Monday, December 11, 2017
While the economic data is expected to be positive this week, the wildcard is inflation as the Fed tightens on Wednesday and continues its tapering. Meanwhile, money has been coming out of Technology even as the overall market has pushed higher.
A Sell Signal
Monday, December 4, 2017
While the chart remains positive, the overall stock market received its first real sell signal last week.
Disappointing but Still Going
Monday, November 27, 2017
The key macroeconomic data disappointed last week, but the overall trends are likely continuing.
A Dull Market
Monday, November 20, 2017
It is a light week for earnings, macroeconomic data, and trading; and with the fundamental data and technicals supporting the upward move, the strategy remains the same.
Still Sell Volatility Spikes
Monday, November 13, 2017
One leading indicator is telling otherwise, but so far this continues to be a market where we sell spikes in volatility and that favors the trend line that continues to hold for the S&P 500.
Monday, November 6, 2017
The momentum stocks are still showing relative strength before and after earnings, but the best long trades after-the-news have been in the lagging sector going into earnings.
Monday, October 30, 2017
Expectations are for one of the strongest reversals in payroll data in 20 years following the hurricanes, and there are indications of an upside surprise. This, in turn, favors a stronger dollar and the outperformance of the small-caps.
Monday, October 23, 2017
What the #@$! is going on at the Fed with purchases of U.S. Treasuries at an all-time high? Meanwhile, it is the Consumer Discretionary stocks reacting the best to start earnings season
Monday, October 16, 2017
A rebound in temperatures in September should help Industrial Production improve despite the impact of Irma; and, so far, the Fed's balance sheet is still growing in October despite plans to taper.
Guns & Butter
Monday, October 9, 2017
The forces of supply and demand are likely to conflict this earnings season and, while the trend is still up, the setup is better in the other direction.