IVT InvenTrust Properties Corp.

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InvenTrust Properties Corp. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Caleb
Conference Call Operator
Thank you for standing by and welcome to Inventrust's third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. My name is Caleb and I will be your conference call operator today. Before we begin, I would like to remind listeners that today's presentation is being recorded and a replay will be available on the investors section of the company's website at InventrustProperties.com. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star 1 again. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Dan Lombardo, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.
Dan Lombardo
Vice President of Investor Relations
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. On the call from the InvenTrust team is D.J. Bush, President and Chief Executive Officer, Mike Phillips, Chief Financial Officer, Christy David, Chief Operating Officer, and Dave Heimberger, Chief Investment Officer. Following the team's prepared remarks, the lines will be open for questions. as a reminder some of today's comments may contain forward-looking statements about the company's views on the future of our business and financial performance including forward-looking earnings guidance and future market conditions these are based on management's current beliefs and expectations and are subject to various risks and uncertainties Any forward-looking statements speak only as of today's date, and we assume no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made on today's call or that are in the quarterly financial supplemental or press release. In addition, we will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. The comparable GAAP financial measures are included in this quarter's earnings materials, which are posted on our investor relations website. With that, I'll turn the call over to D.J.
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us. The third quarter was another period of solid execution for InvenTrust, supported by healthy leasing demand, strong tenant retention, and our team's continued ability to convert that activity into occupancy and cash flow. This momentum generated year-to-date same property NOI and narrate FFO per share growth of 3.4% and 9.9% respectively, underscoring the value of our well-located centers serving everyday needs of growing communities. Our recent acquisitions are contributing to growth as well. Earlier this year, market conditions created an attractive opportunity to expand the portfolio, and we acquired six Sunbelt properties, adding over 800,000 square feet of GLA for a total of nearly $290 million. The capital markets have shifted quickly since then. Rising treasury yields have increased the cost of debt across the industry, while share prices have come under pressure. At the same time, private capital remains active in the market for high-quality retail assets, and transaction pricing is yet to fully reflect today's financing costs and return requirements. We are responding with discipline. We have raised our return hurdles and are taking a measured approach until pricing better aligns with our cost of capital. Our team remains active, underwriting opportunities, tracking seller expectations, and evaluating the right sources of capital. Our goal remains to grow the portfolio and make a greater use of our operating platform with investments that can deliver durable cash flow growth. In the meantime, operating fundamentals in our Sunbelt portfolio remain strong. Contractual rent increases provide a dependable foundation, while renewals and new leases give us opportunities to capture mark-to-market rent growth. Our Simonaut open lease pipeline adds visibility as those leases commence and begin contributing rent. Tenant retention is an important part of this approach. It supports rent growth and stronger lease terms while helping limit downtime and incremental capital needs. High occupancy also gives us the flexibility to recapture space selectively when we believe it can improve the center's long-term performance. Overall, we remain highly confident in our portfolio and the opportunities ahead. We'll continue to operate our centers to meet the needs of our tenants and consumers, invest where we see best risk-adjusted returns, and maintain financial flexibility as the market conditions evolve. Mike will now review our financial results.
Mike Phillips
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, DJ, and good morning, everyone. Same property NOI for the third quarter was $50.4 million, an increase of 3.1% from the third quarter of 2025. Growth was led by base rent increases of 280 basis points, including approximately 340 basis points from contractual rent bumps, leasing spreads and redevelopment activity. Other contributors included 40 basis points from percentage rent and specialty income. These positive drivers were partially offset by an expected temporary occupancy impact of 60 basis points and 10 basis points of bad debt. Through the first nine months of the year, same property NOI totaled $144.8 million, representing 3.4% growth over the same period in 2025. As we noted previously, third quarter same property NOI growth was affected by the timing of certain operating expenses associated with scheduled projects. We expect growth to reaccelerate in the fourth quarter as new leases commence and our signed but not open pipeline converts to rent paying occupancy. Third quarter Navy FFO was $41.5 million, or 53 cents per diluted share, up 8.2% from the third quarter of 2025. Core FFO increased 6.4% year over year to 50 cents per share. Same property NOI and net acquisition activity were the primary drivers of FFO growth, partially offset by interest expense. Through the first nine months of 2026, Nereid FFO totaled $122.6 million, or $1.56 per diluted share, up 9.9% year-over-year. Core FFO was $1.47 per diluted share, up 7.3% from the comparable 2025 period. We closed the quarter with total liquidity of $510 million, including $29.5 million of cash and $480 million of availability under our revolving credit facility. Thank you for joining us today. Turning to our outlook, we are updating our full year same property NOI gains range to 3.75% to 4.25%. We are also raising our FFO per share guidance to $2.05 to $2.07 for NAVREAD FFO and $1.94 to $1.96 for Core FFO. To reflect the timing of transactions, we are adjusting our net investment assumption to a range of $190 million to $255 million. Additional information on the assumptions underlying our guidance is included in our supplemental disclosure. With that, I'll turn the call over to Christy for an update on our portfolio activity.
Christy David
Chief Operating Officer
Thanks, Mike. Our portfolio continues to perform well, supported by broad tenant interest and strong execution by our teams. Retailers are advancing multi-year expansion plans, and industry announcements continue to point to more openings than closures, especially in Sunbelt markets. That is consistent with what we hear from our national and regional tenants who are focused on adding stores in the right locations. Favorable and growing demographics remain important, but site selection decisions increasingly reflect the role each store plays within a broader pickup delivery and omnichannel strategy. At the same time, elevated replacement costs continue to constrain new retail construction, making high-quality space in established trade areas more valuable. Where the limited development is occurring, it is generally tied to residential growth rather than new retail supply that competes directly with our centers. These dynamics support strong backfill interest and attractive lease economics when space becomes available. Leasing demand remains robust across food, fitness, health and other service-oriented uses. These tenants complement our grocery and essential retail anchors, giving customers more reasons to visit throughout the day and contributing to a more resilient tenant mix. Restaurants and beverage concepts are particularly active, ranging from growing brands such as Seven Brew and Dutch Bros to established operators like Wingstop and Chipotle. Traffic at our centers is up nearly 5% over the same period last year, with our grocery anchors remaining key drivers. Several grocery partners continue to reinvest in existing stores within our portfolio. These projects demonstrate their confidence in our centers and trade areas by helping attract additional visits to our properties. Turning to our portfolio results, we executed 86 leases during the quarter, covering approximately 549,000 square feet. Comparable blended lease spreads were 14%, with new lease spreads of 42% and renewal spreads of 11%. Excluding contractual options, renewal spreads were 16%, with year-to-date tenant retention at 89%. Annual rent escalators on new and renewal small shop leases executed in 2026 averaged over 3.1%. One of the quarter's standout leasing wins was backfilling the former painted tree space. In less than three months, our team signed Nordstrom Rack at a 73% spread, which added a strong national retailer to the center and helped drive a 30 basis point sequential increase in anchor lease occupancy. It's a great example of the demand for quality space and the speed at which our team can act when the space becomes available. annualized base rent per square foot increased 3.4% year over year to $20.97, reflecting continued strength in our leasing fundamentals. Leased occupancy ended the quarter at 96.4%, an increase of 20 basis points sequentially, while economic occupancy improved 70 basis points to 95.3%. Small shop leased occupancy remained steady at 93.2%, and anchor leased occupancy increased 30 basis points to 98.4%. Looking ahead, our signed but not open lease pipeline represents approximately 110 basis points of occupancy and $4.3 million in annualized base rent, providing meaningful visibility into future cash flow growth. Beyond these executed leases, we have an additional 140 basis points of potential ABR in various stages of negotiation and documentation. In closing, our results reflect the quality of our portfolio and the strength of our leasing execution. We are retaining productive tenants, introducing concepts that support the community, and securing terms that drive long-term rent growth. As we work through the active pipeline, our focus on building the right tenant mix, making every new lease improve cash flow, and add value to each location. Operator, that concludes our prepared remarks, and we are ready to open the line for questions.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
We will now begin the question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBank Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Hi, thanks. Good morning. DJ, you mentioned that you increased your return hurdles for investments. Can you just elaborate on that a little bit, maybe quantify the change in required returns that you're now targeting? And are you starting to see seller expectations adjust? Is there any evidence of that or still a bit too early?
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
All right, Todd. Happy to. Good morning. So just I'm going to take a step back and talk a little bit about, obviously, we changed the guidance as it relates to our net investment activity. A lot of that is timing related, but I think it was important for us to at least highlight the fact that, obviously, it's been a very volatile last 90 to 120 days, and then equally as volatile with rates coming back down very quickly in the last several weeks. and we just haven't seen any movement or on expectations on the private side which is kind of a you know it's good it cuts both ways obviously the demand for high quality what is what's been a you know uncertain back half of 2026 and we were very happy with the amount of activity they were we were able to get done at the beginning of the year rest assured we're still we're looking at A lot of different deals. We're underwriting as many deals as we always have been. We're just making sure that we're targeting the right initial yields and the right return expectations as it relates to what's changed in our cost of capital. To give you, it's not, you know, a broad brush would be anywhere between 25 to 50 basis. You know, return expectations, obviously that varies with the property type or quality. but that's generally kind of the way that we've thought about it. But we're still expecting to be very active in 2027, but with a little bit different mindset if we're still in an environment where rates tend to move back upwards rather than down.
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Okay, that's helpful. with private capital interest still remaining strong. During this point, and I think the revised debt investment guidance still implies additional dispositions at the midpoint perhaps, maybe talk about the pipeline for additional asset sales here. Is there an opportunity to capitalize on that strong private capital demand in the market today ahead of potential deployment?
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, exactly. Thank you for highlighting that. What's implied in the guidance at the loan is we do have two assets in the market, which that'll just come down to timing. We're expecting at least one, if not both, to close by the end of the year. Obviously, we'll fall somewhere in between that range. At this point in the year, unless you have something probably awarded on the actual It may not get across the finish line before 1231, but we're still looking at buying some very attractive opportunities in the pipeline since today. It's still a very robust pipeline across all formats. We're seeing lifestyle power, obviously, on Anchor Strip. There's been a lot of activity there. And then our bread and butter neighborhood community. to call it $2.5 billion at any given time that we're looking at pipeline. I would expect that to remain consistent. And the good news is even with the competition in the Sun Belt increasing, that's not new. That's still been going on for three or four years. We've still been able to find pockets of opportunity that have, like I mentioned in the prepared remarks, been additive opportunities. already being very additive to the core growth profile portfolio.
Todd Thomas
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Okay, thank you.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Samir Canal with Bank of America. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Samir Khanal
Analyst, Bank of America
Thank you, and good morning, everybody. I guess maybe, DJ, maybe talk around kind of what you're seeing on the shop occupancy side at this point, right? How much more you can push on that end? And just broadly, how is the health of the local small shop tenant, right, as it relates to AR levels or delayed payments, given maybe the increase in interest rates we've seen?
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, you know, we have about, you know, just under 20% or so local tenants. Those are the ones that we tend to look at when we see some of these spikes that are a little bit more sensitive to inflation or re-movements. They've been very resilient. Obviously, there's been some small bankruptcies out there of which we have minimal exposure. But the small shop occupancy has still been very strong. I think implied in our guidance from a bad debt perspective is we're kind of trending towards the low end of that guidance for the full year. We're hopeful that The tenants that are still with us today will hold on through the end of the year. We may lose one or two there, but as Christy has mentioned in some of our previous calls and conversations, there's no trend. We have some operators that have been limping along for several years that have finally closed, and in many cases, those are spaces that we've been waiting to get back. as it relates to the occupancy question obviously we had a contraction in our S&O pipeline that's simply because we had some really nice anchors and then that should expand nicely in the other way by the end of the year and then as Christy mentioned we have 140 basis points you know of real good visibility as we move into you know 2027 if that holds even if we take on a Pretty measured bad debt reserve. We're talking about all-time high occupancy levels by mid-next year.
Samir Khanal
Analyst, Bank of America
Got it. And I guess as a follow-up, just looking at, you know, with the focus being on 27 for many investors now, as you look ahead today, do you see a path for same-stranded wide growth to accelerate? And I guess how much visibility do you have as it relates to that based on, you know, your existing leasing pipeline? Thanks.
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, it's hard to do it without getting too far into 2027. The path that we see is really a high probability of that long-term trajectory, which we've kind of 3% to 4% for the operating portfolio from the same property analyzer standpoint. But most importantly, as we get closer and closer to these frictional occupancy levels, You get opportunities to really curate the portfolio or keep a retention rate high, and I know we've talked about that a lot, which should accelerate free cash flow. That's what's exciting about the next couple of years is if the credit quality and the tenancy is so much better than it was in years past. Therefore, if the strong tenants that are still serving our communities You know, we were able to renew them at healthy renewal rates, you know, methodically curate those tenants that, you know, that we want to bring in better merchandise mix, but preserving capital. The acceleration really comes on the free cash flow side.
Samir Khanal
Analyst, Bank of America
Thanks a lot.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Feldman with Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Connor
Analyst, Wells Fargo
Hi, thank you. You have Connor on with Jamie here. Maybe a two-parter here on your lease to economic spread narrowing to 110 basis points this quarter. But building on last call's commentary, how much of the remaining $4.3 million do you expect to start paying rent in the fourth quarter versus 2027? And are there any known move-out offsets? and you expect to rebuild the spread from new signings or is 110 basis points more of a normal level going forward?
Mike Phillips
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, thanks. I can take that question. This is Mike. So, yeah, the $4.3 million that Christine mentioned, the third of that should come online this year, 2026 in the fourth quarter, which is really accelerating our same property and OI growth for the fourth quarter and about 75% Thank you. And then
Connor
Analyst, Wells Fargo
Maybe another, the net debt to EBITDA is now 5.3 times on a trailing basis, 4.9 on the current quarter annualized with the sub five times target by year end. If acquisition opportunities become more attractive in 2027, how much net investment can IVT fund while maintaining a leverage below five? And at what point would you consider equity or a joint venture?
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
So, good question. So obviously, you know, The annualized number is lower because we did get all the income from a lot of our more recent acquisitions. That should continue to move down as we move it to the end of the year, as you mentioned. Our leverage tolerance remains the same on a four basis. Our target has always been between five and five and a half times. We pushed a little bit further than that if we had with the whole idea of kind of balancing on a long-term basis right around five and a half times net debt deep stop. That still gives us plenty of capacity on the current balance sheet without having to go to a third-party partner or the equity markets. When we look at our business over the next five years, we can grow NOI substantially to the tune of almost 50% while using the current balance sheet and growing the business through external opportunities. Obviously, there's been a lot of private capital formations, both at the asset level and at the partnership or joint venture level in the space. Ventrust's philosophy up to this point has always been keeping a simple strategy, a wholly owned strategy. and that's, you know, resonated with investors to this point. Those pockets of capital are available to us if we were ever to want to go that route. But to this point, you know, we found, you know, the whole strategy given the homogenous nature of our portfolio, you know, the right avenue for us, at least at this time. Thank you.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Linda Tsai with Chewist. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Linda Tsai
Analyst, Truist
Hi, good morning. In terms of the anchor lease comment, is this the three anchor leases you hope to execute by year end as you discussed in 2Q? And then is there an update on the former painted tree in Dallas party city spaces?
Christy David
Chief Operating Officer
Thanks, Linda. This is Christy. With respect to the painted tree space, we were able to sign a lease with Nordstrom Rack, which we expect to come online and be open late 2027. So that was a great win for the team. Like I had said in the remarks, we were able to complete that in less than three months and able to get over 70% spread on that deal. With respect to the other anchor vacancies, we have six of them. three and including the the bells box that you mentioned are at our Gateway Market property in St. Pete Florida and those are all being held for a greater repositioning remark development program with an anchor repositioning at that center we expect to be able to break ground on that larger project in 2027. The other three one of them is at our remaining California assets and we do have an LOI on that particular space and the other two, one being the former party city at Stonehenge in Richmond and the former party city at the Highlands of Flower Run in Dallas. Each of those we expect to have signed leases on by the end of this year.
Linda Tsai
Analyst, Truist
Thanks. And then with non-option renewal spreads at 16%, are tenants asking for greater concessions or capital commitments to accept those increases?
Christy David
Chief Operating Officer
You know what? We have actually not seen anything out of the ordinary. across the portfolio, and being able to see what we can do, what the team can produce with those leases to actually get our hands and have the ability to negotiate those.
Linda Tsai
Analyst, Truist
Thank you.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. Your next question comes from the line of Michael Gorman with BTIG. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Michael Gorman
Analyst, BTIG
Yeah, thanks. Good morning. Maybe just building a little bit off of Linda's last question there. DJ, you mentioned kind of shifting into the free cash flow opportunity as the occupancy in the portfolio fills up towards that frictional level. And I'm just curious, do you see that being more driven by lower turnover in the portfolio? Or are you seeing greater progress on negotiating some of those capital commitments, given the tightness of the market where tenants aren't asking for the same build outs or accepting spaces as is? So you're seeing Michael Douglas Phillips is a great question.
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
It's much more of a former. It's more of a retention than the capital required to build out to be set. Now, having said that, obviously the format, the space, the category of which tenant that they're doing, is that all impacts capital in a different way. And those deals a lot of times just comes down to what does the tenant need to be successful? What type of build out do they need? Obviously, you know, local and regional tend to be a little bit less costly than some of the national, as you can imagine. Large format has always been an expensive endeavor. There's certain capital commitments that are just needed and necessary for for these tenants to be successful and hit their own returns, quite frankly. So we're happy to partner with them if we think that they can be successful, not only through the initial term, but through their option periods if we provide those as well. Where that free cash flow really accelerates is keeping your quality tenants in place, keeping your retention rate high and limiting that amount of TI and landlord work that you're doing on a recurring basis, which can really, really be meaningful. And not only can you increase cash flow, but you can preserve some of that capital for more value adding, value add redevelopments or developments at adjacencies or whatever.
Michael Gorman
Analyst, BTIG
Great. Thank you. Very helpful.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Paulina Rojas with Green Street. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Paulina Rojas
Analyst, Green Street
Good morning. DJ, you indicated that you expect to stay active on external growth in 2027, if I understood well. But our expectations are rising while private markets So, acquisitions are becoming increasingly harder to make pencil. So, as you think about the future, what are your thoughts on not setting external growth guidance, for example, for 2027 and staying truly opportunistic on that front?
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, no, so I think it's a good observation on some of my comments. I think what it comes down to, we're always opportunistic, right? And we're looking at the end of the day, we're always matching our different pockets of capital or a cost of capital to what uses we see available on the market or what type of returns we see in the market. And if that doesn't make sense, we're very happy to generate or just sit on our internal growth opportunities and wait for the market to come back to us because it will. And that's not to say that there aren't opportunities that we could go after today. One of the things that we pride ourselves on is not changing the scope of our core strategy at InventTrust because market conditions are allowing us to participate at any point in time. Said differently, we have a high quality portfolio. The portfolio that we've been able to aggregate is very unique and it's been able to deliver core growth over the time we've been public almost better than anyone else. If we start to veer on that strategy, whether it be markets or formats or frankly just quality, Sure, we can maybe surpass initial return hurdles, but we're going to dilute the quality and at some point dilute the growth profile and add additional risk to what today is a very, relatively speaking, lower risk, high quality portfolio. So your question is well taken. I think we're always going to be looking at things that make sense to add to the portfolio. and we will lean in when the time is right. And that's what we did earlier this year. That's what we've done the last several years. And I know that there will be opportunities at some point over the next 12 to 18 months to do the same thing.
Paulina Rojas
Analyst, Green Street
Okay. And then you mentioned private market values being sticky or I don't remember your exact words. Going into more detail, would you say that pricing hasn't moved at all or that there has been some movement but marginal? What do you hear from the marketplace? Any inclination to change underwriting targets if the situation remains as it is today?
D.J. Bush
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah. So the transaction market is funny that way, because everything that's being signed today was negotiated several weeks, if not months ago. So it's a little bit of a lag. Our sense is that it should change, just given what's happened over the last 90 days. Now, obviously, there's been this amount of volatility in the Treasury rates. All that takes a little bit time for the private market to digest because it's such a long process from marketing an asset to execution. And we're happy to kind of wait to see if some of those opportunities avail themselves. So our stance is if the market stays as it is today, there should be a little bit movement in pricing. Thus far, it's been very... There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to DJ Bush for closing remarks. Thank you to everyone who joined us. If you have any follow-up questions, please reach out. We'd be happy to discuss further. Otherwise, we're looking forward to seeing many of you at the conference this fall. Have a great day.
Caleb
Conference Call Operator
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.