2%
38.1%
4.5%
5.9%
1.2%
5/17/2012
8:30:01 AM
Mar '12
Q1 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$1.79
$2.0 Bil
$1.94
$1.84
$2.0 Bil
-7.7%
-2.1%
21.8%
3.1%
-12.0%
0.9%
8/9/2012
8:30:01 AM
Jun '12
Q2 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G -
EPS
Rev
$1.34
$1.5 Bil
$1.42
$1.40
$1.5 Bil
-5.6%
-1.3%
-11.9%
-1.3%
-
-
11/8/2012
8:30:01 AM
Sep '12
Q3 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$1.21
$1.5 Bil
$1.21
$1.21
$1.5 Bil
-
-0.8%
-15.2%
-0.5%
-0.1%
-2.7%
2/7/2013
8:30:03 AM
Dec '12
Q4 '12
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G A-
EPS
Rev
$0.88
$1.3 Bil
$0.80
$0.75
$1.3 Bil
10.0%
-0.1%
-2.1%
0.1%
9.5%
-1.3%
5/23/2013
8:30:02 AM
Mar '13
Q1 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B-
EPS
Rev
$1.65
$2.0 Bil
$1.64
$1.61
$2.0 Bil
0.6%
0.3%
-8.8%
3.0%
-1.4%
-3.0%
8/8/2013
8:30:01 AM
Jun '13
Q2 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G B+
EPS
Rev
$1.59
$1.5 Bil
-
$1.48
$1.6 Bil
7.4%
-3.2%
17.3%
6.1%
0.8%
-1.3%
10/31/2013
8:30:01 AM
Sep '13
Q3 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$1.48
$1.5 Bil
-
$1.42
$1.6 Bil
4.2%
-1.9%
20.9%
4.3%
0.0%
-3.3%
2/6/2014
8:30:12 AM
Dec '13
Q4 '13
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C+
EPS
Rev
$0.94
$1.4 Bil
$0.85
$0.78
$1.4 Bil
10.6%
2.1%
5.7%
6.0%
10.3%
3.3%
5/15/2014
8:31:23 AM
Mar '14
Q1 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C
EPS
Rev
$2.25
$3.0 Bil
$2.22
$2.16
$3.0 Bil
1.4%
0.3%
35.8%
47.3%
3.9%
-4.3%
8/14/2014
8:30:24 AM
Jun '14
Q2 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$2.08
$2.3 Bil
$2.08
$2.01
$2.3 Bil
-
1.2%
31.1%
51.5%
4.9%
4.2%
11/6/2014
8:30:41 AM
Sep '14
Q3 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$1.89
$2.3 Bil
$1.92
$1.87
$2.3 Bil
-1.6%
0.0%
28.8%
50.6%
-7.3%
5.4%
2/12/2015
8:30:52 AM
Dec '14
Q4 '14
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D+
EPS
Rev
$1.54
$2.2 Bil
$1.52
$1.48
$2.3 Bil
1.3%
-2.3%
46.9%
58.8%
-4.6%
-1.1%
5/21/2015
8:30:02 AM
Mar '15
Q1 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$2.39
$3.0 Bil
$2.53
$2.50
$3.1 Bil
-5.5%
-0.4%
6.7%
2.3%
-4.0%
8.7%
8/13/2015
8:30:01 AM
Jun '15
Q2 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$2.27
$2.4 Bil
$2.30
$2.25
$2.4 Bil
-1.3%
-0.4%
9.4%
1.0%
1.1%
6.1%
11/12/2015
6:45:01 AM
Sep '15
Q3 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G F
EPS
Rev
$1.95
$2.3 Bil
$2.09
$2.06
$2.3 Bil
-6.7%
-1.5%
3.4%
0.3%
-10.7%
-6.5%
2/11/2016
6:30:02 AM
Dec '15
Q4 '15
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G C-
EPS
Rev
$1.22
$2.0 Bil
$1.24
$1.21
$2.1 Bil
-1.6%
-0.8%
-10.8%
-9.1%
-1.1%
4.6%
5/19/2016
6:30:00 AM
Mar '16
Q1 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D-
EPS
Rev
$2.51
$3.0 Bil
$2.67
$2.61
$3.0 Bil
-6.0%
-1.3%
5.5%
-1.9%
-6.7%
16.8%
8/16/2016
6:30:00 AM
Jun '16
Q2 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G F
EPS
Rev
$1.90
$2.3 Bil
$2.12
$2.13
$2.2 Bil
-10.4%
0.7%
-15.9%
-4.8%
-3.4%
-2.5%
11/14/2016
4:15:00 PM
Sep '16
Q3 '16
Earnings Whisper GradeE a rn in gs Wh is pe r® ed ar G D
EPS
Rev
$1.73
$2.2 Bil
$1.76
$1.72
$2.2 Bil
-1.7%
2.2%
-10.7%
-2.0%
14.8%
3.8%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$1.08
$2.0 Bil
-
-
-11.5%
-1.6%
EPS
Rev
-
-
-
$2.51
$3.0 Bil
-
-
-
0.3%
2/9/2011
$66.00
$3.95
$5.93 Bil
-
-
-
2/16/2012
$85.90
$5.11
$6.17 Bil
29.4%
4.1%
30.2%
2/7/2013
$77.14
$5.22
$6.21 Bil
2.2%
0.6%
-10.2%
2/6/2014
$124.86
$5.67
$6.49 Bil
8.6%
4.7%
61.9%
2/12/2015
$151.42
$7.79
$9.84 Bil
37.4%
51.6%
21.3%
2/11/2016
$138.41
$7.82
$9.74 Bil
0.4%
-1.1%
-8.6%
2/11/2017
$170.14
$7.24
$9.48 Bil
-7.4%
-2.6%
22.9%
2/11/2018
$132.61
$7.78
$9.63 Bil
7.5%
1.6%
-22.1%
2/11/2019
-
$9.01
-
15.8%
-
-

Price Projection

Current Value
$115
-33%
Projected Price
$133
-22%