APA APA Corporation
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APA Corporation Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
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Conference Call Operator
Good day and welcome to APA Corporation's third quarter 2026 financial and operational results. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your touchstone telephone. Please note this call is being recorded. I would like to turn the call over to Stephane Aka, Managing Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Stephane Aka
Managing Director of Investor Relations
Good morning. and thank you for joining us on APA Corporation's Third Quarter 2026 Financial and Operational Results Conference Call. We will begin the call with an overview by CEO John Christmann. Ben Rodgers, CFO, will share further color on our results and outlook. Steve Riney, President, and Tracey Henderson, Executive Vice President of Exploration, are also on the call and available to answer questions. We will start with prepared remarks and allocate the remainder of time to Q&A. In conjunction with yesterday's press release, I hope you have had the opportunity to review a financial and operational supplement, which can be found on our investor relations website at investor.apacorp.com. Please note that we may discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of the differences between these measures and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in the supplemental information provided on our website. Consistent with previous reporting practices, adjusted production numbers cited in today's call are adjusted to exclude non-controlling interest in Egypt and Egypt tax barrels. Good morning, and thank you for joining us.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Today, I will review our third quarter results, discuss our fourth quarter outlook, and outline our preliminary plans for 2027. APA's strategy is anchored by three priorities, delivering top-tier operational performance, building a high-quality portfolio, and maintaining financial discipline. Together with our long-term commitment to oil and gas, these core principles guide our investments, Operations, and Capital Returns Framework. By honing these priorities over the past two years, we are continuing to strengthen our operating capabilities, resulting in another quarter of excellent performance. More efficient development programs, a structurally lower cost base, and higher commodity prices are driving stronger free cash flow. In addition, the carry agreement under our joint venture in Suriname further enhances Our financial flexibility, allowing us to fund only 10% of Grand Morgue's development capital while retaining our 40% working interest and significant exposure to the project's future cash flows. This has enabled us to advance this world-class opportunity while reducing debt, returning cash to shareholders, and building the long-term future of the company. Turning to the third quarter, we delivered strong performance across our core assets. U.S. oil production again exceeded guidance, Egypt sustained gross VOE production, and Grand Morgue continues to progress toward first oil in mid-2028. Capital investment in the Permian and Egypt, as well as total operating costs, were in line with guidance. We generated approximately $700 million in free cash flow and returned over $500 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. We also took additional steps to strengthen the balance sheet, which Ben will discuss shortly. In the U.S., oil production of 128,000 barrels per day exceeded our guidance through a combination of high uptime, earlier turning lines, and Robust New Well Performance. Total U.S. production averaged 294,000 BOEs per day, also above guidance. Our focus remains on improving capital productivity through continued drilling and completion efficiency gains and maintaining reliable base production. In Egypt, gross production was relatively flat quarter over quarter at 206,000 BOEs per day. Gross gas production of 542 million cubic feet per day exceeded our guidance, driven by strong well performance and more resilient base production. Average gas realizations increased to $4.34 per MCF from $4.23 in the second quarter. Adjusted production was approximately 64,000 VOEs per day, slightly below guidance due to PSC impacts primarily from higher oil prices. In Suriname, our partner Total continues to advance Grand Morgue on budget and on schedule for first oil in mid-2028. Third quarter development capital was approximately $40 million, which was below our guidance. A portion of capital shifted into the fourth quarter primarily due to the timing of equipment deliveries and rig upgrades, but our four-year outlook remains unchanged. Shifting to our fourth quarter, an updated full-year outlook. In the Permian, drilling and completion efficiency gains continue to improve capital productivity. These improvements have driven an increase in full-year U.S. oil production guidance to 124,000 barrels per day, above our initial guidance of 120,000 to 122,000 barrels per day. Faster drilling cycle times are also enabling us to accelerate some frack activity into the fourth quarter resulting in a modest increase in 2026 capital spending that will support a smoother production profile entering 2027. Fourth quarter oil production is expected to moderate with the timing of turn in lines during the year and reflecting seasonal weather impacts. In Egypt, we expect gross BOE production to increase slightly for the fourth quarter and full year. Across the portfolio, our priorities remain operational execution, continued cost management, and strong free cash flow generation as we close out 2026. Looking ahead to 2027, we will continue generating significant free cash flow from our core producing assets while advancing Grand Morgue towards first oil. The strength of our core business provides the financial flexibility to further enhance the balance sheet and return capital to shareholders while pursuing several high-impact exploration opportunities. Our preliminary estimate for upstream capital next year is approximately $2.5 billion. Exploration and Grand Morgue development account for roughly 60% of the increase from 2026, With the remainder driven by Permian activity and modest inflation, we expect this investment program to result in similar U.S. and Egypt production year over year. In the Permian, activity will increase relative to 2026, with a greater percentage in the Delaware Basin, while Egypt activity and capital allocation across oil and gas will remain consistent with 2026. Grand Morgue investment will increase as development drilling begins. On the exploration side, capital investment will return to our targeted range of 10% to 15% of annual upstream capital. These investments across our differentiated portfolio could establish new sources of long-term production, free cash flow, and substantial value for shareholders beyond our existing development assets. In Suriname, two exploration wells are planned with our partner Total targeting additional resource potential to extend Grand Morgue's production plateau or even support a second development. In Alaska, this winter's program includes one exploration well and an appraisal test of our sockeye discovery. In Uruguay, we expect to spud our off-six well with ENI in late 2027. We will provide a more detailed outlook in February. In closing, our third quarter results demonstrate continued execution across the portfolio. Our Permian and Egypt businesses are delivering reliable performance and significant free cash flow, enhanced by a structurally lower cost base and improved capital efficiency. This foundation, combined with our advantageous joint venture in Suriname, puts APA in a unique strategic position. Our carry agreement with Total significantly reduces our upfront capital outlay for Grand Morgue while preserving our ownership interest and full share of future profit allocations. As a result, we are able to advance a material high-impact exploration program while reducing debt and returning significant capital to shareholders. Few companies have the financial flexibility to fund world-class growth opportunities of this scale while strengthening their balance sheet and delivering significant shareholder returns. We are accomplishing all of these priorities simultaneously, with Grand Morgue less than two years from first oil and a transformational increase in free cash flow on the horizon. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ben.
Ben Rodgers
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, John. For the third quarter, APA reported net income attributable to common stock of $698 million or $2 per diluted common share. Consistent with prior periods, these results include items outside of core earnings. The largest after-tax adjustment was an unrealized derivative gain of $17 million. Excluding this and other smaller items, adjusted net income was $676 million or $1.94 per diluted common share. We generated $699 million of free cash flow, bringing our year-to-date total to more than $1.9 billion. These results reflect strong execution across our core assets and the benefits of structural cost improvements and capital efficiencies achieved over the past two years. Building on this performance, higher expected production in the U.S. and Egypt and stronger commodity prices have increased our 2026 free cash flow outlook to $2.9 billion, up $600 million from August. This supports significant returns to shareholders and continued debt reduction through year end. We accelerated the pace of capital returns during the quarter, repurchasing 10.5 million shares at an average price of $42.78 for approximately $450 million. Including $87 million of dividends, we returned $537 million to shareholders. Through October, we've repurchased $762 million of shares this year, reducing our outstanding share count by approximately 5% since year-end 2025. At current strip pricing, we expect approximately $650 million of additional share repurchases by year-end. Together with dividends, these repurchases are consistent with our commitment to return at least 60% of annual free cash flow to shareholders. We also retired approximately $450 million of debt during the third quarter, opportunistically repurchasing bonds across near-term and longer-dated maturities. We ended the quarter with total debt of $3.3 billion and net debt of $3.2 billion. Our debt reduction since year-end 2024 has lowered annualized interest expense by more than $180 million compared with 2024. Gene A expense for the quarter was $112 million, including $56 million of stock-based compensation, primarily due to the increase in our share price. Turning to capital, third quarter upstream investment was $466 million, approximately $30 million below guidance, mostly due to grand mortgage spending that shifted into the fourth quarter. For our 2026 capital outlook, we have increased full-year upstream capital guidance by $30 million to $2.1 billion, reflecting the additional permitting activity John mentioned. Separately, we've reduced full year ARO spending by $15 million, reflecting the deferral of certain North Sea activities as we optimize the program. This partially offsets the cash flow impact of the higher upstream capital spending. We've increased full year LOE guidance by $25 million, primarily due to higher stock based compensation expense allocated to LOE. Underlying operating cost performance remains strong, with savings across our asset base absorbing $40 million of higher diesel costs in Egypt this year. Moving to our gas trading portfolio, which has been a significant cash flow contributor for several years and represents a differentiated financial advantage for APA. While contributions will vary with market conditions, we expect the portfolio to continue generating substantial free cash flow. At current strip pricing and inclusive of basis hedges, we expect approximately $1.1 billion in pre-tax cash flow this year and $950 million next year. As we close out the year, I'd like to put our cost reduction progress over the last two years into perspective. When we launched this initiative in early 2025, we targeted $350 million in annualized savings by the end of 2027. We achieved that milestone two years ahead of schedule and subsequently increased our target to $500 million, which we expect to reach by the end of this year. Combined with the $180 million in annualized interest savings already in place, reaching our year-end target would bring total annualized savings to approximately $680 million compared with our cost structure as we exited 2024. For context, That is equivalent to roughly 80% of APA's total free cash flow in 2024. These improvements span our entire business from greater capital efficiency and lower operating costs to a simpler, more efficient organization. The result is a structurally lower cost base that improves investment returns and supports more resilient free cash flow through commodity cycles. Our employees deserve tremendous credit for these results. Their commitment to finding better ways to operate has translated directly into tangible value for shareholders. Looking ahead to 2027, our focus is on sustaining these gains and driving further reductions as we navigate industry-wide inflationary pressures. On capital, our preliminary outlook for the Permian program John described already incorporates mid-single digit cost inflation. We are pursuing additional efficiencies from increased Delaware Basin activity and other initiatives that could help offset those pressures. These potential capital savings are not reflected in our outlook. On operating costs, projects implemented in both Egypt and the Permian are already lowering LOE, with more savings to come in 2027. In Egypt, we are expanding power projects to reduce diesel consumption and operating costs. In the Permian, we will benefit from a full year of savings from projects implemented this year, alongside new initiatives to drive further reductions. Strong free cash flow and continued cost discipline also position us to take the next step in strengthening our balance sheet. We are approaching our $3 billion net debt target and expect to achieve it in the near future. Looking beyond this milestone, we are establishing a new net debt target of $2 billion. Further debt reduction will lower interest expense and fixed cash obligations, supporting free cash flow through commodity cycles. It also preserves flexibility to fund future developments from exploration success while continuing to return at least 60% of annual free cash flow to shareholders. In closing, our financial progress this year is translating into meaningful shareholder value. With $2.9 billion of expected free cash flow We are funding significant share repurchases while strengthening our balance sheet. We expect to achieve our $3 billion net debt target about a year and a half after announcing it, positioning us to establish a new target from a stronger financial foundation. Our cost savings progress across operations and overhead has been central to these results. Sustaining these gains and building on them remains a priority as we look ahead. Over the next five years, we see a compelling opportunity to grow free cash flow per share through sustained cost discipline, lower interest expense, grand mortgage startup, and continued share repurchases. Importantly, this growth does not depend on additional exploration success, which would provide further upside. With that, I will turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 1. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, press star 1 1 again. We ask that you please limit yourselves to one question and a follow-up. Our first question comes from Doug Leggett with Wolf Research. Your line is open.
Doug Leggett
Analyst, Wolf Research
Thanks. Thanks, fellas. I wonder if I could touch first on exploration and specifically in Alaska. I know Tracey's on the call, so I don't know if you want to defer to her maybe, but my question is specifically related to the King Street well that you drilled some time ago. And my understanding is there was a There was a deeper target and a shallower formation that may have helped de-risk part of the Chinook target that you're going to drill early next year. I just wonder if you could confirm that or characterize how you see the risk profile of Chinook. That's my first question. And my follow-up is just that obviously you're generating an enormous amount of free cash flow. Credit to Steve for being unhedged perhaps. But I wonder, where does the ARO, the abandonment liability, stack up in the seriatim of priorities for that cash flow between buybacks, debt reduction, and so on? And I'll leave it there. Thank you.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Doug. I'll jump in and then let Tracey add any color to expiration, and then I'll let Ben take the ARO question. But we're excited about what we have in the lanyard play in Alaska. You know, we've really de-risked the play with two discoveries. King Street was the first that really confirmed a working petroleum system and high-quality reservoir, and that was really, really important. Sockeye was the second well, and we drilled it next. It was not our largest feature, but it was the one that we had the best seismic data over at the time. And what Sockeye did was, you know, really tie our to the seismic and the geologic model to the actual well results. And so both of those wells are very, very important for the whole Lagniapp area. We've got plans next year to appraise sockeye with the Hungry Horse Well and then test a larger separate feature with Chinook. I'll let Tracey comment a little bit more on Chinook.
Tracey Henderson
Executive Vice President of Exploration
Morning. I'll just comment a little bit specifically on your question, Doug, regarding the King Street well and what we've reported previously on that. I think what I would say is it was very encouraging. We saw an accumulation at depth that we reported, and as you mentioned, some shallower things that looked encouraging as well. I think we really need to get the well down at Chinook. I would say it's encouraging that we see a lot of hydrocarbons in these Alaska wells and some that are roughly you know in the same stratigraphic zones but it's I think it's you know we're basically interpolating a bit too much to say that there's a direct connection or de-risking of Chinook based on the seismic from what we see but it is encouraging to see hydrocarbons in those age equivalent zones that gives us some confidence that you know going into Chinook that we feel pretty good about it.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Well on the ARO.
Ben Rodgers
Chief Financial Officer
Sure so just on your second question Doug yes you know we obviously have the ARO liability in the North Sea and the contingent liability in the Gulf of America that we're managing. Hats off to the teams. They've done a great job in the past years in Gulf of America in decommissioning those assets, and we just started decommissioning this year in the North Sea, and that'll continue for years to come. When you look at what we've done on the balance sheet, you can see from our maturity profile We've got less than $200 million due in the next nine years, and that gives us flexibility not only from a shareholder return and funding exploration and other items, but also allows us flexibility to flex up or down based on commodity cycles for how we decommission those assets, with that being really the only liability we have to manage. This year, it's pretty close to $300 million. would expect the same next year. And dollars in that zip code are going to be very manageable for us as we're continuing to execute on those plans. When you look at our leverage stats, we talk a lot about debt to EBITDA. At the end of this year, we're looking at close to 0.4 times. But even when you include that liability at the end of this year, it's close to three quarters turn leverage. And that is significantly different in the past here at Apache. And so we think we're well-positioned. We're focused on lowering total liabilities, including the ARO. Those are long-term. The team's doing a good job of de-risking that. And total debt coming down definitely helps, too.
Doug Leggett
Analyst, Wolf Research
Great opportunity to clean it up. I appreciate the answers, guys. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from John Freeman with Raymond James. Your line is open.
John Freeman
Analyst, Raymond James
Yeah, thank you. Y'all currently got four rigs running in middle and one in Delaware. John, you mentioned that, you know, the plan is for Delaware activity to increase next year. So I assume we should take that sixth rig that gets added and assume that goes to the Delaware next year. So kind of a 4-2 kind of split next year in the Permian?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
You're going to see us, John, like we said, go add back. We've been fortunate this year that due to the heavy till count in the back half of 25 in the ducks, we were able to get down to four rigs this year. Next year, we will be adding back in. This year, we were kind of in the 85-15% ratio of Midland to Delaware. Longer term, it's more 60-40. but you'll see us probably more on the two-thirds, one-third but we'll give you more specifics in February. Steve, anything you want to add?
Steve Riney
President
Yeah, just to be clear right now, we have three rigs running in Midland, one running in Delaware and right around the beginning of the turn of the year from 26 to 27, we'll be adding two more rigs. But as John said, it's 85-15 for the current year and over the The next few years we'll be migrating to what is reflected in our economic inventory that we talked about in February, which is 60% Midland Basin, 40% Delaware Basin. We'll eventually get to that type of a ratio.
John Freeman
Analyst, Raymond James
Got it. Thanks for that clarification. And then just following up, Ben, on your comments on the balance sheet, obviously, and many more. Thank you. I'm just trying to think about when you think net debt target, should we just assume that maybe in the near term that outside of the 29 that a lot of it's just building cash or just sort of how to think about that net debt target?
Ben Rodgers
Chief Financial Officer
Sure. So, stepping back just on the target itself. In August of last year, we outlined the $3 billion and we said, you know, strip pricing, we'd expect to achieve that in three to four years. And obviously over the last 18 months, we've experienced higher than strip pricing and we're able to achieve that milestone here likely by the end of this year. So when you look at this new $2 billion target, Similar timing, you know, at mid-cycle pricing, it's likely by the end of the decade. And if higher prices play out, then again, we could achieve that in a much shorter time period. So, you know, we'll continue to be opportunistic, John, as we look at the debt stack. You know, it's a pretty strong benefit that we have that $2.8 billion of debt is past the 2040 timeframe. There are some other 2030 bonds that we could potentially go after. A lot of that longer-dated debt, just given the current interest rate environment, is trading below par, so you get a little bit additional deleveraging, but definitely recognize that that's also a benefit to have 17 years average maturity there. So we'll be balanced and thoughtful on that. Obviously, for our shareholders, it doesn't make a lot of sense to sit on hundreds of millions of dollars of cash for a long period of time. It's meant to be a guiding star as we continue to develop our assets, continue to explore and return capital shareholders. So we'll be balanced. We've done a lot of cleanup on the balance sheet so far and it's really just meant to be a guiding star for us as we continue in the next few years and from an actual what bonds we go after. We'll be very thoughtful about that as we think about maturities and refinancing risk, etc.
John Freeman
Analyst, Raymond James
Great. Thanks, guys. Appreciate it.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you, John. Thank you. Our next question comes from Arun Javram with JPMorgan Securities. Your line is open.
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities
Yeah. Good morning, gentlemen. I wanted to see, John, if you could elaborate a little bit more on your Suriname exploration plans for 2027, you know, with Total, maybe elaborate on what you plan to do with the drill bit outside of Grand Margu.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Sure. You know, Suriname, if you go back to when we announced the Crab Dagu appraisal wells at the time that, you know, I said that those Crab Dagu wells did more than just appraise Crab Dagu. They actually DeRist, an entire exploration fairway, and tied it back to our seismic. You'll see in our supplement, you know, slide 19, we put out a map. It's actually a map that Total's also used and put out. We've outlined kind of four wells over the next two years that we'll start back with. They are very similar to what we've done at Crab Dago and Sapa Cara, so we're very excited about them. I do believe them, DeRist. I'll also point out that they will be wells that are drilled within the current development area, so they will be cost recoverable under the existing project. But most importantly, they provide the potential at a minimum to extend the plateau, but we also believe you move on these early because you want to understand the materiality and the potential for possible additional infrastructure. A second boat or possibly even the ability, we're in water depths where you could set some fixed structures and get creative on what you might be able to do with the infrastructure. So I think it's important that you get after them early because it gives you some clues on what you might be able to do with it versus if they were only going to be plateau extenders and you'd be more inclined to drill them later in the life cycle. But we're very, very excited. It's something that is relatively de-risked. and it's something that both us and our partner are excited to get after because they're definitely going to add more resource.
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities
Got it. And I'll stay with the exploration theme. I know you and your partner ENI in Uruguay have contracted a deep water floater to drill that well with Noble in the fourth quarter. Could you talk a little bit about the prospect that you plan to drill for CUBE next year, and maybe a little bit more around your thoughts around exploration in Uruguay.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, and yes, Arun, we have entered into a contract with Noble for the Blackhawk. It's a block now that we'll hold 60%, and an E&I will hold 40%. They're going to cover most of the well costs, and I've got Tracey here, so I'll let Tracey high-level Talk about kind of what we're going after with ENI in our off six block in Uruguay.
Tracey Henderson
Executive Vice President of Exploration
Sure, John. It is a basically deep water depositional system in the Cretaceous that's worked in multiple places around the Cretaceous margin on the Atlantic margins, most notably Namibia, which is our analog for this and the conjugate margin. So it is a really a petroleum systems test on the Latin American side for what has worked on the African margin. The prospect itself, as I said, is very much like a lot of the deepwater cretaceous turbidite depositional systems that we've seen that have worked in large scale in other parts around the circumatlantic. So big well, but we are excited to get it down and very happy to have E&I in as a partner.
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities
Great. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Neil Dingman with William Blair. Your line is open.
Neil Dingmann
Analyst, William Blair
John, thanks for the time. John, my first question is on, for maybe you or Steve, on the gas trading specifically. Can you speak to what we might expect next year with what I would call, you know, your three buckets there, which are near the contract and the FT, given certainly what looks like to be a volatile commodity market?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Yes, Neil, I'll have Ben jump in on this one.
Ben Rodgers
Chief Financial Officer
Sure. So, yeah, it's strip pricing from last week, which is which we do for every earnings. We said it the week before. At strip pricing, as we look for next year across LNG, you know, Waha, NYMEX, and Houston Ship Channel, that gas trading portfolio is going to generate about $950 million of pre-tax cash flow. You know, current prices, they continue to move around. I'd say it's probably in the mid to high eights now. So still a significant contributor there. What you see is this year, obviously, a lot coming from the pipelines, and then LNG, they were more balanced, just kind of given how the curve is next year. The Permian FT portion has shrunk, and that's expected. You've seen a lot of new pipelines not only be FID'd recently, but also coming on this year, and that's going to continue into early next year. So you're seeing Waha strengthen, but The Gulf Coast prices are still pretty low compared to global LNG prices, so still expect that to continue next year, just given some of the global infrastructure damage that's done through the conflict in the Middle East. So just stepping back, it's been a Very, very differentiated source of cash flow for us. If you look through this year alone, that business has generated $2.5 billion. So you look at adding next year, you're going to be over $3 billion from that book of business for us. So it's differentiated. It goes into our shareholder returns, and we expect that to continue for many years.
Neil Dingmann
Analyst, William Blair
Perfect. And then my second question, just on Egypt, John, because, you know, given going on the Middle East, it appears, you know, you've been spared and it doesn't seem like there's been any issues there. So, again, I guess first question, you know, do you think that will continue to be the case? And then, you know, secondly, just maybe talk about work over activity there. It seems like you've been able to keep production very stable, just if you could address that.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
No, Neil, two good questions. I would say first in Egypt, you know, they've been a long-term competitor Peacemaker over there and have done a really good job in difficult time periods. We've seen that over the last couple of years, starting with Gaza, now what's happening here, and now things have moved into the Red Sea. But Egypt's done a great job. We continue to be in very, very close contact with both the Egyptian government and the U.S. Embassy. And obviously, our highest priority is the safety and well-being of our employees over there. but things continue to be, you know, something we keep a close eye on but Egypt's done a really, really admirable job, you know, thus far and I would expect that to continue but it's something we watch very, very closely. Steve, anything you want to comment on the workovers?
Steve Riney
President
Yeah, you know, you might remember a few years ago we had an issue with some mounting workover backlog in Egypt and we ended up with about 20 workover rigs running In Egypt back then, since that time, we've concentrated quite a bit of activity around increasing work over rig efficiency and making sure that we're getting after the work over opportunities as quickly as possible. Just recently, we're currently running 23% more jobs per work over rig than we have in the recent past. We've gotten really quite good at this. At any point in time, we'll be running today between 15 and 20 work over rigs in Egypt. That backlog has been worked down to a pretty small number now. Work over activity in Egypt is a really important part of what we call base resilience, which is just keeping the base running as efficiently and as effectively as possible.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you all. The last thing I'll add. I'll add on Egypt there, Neil, is, you know, we got current last September on our PDRs, and they've done a really good job of staying current. And so, you know, it's been a real good situation. We've been bringing on gas, which has been helping them. You know, they're importing and buying LNG, and so that's been a big deal. And then, of course, they got current with the rest of the industry in June of this year. So, you know, I really applaud them for doing a really, really good job in a difficult time period.
Neil Dingmann
Analyst, William Blair
Great point. Thanks again, John.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Chris Baker with Evercore ISI. Your line is open.
Chris Baker
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Hey, guys. Good morning. I wanted to follow up on the 27 outlook. I think, Ben, you mentioned that further efficiency gains are not part of the initial look that you all have outlined today. I'm just curious to the extent that you do see some of those efficiency gains continue and offset some of the cost pressures, we're likely to see that show up in terms of lower capital or perhaps higher volumes.
Ben Rodgers
Chief Financial Officer
Sure. Yeah, it's just, you know, we've made so much progress over the past two years across the company in all three buckets that we've talked about on controllable spend with Capital, LOE, and GNA. On the capital side, a lot of that progress has been in the Permian and concentrated this year in the Midland Basin and the ability to park rigs over DSUs and have them just really work drives lower drilling days and a lot of different efficiencies and that's even beyond and other development design and other changes that the team has implemented. And we've done all of that with higher production. So hats off to the team there. The main takeaway is, as John and Steve alluded to earlier, higher increase in the Delaware basin. We've made progress on certain wells there, but we just don't have as many at-bats in the Delaware and that'll increase next year. And we'll see how many of those learnings from the Midland basin can be carried over to the Delaware basin from an efficiency standpoint. on both drilling and completions, and even through to equipping and facilities. So we think that there's upside there. We didn't include that right now. Just want to make sure that we get over there and get some wells down in the Delaware, and we'll update folks as we continue throughout next year.
Chris Baker
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Great, thanks. And then just as a follow-up, you mentioned some projects around driving continued cost savings in LOV. I'm just curious. in terms of any split you can offer between what you've locked in with projects this year versus new initiatives that could potentially show up as further benefits for 2027.
Steve Riney
President
Yeah, Chris, this is Steve. So we did announce at the beginning of the year we had about $100 million of what we call LOE projects, and that probably doesn't do justice to the projects because they also include benefits in reliability and runtime and uptime. So it actually shows up both in LOE reduction, but also in production efficiency and production resilience, as we call it. That $100 million was being spent primarily in the Permian Basin. It's primarily around things like ESP conversion to gas lift, more efficient gas treatment primarily through larger scale gas treatment and facility consolidation type of projects. So these are brownfield types of projects. That $100 million worth of projects we said would save about $40 million of LOE on a run rate basis. We're delivering those projects on time and as expected in terms of the anticipated results. and there will be more of those projects. The budget for 2027 does include some, not as much as 100 million, but a meaningful amount of projects. And I would say that that's still a preliminary budget for 2027. There are things that we can do even beyond 2027 on the facility side. Most of the type of stuff, as you can imagine, would be done in front of the drilling rigs. And so we're not gonna go out and do work that we don't need to do because we're not drilling in a certain area.
Chris Baker
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Great. Makes sense. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Michael Ciala with Stevens. Your line is open.
Michael Ciala
Analyst, Stevens
Good morning. I wanted to ask about the debt. You're getting your net debt down to your target of $3 billion. Ben, you mentioned the low leverage. Can you talk about the decision to lower that net debt target further to $2 billion rather than changing your pre-cash flow framework?
Ben Rodgers
Chief Financial Officer
Sure. We're thoughtful across our capital returns and our debt balance. One of the things that we take into consideration is obviously funding our exploration program, but We've got a differentiated free cash flow inflection coming from Graham Morgan in 28, and that continues through the end of the decade. And we look at that and understand we need to continue to de-lever the balance sheet so that we can be more opportunistic in debt funding potential growth opportunities and believe that Instead of being defensive on our debt balance now, we can be more on the offensive as opportunities arise, and that will be accretive to shareholders over the long term. So we take that into consideration, but just realize we need to continue to pay down debt as we have the different priorities that we're managing across development capital, exploration capital, continuing to get after our decommissioning assets. and lower debt is going to really just make Apache stronger over the long term and give us a lot of options as we look even beyond 2028 with additional free cash flow from Grand Morgue. So set us up well. We didn't want to plant a flag and say we're done. So continued work there, but it's not going to come at the cost of anything else across the priorities that the company has.
Michael Ciala
Analyst, Stevens
Makes sense. Appreciate that, Ben. I wanted to follow up on Alaska. Looking at the appraisal well you have planned for Sockeye, it strikes me that it's a pretty good distance away from the discovery well. I think like eight miles. That seems like a pretty large step out. And you mentioned that Chinook is potentially larger than Sockeye. So I'm just thinking about the The resource here, I don't want to pin you down on any number, but it looks like obviously a large potential resource and wondering how you're thinking longer term if you do have success here with the 50% working interest. Are you comfortable maintaining that or would you look to bring in a partner like you did in Cernan?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, Mike, I mean that, you know, when we announced the sockeye discovery, we said it was a A stratigraphic feature that was 25,000 to 30,000 acres. Clearly, we're stepping out a pretty good distance from that with Hungry Horse. I think it's over six miles as a crow flies. It's something we're very excited about. It looks fantastic. We did reprocess the seismic data last year. One thing we did learn is that we did not drill sockeye initially in the thickest part. That's something that the seismics told us. So we are anxious to appraise it with Hungry Horse. It is a pretty big step out appraisal well. And then we do have a very large prospect in Chinook that we're also very excited about. There's tremendous resource up here. We think 50% is a good starting point for us today. With the Savant acquisition that we have on cue, it kind of brings us some starter kit things that we can work with, a pipeline, a big gravel pad, there's a dock, there's a runway, a lot of things and we're going to have a lot of flexibility but you know we want to get these two wells down and come back after that but I think we like having the 50% where we sit today is a good place for us to be.
Arun Jayaram
Analyst, JPMorgan Securities
Very good, thanks John.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
You bet.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Charles Mead with Johnson Rice. Your line is open.
Charles Mead
Analyst, Johnson Rice
Good morning, John, to you and your whole team there. Tracey, I want to start by saying circumatlantic, that's a new word for me, but I think I understand what it means. John, if I could ask you to go back to the earlier question around the exploration in Suriname. If I understood you correctly, I think what I infer from that is that these other prospects that you and Total Plan are doing are similar in maybe similar age and similar settings to Crab Dagu as opposed to a different or new kind of play type. And I'm wondering if I'm understanding that correctly and then also, All other things being equal, which of course they're not, but it looks like the most interesting one to drill would be that one to the west of Sapa Car, where it looks like you could test two different prospects with one wellbore. But I wonder if you could just comment on my interpretation there.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
I mean, I'd say it is exactly similar reservoirs, right? Same play, same age rock. Actually, while Sapakara is really one primary zone, Crab Dagu actually has multiple targets, and we've been clear on that. We do see multiple targets to the west there of Sapakara. But, you know, as I've said, these are very, very similar, you know, to what we already understand and are part of the development plan. and 4 Grand Morgue. So anything you want to add, Tracey?
Tracey Henderson
Executive Vice President of Exploration
No, I think, John, that's spot on. We do see, as John mentioned, like in Crab Dagu, multiple locations where we've got more than one zone that's hydrocarbon bearing. And so I don't think that's going to be uncommon as we continue to drill these out.
Charles Mead
Analyst, Johnson Rice
Great. That's it for me. Thank you.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Charles.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Bob Brackett with Bernstein Research. Your line is open.
Bob Brackett
Analyst, Bernstein Research
Good morning and staying with the theme of Suriname. You mentioned interestingly on the Q&A that the prospects you're targeting are ring-fenced within the development license. Does that mean that if you did pursue a second development, that that development could access the cost oil pool from the existing operations and therefore be fairly capital efficient?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Bob, I'll just say they're inside the existing bucket, right? So yes, I mean, but
Bob Brackett
Analyst, Bernstein Research
Okay, interesting. The other question I might have is, typically in a PSC, such as this one, there's an exploration phase, and you'll relinquish parts of the block that you deem non-perspective over time. And so I'm thinking back to Bon Boni, for example. When you chose these prospects, have you relinquished other parts of the block that you've deemed non-perspective, or is there a chance to go out and look at a different system or a play idea?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
I mean, at this point, we have not Relinquished any of 58. In 53, we relinquished everything except for the little corner that we've got mapped there around Baja. But we've still got some time and some work to do with Stats Olie in terms of Block 58. I think we'll be able to keep a big piece of this for quite a while. But there are some things in the future where we do have procedures in place that we have to work through with Stats Olie.
Bob Brackett
Analyst, Bernstein Research
Thank you.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
You bet. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from Leo Mariani with Roth. Your line is open.
Leo Mariani
Analyst, Roth
I wanted to follow up quickly here on Alaska. Obviously you've got some wells drilling over the winter. Just wanted to kind of get a sense of like is there sort of a minimum success case in terms of maybe a couple hundred barrel in barrels or something like that that you need to kind of be comfortable with To proceed with development, anything you can kind of do to help us out would be great there.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, Leo, it's a great question. I'll just say it's early. You know, we announced the discovery well, the two wells, but Sockeye, we have not come back and started talking about, you know, what we would need in an FID case or anything at, you know, at that point at this time. So we want to praise Sockeye first, get Chinook down. and then when we're ready to come back and talk about some things we can you know we can give more color and more detail there.
Leo Mariani
Analyst, Roth
Okay and then just in the in the US obviously you're doing a little bit more shifting of activity you know towards the Delaware it sounds like next year just trying to get a sense is some of that just driven by the fact that you've had such strong gains on efficiency in the Midland that you're believe you can probably replicate some of that in the Delaware which maybe makes it you know kind of more competitive and then Secondly, do you still think there's kind of wood to chop on efficiency gains overall in the Permian?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
I mean, I think there's definitely wood to chop. We keep staying after it. I think it's more just the function of our portfolio and the prospectivity over time. You know, what we've tried to do is efficiently develop resource. We've made great progress in the Midland. We've also made good progress in the Delaware. But when you just look at our inventory longer term, you know, post-Cal and we picked up a lot of potential. We've got a lot of shallow zones. A lot that's in our technical inventory bucket to be moved over. And so our natural progression with what our acreage footprint today is would be more of a 60-40 split. And you just see us shifting slightly to that. So it's just kind of a natural progression of our program. But definitely see, as Ben outlined well, we see room for more efficiencies in the in the Delaware like we've been able to extract in the Midland. Okay, thanks.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Noah Hugness with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.
Noah Hugness
Analyst, Wells Fargo
Morning. I just have one quick one here. And it was on your comment there, John, about the de-risking some of the technical upside locations in the Permian. When we're thinking about your program next year and in a success case, how could we think about the amount of inventory that you guys could de-risk in year 27 program?
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, no, I mean, we came out in February with a good look at both our what we'll call our development inventory and then our technical locations. At some point, we'll come out with another refresh of that. is that something we're constantly working on? We're always testing things. We have locations as we're consuming inventory in a year. We're also testing things and moving things over. And we'll come back at some point and give an update and a fresh look on that. But we are constantly appraising and industry is also appraising. We have a lot of HPP acreage. So there is a progression there that has taken place this year. There's more taking place now, and we'll come back and update that. We'll figure out the appropriate cadence, but we rolled that all out in February of earlier this year.
Noah Hugness
Analyst, Wells Fargo
Thanks for the call.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. This concludes the question and answer session. I'd like to turn the call back over to John Christmann, CEO, for closing remarks.
John Christmann
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you. In closing, I will leave you with the following thoughts. First, we continue to deliver strong operational and financial performance, supporting substantial shareholder returns and debt reduction in 2026. Second, improving capital efficiency and ongoing cost savings are enhancing the long-term durability of our core assets in the Permian and Egypt. Lastly, with Grand Morgue less than two years from startup, We have a clear path to a step change in production and free cash flow through the end of the decade and beyond. Combined with our world class exploration portfolio, we are very well positioned to deliver differentiated long term shareholder value. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Good day.