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Pathward Financial, Inc. Q4 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
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Conference Call Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to Pathward Financial's fourth quarter 2026 investor conference call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Following the prepared remarks, we will conduct a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Darby Schoenfeld, Senior Vice President, Chief of Staff and Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Darby Schoenfeld
Senior Vice President, Chief of Staff and Investor Relations
Thank you, Operator, and welcome. With me today are PathWord Financial CEO Brett Pharr and CFO Greg Sigrist, who will discuss our operating and financial results for the fourth quarter and full fiscal year of 2026, after which we will take your questions. Additional information, including the earnings release, the investor presentation that accompanies our prepared remarks, and supplemental slides, may be found on our website at pathwordfinancial.com. As a reminder, our comments may include forward-looking statements. Those statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual and anticipated results to differ. These statements speak only as of this date, and the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statement except as may be required by applicable law. Please refer to the cautionary language in the earnings release, investor presentation, and in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recent filings for additional information covering factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Additionally, today we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures on this conference call. References to non-GAAP measures are only provided to you to assist in understanding the company's results and performance. Additional information regarding these non-GAAP measures as well as reconciliations are included in the earnings release and the appendix of the investor presentation. Finally, all time periods referenced are fiscal quarters and fiscal years, and all comparisons are to the prior year period unless otherwise noted. Now let me turn the call over to Brett Pharr, our CEO.
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Darby, and good evening, everyone. Thank you for joining our earnings call. We're looking forward to sharing our updates today, but I'd like to start by taking a moment to reflect on an important milestone. This quarter marks five years since my first earnings call as CEO of Pathworks. Looking back, it's remarkable to reflect on everything the Pathwork team has accomplished together. We have navigated the challenges of COVID, rebranded the company as Pathwork, expanded our executive team, and strategically reshaped our balance sheet, all while evolving our business and strengthening our position as a trusted platform that enables our partners to thrive. Through each chapter, one thing has remained constant, and that's the dedication and commitment of our employees. Our success has always been rooted in our people. Every day, talented employees across Pathwork work with customers and businesses to enable financial availability, choice, and opportunity. Their unwavering commitment to true partnership is what has enabled us to adapt, execute, and continue delivering for all of our stakeholders. I'm very proud that we've continued to sustainably grow while staying true to our purpose of powering financial inclusion. That is not a coincidence. Our purpose continues to guide our strategy, and we believe that this diligent focus helps drive long-term value for our shareholders. And while I find tremendous value in times of reflection, I'm even more excited about what lies ahead. We have a strong foundation, a team that embodies our values and is committed to success, as well as a clear strategy to guide us forward. With that, let me spend a few minutes on our strategies. Then I'll provide a quick update on credit before turning the call over to Greg. Fiscal 2026 was another important year of execution for Pathwork. We successfully advanced the strategic priorities we set out to accomplish last year, and this was by no means a small feat. We had some major wins across each area, starting with maintaining an optimized balance sheet. Commercial finance growth combined with reductions in our lower yielding securities portfolio reflects our disciplined approach while remaining cognizant of our balance sheet capacity. We deployed capital where we believed it provided us with optionality or generated strong risk-adjusted returns. We made significant inroads in the small business administration loan market, moving up within the top 20 SBA 7A program lenders in the country. Next, we continue to make investments in technology, risk, and compliance. We believe these continued investments will allow our partners to deliver with confidence as they leverage our expertise, infrastructure, and collaborative support. The world is only moving faster, and we are proud to enable our partners by offering a broad suite of capabilities. Furthermore, we are very proud to have been recognized by a few different organizations throughout the year for our standout workforce and culture. We believe part of our success can be attributed to our Talent Anywhere approach. Through this talent strategy, we have been very successful in expanding our reach beyond local candidates as a remote-enabled employer and strengthening our ability to meet the evolving needs of our business. The last strategic priority is the client experience. We believe our partners see the value in Pathway's platform and our ability to grow alongside them. Last quarter, we announced that we had renewed our relationship with Claire, A company that has empowered workforce management and payroll platforms to offer early access to earned wages to employees at no cost to employers. This quarter, we are pleased to announce that we've renewed our contract with longstanding partner H&R Block, extending our relationship through mid-2030. H&R Block has been a leader in the tax preparation industry for more than 70 years with a deep commitment to their clients, associates, and community. We are excited to continue to support them. We still see significant opportunity in our pipeline with both new and existing partners to build on this momentum by expanding the products and capabilities we deliver. As we look ahead to fiscal 2027, our strategy will remain consistent. We believe the continuity in our strategy reflects the confidence that we have both in the direction of the business and the progress we have made throughout fiscal 2026. Our focus is now on continuing to execute against these areas and building momentum across the organization. Importantly, we believe our diversified mix of partners, products, and capabilities remains a key differentiator of Pathworth. We are not dependent on a single partner, industry, or market, which we believe delivers a resilient business model while providing multiple avenues for growth. Our broad suite of solutions allows us to create opportunities, deepen relationships, and deliver value. As a result, we believe we are well-positioned to capitalize on the opportunities in front of us. We continue to work through the renewable energy projects that we mentioned last quarter and still believe we have line of sight to bringing them to completion. While we made significant progress during the quarter, these things take time. We will continue to provide transparency and connection with these credit items. Additionally, we continue to believe that these events are not indicative of a broader systemic issue within the portfolio. Aside from credit, we are very pleased with the results of the year. Now I'd like to turn it over to Greg, who will take you through the details of our financials and fiscal year 2027 guidance.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Brett. We were pleased with the performance during the quarter as our core businesses delivered solid results. Starting with the balance sheet, our Treasury-led model continues to deliver with growth of nearly $6 million in net interest income from our commercial finance business. We also delivered double-digit percentage growth in non-interest income primarily due to an increase of almost $8 million in card and deposit fee income, the majority of which was driven by growth in the core payments business. Non-interest expense improved in the quarter as a result of disciplined expense management with lower legal and consulting expense. This is partially offset by building and software expense. Additionally, we will continue to make targeted investments in our people, processes, and technology to facilitate evolution and scalability. Aside from the credit items Brett discussed, we are pleased with our full-year results and, equally important, how our teams delivered them. Their focus, collaboration, and consistent execution throughout the year drove strong performance across the business. Interest income growth in commercial finance was nearly $30 million, driven primarily by an increase in structured finance. Solid partner growth combined with disciplined expense management led to full-year net income of $175.7 million or $8.14 of diluted earnings per share. With that, our return metrics remain strong with a 230 basis point return on average assets and a 32.9% return on average tangible equity. We believe that these results reflect the quality of our business model, the discipline of our teams and consistent execution, not to mention our capacity to generate earnings and to create capital to cover events as they arise. We believe this continues to differentiate Pathword and provide a strong foundation as we enter fiscal 2027. While deposits held on the company's balance sheet at September 30th experienced a modest decrease versus a year ago, we held more than $400 million more in average custodial deposits. As a reminder, we do earn fee income on custodial deposits that is tied to the effective Fed funds rate. Average partner deposits were strong in the quarter, giving us the ability to generate additional servicing fee income. Loans and leases at September 30th grew 9%. We continue to be successful in growing structured finance, term lending, and SBA and USDA loans, as well as working capital asset-based lending. Adjusted net interest margin improved to 551 basis points in the fourth quarter as we continue to improve our earning asset mix and see the benefit of repricing. Year-over-year loan originations increased from $1.3 billion to $2.2 billion. driven primarily by significant growth in our credit sponsorship business from both a new contract signed last year and expansion with current partners. Regarding credit, the non-performing loans and lease ratio did increase modestly to 5.61% sequentially. While there are always normal flows in and out, the increase was largely attributable to additional work being done to bring certain credits to completion. Net charge-offs were $52 million in the quarter, of which $20.3 million was associated with commercial finance portfolio. We continue to expect credit to normalize in 2027 as we work down our non-performing loans. The strength of our balance sheet along with our earnings and capital accretion power allows for return of capital to shareholders. As of September 30th, our liquidity was $3.1 billion, and during the quarter, we were able to repurchase approximately 282,000 shares at an average share price of $88.75 for a total of over 2 million shares for the year. This leaves 2.8 million shares still available for repurchase under the current stock repurchase program. We are reiterating our fiscal year 2027 guidance range of $9.50 to $10 per share, which includes the following assumptions. No additional rate changes during the year, an effective tax rate of 18% to 22%, expected secondary market revenues between $5 to $7 million per quarter, and includes expected share repurchases. Lastly, a comment on expenses. As we have said, we will continue to invest in people, processes, and technology. In prior years, that has largely shown up as an investment ramping throughout the year. For fiscal 2027, we expect those investments to begin in the December quarter. This will manifest as additional hirings in the first quarter that will increase the compensation and benefits run rate earlier in the year, but will still hold the normal seasonal pattern. Similarly, we will continue to use consultants with modestly elevated spend in the first half of the year. This concludes our preparatory remarks. Operator, please open the line for questions.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile our roster of Q&A. Your first question comes from Tim Switzer with KBW. Tim, your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Hey, good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Hey, Tim. It sounds like good progress on the partnership side announced on H&R Block. and Claire and some other ones recently. I'm curious on, you know, where do you think, you know, the new partners will be coming from, you know, specific industries? And is it more on the credit sponsorship side, embedded finance, you know, the card and debit business? We'd love to get an update there.
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so I think there's a variety of ways. It's pretty broad. One of the things we kind of emphasize is our diversified business model and product set. And so it's all of the above we're seeing. And, you know, we've said it before, a lot come from potential new partners, and also an awful lot of our increase in revenue comes from existing partners. But there's not one that I would single out and say that it is a higher percentage of it. This is all about the breadth and depth of our offerings, and our partners really want to understand that and be a part of it.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Okay, and do you guys feel like there's any areas right now we need to invest a little bit more in to keep up with the competition in the BASC and embedded finance space? Where are you directing most of your investment dollars right now?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Well, Greg, I'll get you to talk about this a little bit, but I mean, we've said for a while that we've been in, you know, in our run rate investing in technology and enhancing the and the rest of the team.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
That's helpful. I want to ask a few on the credit side here. With the charge-offs this quarter, and I guess in the last few, which some of them were in the renewable energy space, were there any specific verticals or industries that these are concentrated in this quarter?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
No, none specific that we would call out. and, you know, a lot of this is related to transactions that we've already talked about before as we work through the process. So there's not anything new or any new kind of asset classes that we bring to the table and say we're seeing things here.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, and Tim, I think the key point there with Frederick, yeah, I think the key point, which you really touched on, though, is that the elevated charge-offs and, frankly, still the NPL and the NPL ratio, it's concentrated in the credits we've already talked about. and I think importantly we're making resolutions you know you saw the past dues have declined that's important to see too and we've not seen any evidence that there's any other you know issues spreading across the portfolios.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Okay I mean I guess with the charge up this quarter we still see NPAs you know staying around the same level should we expect further charge-offs starting next year? What you know what kind of assumptions should we have?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Keep in mind, and we talked last time about a number of the projects that we were going to take over and have to lead to completion. That means you fund the projects and then eventually complete them, get them producing, and then you sell them. Well, for the existing portfolio, when you fund some of that construction, those dollars go into non-accrual until you sell the product.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, but specifically on charge-offs, Tim, you have to separate and differentiate the charge-offs from when you take the specific reserves and how that kind of dovetails with the lifecycle Brett just mentioned, right? The charge-offs you're seeing are a result of, you know, specific reserves that we've taken in prior quarters, and you have to differentiate that against our ongoing credit, cost of, you know, credit, right, which is what we provision for. You know, we talked about last quarter we see credit normalizing into 2027, and what that really means is The cost of credit, which is our credit provisioning, I feel it's going to migrate back to our historic levels. The charge-offs are a bit more episodic, and they're tied to the idiosyncratic loans that we've talked about over the last year, frankly. But it's a byproduct of just the natural progress of working through some of those.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Okay. All right. My last one here, and Greg, you just touched on this, but what kind of provision expense expectations are embedded within your guidance for 27th?
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
I touched on it last quarter, too, where I said we would normalize back to kind of the historic run rate. And I think I said this last quarter, too. What that really means is, you know, if you focus solely on the commercial finance portfolio, the historic ACL ratio has been, you can see it in the deck, it's in there, but it could be down, you know, roughly 120 to 130 basis points is probably a normalized level. I think that's the starting point. And then anything up or below that's really just going to be more of a function of the mix of new production. What you saw this quarter, frankly, the provisioning in the quarter is really just provisioning for new, you know, for new for loan growth, depending upon what that mix was. And that's the way I kind of see next year playing out is more akin to that 120 to 130 basis point range.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Okay, since you're already near those levels, it seems like, you know, the provision going forward to be more for loan growth rather than credit deterioration.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
Based upon the facts we have right now, that's exactly the way we're feeling about it.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
All right, good to hear. Thanks for taking all my questions.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question from the line of Joe Yanchunas with Raymond James. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Joe Yanchunas
Analyst, Raymond James
Good afternoon, guys. Thanks for the questions. Hey, how you doing? Yep. I'm doing well. So new originations, you know, increased pretty meaningfully this quarter, you know, largely driven by credit sponsorship and you'd reference growth with existing partners.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
you know how much that growth represents a new normalized run rate versus you know potentially some acceleration specific programs I'm just kind of curious what you're seeing in the pipeline today that gives you confidence in that continued growth yeah I believe that really represents the new run rate based upon you know the programs and the partners we've announced and onboarded it I think you know we tend to ramp into those programs more rapidly than an issuing you know partner or acquiring is pretty rapid too but I think that's the new normal and from here it's really just growth and partner programs, and then growth in the partner base.
Joe Yanchunas
Analyst, Raymond James
That's great to hear. And then, Brett, you know, having completed five years of earnings calls for Pathword, and congratulations for that, I was hoping you could talk a little bit about the next five years. And what do you think the themes will be in the BAS space? And, you know, how do you expect consolidation in the regulatory environment will play out?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Well, so I think there's a broad set of things there. Obviously, there's lots of continual change in all kinds of payments products. I mean, if you think about where we were five years ago and the products that we offered and provided and then what we offer today is vastly different. And I think five years from now, there will be a lot more of things that are, let's say, not just issuing and interchange related, and that's going to continue to advance. Some of which are the products we're already doing, some of which are products that we don't even know about or that are coming. And we've got to let all that play out. We've got to let AI play out. That's going to have a material impact on our industry. I think it's going to be more on the customer front end, ultimately, and how that shows up. So that's going to be a big part, I think, of five years out. And I think we're in a period of time where some are looking at vertical integration. We're going to see if that's right or wrong, and I'm not sure. I think there are pros and cons to that, and so I think we'll watch that play out. That won't be five years. That'll be two years, and we'll watch as that plays out. But, you know, very optimistic about this because this whole thing has always been about third-party delivery and about people being creative, innovative, entrepreneurial, upfront with the customer. and then us providing the infrastructure, the backbone behind it, obviously wrapped in risk and compliance. And I just think that's a fabulous business model for whatever's coming. So excited about the future and we lead based on what our partners lead into. And so we watch them and what they're doing, then we help support them to do that and often co-create. And I think we'll keep doing that.
Joe Yanchunas
Analyst, Raymond James
You mentioned the vertical integration, your answer there, and I believe this question has come up on the past probably five or six earnings calls with you guys. With more fintechs considering their own charters and more banks building vast capabilities, what's the hardest aspect for a competitor to replicate? Do you think it's the regulatory infrastructure, product breadth, technology, or just the relationships?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
It's the culture. Culture matters. And there is a distinct reason that banks do banking and our program managers do what they do. And by the way, you can't hire culture. You have to spend a lot of time creating it. And I think the best business model has worked because the banks have the bank culture and the program managers have the program manager culture. I think we've already had in the past Household names that you know that tried vertical integration and failed. Now, some of them, as we go forward, we'll figure it out. Some of them have narrow based charters that can let them do some things and so it won't be quite as hard. But the fully vertical integrated model I think it's hard to get up every day and have a culture that meets the needs of a banking infrastructure in the background and all the things you need on the front end as a program manager. And as I said, you can't hire that.
Joe Yanchunas
Analyst, Raymond James
That's a good point. Then one more for me here to bring Greg kind of back in the fold. You know, the securities portfolio continues to wind down. Now it's under $1.2 billion. You have about another $150 million cash flowing in fiscal 27. Where would you like to see the portfolio settle out?
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
We still keep it there largely as a reservoir of liquidity just in case we need it. It's pledged. We borrow against it. That's part of how we fund tax season. But the reality is I think we can let that run down to the $800 million to perhaps a billion-dollar range, and it'll settle out there. We're in that environment, though, where rates are, I've said historically, we'll take that $140 or $150 million of principal off the portfolio and reinvest it back into the loan book. The reality is, though, there's probably a benefit for us to buy a few securities along the way just to give us, in the event there is a down rate scenario, a bit of coverage on the OCI front. I wouldn't say it's going to be a lot, but I would say there might be a little bit there. But that's still, in my view, we're going to normalize around that $800 to $1 billion range.
Joe Yanchunas
Analyst, Raymond James
All right, great. Well, thank you for taking my questions. Thanks. Thanks, Joe.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question from the line of Manuel Navas with Piper Sandler. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Hey, good evening.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
Hi, Manuel.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
With this higher rate environment, can you talk through, I also had a NIM rebound this quarter. Can you just kind of talk through what are some of the expectations from the September hike, how a potential December hike could impact your EPS trajectory, and also maybe touch on how this could show up potentially down the road in credit?
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
Let me tackle the first one first, then I may hand off to Brett so we can do a little tag team here, but I'll break it down maybe just broadly on The adjusted net interest margin, how I think about headwinds, tailwinds there. And you touched on the September hike, the possibility of a December hike. But more broadly, we have been fairly neutral from an asset liability perspective. So each 25 basis point rate cut or increase has been pretty negligible. We, during the balance of 26, did shift a little bit of new production toward floating rate loans, particularly tied to prime. So that's put us at a moment in time at a slightly asset-sensitive position. So from this point, if we have a 25 basis point raise in December or the next meeting, it's perhaps $2 million pre-tax, maybe a little bit more for the full year. But I point out at this point in time because a lot of that new production came from the renewable space, from the infrastructure space, and it's in the construction loans. And I think we're probably at a high water market where those are going to be. So over time, as that portfolio comes down, and also the Treasury team's looking over the next, you know, notifying timeline, but I think we'll get the assets back to neutral, you know, certainly over the next couple of years. I don't think this is a long-term trend. I think it's a short-term trend. But it's a trend that's helpful at this point in time, just given where the rate environment's going. I think the other tailwind, though, and we've talked about this consistently, is just the middle part of the curve. You know, roughly 35% of the book in new production is fixed-rate loans, which price off of the three- to five-year part of the curve. and with the curve you know five year had you know touched five percent and backed off a little bit uh you think about the loan portfolio which is currently book yielding around three percent and you assume that we're taking 100 or 150 million and recycling that that's a pretty large tailwind for us as we continue to do that not to mention the fixed rate loans in the book that are continuing to reprice uh because some of those still came on pre uh pre-22 which has been really great uh you're obviously over time going to have some offsets um You know, cost of deposits will go up a little bit, but it's going to be more than offset with the rate environment. Did that make sense? I'll assume yes, because you might be on mute, and I'll hand it over to Brett.
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, I think the other part of your question is really is what does higher rates for longer mean from a credit perspective or an economic standpoint? You've got to remember our asset-based lending and working capital portfolio actually benefits during that time because the commercial traditional CNI borrower that was at a bank now is even being either pushed out of the bank or cannot get credit and so then they start looking for alternatives and that's where we step in and actually during higher rate and economic stressed environments where we get the better quality credit in the asset-based lending and working capital portfolio so I only see that as a positive. When the economy slows down, we'll pick up more opportunities in that space. Higher interest rates do have an impact in the energy infrastructure portfolio because you have to use a higher capital cost. It impacts the value of the tax equity throughout the life cycle of the project, so more equity will have to come in. But these projects have such high rate of return that the incremental impact of the interest rate is not going to stop the projects. It'll just reframe the capitalization that goes in up front. So I don't expect there to be much there. And the consumer loan originations, our partners are operating in a space that's not prime credit. And as I often say, these people are always in a recession. And so the interest rate costs are not going to be very material in that space. They may be repaying it with benefits payments rather than income payments, but they'll repay it anyway because of where they live and the part of the economy that you're in. So I'm not worried about an economic downturn. I actually think our credit verticals are built for those kinds of things. They assume an economic downturn.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Is there a certain level of rate increases that you think would start impacting the demand for your product, your partner's origination levels, and where it would impact some credit. Is it like 100 basis points from here? Just trying to ballpark that.
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, I mean, you know, let's suppose that Prime goes up 200 basis points. That is going to slow down commercial business, and that is exactly where we would excel in the working capital and the asset-based lending. As I said, the 200 basis point increase in rates in the alternative energy and electricity infrastructure arena, it will change the economics, but because they're so rich, they will still be valid projects. You'll just structure them differently. I don't expect that we will be impacted by a slowdown in that regard. In fact, in some ways, we might be positively impacted by it.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Okay, that's helpful. I appreciate that. Just about thoughts on your partner population. Do you have a sense of any that are actively pursuing national charters?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
We have had conversations where a small subset of them have talked about it and may be pursuing it. One of the things you've got to remember, if you're a private equity firm, it is very difficult to become a bank holding company. And so there's an awful lot of them that are in that category. And it may be an exception here or there, but there's not any circumstance where we're having any kind of material threat from a partner because of it.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
And part of that is just the lack of concentrations in that partner base in the first place. That's right.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
That was going to be another question. I appreciate your commentary that you're not dependent on any one customer. Do you have a sense for some sort of metric that you can track that? What's like your top three, top five, top ten partners?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, so let me give you this number. No partner represents more than 5% of PathWord revenue.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Okay, I appreciate that. One area that's been quite strong is the CARD feline. It kind of bounces around quarter to quarter, but there's very solid year-over-year growth. How should I think about that feline over the next year?
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
If I heard the question on the card fee income line, I mean, Karen, I'm going to ask you, is the CD off balance sheet? Yeah. I think really what you're looking at right now really sets the mark for going forward, and I think any variations from there are really just going to be volume-based from here with the partners we're unloading, onboarding the pace, and the like. So I think what you're seeing now, but keep in mind, too, there's always seasonality in that line. as we bring on deposits in the fourth quarter, spin them out in the March quarter, the December quarter, yeah, on the second quarter. So you're going to see the normal seasonality in that, but there's always kind of a, you know, the evidence flow, there's always a low watermark as the tide comes in and out.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
And then just one kind of wrap-up question on credit for me. How do you view, you have the rest of the tax services sector kind of ended that for the year, kind of the net charge-offs there. How do you kind of view that next year? Do you feel like you've talked in the past about how that business performed better on credit? Do you have any other kind of look back on that that you can apply for next year in terms of the tax services business itself?
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
So I think we have said that for the last several years, we have continued to improve our underwriting. and that has shown up in the numbers. We'll maintain the gains that we have gotten, but I doubt we'll continue to improve at the same degree every year. So I would hope it is some better, but not as much better as it has been in past years.
Manuel Navas
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Okay, I appreciate it. I'll step back into the queue.
Darby Schoenfeld
Senior Vice President, Chief of Staff and Investor Relations
Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question from the line of Tim Switzer with KBW. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Hey, thanks for letting me back through the queue. Greg, you actually just kind of answered one of the questions I had in terms of the seasonality. Obviously, we're going to get the bump in SQ1 next quarter, but has the seasonality for the rest of the quarters changed at all? Like, for example, a really strong Q4 would typically be you know down you know mid to high single digits um at least historically you know it has you know growth from any individual partner or like the onboarding new partners change that at all?
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
I think it's really the onboarding of you know new products and then new partners new products and just that continued march of of you know multi-threaded opportunities that flattens out the seasonality a bit I think with the prepaid card business though you still see um You still see, you know, deposits grow in the December quarter and then you see the fee income, core fee income in the March quarter. I think you'll always see that. But I think the continued march toward diversification of both products and partners helps to take away some of that seasonality, particularly in the fourth quarter. I think that's what you've seen when you kind of track back. There is one nuance, though. I mean, we talked about this last quarter a little bit. You know, we do receive some contractual volume-based incentive payments, which can hit one quarter versus the next. And that was kind of the explanation last quarter for why when you did the year-over-year, fiscal 24 was a little above, or 25 was a bit above fiscal 26. For a full year basis, we feel like we're going to get those incentive payments, but that could skew one quarter to the next. That'd be the only caveat to what I just said.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Gotcha. Okay, that makes sense. And then just qualitatively, are you able to kind of and so forth. So, how much of that is driven by new programs, new products, new partners versus older ones that were already in place in 25?
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
I think you're always going to see, for the foreseeable future, growth year over year is still going to be driven more by existing partners. And I think when you think back over the last four to six or eight quarters, it's a combination of just you know they're putting on new programs but also adding new multi-threaded products to the mix and I think that's still historically that's probably been 75 to 80 percent of the uplift over year over year and part of that is you know the new partners typically take a bit more time to onboard plus part of which is going through the third party onboarding process which takes some time and we talked about how once we've gone through that process it's a lot easier than to do multi-threaded with new partners but When I think out the next 12 months, I think revenue growth is still largely going to come from existing partners, perhaps a bit more uplift from new products with those partners. But brand new partners typically, unless it's credit sponsorship, which we can get uploaded a little faster, acquiring, you can get those ramping a little faster. But if it's issuing business, that typically takes longer. Plus, as part of the issuing, they would have to ramp into those new programs. which really means you're talking the subsequent fiscal year before you really start to see uplift from that. But, you know, the partners and the pipelines we've been talking about for new partner growth, that is just tailwind for us, you know, exiting 27 and going into 28 and 29.
Tim Switzer
Analyst, KBW
Gotcha. Okay. Thank you so much.
Greg Sigrist
Chief Financial Officer
You're welcome, Tim. Thanks for coming back.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
We have reached the end of the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back to Brett Pharr, CEO, for closing remarks.
Brett Pharr
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you for joining the call this evening. We hope you have a good night.