CVS CVS Health
$79.96
CVS Health Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
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Conference Call Operator
Hello and welcome to CBS Health's third quarter 2026 earnings call. We ask that you please hold all questions until the end of the prepared remarks, at which time you will be given instructions for the question and answer session. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. I would now like to pass the call to Larry McGrath. Larry, please proceed.
Larry McGrath
Executive Vice President of Capital Markets, CVS Health
Good morning and welcome to the CVS Health third quarter 2026 earnings and business update call and webcast. I'm Larry McGrath, Executive Vice President of Capital Markets at CVS Health. I'm joined this morning by David Joyner, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Brian Newman, Chief Financial Officer. Following our prepared remarks, we'll host a question and answer session that will include additional members of the leadership team. Our press releases and slide presentations have been posted to our website along with our Form 10-Q filed this morning with the SEC. Today's call is also being broadcast on our website. During this call, we'll make certain forward-looking statements. Our forward-looking statements are subject to significant risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from currently projected results. We strongly encourage you to review the reports we file with the SEC regarding these risks and uncertainties. In particular, those that are described in the cautionary statements concerning forward-looking statements and risk factors in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K, our quarterly report on Form 10-Q filed this morning, and our recent filings on Form 8-K, including this morning's earnings press release. During this call, we'll use certain non-GAAP measures when talking about the company's financial performance and financial condition, and you can find a reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures in this morning's press release and in the reconciliation document posted to the investor relations portion of our website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to David. David?
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Thank you, Larry, and good morning, everyone. Our organization has a long and distinguished history, and in my 40 years at this company, There has been one constant. We act, we evolve, and we proactively shape the future of healthcare. Today we announced our intention to separate into two independent, publicly traded companies. This decision marks the next important chapter in the evolution of CVS Health. We are creating two distinct leaders in healthcare. The first will be a healthcare solutions company that brings together medical, pharmacy, specialty, and care delivery capabilities Integrated where it matters. In the interim period, we are referring to this business as CVS Health. The second company will be a leading national retail pharmacy and community health care company. This business will be named CVS Pharmacy. Both companies will be led by experienced leadership teams, have a clear right to win in their respective markets, and we expect we'll be supported by solid investment grade balance sheets enabling each company to pursue disciplined and tailored capital allocation. We take this action from a position of strength which you can see in the consistent progress we've made since 2024 as well as in the third quarter results and the updated guidance we announced this morning. This quarter we generated adjusted operating income of 4.2 billion dollars and adjusted Thank you for joining us today. With this latest update, our 2026 adjusted EPS guidance is now more than $1 above our initial expectations for 2026, and our cash flow from Operations Outlook has increased by more than $5.5 billion for the year. This progress clearly reflects our growing momentum. I'll now ask Brian to provide more details on the results this quarter. Our updated full-year 2026 guidance and perspective on the factors shaping our 2027 expectations. I will then come back to provide more details on our announcement. Brian?
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
Thank you, David, and good morning. I will cover four key topics in my remarks this morning. First, an update on our third quarter results. Second, I'll discuss cash flow, the balance sheet and capital deployment. After that, I will provide an updated financial outlook for 2026. And finally, I will share some headwinds and tailwinds as we look ahead to 2027. Our third quarter results demonstrate the discipline with which we continue to manage the enterprise. We once again delivered on our commitments and raised our full year outlook for revenue, adjusted EPS, and cash flow from operations. Our execution has significantly strengthened our balance sheet, allowing us to achieve target leverage ahead of schedule and will enable us to resume our share repurchase program in the fourth quarter. Let me start by highlighting some of our enterprise results in the quarter. We generated over $108 billion of revenue and delivered nearly $4.2 billion of adjusted operating income, once again reflecting earnings growth and David Falkowski. We continue to make strong progress in our return to target margins. In the quarter, we delivered adjusted operating income of approximately $900 million, an increase of nearly $600 million from the prior year quarter. Our medical benefit ratio was 91.3%, an improvement of approximately 150 basis points from the prior year. These results were primarily driven by improved underlying performance in our Medicare business. Across our businesses, we continue to successfully navigate elevated trends that remain above historical levels throughout the industry but were broadly in line with our expectations. Performance in our Medicare book modestly exceeded our expectations, driven by pockets of favorability as a result of strong medical cost management and disciplined pricing. We remain confident in the adequacy of our reserves. In our health services segment, we continue to execute against our objectives. During the quarter, we delivered adjusted operating income of $2.1 billion, an increase of nearly 3% from the prior year quarter, primarily driven by improved purchasing economics and pharmacy drug mix, partially offset by continued pharmacy client price improvements. Results in our pharmacy services business were in line with our expectations during the quarter, including performance in both our 340B business and rebate guarantees. Healthcare delivery also performed as expected as we continue to drive improvement in the business. Our pharmacy and consumer wellness segment delivered another strong quarter. We generated adjusted operating income of over $1.6 billion, an increase of over 10% from the prior year, primarily driven by core pharmacy strength, including a nearly 4% increase in same-store prescription volumes, partially offset by continued business investments and the impact of consumer dynamics. Turning now to cash flow and the balance sheet. Year to date, we have generated cash flow from operations of $15.3 billion, reflecting strong earnings as well as the impact of improvements in working capital. So far in 2026, we have returned nearly $2.6 billion to our shareholders through our shareholder dividend. We ended the quarter with nearly $6 billion of cash at the parent and unrestricted subsidiaries. As I mentioned earlier, we have made significant progress strengthening our balance sheet and have achieved our leverage goal ahead of schedule. This improved position, combined with our strong cash flow, will enable us to resume our share repurchase program in the fourth quarter. Shifting now to our guidance for 2026. We are increasing our full-year 2026 guidance for adjusted EPS to at least $8.20, an increase of 20 cents from the midpoint of our previous outlook. We now also expect our full-year total revenues to be at least $420 billion. In our healthcare benefits segment, we now expect full-year adjusted operating income to be at least $5.4 billion, an increase of $200 million relative to the midpoint of our prior outlook. We now expect our full-year MBR to be in the lower half of our previously discussed range of 89.75% plus or minus 25 basis points. This outlook continues to maintain a respectful and prudent view of medical cost trends. In our pharmacy and consumer wellness segment, we now expect full-year adjusted operating income of at least $6.5 billion, an increase of $100 billion from our prior guidance and nearly 8% growth from the prior year. This reflects our strong performance in the quarter and our updated expectations for the remainder of the year. We are also reiterating our full year adjusted operating income outlook for our health services segment. In aggregate, we now expect full year enterprise adjusted operating income to be at least $17.05 billion. We are also increasing our outlook for full-year cash flow from operations to at least $15.5 billion, reflecting our updated earnings outlook as well as the impact of working capital improvements and the timing of certain payments. Cash generation has long been a strength of this enterprise, and we continue to build on that strength as we deliver on our embedded earnings and unlock further working capital efficiencies. You can find additional details on the components of our updated 2026 guidance on our investor relations website. Turning now to 2027, consistent with past practice, we expect to provide formal 2027 guidance on our fourth quarter earnings call early next year. Today, I will share an update on some of the key headwinds and tailwinds we are considering for 2027. Starting first with our healthcare benefits business, We expect another year of meaningful margin improvement as Aetna makes strong progress on its path back to target margins. Once again, this improvement will be largely driven by the deliberate actions we took in our Medicare Advantage business, along with continued disciplined underwriting and pricing across our businesses in response to the elevated trend environment we expect will persist in 2027. In our health services segment, we expect to generate adjusted operating income of at least $7 billion. This includes our previously discussed expectations for a year-on-year decline in our 340B business as well as headwinds from the impact of a less robust selling season and health plan client membership attrition. We also expect tailwinds from continued strength in specialty and another year of improvement in our healthcare delivery business. We continue to expect our 340B business to largely stabilize by the end of next year, and we have confidence as we enter the 2028 PBM selling season. We are confident 2027 will reflect trough earnings for the segment, and we expect to return to growth from there. In our pharmacy and consumer wellness business, we expect adjusted operating income to grow low single digits off our current 2026 guidance of at least $6.5 billion driven by continued pharmacy strength. This marks the third consecutive year of growth in earnings for this segment. Our updated outlook reflects the progress we've made Thank you for joining us. at least $8.65 in adjusted EPS in 2027, reflecting approximately 13% growth off an adjusted 2026 baseline. Our strong results demonstrate the progress we're making across the enterprise. We've strengthened our financial position, created greater capacity for capital deployment and built increased confidence in the long-term expectations we outlined at Investor Day. We now believe we will be in the high end of our mid-teens adjusted EPS CAGR through 2028. Importantly, these expectations remain grounded in the same guidance philosophy of establishing credible targets, delivering with disciplined execution and highlighting opportunities for outperformance. We will continue delivering on our say-do ratio and that discipline will remain as we progress towards separation. With that, I'll now turn the call back over to David. David?
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Thank you, Brian. As Brian highlighted, we are executing against our strategy and our businesses continue to deliver durable results. Today, we announced that we are building on that momentum. CVS Health is taking an important step in its evolution to create two independent publicly traded companies. Each of the two companies will remain a leader in their respective markets, powered by the right assets, the right focus, and the ability to adapt and move faster. We can take this strategic action today because of our tremendous progress since 2024. We rebuilt our leadership team and instilled a clear culture of accountability, excellence, and execution across the organization. We significantly improved our financial performance, strengthened our balance sheet, and reached our target leverage ratio ahead of schedule, creating capacity for disciplined capital deployment. We expanded our technology capabilities across our enterprise, thoughtfully embedding AI throughout our businesses and creating a differentiated foundation to simplify and improve the healthcare experience. As we've consistently demonstrated, we are making great strides delivering against our goals while remaining focused on improving the health and care of the 185 million people we serve. As we have advanced our strategy, the environment around us is constantly changing. We will be better positioned to address this changing environment as two strong, independent healthcare leaders. Following a thoughtful and deliberate strategic review by the board and senior management, we have a structure and plan that are built to win and represent the best path to create value over the long term. As we announced, CVS Health will retain Aetna, Caremark, and Pharmacy Services, Specialty Pharmacy, Oak Street, and Signify Health. This enables us to maintain and expand integration where it matters. Combining the tools necessary to improve affordability within medical and pharmacy benefits and deliver care to high acuity populations, including in Medicare and specialty pharmacy. CVS Pharmacy will be the leading national retail pharmacy and community health care company. It will include our retail pharmacy stores, mail order, Minute Clinic, and Health 100, are AI-native integrated healthcare engagement platform for consumers. The rationale for the separation is simple, with four clear benefits. First, focus. Each company will have an experienced, dedicated leadership team that can concentrate on the areas where it has the greatest opportunity to create value. The same mission, sharper focus. Second, capital allocation. Each company is expected to have a solid investment-grade capital structure and strong free cash flow. This will enable tailored capital allocation more closely aligned with each company's strategy and growth opportunities. What will not change is the discipline that each company demonstrates in the deployment of capital. Third is agility. Each company will have greater flexibility to adopt the technologies that best fit its needs, improve efficiency, and more effectively adapt to the regulatory and other external dynamics. As independent companies, we will innovate and move faster as we work to improve how healthcare is experienced today. Finally, and importantly, simplicity. Greater independence will make it easier to serve consumers, members, patients and communities and will create opportunities for each company to pursue a broader range of partnerships. By taking this deliberate action, we are creating simpler, stronger, and more focused companies. CVS Health will be a scaled health solutions company with attractive growth and strong cash flow generation. This business will preserve a well-diversified mix of assets and capabilities to address a $2-plus trillion growing market across Medicare, commercial, and Medicaid. We will stay relentlessly focused on affordability, access, and health outcomes. I will serve as chairman and CEO alongside the best-in-class leadership team in place today. CVS Pharmacy will be the national leader in pharmacy and community health care. Our investments in technology and our colleagues continue to set us apart in this greater than a $500 billion market. This is an economically resilient sector. where prescription growth will continue to be driven by medical innovation and demographics. CVS Pharmacy will build on this position as the most trusted and most frequent consumer touchpoint in healthcare. Prem Shah, currently the group president of CVS Health, will become CEO of CVS Pharmacy upon separation. will be supported by the experienced leaders and colleagues who reset the trajectory and reinvigorated our retail pharmacy business. With attractive growth, enviable cash flow, and a strong balance sheet, CVS Pharmacy will be a unique asset across healthcare and retail. Both companies remain committed to unlocking the tremendous potential of Health 100, our AI-native consumer engagement platform. The mission of Health 100 remains unchanged, to be the front door of health and care. By focusing on consumers, Health 100 will truly change the way healthcare is experienced in this country. We will drive greater interoperability to remove friction from the system and engage with consumers in a way that no one else has ever done before. We believe this separation will accelerate the adoption and development of Health 100 and allow us to drive innovation, improve connectivity and unlock greater value across both companies. We expect the separation transaction to be tax-free for U.S. federal income tax purposes and to be completed in the first half of 2028, subject to customary conditions, including final board approval, Form 10 effectiveness and receipt of customary tax confirmation. Following separation, CVS Health shareholders will own shares in both companies. We will be transparent about our progress and we will provide additional details along the way. I want to emphasize that we will not lose sight of the need to execute with excellence every single day and consistently deliver on our commitments to all of our stakeholders. Our purpose is clear, to simplify health care one person, one family, and one community at a time. I am confident this decision will allow both companies to better deliver on that promise and create lasting value for all stakeholders. With that, we will now open the call for your questions. Operator?
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. At this time, if you would like to ask a question, please click on the raise hand button which can be found on the black bar at the bottom of your screen. When it is your turn, you will receive a message on your screen and then you will hear your name called. Please accept, unmute your audio, and ask your question. If you are calling in today, star nine will activate the raised hand feature and star six can be used to unmute and mute your line. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question this morning. We will wait one moment to allow the queue to form. Our first question will come from the line of Lisa Gill with JP Morgan. Please unmute your line and ask your question.
Lisa Gill
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan
Good morning and thanks for taking the question. David, I can't help but to think that November 1st, 2006, 20 years ago, CVS and Caremark came together. I know you were head of sales at Caremark at the time, so I'm sure that this is a very important date for you. But can we first start with just the timing of this and the rationale. You walked through a number of the components, but if we could just maybe better understand, especially the timing aspect.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Sure. So, and Lisa, good to hear from you. And yes, I do remember 20 years ago in 2006 talking about Thank you for joining us. The change that we've seen from the timing of the acquisition of Aetna. So the market continues to evolve and change and as a company we need to continue to evolve with it. So in the two years of being in this position I've been afforded the unique opportunity of actually thinking about this from a position of strength. and David Falkowski. Thank you for having me. with Prem leading the recovery effort from a business that was guiding negative five two years ago to now we're guiding our third year of growth in that business. It just creates an opportunity to say, what is the future of this business? How should we be organized to be able to compete effectively? And I think what we look for is the integration that matter. And what we've done the last two years is integrate you know quite a bit inside of CVS Health with both Caremark and Aetna and some of the healthcare delivery assets that's helping us lean into value-based care but retail you know has for the most part for the last two decades operated behind a firewall so we've always had to negotiate at arm's length it's run independent of the business and I think the timing of this decision is saying, you know, now is the time because we're not doing anything out of a distressed decision. We actually are doing it because we actually have healthy balance sheets with the appropriate capital allocation opportunities and momentum in each one of the businesses that we're operating. Again, I feel really good about the timing. I feel really good about the decision, and I feel equally as important about the team that's going to allow us to execute against this plan.
Lisa Gill
Equity Research Analyst, JPMorgan
David, if I can sneak one more in, just on the quarter and on Brian's comments on 2027, and that's 340B. I understand it's incorporated in the way you're thinking about it, 2027, but really just want to understand two things. Is this a change in the way that you're contracting? And two, Brian made the comment that you have line of sight that it ends in 27, it doesn't spill into 28. Can you maybe just help me to understand that when I think about what's happening here and why you have line of sight that it's only going to have an impact here in 26 and 27?
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, it's a great question, Lisa, and I know there's been a lot of topics since our last earnings call on 340B, which is why we tried to size it as we head into 2027. So maybe I'll have Brian speak a little bit about how we're thinking about HSS and then specifically 340B, and then I want to have Prem answer. speak a little bit to how we have our arms around and how we're thinking about specifically the 340B business.
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
Sure. Thanks, David. Lisa, thanks for the question. As I think about the quarter itself, and then I'll progress on to 27, performance in HSS, Lisa, was were all in line with our expectations. You asked specifically about PS and 340B. All 340B and rebate guarantee performance, we saw no surprises from our expectations. We also continued to see strong performance and specialty in the quarter. We maintained our guide for the full year, so not expecting any surprises balance of the year. I'll comment since it's in the segment. HCD as well was consistent with our expectations and we continue to see Oak Street perform quite well. As we thought about next year, Lisa, and looking ahead to 27, I thought it was important to establish a floor for the HS segment. And that's suspectively what we've done today. We're confident that we would deliver at least $7 billion in HSS AOI next year. That includes the discussions around year-over-year decline in 340B next year and the impact of lower Caremark membership, those two elements. And so it also includes tailwinds from continued strength and specialty, as well as the second year of improvement in HCD. as we make progress towards our path to profitability at Oak Street, et cetera. So confident in our ability to manage the near-term dynamics, Lisa, and expect 27, as I mentioned previously, to reflect trough earnings for the segment as we return to growth in 27 as we look downward. So, Prem, do you want to color that up?
Prem Shah
Group President, CVS Health; Incoming CEO, CVS Pharmacy
Yeah, thanks, Brian and David. And first off, thank you for the opportunity to lead CVS Pharmacy Upon Separation. It's an incredible opportunity and I just want to thank David and the board for that. When you think about the HSS segment, you know, as Brian said, pharmacy services was in the quarter, was in line with our expectations, and we continue to feel good about our outlook for the remainder of the year. As you look into 2027, we're also confident in our position and our ability to manage through the transitory dynamics that we discussed prior. And, you know, coming out of the last call, I think there was two areas, 340B was one and the selling season was a second that I wanted to take a few minutes to really spend a little bit more time on. So with respect to 340B, we do not expect this to be a topic we need to discuss going forward. The level of contribution that we have and our 2027 plan is an even smaller portion of the HSS segment earnings than it has been historically. And I would also reiterate that it's an important program relied on by safety net hospitals and covered entities across the country. And we don't expect the program to go away fully in the future. Secondly, when you look at the 2028 selling season, we're headed into the season with confidence. If you look at what the value proposition for Caremark has and has always been, it really starts with our industry-leading cost of goods, our customer focus, and our sophisticated capabilities, and our pricing model flexibility that we offer to our customers that really address their top concerns and priorities, which is affordability, transparency, and experience. Recall that 2026 for Caremark was an incredibly strong selling season. We achieved approximately $6 billion of gross new wins. And as Brian said, a portion of the membership declines we expect in 2027 reflect strategic business decisions for our health plan clients, including what you saw in Edna's PDP book, which are not a reflection of Caremark's offerings that we have in the marketplace. We expect the 2028 sales season and the new business pipeline to be robust and remain confident in our position and the value proposition that we're providing into the marketplace. And finally, we have an incredibly strong and robust CVS specialty pharmacy business that's focused on the patients that we serve, but more importantly, the payers that we serve. Specialty continues to be a main driver of cost trend for our customers. We continue very diligent in driving competition and creating value for our payer partners. And it's an area that we've invested a lot in technology and AI. We continue to make the consumer experiences seamless. We continue to really drive an integrated and a very strong offering there for the patients that we serve. So overall, I would just summarize this with we expect 2027 to represent trough earnings of at least the $7 billion for our health services segment, and we're going to return to growth thereafter.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question will come from the line of Justin Lake with Wolf Research. Please unmute your line and ask your question.
Justin Lake
Equity Research Analyst, Wolfe Research
Thanks. Good morning. I wanted to understand the impact of the breakup on the balance sheet and capital deployment opportunities. Specifically, I assume the rating agencies are now going to look at CVS Health as a managed care organization, meaning debt to cap versus debt to EBITDA. Wanted to hear how this might impact your leverage versus today. And then we've all been expecting significant share repo into 2027 and beyond. Is there any impact on the company's ability to deploy capital versus that $35 billion of deployable capital opportunity you discussed at the investor day kind of post the breakup? Thanks.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Thanks, Justin. I'm going to let Brian speak to this, but I do want to just remind everybody that as we Thank you for joining us.
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
Thanks, David. And Justin, it's a good question. And obviously, I've spent a lot of time on the leverage, both together and some of the parts as we think about the business. And I can say with a high degree of confidence that both companies will be solid investment grade with strong free cash flow generation. As you mentioned, we'll target leverage or debt to cash flow. and David Falkowski. and my expectation to get back into the market here in the fourth quarter with the share repo programs. So as we think about restoring that leverage ratio and targets, we're ahead of schedule. As I look out to the future and the transaction, I wouldn't see anything getting in the way of our ability to deploy capital going forward.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question will come from the line of Michael Cherney with Lear Inc. Partners. Please unmute and ask your question.
Michael Cherny
Equity Research Analyst, Leerink Partners
Good morning and thank you for taking the question. Maybe to dive a little bit on FutureCo, as you think about the business, there's clearly been numerous instances where CVS Pharmacy and Caremark made each other better. I'm thinking of the expansion and creation of made a choice among other different areas. How do you think about the potential, I don't want to call them dis-energies specifically, but the strategic rationale for the overlap going forward between the two entities and how the competitive differentiation that both entities have been able to generate by being together, by being aligned between the store and the PBM, that they don't lose that capability going forward?
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, it's a great question, Michael, and something we've given quite a bit of thought to because we do think that there's something unique between CVS and Caremark, and even the role that Aetna plays in terms of engaging the pharmacists in the delivery of care. But the unique products that we've built over the last 20 years are things that are going to be preserved in commercial agreements between the two organizations. So we don't need the integration of an operating structure We need to make sure that we're aligned around where we believe that there can be value creation and make sure that there's an appropriate commercial agreement in place to support that. and David Falkowski. Deliver it to the home. They can pick it up in the store. They can come through something maybe as convenient as a drive-thru. But the idea is that we're organizing pharmacy around the consumer. And Caremark gets the benefit of partnering with a company like CVS Pharmacy that continues to push the envelope on ways in which to better engage the consumer. The thing that we've spent more time on, as opposed to the products that we built in the past, is where we're going in the future. And that is the emphasis around the technology platform of Health 100. It will be the connective tissue between the two organizations because CVS Pharmacy becomes the engagement engine. It's the most heavily transacted health care service, and as a result, more frequent transactions and a higher engagement rate with the consumer. And what Aetna and Caremark bring to the table is all the financial information to help make more informed and better decisions around their health care. So you connect those two, which both organizations are committed to, and we think we will build a world-class healthcare Thank you for having me. and it's why we need to focus on the commercial agreements so we have the sustainability and the durability of being able to continue to organize and service the consumer.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Next question will come from the line of Elizabeth Anderson with Evercore ISI. Please unmute and ask your question.
Elizabeth Anderson
Equity Research Analyst, Evercore ISI
Hi, guys. Good morning. Thanks so much for the question. Maybe one for you, Prem. I appreciate the comment you gave about sort of the ability for the two organizations to continue to work together going forward. Prem, where do you see sort of additional opportunities or additional sort of areas you could focus on for the stores going forward as an independent entity that were not available to you sort of in the current form? And then two, maybe David, could you just comment on where you sort of trend overall? You talked about obviously pockets of strength in MA, but any more details you could provide on that to just continue to understand the improving strength there? Thank you very much.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, perfect. Thanks, Elizabeth. I'm going to have Prem speak to where the future opportunities, but I think it's worth noting what we've done over the last two plus years to get ourselves in a position to go build new products and services and create new opportunities. So Prem, if you could just take a second talking about your priority and why we're in a growth mode at retail and what gives you confidence that we're going to expand further.
Prem Shah
Group President, CVS Health; Incoming CEO, CVS Pharmacy
Thank you for the question. This is an incredibly exciting time. And if you look at our retail business, if you look back, and I go back, you know, three or four years when we started to talk about the changes, the intentional changes that are making here. Historically, that was focused on really three things. First and foremost, we invested in the technology platform to create better experiences. And if you think about just some clear examples, AI now supports our pharmacy workflow for 85% of our prescriptions. Second, we invested in our colleagues. We know that our 30,000 pharmacists, we know that our 200,000 store colleagues are essential components to deliver Healthcare locally, and we know that healthcare is done by humans in our local communities, and we have a tremendous focus on ensuring that our colleagues are enabled and successful in everything that they do. And lastly, I think some of the things that we focused on around customer MPS, so the customers that walk in our stores, how do we really improve that experience for them? How do we make that omni-channel? How do we make it consistent across the board? These are three areas we really spent a lot of time focusing on, and you can see that flow through in our results in this quarter, right? As you saw in the quarter, our comp scripts grew 3.9%, but also we were also able to take advantage of new opportunities. I think GLP-1s is another great example. Our scripts in GLP-1s this quarter grew 23%. It's because we took action, we made access more affordable, we made it easier for patients to show up. I mean, we really drove down... We really drove focus on what's most important for the people walking into our stores. And then lastly, I think it's really important to talk about our evolution of the reimbursement model. We focused on that over time with CVS Cost Managed. And let me just be really clear, the CVS and Caremark relationships have operated behind a firewall for more than two decades. So this is something that we continually do, but we continue to be focused on the value proposition that we create to payers. As I look forward, I think the excitement I have in our CVS Pharmacy asset is we have a well-run, strong service offering for the customers you serve. We're in a position now to offer incremental health care services, leverage our 9,000 storage, leverage our footprint in very different ways. Because the key thing for almost all payers, I don't care who you are in this country, is we have a challenge with affordability. And CVS Pharmacy affords and has the privilege to serve in every community standardized health care services Thank you. Thank you.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
That's perfect. So Prem is effectively running America's pharmacy. And we say this all the time. We think this country needs CVS pharmacy and the community-based services that we're providing because we are investing in the communities and we're going to continue to extend that reach as we go forward. And now if I could just speak to the remaining CVS Health Organization and to Prem's point about this focus on affordability, we think the focus will now be purely on what we believe are the drivers of healthcare in this country. And if you look at two-thirds of the spend coming from Thank you for joining us. Thank you, David.
Steve Nelson
President, Aetna
Edna has had a strong quarter as we talked about. Really nice progress across all the businesses at Edna as we return the business to target margins. But I'll just specifically comment on Medicare. We have seen some pockets of favorability. Thank you for joining us today. and the priorities were unchanged. We were going after one more year of margin improvement and we pulled several levers to achieve that. We obviously, as you could see, we did make some adjustments to benefits, but beyond that, we made adjustments to our geography, our product mix. We brought leading star scores in the 2027 payment year. We made adjustments to our networks. We had the highest performing providers in the markets where we wanted to perform. And we've built robust capabilities around medical cost punishment. So all those levers we were able to put into place as we think about 2027. And just a little insight here, early in the AEP, but so far it's playing out well. Thank you for joining us. Thank you so much for joining us. We're lining up a lot of capabilities with our investment in technology and the tools we're putting into place. We really think we have an opportunity to impact the affordability and access issue that is so much needed in our healthcare system.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thanks, Steve. Next question, operator. Next question will come from Aaron Wright with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open. Please unmute and ask your question.
Aaron Wright
Equity Research Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Hi, good morning. So can you speak to the rationale for retaining specialty at CVS Health and how you see the long-term drivers and synergies playing out as also alongside kind of the PBM becomes more stable, more of a fee-for-service business over time? I guess, do you see opportunities to further lean into specialty as that becomes a larger component of RemainCo or CVS Health?
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, it's a great question, Aaron, and I think you're hearing two things from the remaining CVS Health Organization, and that is the focus on affordability and access, and it also is the role that we play in trying to tackle those challenges for our customers. And Steve just talked a lot about Medicare. It is a growing part of the business as we have an aging population and we believe that there is an important step from moving from a fee-for-service operating environment to value-based care. So that piece is a heavy investment for the business and we need to make sure we have the appropriate assets to create the synergistic and the value prop for how we're going to tackle those unique Thank you for joining us. I started in 1993 with Caremark. It was leading the part of how specialty integrates into the PBM. And if I fast forward 30 plus years later, there is 2% of this population that's driving more than 50% of the spend of pharmacy. And it is growing at a rate that's not affordable and it's not sustainable. And so It is why you need all of the levers of a classic PBM in order to continue to attack the rising drug cost and the way in which we create competition. And so we think the synergistic opportunity with the PBM especially remains intact because that is, again, one of the most important priorities for the customers that we're serving. and so that is part of the logic of keeping it together and then as I look specifically at the integration that matters which I mentioned on the front end of the call this has been a really interesting eight years in terms of bringing the businesses together and what Aetna has been able to gain through the combination of the assets is a world-class PBM so Thank you so much for joining us. Thank you for joining us. as we find new markets and new opportunities. And this is in large part delivered to both our Medicare population and equally as important to the commercial platforms and franchises that we have across both Aetna and Caremark. And lastly, Medicaid becomes very complementary to the business because these are high-risk populations and actually in markets that complement the roles that we're playing with Medicare and even the providers that we're working with across commercial.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Next question will come from Stephen Baxter with Wells Fargo. Please unmute your line and ask your question.
Stephen Baxter
Equity Research Analyst, Wells Fargo
Yeah, hi, thanks. So you've touched on the, I guess, the capital and strategic parts of this, but if we think purely about the operating cost structure, we can look back to the original Caremark and CVS transactions or the more recent CVS transactions and just see that you know operating cost synergies were a big part of the financial rationale of those deals. I know it's early but I guess how are you thinking about what the potential financial synergies could be and any color on whether you think they'll sit entirely in the newly created CVS pharmacy business or I guess shared or allocated across the two businesses. Thank you.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yes, let me start.
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
I'll let Brian finish. So we obviously are
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
contemplating some one-time costs and so that has been contemplated in our guidance and how we're thinking about the future but we feel like these are all manageable and as we look at the opportunities that we've been describing on today's call we think this will more than offset Some of those expenses. So Brian, I don't know if you have anything else to add.
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, thanks, David. I just, Steven, I just offer that, you know, when we looked at the deal, the strategic value created by taking this action is going to far outweigh any disenergies. As I look at the run rate AOI impact of any stranded or public company costs, as well as any one-time costs. They're certainly manageable and in line with other transactions of this type. So we're going to look to offset any run rate costs over time, including pursuing opportunities created by a simpler independent structure that David referenced earlier. As you said, it's early in the process. So expect us to come back with more details as we progress through the separation. But I'm confident that we certainly can manage any disenergies there.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Next question will come from Andrew Mach with Barclays. Please unmute and ask your question.
Andrew Mok
Equity Research Analyst, Barclays
Hi, good morning. Just wanted to make sure I understand your 2027 EPS outlook of 865 in the context of all of today's results and announcements. So given the 20 cent raise to this year's EPS guidance, it doesn't look like you're assuming much EPS contribution from the resumption of share repurchase in 2027. Can you help us understand that dynamic and whether there are any other offsets embedded in the outlook, including no breakup costs you might incur next year? Thanks.
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, so you're reading it right, which is we took the guide this year up 20 cents and effectively flowed that through. We had talked about an 844 floor next year. So now it's 865, rounded up a penny. So we're at 865 next year. That only assumes the offset of dilution in share repo. So as you can imagine, as cash is back, leverage is where we want it to be. We've got some dry powder to leverage. So what's implied in the guide next year where we set A4 is just the offset dilution. Hopefully that answers your question.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Next up will be Anne Hines with Mizuho. Your line is now open. Please unmute and ask your question.
Ann Hynes
Equity Research Analyst, Mizuho
Great. Thank you. I know that you said 2028 should be on the higher end of your range. You provided an investor day. Are you ready to give any kind of growth algorithms whether on operating income or EPS for the two new companies on a standalone basis? Thanks.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Go ahead, Brian.
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
We're not really guiding beyond 28 at this point.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
And Brian, you?
Brian Newman
Chief Financial Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, I was thinking back to Investor Day, and we set out a roadmap, which was in the mid-teens, which gets us to the 2028 horizon. We're tracking well against that. We always talk about multiple paths to get there. I think the businesses are performing very well. We just took 26 up again. That's a dollar over where we started. We just put a floor in for 27. And by signaling that we're going to be at the upper end, in the upper end of mid-teens by 28, I just wanted to give the street confidence that we're on track to meet or exceed our expectations. Well, we'll come back to you on the February call, and we'll talk more about the details around the 27 guide, and that'll give you a firmer base.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yes, I mean, this is all a timing issue. You know, we gave headwinds and tailwinds early last quarter than we normally do. And so we'll be back in February with more clarity. And maybe just a reminder in case people are questioning this, we are doing this out of a position of strength. We don't have to make the decisions. And so as we're looking at the business and how it's performing, We have confidence and we're actually doing this because we believe this is the right thing to do for the long-term growth of the business, not because there's any issue that may be on the horizon in 28.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Next question will come from Scott Fidel with Goldman Sachs. Please unmute and ask your question.
Scott Fidel
Equity Research Analyst, Goldman Sachs
Hi, thanks. Good morning. Why don't we just go back to the margin improvement and expansion that's been sustaining over at Aetna and where you are specifically in that journey, clearly Medicare Advantage being the particular driver of that. It seems like at this point, based on your updated guidance, you've probably breached into getting towards, I would think, sort of a very low level of profitability back in the Medicare Advantage business for 2026 inside of the guidance. Just wanted to confirm that. And then I know Steve, you mentioned how, you know, I think he said, you know, another one more year of, you know, sort of, you know, focused sort of margin improvement targeted for 2027. Should I read into that anything in terms of where you expect to take the margins for 27 back towards target or is this still a multi-year journey in terms of getting back to that 3-4% target margin for Medicare Advantage? Thanks.
Steve Nelson
President, Aetna
All right, Steve. Sure, thanks. Yeah, I can confirm the business is still on its multi-year journey, but it's ahead of expectations. We are moving into the profitable territory in 2026, so I can confirm that. And then as we look to 2027, we're going to expand on that for the reasons I indicated earlier. Just maybe a couple more thoughts as we think about The business and why we're so confident in the margin expansion 27. Beyond the levers that I talked about, the repositioning of sort of the holistic Medicare. So as we think about our Part B standalone was performing well, we did a reset there. That's going to contribute our group Medicare bandage business. We talked about that as we got through 2027, we would have about 75% of the book repriced. That's very much on track. and so holistically as you think about it and then as I said we were able to add stability so we'll be able to see some modest growth in the areas that we want to see that growth and so all this kind of comes together just as we hoped and we planned for and strong execution by the team and so really proud of where we are. It's positioned nicely to go into 2027 with another year of nice margin expansion. Great.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Thanks, Steve. All right, operator, I think we have time for one more question.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Okay, your last question will come from George Hill with DB. Please unmute and ask your question.
George Hill
Equity Research Analyst, Deutsche Bank
Yeah, thanks guys, and I appreciate you taking the question. I guess, David, just kind of to round this out, I would ask, as we think about the future split-up, kind of what changed? And I guess, could you talk a little bit more about, like, what changed in the outlook in healthcare from a year ago versus where you are now? And could you talk about, like, how you saw each business kind of, like, what was competitively disadvantaged and what becomes competitively advantaged through the split-up? And I'll end it there. Thanks.
David Joyner
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, CVS Health
Yeah, George, thanks for the question. Maybe I'll end the way I started. Two years ago when I took this job, we didn't have the ability to make decisions like this because we were struggling on our Medicare business. PCW was guiding down 5% and we were focused purely on running and operating this business against what we knew we were capable of doing. And so I looked two years later and the say-do ratio that Brian has been so consistent on in terms of making sure that we under-promise and over-deliver. And we've been eight quarters of delivering on that. And so what's changed in two years is the fact that we now can look at this business and the assets that are assembled and really determine without any distress or without anything that we have to do on what is the right strategic decision to make. And so, as we said, CVS Pharmacy has been operating behind a firewall for the last two decades. It's always been an arm's length negotiation and structure, which again, just reinforces the fact that there are integration opportunities, but nothing that we can't solve for with the commercial agreement. but what's powerful and where we see healthcare going is in the area of technology. And so how do we make sure that we capitalize on this next wave of change that we know is gonna be very prevalent inside the healthcare space and make sure we leverage everything that we actually have in this current enterprise and preserve it for the future. That's why we're spending as much time on connecting and integrating where we believe it matters and so we're preserving the CVS and Aetna integration. We're preserving the Oak Street and Aetna and Signify and we're also now focusing on areas that we know we can capitalize on in the future around technology. So I would just say I couldn't be happier and more proud of the team's performance that led us to a place where we could make Thank you so much for joining us this morning. I want to specifically thank our colleagues across the country and across this company that work in the work that they do every day to serve our customers. Their dedication and relentless commitment to those we serve has built the foundation for everything we've discussed today. We've taken this deliberate action to create long-term value and do even more to deliver on our purpose to simplify healthcare in one person, one family, and one community at a time. I look forward to keeping you updated on our progress.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Thank you for joining CVS Health's third quarter 2026 earnings call. This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.