Monday, November 28, 2022
There are a lot of moving parts this week and the economy continues to tick higher while sentiment is low, but the key from here is likely how the market reacts to weakening payroll data on Friday.
Has Everyone Sold?
Monday, November 21, 2022
Can we go lower if everyone is already selling?
A New Hope
Monday, November 14, 2022
Little has changed except hope... but hope has some room to run here.
Crowding the Fed
Monday, November 7, 2022
The "don't fight the Fed" trade became rather crowded after the Fed told us precisely what it wants to do.
Bear but No Recession Yet
Monday, October 31, 2022
It is a bear market, but there still no recession in sight and even slowing job growth is still growth.
Apple in the Middle
Monday, October 24, 2022
Fed vs. BoJ, Positive Earnings vs. Negative Earnings, Energy vs. Technology... and Apple is somewhere in the middle.
All the Pieces
Monday, October 17, 2022
As we head into earnings season, the pieces are now there, but we still have to maintain our rules.
Monday, October 10, 2022
Earnings pre-announcements to start October give us some insight into the coming earnings season, which happens to match up with the recent macro data.
Sentiment & Bear Markets
Monday, October 3, 2022
Sentiment has dropped farther, which tells us two things about the current market.
Monday, September 26, 2022
Investor sentiment has fallen to a new cycle low, but that's not the statistical edge you might think.