FLR Fluor Corporation

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Fluor Corporation Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Operator
Conference Call Operator
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us and welcome to Floor's third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question and answer session will follow management's presentation. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. A web replay of today's conference call will be available at approximately 10.30 a.m. Eastern Time today, accessible on Floor's website at investor.floor.com. At this time, for opening remarks, I would like to turn the call over to Jason Landkamer, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Jason Landkamer
Vice President, Investor Relations
Thank you, Operator. Good morning, and welcome to Floor's 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Call. Jim Breuer, FLOR's Chief Executive Officer, and John Regan, FLOR's Chief Financial Officer, are with us today. FLOR issued its third quarter earnings release earlier this morning, and a slide presentation is posted on our website that we will reference while making prepared remarks. Before getting started, I would like to refer you to our safe harbor note regarding forward-looking statements, which is summarized on slide two. During today's presentation, we will be making forward-looking statements which reflect our current analysis of existing trends and information. There is an inherent risk that actual results and experience could differ materially. You can find a discussion of our risk factors, which could potentially contribute to such differences in our 2025 Form 10-K and our Form 10-Q, which was filed earlier today. During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of these amounts to the comparable GAAP measures are reflected in today's slide presentation and posted in the investor relations section of our website at investor.floor.com. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Jim Breuer, Fluor's Chief Executive Officer. Jim?
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, Jason, and good morning, everyone. This was another strong quarter with record awards, a growing backlog, and continued capital returns to shareholders. I'd like to start by sharing some observations from the Fluor Supply Chain Summit that we hosted this quarter in Greenville, South Carolina. Please turn to slide three. The summit, now in its third edition, brought together 230 vendors and contractors from around the world alongside clients and Fluor leaders. It was an opportunity to align our partners on upcoming projects and on the collaboration needed to deliver them for our shared clients. Over the next four years, Fluor plans to spend approximately $50 billion in procurement and contracts on our projects. And as we look to grow our business, We will rely on our supply chain relationships to help us turn new opportunities into successful project delivery. We're executing projects in an uncertain environment. Geopolitical risk, tight labor markets, rising costs, and logistics disruptions demand an agile and resilient supply of goods and services. Engaging early in project planning with contractors and vendors helps us anticipate constraints and build more credible estimates, schedules and execution plans. These efforts matter because of what our clients need. A well thought out capital efficient execution plan before committing a project and delivery certainty once execution begins. The summit reinforced that our supply chain partners are ready for the challenge. We have strong relationships built over multiple projects and we see the opportunity to extend those relationships across new projects in different business lines. Turning to slide four, we had some significant accomplishments during the quarter. First, we're experiencing robust growth. New awards were 10.9 billion, a record for floor and backlog is now 34.3 billion, the highest level we've seen this decade. These projects will ramp up to full execution over the next two years, solidifying our future earnings growth. And we have additional meaningful awards expected in the near future. Second, our capability to execute megaprojects is an important differentiator. Our resume, our people, systems, and footprint set us apart in the marketplace. And I'll discuss this in greater detail in a minute. And finally, we are steadfast in our approach to capital allocation. We're investing in capabilities and creating shareholder value. Turning to slide five, urban solutions. Here are a few highlights for the quarter. New awards were $2 billion, headlined by two copper projects in Chile. Our strategy in mining is producing tangible results. and the need for capacity expansion is clear.
Jason Landkamer
Vice President, Investor Relations
Clients want a partner that can carry a project from early engineering through construction with a special focus on supply chain, as I mentioned earlier.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Looking ahead in the near term, we're well positioned for the release of a multi-billion dollar copper project in South America, where we are already doing early work. This will be the first large award coming out of our $30 billion mining pipeline that we mentioned last quarter. In the data center market, we recently announced a contract with Terrawolf for the development and construction of a three building site in Kentucky. We expect to recognize an award for the first two buildings in the fourth quarter upon finalization of pricing. In life sciences, we're executing feasibility studies for several clients including a new facility for Bayer. We expect these studies to develop into larger awards as we progress through 2027. Finally, in infrastructure, we continue to work off our remaining legacy projects. I-35 Phase II is on track to open its main lanes by year end. An LA people mover should complete shortly thereafter. On this project, We and our project partners are working collaboratively with LAWA to ensure the safe completion of systems demonstration to support passenger service availability. Moving to slide six. In Energy Solutions, our next growth cycle is beginning with the LNG Canada Full Notice to Proceed, which we booked in the third quarter for $7.5 billion. I'm pleased with how we collaborated with a client in these negotiations. resulting in a favorable outcome for both sides. The execution plan reflects the benefits of extensive replication and the contract incorporates valuable learnings from phase one related to labor availability, geopolitical risk, and other events outside of contractor control. Working alongside our JV partner, we are now in full execution mode and are off to a strong start. In power, momentum continues to build, where we're performing planning work on a large gas fuel facility. With this client, we're finalizing the EPC contract for the first of what could be several plants. Our near-term portfolio looks promising, and we expect several EPC contracts next year. Now, specific to nuclear power, on the Chernivota project, Our JV team is finalizing the LNTP phase and positioning the project for a full release sometime in late 27 or early 28. Additionally, in nuclear, I'm pleased to share that we continue to expand our relationship with X Energy with a new award for a project at the Hanford site. This is our second project that will utilize this SMR technology. And in anticipation of the next wave of nuclear development, We continue to deepen our engagement with multiple technology providers to support the pipeline of projects ahead. In domestic refining, we're seeing a resurgence in front end activity. In addition to the work for America First Refining, which grew this quarter, we're also supporting other major U.S. refiners in advancing the early phases of their expansion projects. As I noted last quarter, We expect this front-end work to translate into EPC opportunities in 2027 and 2028. We're also positioning for the emerging opportunities in the Middle East and Venezuela. In the Middle East, we remain engaged with our clients and anticipate more clarity in 2027 on new work. These opportunities will be incremental to our current work across all three segments. And in Venezuela, We're taking steps to reestablish our presence, including a local partnership. As a reminder, we have a long history of delivering energy projects in Venezuela. Turning to mission solutions on slide seven. We continue to ramp up on our nuclear fuels work and booked additional scope on the EPC project we announced last quarter. We also recognized a six month extension of our management and operations scope at Savannah River. and we anticipate a decision on the new contract early next year. And we're encouraged by the recent announcement from the NNSA approving the start of full-scale construction on the Savannah River Plutonium Processing Facility. Before I turn the call over to John, I want to spend a moment discussing what is one of our key strengths in the marketplace, our capability to execute mega projects. Please turn to slide eight. At Fluor, we are proud to execute projects of all sizes. But our skill set to execute very large projects sets us apart and is a market differentiator. For perspective, our prospect pipeline in the next two years includes 25 megaprojects with an average size of $4.5 billion. and were well positioned to capture many of them. Megaprojects required a different level of capability and the complexity grows exponentially with size. They demand the ability to move seamlessly from front end development through engineering and into construction, supported by a global supply chain team and experienced leadership and a trained workforce. Success takes rigorous project controls and risk management and the financial strength to ensure delivery over multiple years. Flora brings these capabilities together, a global footprint, proven tools and systems, a resume spanning six continents, and teams who have delivered some of the world's largest and most complex projects. And we continue to evolve and improve. We're investing in AI. in our ERP replacement and in our Project of the Future initiative to strengthen the tools and systems required to plan and execute projects. The goal is to deliver greater project certainty and to reduce cost and schedule for our clients. And for our shareholders, our mega project capability allows us to be selective, pursue work that fits our core strengths, and generate attractive returns. With that, I'll turn the call over to John. Thanks, Jim. Good morning, everyone.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Today I'd like to cover a few topics, including Q3 results, capital allocation, plus our outlook for the balance of 26, and some early framing for 2027. Let's start with consolidated results on slide 10. For the third quarter, revenue was $3.7 billion, up from $3.4 billion a year ago. adjusted EBITDA was 142 million dollars compared with 161 a year ago and adjusted EPS was 77 cents compared with 68 cents last year. Our EPS metrics benefit from the 32 million shares that we have retired over the past 12 months. As a reminder, the prior year gap results for Q3 included a $653 million revenue reversal related to the Santos Court ruling. So the year-over-year gap results are not meaningful on a standalone basis. Our 26 gap results also include the $73 million gain on Ecoflur, our former JV in Mexico. I'll put some perspective around what the sale means for next year a bit later. New awards were $10.9 billion, led by LNG Canada, mining awards for copper, and a six-month extension for Savannah River. New awards were almost three times quarterly revenue, which significantly bolsters our expectations of future earnings growth. Ending backlog was $34.3 billion and is now about 70% reimbursable. in large part due to the LNG Canada Award. We anticipate the percentage of our reimbursable backlog to trend down to the 60s as we convert the pipeline of attractive power opportunities into backlog. Our approach to risk remains disciplined and consistent. Reimbursable work continues to be an important contracting model, but we will accept fixed pricing where the returns are higher Risks are commercially balanced and where the scope is within our proven execution capabilities. Let's look at our business segments on slide 11. Urban Solutions reported segment profit of $100 million, which is a 4.3% margin compared with last year's 2.6%. The improvement reflected a late stage change order on the legacy infrastructure project, improved profitability on another infrastructure project that reached a construction milestone during Q3, increased execution activity on a large life sciences project, as well as the $25 million effect in 25 for delays at LBJ. Q3 results in 26 also included $25 million for a charge on a mining project, the same project that we discussed in Q1 this year. Working with our partner, we've reached a preliminary agreement on a change order that establishes the path to completing this project by mid-27. Energy Solutions reported segment profit of $93 million, including the $73 million gain for the EcoFlora sale. This means that segment profit was otherwise $20 million, or about a 3% margin. This compared with $120 million a year ago without the Santos effect. ES's profitability declined as mature projects rolled off faster than recently awarded projects entered meaningful execution. The graphic we'll show later on slide 14 illustrates how we see projects generate earnings across their execution window, including these major energy projects. Mission Solutions reported segment profit of $55 million, up from $34 million a year ago. The increase was driven by improved award fee performance across the DOE portfolio and the ramp up of EPC execution. We ended Q3 with $3.1 billion in cash and equivalents versus $2.8 billion a year ago. That balance supports our planned share repurchases and gives us capacity to internally invest in key enablers, which will drive future growth. This includes our people and systems, plus inorganic opportunities. Operating cash flow for the quarter exceeded expectations at $186 million. Our year-to-date operating cash usage of $21 million under GAAP includes the tax payment in Q2 for the 2025 new scale conversion. which totaled $357 million. The impact on Q4 guidance to come a little later. As it relates to our legacy projects, we did not have any funding in Q3. As the late stage change order I mentioned offset any Q3 funding requirements. Moreover, the revised forecast now means that our remaining obligations are around $20 million and are expected to hit Q4 investing cash flow in their entirety. Turning to slide 12, our financial position remains on solid footing and our capital allocation priorities have not changed. We will keep shareholder value creation in focus while preserving the flexibility to invest in the business. Under the current chapter of our repurchases, which began in Q4 of 24, we've spent more than $2 billion to retire our shares. including $300 million in the third quarter. This translates to more than 20% of our outstanding shares over the last 24 months. We remain on pace for $1.4 billion in repurchases for all of 26. Turning to our internal investments, we continue to build momentum with our Project of the Future and our AI initiatives. We have also made good progress on the design of our ERP replacement. and we expect to enter the detailed design phase of that transformational project by mid-27. Collectively, these will represent a profound step forward in our technology and will streamline both our execution playbook and the internal efforts arising from project execution. Separately, we continue to evaluate selected inorganic opportunities, but it looks increasingly like it's a 2027 consideration. With that context, let's turn to guidance beginning on slide 13. We are maintaining our full year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of 500 to 525 million, which implies a full year adjusted EPS range between $2.70 and $2.80, given our expected share repurchase tempo. We conditioned both of these ranges last quarter when we announced the divestiture of EcoFluor. So the guidance principally means continued execution against our backlog. For reference, through the first nine months of 26, we have delivered $351 million of adjusted EBITDA. So our range implies fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA of roughly 150 to 175 million and adjusted EPS of about 85 to 95 cents. Importantly, Q3 included some favorable closeouts and settlements that we don't expect to repeat in Q4, so that means real growth in recurring earnings. While some investors may dismiss these closeout efforts as one-time events, they represent the culmination of the earnings from across the project's execution, and I commend those teams for the good outcomes this quarter. Our other key full-year assumptions are outlined on the slide. including an adjusted operating cash flow of $430 to $460 million. Full year new awards book to burn ratio potentially approaching 1.4 times with FID on some mega projects over the next few months but in any case would be well above one for all of 26. G&A will be approximately $180 to $190 million which excludes up to $15 million in outside costs for the replacement of our ERP, and for other technology and AI enhancements, which I touched on earlier. We assume a full year tax rate of 25% to 27%, and a revenue split of approximately 65% urban, 20% energy, and 15% mission. Assuming these splits, we expect full year segment margins of approximately 2.5% in urban, 7% in energy, and 6.5% in mission. all on a GAAP basis, including CFM. Most of our refreshed guidance aligns to Q2, though the G&A growth was offset by PGM growth in refreshing the overall EBITDA guidance. Before I close out Q4, one point worth connecting. The higher G&A and the higher operating cash flow guidance are directly linked. We've built the uplifted cash generation into our incentive comp projections So stronger cash flow gave rise to higher G&A under the pay for performance model. Also, during late October, one of our reimbursable clients notified us of changes to its project scope. We are still evaluating the impact on backlog, but based on our early assessment, we could expect a reduction of approximately $2 billion as early as Q4. Please turn to slide 14. I'd like to put some preliminary context to next year's numbers when we compare them to the 26 outlook. For adjusted EBITDA, we expect the growth percentage to be in the low double digits compared to 26. This assumes several changes to the earnings base, which I will describe, the expected gradual ramp up of contributions from recent large awards, and the absence of the same level closeout on major energy projects. A big factor is the sale of Ecoflour, which removes approximately $45 million of EBIT that we recognized year-to-date in 26. So the growth in 27 is far higher for our retained business. Spending on Project of the Future and our ERP implementation will continue into 27. And although that spending will hit our GAAP P&L in whole or in part, they are important expenditures that define how we'll conduct business for years to come. and are excluded from the year-over-year EBITDA growth target. As illustrated on the sample burn curve on the slide, our recent mega project awards will enter the earnings stream in 27, but large projects generally take two years to approach peak earnings. These mega projects also execute over longer horizons than the work they're replacing, with peak activity starting in 2028. We expect earnings to build as these projects move into full execution. Furthermore, our rewards pipeline remains strong heading into 27 when we expect a book to burn greater than one. We also plan to continue share repurchases, anchored around half of expected annual free cash flow. We'll be adding to these preliminary 2027 views during February's call. To summarize our thinking coming out of Q3, The core business remains healthy. We delivered record new awards, simplified the portfolio, substantially advanced completion on legacy projects, and continue to direct value to our shareholders. And with that, we're ready to open the line for questions.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question, and if you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Sanjita Jain from KeyBank Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Sangeeta Jain
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. So I want to ask about the Tara Wolf Award that you recently announced that you will book in 4Q. Maybe you can share the sizing of that award and whether there is further upsizing prospects in that award beyond the first three buildings.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Sangeeta. Thanks for the question. This is Jim. Yeah, we're excited about entering that project. It would be for the first two building a low single digit multibillion award. There's a third building at the site that is being estimated and therefore released a little bit later. And we're also in conversations with that client for potentially other sites. So yeah, it could grow. The focus right now is on the first two buildings, followed by the third building at the Kentucky site.
Sangeeta Jain
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Got it. And then on the operating cash flow in third quarter and the outlook, can you help us on what is driving that stronger outlook and the potential M&A targets that you're looking at for 2027?
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Good morning. Thank you. It's Regan. So operating cash flow is a really good story in the quarter and in the outlook. And it lays across all three segments. So I'll talk about what's in the rear view mirror and what's to come. So during the quarter, with respect to urban solutions, it was in-flight projects and better working capital management across the portfolio, maybe with a little bit of a concentration in ATLS. So that was fantastic. On the energy solution side of things, the ultimate liability and funding of the warranty exposure at LNG was much lower than we had expected coming out of Q2. So our ability to work that down with less cash meant we were able to dividend out more of that money. So that money came to us again in quarter three. at a larger quantum than we had expected at the time of the Q2 print. And then on the Mission Solutions side, as we said in the kind of the EBITDA bring down for them, they had excellent P scores across the DOE portfolio. And so when the federal government wrapped up its fiscal year in September, our fee scores were much better. And so that hit earnings in Q3, but will give us a tailwind on the cash flow when we make collection of that in Q4. That all hang together?
Sangeeta Jain
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Yeah, that's very helpful. Thank you.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. And then on the inorganic opportunities, look, I think we continue to look to build to our depth and to add to kind of the earnings growth that we're expecting. Clearly, we're flush with cash in terms of being able to make those acquisitions, but just haven't been able to get them across the goal line, be increased in focus over the next few quarters. And as I signaled in the prepared statements, we'll look for something, a little more transparency there in 2027.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Perfect. Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Fisher from UBS. Please go ahead.
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
Thanks. Good morning and congrats on all the awards. Obviously, the election is topical this week. I'm curious if you can just discuss the election impact on data center and your energy business and perhaps your booking opportunities more broadly and curious and what conversations you've had with customers in the last couple of days.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Good morning, Steve. This is Jim. Yeah, we're obviously following the implications of the election very closely. I think we need to let the dust settle a little bit. We're looking at potential impacts on energy data centers, et cetera, et cetera. But I think if you step back a little bit, the markets that we pursue, Steve, whether it's in the mission space or the private sector space, Most of them have bipartisan support. Yes, there's a little bit of growing concerns around the data center ecosystem, but we feel that the data center work that we have today and the power work that we're hoping to book in the next few months is pretty resilient. And I also take it even further back around Fluor's diversity of markets, whether it's domestic or international, copper, life sciences, manufacturing, iron ore. We feel pretty good that our diversity is working as we're not overly exposed to some of the concerns that are out there. On the positive side, both sides of the aisle are very determined to work on permitting reform. I think that the permitting reform momentum that's filling in the country is going to do well for some of the work we're pursuing. So I think on and all the other some areas of attention, but We don't expect any significant impact on our company's trajectory.
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
Okay, that's helpful. And then maybe drilling into the gas-fired opportunity, you talked about some of the larger opportunities there. I assume those are all combined cycles. Can you just talk about what still has to happen to book those? And then can you talk about any simple cycle opportunities you might have? To what extent are Any potential customers reaching out to you? And if not, why not? It seems like there's quite a bit of that activity going on and a need for contractors.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
We are pursuing both of those types of projects, Steve. Our most matured opportunity is a combined cycle. But shortly thereafter, we're working on two simple cycles for a different client. that we hope to convert, I would say, around the middle of next year. So you're right, there are both types of projects out there. We're pursuing both of them, talking to several clients. So as I said in my remarks, we expect several EPC contracts to be live next year.
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
Just to clarify, the next few months on the bigger ones, what still has to happen to book those?
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Oh, sorry. It's just we're working collaboratively with the clients on the estimate, the execution plan, and the contract terms. And all that is very mature. Now the client, in the case of the first project, they have to go to their board for approval. And once they get that approval, they'll give us the go-ahead and start.
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
Okay, terrific. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Andy Kaplowitz from Citi. Please go ahead.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
Good morning, everyone. Good morning. Jim, I think we all understand that the geopolitical environment these days is quite fluid, but maybe just frame this award cycle a little more versus what you've seen in the past. I think you're going to book more than $25 billion this year. I think you just said next year would be over one again in terms of book-to-bill. Do you think 27 could be similar to 26 where book-to-bill could be way over one? And do you expect bookings to grow in 27 versus 26 despite, you know, obviously you booked LNG Canada, which is a large project this year?
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
So, Andy, all good questions and questions that we're analyzing and addressing as a team obviously every day. so 26 is going to be a good year as you can tell we're already at 20 billion essentially at Q3 and anything in Q4 is additive to that we're saying as John said earlier 27 is going to be greater than one book to burn part of the challenge we have is the same story we've been telling you all along is we sometimes struggle defining the exact timing of these big awards so for example there's we feel very good about a large Mining Award in South America coming up in the next few months. It could land in Q4, it could land in Q1. That makes a difference when you look at the full fiscal year, but it doesn't really make a difference to us. The work comes in, we start executing it. So I don't know what the exact number for 27 will be yet. We'll have more clarity in the beginning of next year. I can tell you that both years are going to be good. Therefore, backlog is going to continue to grow. And it's fairly diversified as gas, fire, power, It's copper. It's data center work. It's life sciences. It's advanced manufacturing. It's mission solutions. Refining. Refining. It's picking up. There may be a nuclear war there. So we feel good about diversity. We feel good about the clear line of sight we have to these projects. The exact timing is not always up to us, but we We feel good about both this year, of course, and next year.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
I think it comes back in large part to the board oversight that you referenced with respect to the power project, that once they get clearance from their own governance structure, that's the important hurdle for us to get over in terms of the booking.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
Very helpful, guys. And then we appreciate the color, the initial thoughts on 2070, but maybe can you give us a little more color on how to think about 2070 from a utilization perspective? Are you still relatively... Thank you for joining us.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
and so utilization will improve in 27 and in 28 you bring up obviously you understand the company and so you bring up a good point. It's not just a large EPC, EPC awards, it's also the services that we're also building up whether it's in front end refining work or life sciences or even some early chemicals work. The objective is not just to do the large projects, which in themselves have significant utilization, but also continue to feed and replenish the pipeline with services-only work that then will feed the EPCM awards for 28 and 29. So I do expect a gradual improvement of utilization, including in energy solutions in 27, but the big step I think is going to be in 28.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. Agreed. And that was at the root of slide 14 that hopefully landed well with Andy.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
It did. Just one quick follow-up, John. Any reason why Urban was light in revenue in Q3? Did something happen there?
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
No. I think that's just a typical burn across their portfolio.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
All right. Thanks, guys.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
Thanks.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Cook from Truist Securities. Please go ahead.
Jamie Cook
Analyst, Truist Securities
Hi, congratulations on a good bookings in a fairly non-eventful quarter. I guess just two questions. One, Jim, you talked about your strength in mega and you talked about 25 projects that you're looking at that have an average size of $4.5 billion. Can you just help us understand what markets largely are driving that and just interested in the competitive dynamics on these projects, how many other players you're bidding against, or is it more a function of just are a function of whether or not the project goes forward because there's not a lot of people that have the capability that Flora has. And then my second question just on nuclear, you know, congratulations on Xenergy and the SMR. Just wondering if you can elaborate what else is to come on the nuke side, you know, whether it's traditional or SMR and just sort of the timeframe associated with that. Thank you.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Jamie. Good morning. So on the mega project portfolio, pipeline portfolio, it's copper, it's power, it's life sciences, it's manufacturing, and it's both U.S. and international. So it's fairly diverse. Many of them, I can't say all the 25, but the majority of the 25 were doing the front end work. Or we are in sole source conversations with clients in case of, for example, in case of these utilities. So we're really not bidding competitively these large mega projects. They're more negotiated projects. and the biggest hurdle to win the work is whether the project gets approved by the client's board and it overcomes its financial hurdles. As far as nuclear, so we're doing two projects with X-Energy now and we talked about Trnavoda, so that's a conventional nuclear in Romania and that project is now the LMTP is almost done and they're working the financial picture to hopefully go into EPC in late 27, maybe 28. Above that, we are in conversations with two very established nuclear technology providers, one in the SMR space and one in the conventional reactor space about establishing partnerships to tackle projects together. We don't have anything to announce today, neither names of technologies or projects, but I can tell you you would very much recognize these two names. It's a go-to-market strategy for the deployment of their technology. And it's a go-to-market strategy as our country and other countries are getting more and more serious about building these large projects. So this is a longer play as far as announcements, probably front-end announcements in 27 and EPC announcements in 28 and 29.
Jamie Cook
Analyst, Truist Securities
Okay and sorry just just one follow-up just as these mega projects move forward and just the constraints that there are in labor do you see your business model evolving more towards strategic partnerships versus work that's been more transactional historically? I'm just wondering what that the implications are for potentially less cyclical earnings or a more stable earning stream opportunity going forward?
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
No that's that's exactly right that we're working hard on growth but predictability. So whether it's in the execution of the project in partnerships with other contractors or longer term account relationship with clients, there's a lot of effort on the team to try to provide more predictability to the earnings. But we're balancing that with our growth objectives.
Jamie Cook
Analyst, Truist Securities
Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Michael Dudas from Vertical Research. Please go ahead.
Andy Whitman
Analyst, Baird
Good morning, gentlemen. Good morning, Mike.
Michael Dudas
Analyst, Vertical Research
Jim, as your bookings and the business evolves over the next few years, it just It seems like we can characterize the business right now as pretty clean. The legacy projects, thank goodness we're not going to have to talk about those much or if at all in 27. And given where your mix of reimbursable lump sum and the margins you're booking in the current and with the expected backlog, how does the positioning look from a return and margin standpoint into the next few years versus the prior large project cycles you know maybe with similar different end markets that floor has executed I'm assuming there's a much more visible and predictability in this and maybe I'm assuming better margin accretion maybe you can adjust that if you help thank you sure thanks Mike let me say a couple of things here one we are pleased with the margins of the new awards we're seeing so far we are
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
seeing better margins in these awards than we were expecting a year and a half ago when we had our investor date, Mike, in early 25. So that's encouraging. We're paying a lot of attention to the lump sum versus reimbursable mix. We're seeing good margins on both. Obviously, they're very different. Lump sum has higher margins, and so that's why they're an important aspect of our portfolio. We're also working hard with our teams on improving the margins on the reimbursable work given the demand for qualified resources in the marketplace. As we grow the company, the backlog and the revenue, that's going to help margin. There's going to be better utilization as we talked about, but we're also driving higher margin performance on the individual projects. So I think over the next several years as these big projects start entering into their peak production mode, if you will, as John explained, we expect margins to grow materially.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, so maybe I'll just append there. We do expect project level margins to improve. and then certainly with the additional scale we're going to get more absorption of the overhead so even bottom line margins should be expanding as we as we get into that peak execution window.
Michael Dudas
Analyst, Vertical Research
I'm assuming John that with the ERP and the technology maybe you can frame a little bit of what contribution or absorption that could have in this discussion as well?
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
yeah it's a great question it's a little bit of a variable right now that that's difficult to foretell but certainly our expectations you know coming out of that are going to be a much leaner organization so you know I think about better technologies making us more efficient in the bidding process ultimately in the planning process certainly in the execution and in the back office it's just a little difficult in the moment to say It's going to trigger a 200 basis point improvement or something of that. But that's why we're so keen to get on to advance the project to the future and incorporate those learnings into the ERP design, because it's very tempting what it could do to our margins. But certainly, we would expect up and to the right. Excellent. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Andy Whitman from Baird. Please go ahead.
Andy Whitman
Analyst, Baird
Oh, great. Good morning. Thank you for taking my question. I always like to just try to understand the quarter a little bit better. So that's where I'm going to go here. Particularly, I guess I wanted to start in the urban solutions segments here. And just you mentioned a couple of moving pieces. I guess we do have that the joint venture mine was 25 to the negative. First on that one, is that a consolidated JV or unconsolidated? And then you have some good guys here too. I think you mentioned a favorable claim. There was in the press release you talked about a milestone achievement, I guess. Are those good guys? more than the 25. I'm just trying to get a sense of what maybe the underlying margin of urban was. And I'd love it if you give me the numbers. I don't expect that you will. But just understanding how they compared to the 25 bad guy, just to get a better understanding of what's happening there would be helpful, I think.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. Good morning, Andy. I'll tackle that one. So the project itself is a partial consolidation. so it's a 50-50 joint venture. So the income statement has got the typical effects you'd see for our ownership percentage. And you are right, it was a downer in the quarter and it was largely offset by the two things in infrastructure space. So one was on one of our projects here in Dallas and so we were successful with change orders that did give us a positive to our earnings. Again, those were, you sent claim, we sent change order, so maybe I correct the record there. But those were things that we were looking to drive to conclusion before year end, so it was a good outcome for us that we landed it in Q3. and a little bit better than we had expected in establishing the forecast or the outlook. And then on the milestone, that's a different project that hit, as we said, that milestone in Q3 and caused an overall reevaluation of effort to go. And when we did that, there was a reduction in that effort forecasted and applied against percent complete. all of which gave rise to a tailwind. I would say the totality of those three things roughly offset each other. So what you see in urban is really kind of the expectation moving into Q4 when they maybe slight uplift to what we think will come from them in Q4.
Andy Whitman
Analyst, Baird
That's great. That's really clear. I'm smiling. I didn't know if I'd get that fulsome of an answer and I did. So thank you for that, John. also I guess I wanted to on energy wanted to kind of dig in a little bit here too obviously we can see kind of the underlying segment profit there obviously I heard full notice to proceed on LNGC2 obviously that's going to have a big contribution and with full notice to proceed I would imagine that's going to ramp and obviously you got slide 14 that talks about the company's overall ramp but maybe just to understand how this one goes like what is What is the expected completion date over which we should be thinking about that $7.5 billion being burnt? I think that would just give some people some framing as to how this is going to contribute to their earnings as well. Thank you.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Andy, this is Jim. So a couple of comments. The graph on that slide is intended to show a theoretical project. So it's not the corporation. It's a typical large megaproject. As far as LNGC, the client has announced startup in the early 30s, I believe, first half of the 30s. So you can extrapolate from that a five to six year burn.
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
And that project is a little different because we did have the sizable limited notice to proceed. And so we're maybe hitting the ground running a little faster on that versus what's on Slide 14, but it's also a really large project, so maybe not quite so much in the first year. So it's complicated, but we wanted to put Slide 14 out there to give us a frame to be able to comment on things like this.
Andy Whitman
Analyst, Baird
Yep. Okay, great. Duly noted. Thanks, guys, for your time. Have a good day and good weekend. See you next week.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Fisher from UBS. Please go ahead.
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
Great, thanks for the follow-up. I just wanted to ask about that potential $2 billion backlog scope reduction, Jim, that you mentioned. Anything more you can say about what's driving that and the likelihood of that happening or not?
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, Steve, go ahead. Yeah, maybe I'll tackle it. You know, Steve, this is something that came up really late last month. So it's still very much a developing story. So it's a change in scope on a project. And so it's not as simple as situations we've had in the past. It's a project cancellation. And so we know sort of with an amount of precision what that impact is. So it's still under evaluation. As we said, it's a reimbursable contract. So you can intuit what those margins might be. we think it's in that two billion dollar range and we think we will be able to see we'll see that those final amounts and have a derecognition going into quarter four but we you know it's it's more than nominal so we wanted to make sure that we were being transparent with you guys on that is to come and just in terms of is this sort of more kind of a macro
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
environment kind of thing or just something company-specific, project-specific, sort of any sort of color there?
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think it's just project-specific and kind of somewhat ordinary in terms of in-flight projects and clients from time to time reevaluating the scope of what they want us to do.
Stephen Fisher
Analyst, UBS
Okay, thank you very much.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
This concludes, oh, your next question is from Andy Kaplowitz from Citi. Please go ahead.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
Sorry, guys. John, I just asked one follow-up there. Does your guidance then for 27, your initial guidance, like include the impact from this project? Like how do we think about that?
John Regan
Chief Financial Officer
Yes. So everything that we talked about today is incorporated into that preliminary guide.
Andy Kaplowitz
Analyst, Citi
Okay. Thank you.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
Now this concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Jim Breuer for closing remarks.
Jim Breuer
Chief Executive Officer
Thank you, operator, and thank you for joining today's call. I'm very pleased with our record new awards and the health of our pipeline and excited about our ability to deliver shareholder returns in the years ahead. Thank you and have a good day.
Operator
Conference Call Operator
this concludes today's call thank you all for attending you may now disconnect