BMI Badger Meter, Inc.

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Badger Meter, Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Dan Weltzien
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Thank you for taking the Badger Meter 3rd Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. I'm here today with Ken Bockhorst, our Chairman, President, and Chief Executive Officer, and Bob Rocklage, our Executive Vice President of North America Municipal Utility. This morning, we posted the earnings release and related slide presentation on our website. As a reminder, any forward-looking statements made on this call are subject to various risks and uncertainties, the most important of which are outlined in our news release and SEC filings. On today's call, we may refer to certain non-GAAP financial metrics, including base results, which exclude the impact of UDLive acquired May 1, 2026. Our release and earnings presentation provide a reconciliation between the most directly comparable GAAP measure and any non-GAAP financial measures discussed. With that, I'll turn the call over to Ken.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Dan, and good morning. We were pleased with the sales and operating profit performance in the quarter. Excluding the solid revenue contribution of the UDLive acquisition, third quarter base sales increased 5% sequentially from the second quarter. This was largely in line with our expectations and the result of the ongoing ramp of previously disclosed awarded projects and solid underlying market demand in the quarter. As noted in the release, we continue to anticipate both sequential and year-over-year improvement in revenue in the fourth quarter and and expect to sustain this growth momentum into 2027, which I'll discuss further in the outlook. The team executed well on the profitability front as we continued operating cost management actions to mitigate the uneven 2026 sales cadence, while also addressing ongoing material cost pressures related to broad electronic supply chain dynamics as we described last quarter. I'll turn the call over to Dan to walk through the specifics of the quarter and then Bob will provide an update on commercial activity including our formal launch of One Network. I'll then come back to cover the outlook and take your questions. Go ahead, Dan.
Dan Weltzien
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Ken. Turning to slide three, total sales in Q3 were $235.9 million. in line with the third quarter of 2025. Excluding the benefit of UD Live sales of $5.6 million, base sales were down 2% year-over-year. Sequentially, base sales were 5% higher than the second quarter levels with a number of the previously disclosed awarded projects ramping, including another quarter of process shipments. Utility water sales were flat year-over-year and excluding the acquisition were down 3%, reflecting the same project pacing dynamics mentioned earlier. Lower AMI-related product sales were partially offset by higher software revenue. It is important to note that base utility sales improved 5% sequentially. Sales of the flow instrumentation product line were up 2% year-over-year against the prior year's most difficult comparison as we experienced broad-based water application demand. We continue to see increasing demand in data center applications for our flow instrumentation products albeit from a relatively small revenue base. We were pleased with operating profitability this quarter, largely the result of higher sales, ongoing structural mixed benefit to gross margins, and effective price-cost management. On a year-over-year basis, operating earnings increased 4%, with margins up 60 basis points to 20.2%. Base operating profit margins, excluding UDLive, were 20.9%, up 130 basis points from last year's third quarter. Thank you for joining us. We have thus far been able to adequately mitigate these impacts. However, the challenges posed by these pressures have not abated. Turning to selling, engineering, and administrative expenses, the third quarter's $51.1 million was $1.3 million higher year over year, including $2.3 million from the addition of UD Live, inclusive of the intangible asset amortization. This was partially offset by lower incentive compensation and the benefit of appropriate cost controls. As a reminder, our preliminary expectation for UDLive intangible asset amortization is approximately $5 million annually. The effective income tax rate in the quarter was 25.1% compared to 26.1% last year. Finally, diluted earnings per share were $1.24, an increase of 4% from $1.19 in the prior year period. Thank you for joining us. in excess of 100% of net earnings. In the third quarter of 2026, we repurchased 423,000 shares for a total of approximately $55 million and have roughly $35 million remaining on our current share repurchase authorization. With that, I'll turn the call over to Bob.
Bob Rocklage
Executive Vice President of North America Municipal Utility
Thanks, Dan. A few weeks ago, we had the opportunity to connect with customers, engineering consulting firms, and investors at WEFTEC in New Orleans. During the show, we formally launched One Network, our real-time network monitoring and analysis platform for water and wastewater utilities. For those that attended our Investor Day back in May of this year, you heard an early preview of One Network. In short, One Network brings AMI, network monitoring, and water quality data together in one platform, enabling customers to identify issues sooner, coordinate responses faster, Thank you for joining us. Water quality changes and non-revenue water spikes. This saves utilities both time and money while increasing their capability to respond faster and act with purpose. WEFTEC visitors were able to view one network demonstrations, and customer and consultant interest was high. It serves as another example of our competitive differentiation through innovation, portfolio constructions, and the benefits derived by customers from our sole focus on value-driven water technology. Thank you so much for joining us. Outcomes and funding sources, as well as gain insight and share feedback on our future product and software plans. It is clear from talking to customers that utility needs for and interest in our tailorable solutions to meet their increasing challenges remains high, and we are well positioned to capitalize on these opportunities to improve customer outcomes. With that, I'll turn the call back to Ken.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Bob. Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, I'll reiterate here what we said in the release, which is consistent with our discussions over the past few quarters. We continue to anticipate further ramping of awarded utility projects, noting, as always, the inherent unevenness typical of the business. We expect both year-over-year and sequential quarterly base sales growth in the fourth quarter of 2026, despite fewer total operating days given the holidays, which is a standard annual dynamic. While I won't delve into 2027 specifics at this point, I will note that our conviction in sustaining this growth momentum into 2027 as well as the long-term growth profile for Badger Meter remains intact as we continue to manage usual quarter-to-quarter dynamics. We remain committed to the strategic formula that has driven our prolonged success, focusing on our customers, offering innovative and differentiated technologies, and driving operational excellence. Thank you for joining us. and we repurchased $55 million of our outstanding shares, bringing the trailing four quarters to over $130 million. In summary, I remain optimistic about our team's ability to deliver value creation opportunities for our customers and shareholders alike. With that operator, please open the line for questions.
Conference Operator
Operator
We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Nathan Jones with Stiefel. Nathan, your line is now open.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Good morning, everyone.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Morning, Nathan.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
I guess, Ken, I'm going to start off with the 4Q guidance. You guys have talked about full year revenue being flat-ish. The 4Q guide being, you know, sequentially and year over year better would be a pretty wide range to get into something that would be flat-ish. So I'm hoping you can put a finer point on what you think 4Q revenue is likely to be and what's the upper and lower bound for you on flat-ish?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Nathan. When we put that term out there earlier in the year, you'll recall that at Investor Day when we were asked on Flattish, I called out, don't expect upside. On a year-over-year basis, I was pretty vocal on the best case would be flat year-over-year. The way things have played out, we're really proud of where we're headed going into Q4, looking at year-over-year growth. We said we'd exit the year with momentum. We're doing that. When we talk about modest growth in the quarter, that keeps in mind the 5% fewer workdays in the quarter, but we expect to be up. So if you needed to peg me on something at this point, I would say that I would expect modest growth in the quarter sequentially and perhaps low single digits on a year over year, full year basis.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Okay, that's helpful. Thank you. I guess my follow up questions on gross margins, which were much better than I expected them to be in the quarter, given some of the pressures that you were facing from lower gross margins on some of the projects that are ramping up. Obviously, there's inflation that's passing through. Maybe you can just talk a little bit about the dynamics there, what led to those gross margins being as strong as they were and how you're thinking about those in the fourth quarter and as we head into next year. Thanks.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, sure. So first thing I want to clarify, I'm sure you understood what I meant, but I didn't say the word down. So we expect to be down year over year low single digits, just to be clear. Up low single digits year over year.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Full year versus full year.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Full year, down low single digits. Up low single digits.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Full year, down low single digits, full Q, up low single digits, or was that not what you said?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
I'm not providing a digits on the up for Q4.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Okay.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Modestly up.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Down low single digits, full year. Got it.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Correct. Got it. Perfect. Now, when it comes to margins, yeah, sure thing. When it comes to margins, I'll just reiterate what we've said for several years now. We have this really positive structural mix that regardless of operating conditions, it does tend to get incrementally better every year when we have really nice growth in software that's higher margin. Beyond the meter is all higher margin. So the structural mix remains greatly intact, which helps us with a really strong floor on margins. And then also our hallmark, I think, for the last five or six years is when challenged, we've performed in a really operationally excellent way. So and so on.
Dan Weltzien
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
All the other, you know, things that I've called out it. All the other things I've called out in prior quarters are the same drivers that we're paying attention to, both on the positive side from the structural mix perspective, but also on the downside risk perspective from turnkey mix and electronic component availability and supply and cost. So it's really all of the same drivers. It's just how does that particular quarter play out?
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
No one time is like power free funds or anything in the quarter.
Dan Weltzien
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Nothing meaningful.
Nathan Jones
Analyst at Stiefel Financial
Great. Thank you.
Conference Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Quinn Fredrickson with Baird. Your line is now open.
Quinn Fredrickson
Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co.
Hey, good morning, everyone. Recognize you have these larger AMI projects kicking off, but the release mentioned solid underlying demand trends in the third quarter. I know you don't break it out, but even qualitatively, does the underlying day-to-day replacement business feel like it's getting a little healthier or more normal? Just any commentary there?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, just if we circle back to how we talked about this in Q1, we were pointing out that, you know, on that shorter visibility window, you know, there is inherent unevenness, can be up, can be down. And certainly we were surprised to how far down in Q1. But Qs 2 and 3 have been perfectly normal. So obviously to get to the result that we did, Q2 was better than Q1, Q3 was better than Q1. So Structurally, demand feels good to us, and while Q1 was down, the year has really been pretty normal other than that one outlier.
Quinn Fredrickson
Analyst at Robert W. Baird & Co.
Great. Thanks, Ken. Second, just on PRASA, there's been some headlines about drought and water supply pressures in Puerto Rico. Has the urgency around the AMI rollout changed at all with that, or do Does that create any more urgency to create a faster deployment schedule? Just any commentary on how that impacts the project there?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so it wouldn't be appropriate for me to comment on their ability or desire to go faster or not. The challenges you read about are certainly real, and that's why they're looking to adopt our AMI system. What I can tell you is, you know, we've begun shipping product this year. We had mentioned that we began in Q2 and Q3 because they're ramping up to get started with installations. They've hired the installation contractors. They're in planning and they're expecting to start installations in Q4. Yeah, I think ideally if they could go faster, they'd love to. But, you know, the way these projects are, I should probably point out that just because the projects are Thank you.
Conference Operator
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Jeff Reeve with RBC Capital Markets. Jeff, your line is now open.
Jeff Reeve
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets
Thank you. Good morning. So, given the nine projects ramping, UV Live annualizing mid-year next year and going to be easier comps across all four quarters, is it fair to expect a return to high single-digit organics next year, or could that ramp dynamic actually push you above that range?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Thank you for joining us. But to peg the year is probably not great at the moment, but we feel good about it.
Jeff Reeve
Analyst at RBC Capital Markets
Fair enough. And then last quarter, you flagged increasing electronic component costs and availability pressures tied to AI and data center demand. Have those pressures escalated further, and have you needed to take any incremental pricing or sourcing actions?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so they have escalated. So we do continue to see some price escalation. We do continue to see availability challenges. Again, I want to point out our team has been excellent this time and the last time we faced a similar situation. We understand the challenge in front of us. Our team is working hard on it. Fortunately for us, our portfolio is highly valued by our customers. They understand what we do for them and we're able to I extract the value that we deserve. I'd rather talk about that than pricing, but yes, we can balance price-cost dynamics pretty effectively. Got it. Thanks.
Conference Operator
Operator
The next question comes from the line of James Coe with Jefferies. James, your line is now open.
James Coe
Analyst at Jefferies
Good morning. Thanks for taking questions here. Just one quick clarification. Question. When you say low single-digit decline for the full year, is that organic or inclusive of UDLive here? That is organic.
Michael Fairbanks
Analyst at JPMorgan
Awesome.
James Coe
Analyst at Jefferies
Yeah, thanks for that. And I guess, yeah, can we talk about like the non-metering businesses like UDLive and SmartCover, how they're doing, whether those are growing like above the company average and whether those are trending in line with your deal case?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so as you know, those are also in our utility bucket that we talk about more broadly. UD Live is still very public. We're really excited about the opportunities as we were when we acquired both of these companies. It's an absolute need that every utility customer deals with. It's an innovative product. We've got the right sales channels, so feel good about the progress on UD Live. Feel equally as good about Smart Cover, and that will continue to be part of this high-digit growth story that we talk about for years to come.
James Coe
Analyst at Jefferies
Awesome. Thanks so much. Sure.
Conference Operator
Operator
The next question comes from the line of Scott Graham with Seaport. Scott, your line is now open.
Scott Graham
Analyst at Seaport Global Securities
Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I have two questions for you. First is, you know, I know you talked about underlying demand in a previous question. I'm just wondering, the other two of the big three, so to speak, are talking about the category having been fairly sluggish all year. And it's hard to say if they're parsing out their software businesses, but certainly the metering units seems to be an issue this year. Could you talk about that a little bit, you know, kind of why that weakness has, you know, kind of pervaded all year and perhaps what you're thinking that the category looks like in units, meter units next year?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so that's a great question. So I, you know, Thank you for having me. Thank you for joining us. and many more.
Scott Graham
Analyst at Seaport Global Securities
a lot in the last couple of years, you know, with supply chain getting better. I'm just wondering, you know, you have a little bit more visibility now on these projects, which are now starting to ship. I was just sort of hoping if you can just tell us that the gross margin backlog, how much of that is linked to CPI and, you know, for the rest of it, How are you handling price increases?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
I would just reiterate that even though we've been operating at the higher end, just given all the mixed things that can happen and some of the lack of visibility on short term, as you pointed out, we feel really good about our ability to operate within the 39% to 42% gross margin range that we talked about. We feel great as we resume growth, being able to get back to that really good leverage of SEA that we've talked about before. So all in, it feels manageable to us to stay within the margin ranges that we've consistently communicated.
Scott Graham
Analyst at Seaport Global Securities
Thank you, Ken.
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Sure.
Conference Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of William Griffin with Barclays. William, your line is now open.
William Griffin
Analyst at Barclays
Thanks very much. I appreciate the time and the opportunity here. Apologies to come back to the margin question again, but your commentary last quarter when you called out some of the supply chain cost pressures, it felt to me like maybe you were trying to signal something. And then here with third quarter result, clearly margin was quite good at the high end of your long-term target range. Are you trying to signal something in terms of how we should expect margin to trend in the fourth quarter or even into next year as some of these larger projects start to ramp? And perhaps, I don't know if there's any notable differences in your contract structures we should be aware of there.
Dan Weltzien
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, so when I signal those things, I'm trying to signal the whole of all of the components that go into our gross margin picture. And again, I always remind people structural mix is the biggest driver. and so when we call out in the quarter what's happening with ultrasonic meter mix and what's happening with software mix maybe that's masking some of what's happening on the electronic side but we're also managing that dynamic as well and so me calling that out as a particular risk isn't trying to in the next quarter tell you what's going to happen it's just trying to show you that there's multiple levers that contribute to what our margin performance is in any given quarter or month quarter or year and, you know, at the time where we are right now, we started to talk about that pressure here, you know, in the second quarter and as of the end of the third quarter, I would say the challenges still exist. We've been able to manage it. We feel over the long term, we'll be able to continue to manage it. But quarter to quarter, there can be, you know, leading and lagging impacts of that.
William Griffin
Analyst at Barclays
Appreciate that color. And then maybe a bit of a long shot here. Are you able to share how much PRASA contributed in the third quarter to Topline?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
No, we're not going to get into that. I think the other thing, William, that's important to notice, too, is throughout the year, we have won other projects, too. The year has gone on and been normal. So I know there's a lot of focus on PRASA, and rightfully so, because it's very large. But, you know, the year has played out really well and really, I guess, normalized for us. So we're not going to get into quarter by quarter any project on what it is, but we're happy that we've seen these projects beginning to start. And what that does is quarter to quarter can be uneven, but How we look at the business over the five-year horizon, we feel fantastic that these are all now moving to in-flight status.
William Griffin
Analyst at Barclays
All right, that's all for me. Thanks for the time. Sure.
Conference Operator
Operator
The next question comes from Michael Fairbanks with JP Morgan. Your line is now open.
Michael Fairbanks
Analyst at JPMorgan
Hey, good morning. On one of those last points you made, Ken, beyond the cohort of projects that you've talked about, extensively. How would you say the pipeline and awards or even backlog beyond that are trending compared to this time last year?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so throughout the past several years, when we look at the universe of utilities that are currently working with consultants to scope out doing metering projects, which are revenue based Later in our five-year horizon or the people that are currently in RFP that are going through the selection processes up to and including in-flight projects, that whole piece feels as robust as it has over the past several years.
Michael Fairbanks
Analyst at JPMorgan
Okay, great. And then, you know, we saw share buybacks accelerate this quarter. How are we thinking about capital allocation from here?
Ken Bockhorst
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Yes, our capital allocation priorities remain the same. So we're going to continue to invest in the business and extend our lead in R&D and innovation. We're going to continue to return cash to shareholders in 34 years of increased dividends. We're certainly in position to continue on that trend. And in terms of share buybacks, We still have $35 million on the authorization. Even before this period when we weren't buying shares, we've always had an authorization open. So I would imagine as long as we feel great about our superior position of being a cash generator, we'll be able to do that. And this year we also did a really exciting acquisition. So regardless of this being a pretty challenging year for us, we've been able to navigate through this, execute on all three of our important capital allocation priorities, and Thank you. You're welcome.
Conference Operator
Operator
We have now reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Dan Weltzien for closing remarks.
Dan Weltzien
Senior Vice President & Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Operator. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.