KKR KKR & Co. Inc.
$96.48
KKR & Co. Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
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Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to KKR's third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. During today's presentation, all parties will be in a listen-only mode. Following management's prepared remarks, the conference will be open for questions. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. To ask a question, the command is star one on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I will now hand the call over to Craig Larson, Partner and Head of Investor Relations for KKR. Craig, please go ahead.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter 2026 earnings call. This morning, as usual, I'm joined by Rob Lewin, our Chief Financial Officer, and Scott Nuttall, our Co-Chief Executive Officer. We would like to remind everyone that we'll refer to non-GAAP measures on the call, which are reconciled to GAAP figures in our press release, which is available on the Investor Center section at KKR.com. And as a reminder, we report our segment numbers on an adjusted share basis. This call will contain forward-looking statements which do not guarantee future events or performance. Please refer to our earnings release and our SEC filings for cautionary factors about these statements. So first, beginning with our results for the quarter, once again for the second consecutive quarter, we're reporting record results across all three of our headline financial metrics. Fee-related earnings, total operating earnings, and adjusted net income per share. And over the trailing 12 months, LCM results for all three of these metrics also again set historic highs. Taking a closer look at Q3, Fee-related earnings per share came in at $1.42. That's up 24% year-over-year. Total operating earnings per share of $1.88 are up 21% year-over-year. And adjusted net income per share of $1.78 is up 26% compared to Q3 of 2025. Management fees in the quarter were $1.2 billion. Looking at management fees, excluding catch-up fees in all periods, Management fees grew 16% year-over-year and were up 19% looking at the first nine months of 26 compared to 25. And visibility here remains healthy as AUM that has not yet turned on and is not yet paying management fees ended the quarter at $75 billion with a blended fee rate of approximately 90 basis points. Since the start of the year, that $75 billion figure is up 24%. and two additional items of note just on the management fee side. First, it's worth highlighting our progress in real assets. Over the last three years, fee-paying AUM has increased from $108 billion to $176 billion. That's an 18% CAGR with a blended fee rate X catch-up fees that has increased every year alongside. And second, looking even more broadly, in 2019, we earned $1.2 billion of management fees across the full year. Given the growth and diversification across KKR, we're generating this level of management fees now in a single quarter. Back to our Q3 results. Total transaction and monitoring fees were $328 million in the quarter. Capital markets fees reached $290 million. That's our third highest quarterly result on record. And insurance-related capital markets activity picked up nicely this quarter. Fee-related performance revenues were $326 million and are up year-over-year, driven by our U.S. domiciled infrastructure and private equity K-Series vehicles. As a reminder, this is the second quarter where the crystallization from private equity wealth is sitting within that FRPR line. Turning to expenses, fee-related compensation was again at the midpoint of our guided range at 17.5%. and other operating expenses for the quarter came in at $215 million. So in total, fee-related earnings were a record $1.3 billion, or the $1.42 per share figure I mentioned a few moments ago. And our FRE margin came in just around 71%, also the highest we've reported in our history. Insurance segment operating earnings were $230 million. Excluding the impact of GA's annual actuarial assumption review and other related items, insurance operating earnings would have been $257 million. As we've discussed on prior calls, insurance operating earnings do not fully capture the broader impact of GA to KKR. So page 17 of the earnings release details the management fees under our investment management agreement, fees from IV-related vehicles, where we now have over $60 billion of AUM, that wouldn't exist without GA, as well as GA-related capital markets fees, again, which picked up in Q3. So while we've been more disciplined throughout the first half of the year, given the competitive environment, we're still feeling really attractive all in economics. And over the LTM, that total insurance economic figure was $1.9 billion. That's net of compensation. And that does not include, as a reminder, the impact of mark-to-market as we report our insurance investment portfolio largely based on cash outcomes. Turning now to strategic holdings, we delivered a strong quarter with 192 million of operating earnings, bringing the year-to-date total to 277 million. This puts us firmly on track to achieve our expectation of more than 350 million in operating earnings for full year 2026. And additionally, as you'll likely recall, we announced the sale of USI in the quarter, Our most mature strategic holdings position that represents an exceptional outcome for our core private equity investors as well as our shareholders. Rob's going to touch base on this transaction in greater detail in a few minutes. So altogether, total operating earnings, which as a reminder, represents the more recurring components of our earnings streams, were $1.88 per share. That's up 21% year over year. And over the last 12 months, 84% of our total pre-tax segment earnings were driven by these more recurring earnings streams, which again, we feel demonstrates the durability of our model. Moving now to investing earnings, realized performance and investment income totaled $824 million, and we had $71 million of net realized investment income in strategic holdings. And again, just to be clear, these results do not reflect the USI transaction, which is subject to closing. So after interest expense and taxes, adjusted net income was just about $1.6 billion, or $1.78 per share for the quarter. Turning to investment performance and page 10 of the release, Q3 was a volatile quarter across markets. The yield on the 10-year Treasury surged by 80 basis points. The Russell 2000 declined 7% in Q3, and the S&P 500 X the Mag 7 declined by 2%. So against all of this volatility, our private equity portfolio was flat. Infrastructure has continued to be resilient, plus 4% in the quarter, while the opportunistic real estate portfolio declined 2%. And with high yield indices off 2% in Q3 and the LSTA plus 2%, our leverage credit and alternative credit composites were up 1% and 3% respectively. And then finally, I'll spend a moment on some of our key operating metrics. On the investing side, we deployed $20 billion of capital in Q3 with activity really broad-based across geographies and asset classes. This brings us to $98 billion of capital invested over the trailing 12 months, which is up 15% compared to the prior period. And with a record $146 billion of dry powder available, we remain incredibly well positioned to build our portfolio for the future. Turning to fundraising, We raised $25 billion of new capital in the quarter and $116 billion over the trailing 12 months with demand also quite widespread. Some highlights here for the quarter. Within real assets, we continue to see momentum. Early in Q3, we held the final close of the latest vintage of our flagship global infrastructure fund at $19.2 billion, eclipsing the prior $17 billion fund. And we continue to make meaningful progress in raising capital for our Asia infrastructure strategy. On a combined basis, these efforts represent over $25 billion of committed capital to date. And at Helix, Samsung committed $1 billion to this AI infrastructure strategy, contributing to the more than $11 billion in total commitments today. Turning to wealth, we brought in $3 billion of capital in Q3. That's up 11% from just last quarter. and K-Series AUM now stands at $45 billion. That's up 55% year-over-year, and on a year-to-date basis, AUM is up 32%. And AUM and our K-Series private equity and infrastructure vehicles have now reached $22 billion and $17 billion respectively in just three years. And lastly, in credit, we raised $14 billion of capital in the quarter. and continue to expect a record fundraising year for total third-party credit overall and private credit specifically. So in summary, we had another record quarter and we have a great deal of momentum again as we look ahead. And with that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Rob.
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Thanks a lot Craig and thank you everyone for joining our call this morning. As Craig just walked through, our model continues to deliver consistent and differentiated results with our key headline metrics all up north of 20% year on year. I'm going to spend a bit of time this morning going through the activity that we are seeing across the firm, which is directly driving these record results. Let me first start with our modernization activity, which has been a real bright spot for us. If I could turn you to page 21 of the earnings release. We have already returned more capital to our clients in 2026 relative to any year in our history and that is excluding Q4 activity and the announced USI transaction. This stands in sharp contrast to the muted monetization activity that we are seeing across our industry and I think reflects both the performance of our portfolio and the benefits of our disciplined approach to linear deployment and portfolio construction. Year-to-date We have returned $31 billion to our clients across private equity, real assets, and credit, and including announced transactions and activity completed since September 30th. We expect that figure to reach over $40 billion in 2026, exceeding our previous annual record by more than 50%. Turning briefly to USI, in late August, we announced the sale of the business, which was our inaugural core private equity investment. This transaction represents a really compelling outcome both for our clients as well as our shareholders, and we view it as a real proof point for KKR's business model and the long-term earnings that strategic holdings investment can provide for our business. The sale is expected to deliver an approximately six times multiple of our costs on the original 2017 investment, a 3.4 times multiple on all KKR balance sheet capital, Part of which was invested just last year. And a roughly 33% premium to USI's unaffected valuation last quarter. And incremental to this are approximately $550 million of earnings generated over the life of the investment from realized carried interest, management fees, as well as capital markets transaction fees. Upon closing, we expect to receive after-tax proceeds or incremental liquidity of approximately $3.3 billion. In addition, we would expect to generate approximately $2 billion of adjusted net income, which translates to a little over $2 per share. USI demonstrates the significant value that can be created by leveraging KKR's core competencies, including our investment capabilities and our approach to capital allocation. We expect Strategic Holdings to continue building on this theme. As a reminder, Strategic Holdings represents KKR's direct ownership in companies that we believe are durable, less cyclical, and well-positioned to compound value over the long term. But we are always actively managing the portfolio and will sell companies when we believe doing so can create even more value. And in thinking through the sale of USI, We ultimately determined that we could reinvest the freed up liquidity back into our business in a manner that will be accretive to our earnings per share over the long term. Which brings us to our capital allocation framework, which we view as critical to our long term performance. As a reminder, we have four key tools available to us. Share buybacks, strategic holdings, strategic M&A, and insurance. These all take full advantage of the KKR ecosystem, and as a result, we have potential for very high ROEs. Importantly, our capital allocation approach does not assign a predetermined amount of capital spend into any one of those four buckets. Rather, our focus here is all about how we take that marginal dollar of cash flow and drive the most recurring, durable, and growth-oriented earnings on a per share basis. We believe capital allocation, in its own right, is a core competency of our management team. And given employees here own roughly 30% of our stock, this mindset is one that is highly aligned with our shareholders. We believe that we have delivered a lot of value over time through strategically allocating our capital and are very confident in our ability to continue to do so into the future. And with some of the volatility that we are witnessing across markets, the opportunity to reinvest the $3.3 billion of after-tax proceeds we're receiving from USI is becoming even more compelling. Let me go through some examples of our recent activity here. First, as it relates to share buybacks, it is an area where we have leaned into this year. Looking at activity from the beginning of Q3 through November 4, We have repurchased or retired 567 million of stock. And since the start of the year, that number is over 900 million with an average price of $92 per share. From our seats, we see a very big disconnect between perception of our industry and our share price relative to the durability and growth orientation of our business model and our execution. But ultimately, We have conviction that by buying back more shares, we will increase our long-term earnings per share. That is why you've seen us deploy into the opportunity here. And I note that is both at the firm level and through purchases made directly by our co-CEOs and a number of our directors earlier in 2026. Moving to strategic holdings. We have reiterated our 350-plus million and 1.1-plus billion guidance for 2026 and 2030, respectively, given the maturation of our existing portfolio alongside what is an attractive pipeline of new investment opportunities. On this last point, you would have seen us recently leaning into the opportunity set here with our newest strategic holdings companies. Integer, a leader in global medical device contract development, Gen2 Fund Services, one of the largest providers of outsourced private markets fund administrative services in North America, a space we obviously know well. And A1, a leading provider of residential garage door services. We are already well on our way to replenishing the foregone earnings from USI and feel we can grow the portfolio at a faster rate given our pipeline. As we continue to execute on strategic holdings, We have strong conviction that this engine of our business model will be a massive differentiator for us over the next decade plus. Within Strategic M&A, we completed the acquisition of Arctos in May of this year. The business is already tracking well ahead of budget, and we are seeing great momentum across the platform. We closed Keystone last quarter at roughly $6 billion in total commitments, which is the largest first-time fund in the broader GP solution space. We just launched the latest vintage of Arcos' sports strategy, and we are making great progress on a new GP-led secondary strategy that we expect to launch in 2027. Altogether, we expect our new investing vertical called KKR Solutions to be a $100-plus billion AUM business over time. And finally, within insurance, we were more selective in allocating capital here during the first half of 2026. Given the competitive environment, and the attractive opportunities elsewhere across our business. In the third quarter, however, we did see opportunities to write business at higher returns and began to lean back in. Total capital raised in insurance was just north of $9 billion in the quarter. That is up 42% from Q2 and 53% from Q1. We have positioned the business to respond quickly to changes in the market, including the rate environment. To put that into perspective, on the retail side, new business volumes reached $3.4 billion in the quarter, compared to $4.5 billion across the entire first half of 2026. That third quarter pace implies an annualized run rate of approximately $13.5 billion. And we've been picking up momentum. Looking at just September and October, we've been run rating approximately $20 billion annually. So we are encouraged by the activity in insurance and importantly, we have been able to grow volumes while maintaining our discipline on returns and capital allocation. And additionally at GA, tying back to where I started my comments around monetization activity, we do expect a sizable gain from the sale of a rail car equipment lessor, which we announced in October. That transaction is expected to generate over $200 million of operating earnings when it closes, which we expect in the first quarter of 2027. Taking a step back, we are very pleased with the progress that we have made across our business. We are generating meaningfully higher earnings from a more diversified business, and that progress is showing up in our results. We have now delivered record earnings at each of the last two quarters. And our forward indicators are as strong as they have ever been. Dry powder, uncalled capital not yet earning fees, and embedded gains are all at or near record levels. giving us confidence in the earnings growth ahead. With that momentum and the expected contribution from the USI sale, we believe that we are well positioned to deliver a third consecutive quarter with record ANI per share to close out the year. And by our next earnings call, KKR will have fully transitioned to a traditional one share, one vote governance structure following the sunset of the super voting rights held by our co-founders Henry Kravis and George Roberts. This represents another important milestone in KKR's journey as a public company, with shareholders benefiting not only from very strong financial and operating performance, but also from enhanced governance rights. With that, I'm going to hand the call over to Scott.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Thanks, Rob. Hi, everybody. Thanks for joining our call today. There's a lot being written about our industry, and most of it is not flattering. We think what's missing is a broader historical context. So I thought today we would share our perspective through the lens of our 50 years of experience. The first thing we want to do is acknowledge all of the noise and complexity that have made it so difficult for the market to understand what's really happening. This year alone, we've heard worries about software, private credit, private wealth, private equity monetization, insurance affiliate issues, the impact of higher interest rates, and the consequence of all of the aforementioned on overall returns and the ability to raise scale capital. There has been a lot thrown at you and no shortage of things to worry about. As you just heard, despite all of this noise and all of these questions, we continue to report record results. And it is not just this quarter and not just some metrics This will be a record year for us across all of our headline financial metrics, including monetizations, both profit realized for and cash distributed back to our investors. And the momentum going forward is strong. So how do we square the broader private market sentiment with our performance? Herein lies the opportunity for a broader historical perspective to make sense of all of this. When you step back, we think there are two things going on. First, alternative asset managers have not been public companies for very long. Most of us came public around the time of the financial crisis or thereafter. So the market's ability to learn about our business model has been limited by the market environment over the last 16 years. As we have discussed on prior calls, the first 10 of those years were a benign environment with low interest rates, low inflation, and multiples expanding. It was a relatively straightforward period in which to generate returns, especially investing in levered equity. The last six years, however, have been more complicated. With a pandemic, rising rates and inflation, two wars, tariffs, and anxiety about both the downside and the opportunity set afforded by AI. Speaking of history and to put a finer point on it, the average 10-year treasury yield since KKR was founded in 1976 is 5.8%. The average treasury yield since the beginning of 2010 is 2.7%. Said simply, today's Treasury rate at around 5% is less than the 50-year average since KKR was founded. But the market has only known our space in a public context in a 2% to 3% or lower interest rate environment until very recently. So your experience set is different than ours. We generated strong returns for our investors before 2010. and in much higher interest rate environments than the one we're in right now. But the public market has not had the benefit of experiencing that yet. And uncertainty and fear tend to be very powerful emotions. Part of why we like this period of time is that it will provide you with the opportunity to get to know us and our business better. And we can move from theory to more of a shared lived experience. Our strong belief is that you only know if you're good in this business once you've been able to invest through a few cycles. What makes this time particularly challenging to understand is that we have not had a normal recession or cycle in the United States, for example, for 16 years. You have to go back to the financial crisis. And the one prior to that was in 2001, around the time of the telecom bubble. So most of the opportunity the public markets have had to get to know our space has been in an environment where we haven't had a real cycle. And everyone is learning together. Both the public markets and, we believe, a number of the younger entrants in the private markets. In the past, we've talked about the fact that the private markets industry was about $3 trillion in size at the time of the financial crisis. That number today is in excess of $15 trillion. That sounds like a lot of growth, but it's about 12% per year. Through our lens, what is more important to understand is the number of participants in the industry that have experienced investing through cycles. That's where the numbers get far more interesting. As best we can tell, over 65% of the participants in the private markets industry were formed after 2009. They are not even in existence at the time of the global financial crisis. Said another way, only 35% of the market participants have experienced a real recession or cycle. And if you want to go back further to the 2001 recession, less than 20% of the market participants were in business at that time. Said simply, 65% of the firms in our industry have not experienced a real cycle and over 80% were not around at the time of the 2001 recession. That is a lot of new players. Most investors are experiential learners. What is happening now, we believe, is that many market participants, a majority, are learning by doing. And some of their results will reflect the fact that they have not invested through a cycle before. We expect many of them will learn from it and, like us, Get better from the experience. Some will disappear. Where we are different is that we have been around for 50 years. We've seen not only the financial crisis in the 2001 recession, but you could go back further to the early 90s real estate crisis. We've seen oil shocks. We've seen the recession of the early 80s. We've seen a 20 plus percent prime rate. We've been able to invest and learn over the course of many cycles over the last five decades. And most of the firms operating in our space have not. That is a critical distinction in our view. We try to be a learning organization. A lot of the mistakes that other people are making now, we made a couple decades ago or more. And we changed our investment process to reflect the mistakes we made and become better all-weather through-cycle investors. That we believe is what is showing up in our results. So another reason we like this time is that it gives you an opportunity to see what's different about us and that benefit of experience. But there's not just an educational benefit to all of this. It's also a fundamental positive for our business momentum. The good news for us in this now K-shaped industry is that the happy part of the K is taking market share from the less happy part of the K. We are raising more capital now than we ever have. And we are finding a significantly magnified focus by global investors on through cycle investment acumen. The result is more concentrated commitments by our clients with firms like ours that are performing through the noise. and we anticipate this dynamic will accelerate going forward. We say all this with a lot of humility and acknowledging that we will continue to make mistakes and we will continue to learn. We say all this acknowledging we do not get everything right, but we are working to get better at what we do. We believe we are making progress and we are pleased to see that progress in our results. I hope this explanation helps as you decipher all of the information coming out about our industry and all of the varied stories being written about our space. And I hope it helps to put our results in context and allows you to better understand the confidence we have in our own future. As I said last quarter, the best response to pessimism is performance. We get that. Our focus is on continuing to perform for everybody counting on us, including you, our fellow shareholders and partners. With that, we're happy to take your questions.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. At this time, we'll be conducting a question and answer session. If you'd like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you'd like to remove your question from the queue. We ask that analysts only ask one question and return to the queue if they have a follow-up. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the store keys. One moment, please, while we poll for questions. Our first question comes from Craig Siegenthaler with Bank of America. Your line is now live.
Craig Siegenthaler
Analyst, Bank of America
Thanks. Good morning, Scott, Rob. Hope everyone is doing well. We have a set of questions on Global Atlantic. And I heard your comments that you're leaning into growth at GA and we saw the inflow acceleration in 3Q. But can you talk about what changed from June 30th to September 30th? How much of this was the 10-year US Treasury yield given the natural rate sensitivity of GA? and have you been leaning into higher yielding segments of the AI adjacency verticals like GPU financing? And sorry, just one more. I know there's a bunch here, but you have some long-term goals in place, duration extensions, reallocation to alts within GA. Where are you in that trajectory?
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Great. Good morning, Craig. Let us start going through those one by one. Probably a combination of us will tackle some of your questions. As it relates to the first one, we saw a better opportunity to invest in the quarter and I think that came from a number of different factors. We did see the rate movement upward and we have positioned the business to respond very quickly to that. At the same time, you would have seen some movement in fixed income spreads and so the left-hand side of the balance sheet moved in our direction and we didn't see Thank you very much. Thank you for joining us today. increase the pace at which we move the book of assets to an alternative portfolio, roughly 2% of our portfolio today. We can see that getting closer to industry average, but that's going to happen over time. Industry average is closer to 5% to 8%. But as we've mentioned multiple times on these calls, we're going to do this in a way that's prudent and in a way that matches the extension of the duration of our liabilities, which we continue to to work through. Go ahead, Scott.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Just one other thing I would add is I think we talked in the past about a big focus the last 12, 24 months has been having our investment teams globally source these structured alternatives deals that we think are very attractive and fit nicely, investment-grade opportunities that fit into the GA balance sheet. Some of those just take several weeks or months to actually gestate and be able to close. And so part of what's also going on is feeding what Rob's talking about. We've got a significantly increased pipeline and a magnified focus across the firm that's really taken hold. Operator, we'll go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Glenn Shore with Evercore. Your line is now live.
Glenn Schorr
Analyst, Evercore
Hello, thanks very much. One of the conversations I get into a bunch is on quality of earnings. and people look at a quarter like this and say, okay, you have all those records, but some of the beat today is transaction fees, strategic holdings, FRPR, performance fees, but management fee and insurance earnings are decelerating. So they don't like that mix. You've spoken to part of it, but I do want to give you a chance to respond to the aggregate. But I want to specifically focus on transaction fees. I think you were one of the first to enhance the quality and the scale of the platform. You make a lot of money from it, but people somehow discount that as lesser class than a management fee. So maybe get your perspective on how to think about that over the next couple of years in terms of per dollar of AUM per dollar of deployment with all your dry powders. There are lots of white space. I just wanted to get your big picture thoughts on quality of earnings. So I really appreciate it. Thanks.
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Thanks for the question, Glenn. It's Rob. I'll start. So we have positioned our firm very much on purpose to be able to have multiple ways to positively impact the P&L. And you listed off a bunch in your response, and we think that's important. Multiple different ways for us to be able to utilize our model to be able to achieve outcomes first and foremost for our clients, policyholders, and shareholders. And you're seeing some of that flow through our earnings over the past couple of quarters. As it relates specifically to your question on transaction fees, I think you're getting into capital markets fees. You know, we look at the scale of the business we've created in capital markets and its breadth. And when I talk about breadth, I can talk about it by geography. I could talk about it by client coverage. I can also talk about it around product. And so you think about insurance-related capital markets fees on the product side, structured products can add into that. Think on the geography side, big opportunity for us in Asia Pacific. And on the client side, we've got a very significant effort to cover both the sponsor and corporate community that we think provides just an additional layer of growth for that business. Interestingly, if you look at our capital markets business and maybe look at a decade ago, you would have seen very significant peaks and valleys. Based on what I just went through, I think we've brought up the floor in that business pretty dramatically over the years. You look at, go back in history, 2023 and 2024, you know, the capital markets in both of those years were largely shut. You did not see a lot of leveraged finance activity. And in each of those years, we generated 600 plus million of capital markets fees. Obviously, in a more robust capital markets environment, you're seeing us deliver much better results. But I think the key for us is, are we building a business that is both durable, can protect fees on the downside? We think the answer is yes. And then are we building a business that has multiple growth levers in front of it? We also think the answer is yes there, too. But back to where you started this question, Glenn, lots of different ways to positively impact the P&L. That is our business model, and we believe we're delivering on that.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Hey, Glenn. It's Scott. The only thing I would add, maybe just a little bit of color. As you know, with the capital markets business, we're monetizing the deal flow that we have inherent in the firm to a much greater extent. And I really do view these as recurring. And if you look at kind of the activity level across the firm, it is recurring and it is an incredibly high flow through margin because we don't have a lot of people that are doing this. A lot of the deal work is already being done by the deal teams. And so if you look at it, we habitually are syndicating 10 to 20 billion plus of equity a year. And you add on top of that the financing and refinancing across the embedded portfolio, which is always busy. Then you add on top of that the third party business, which also feeds direct lending and other parts of our credit business. Plus IPOs, plus secondaries, and plus on top of that to your question about white space, Global Atlantic slash insurance and these big structured alt seals. And so in any given week, we've got multiple different transactions that are kind of working their way through the capital markets business. And I do view that as highly recurring. To Rob's point, you can see the baseline of that business continue to increase. So I really appreciate the question because I don't really think the market fully understands what I just said. And we see significant growth opportunities ahead.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
We'll go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Alex. Bloestein with Goldman Sachs. Your line is now live.
Alex Blostein
Analyst, Goldman Sachs
Hey, everybody. Good morning. Thank you for the question. So lots of developments in the last week or two related to the AI ecosystem broadly and KKR generally has been a bit more measured and kind of picking your spots as you lean into it. But it's helpful to maybe kind of mark to market where your sort of AI related infrastructure exposure sits between both your credit business and your equity related businesses and I guess more importantly as you think about the forward growth and we see moderation and deployment opportunities related to any sort of data center restrictions how impactful could that be on your forward growth thank you great Alex Scott first off congratulations thank you let me start
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
So at the highest level, and I appreciate you asking the question, so I'm going to go high altitude because I think it's important context. Obviously, AI is a very large opportunity. We think we're really well positioned to benefit, but we're also cognizant of the risks. And like any set of developments like this, we think money will be made and money will be lost. So our thinking is grounded in three things. First, recognition that no one knows how this will play out. This level of spend this fast is unprecedented. And we think it's important to approach all of this with a lot of humility. Second, we try to stay focused on what we're authentically good at. We find in moments like this, which are a mix of excitement and confusion, it's important to stay grounded in what we do well so we don't drift. Third thing I'd say, it's important to set a goal. So our goal has been that in 10 years we want to look back and be proud of how we protected our clients' capital and realized profit for them by leveraging what I referenced before, what we're authentically good at. We want to be proud of the body of work regardless of how all this plays out. So through that lens, we've been doing a few things. And I know your question is focused on data centers, but it's broader than just data centers. It's kind of how we thought about what's going on here. First thing you need to do when you have a disruptive technology, in our experience, is get out of the way of disruption. We did an inventory of what we owned four or five years ago and looked at everything through the lens of where is AI an opportunity, a threat, or a question mark. If it was a threat or a question mark, we decided to try to get out of the way. And so we sold some businesses that we were worried about. But that's probably an important part of this. You've got to make sure you don't get disrupted. We learned that from what happened with the internet advent. Second, we recognize we own some assets today that are really benefiting in an outsized way from what's going on with AI. We've been selling those in some cases. This year, Kokusai is a good example in Japan. Semiconductor equipment business, cool IT we've talked about. We sold Cocoside for roughly 20 times our investors cost, Cool IT for 15 times. Maybe if we'd held them longer, we could have done better than that, but those are pretty good outcomes. And third, to your question, we've been trying to judiciously deploy capital into new opportunities, but trying to do that with a long-term mindset and an eye to portfolio construction, diversification, and deployment pacing. So we've done roughly 45 billion of equity investments in digital infra today, roughly 40 billion of equity in power deals so far, but we're staying diversified. So the seven data center platforms we have, they aggregate 6% of our infrastructure AUM. And when you take those investments plus other things we have across the firm, including Global Atlantic, it aggregates 1 to 2% of total firm AUM. and we're trying to be appropriately careful right so a lot of the off takes for cloud not AI when we bought Cyrus One five years ago as an example that was predicated on cloud AI was all upside 90% of our long-term lease exposures are to governments or investment-grade hyperscalers 3% are to neo-clouds just to size it for you and we've also been trying to think about how do we develop new Capital, new approaches to this space. And we've talked in the past about Helix, which is more of a one-stop shop. It's got power, data centers, and equipment all in one offering to work with hyperscalers. So as I said, our overall expectation is that money will be made and lost, but we're trying to lean on our experience. So that means get out of the way where you need to, sell a bit early. That's better than a bit late. and focus on your downside and be ready to be opportunistic if some run into trouble. That's usually where some of the most interesting opportunities arise. Craig, anything you want to add?
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
No, I think that's great. We'll go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Steven Chubik with Wilf Research. Your line is now live.
Steven Chubak
Analyst, Wolfe Research
Good morning, Scott and Robin. Thanks for taking my question. So I wanted to ask on the management fee outlook, Ticking through the list of upcoming fundraising campaigns, Asia Infra should continue to raise early in the first half next year. You have Asia Private Equity in Europe, which will generate inflows through 27 and 28. But zooming out, we are entering a period beginning in 27 of lighter campaign contributions following a very active super cycle. And I was hoping you could speak to the expected contribution from non-campaign fundraising ahead. and how it informs your outlook for management fee growth heading into 27.
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Hey Steven, it's Rob. I'm glad you asked about management fees. Maybe take it a step back. You know, this has been a real strength of our franchise, but I want to be clear about how we think about that strength that it is not just focused on one line item here either. If you look back in history, and we'll come to the future in a second, we've clearly had really robust management fee growth over the past several years. You look since the end of 2022, we've compounded here at roughly a 17% level. We're proud of that as a management team, but we're also proud of a few other things that I'd say go in tandem with management fee growth. Number one is diversification. Prior to the closed transaction with Arcus, we had roughly a third of our management fees coming from each one of our three business lines. So a third from private equity, real assets, and credit and liquid strategies. Number two, we've done so while simultaneously increasing the duration of our capital. Today, 54% of our capital is now perpetual or 15 plus years in duration. We spend a lot of time talking about that. And then most importantly, as you think about management fees, We've ensured that our management fees dropped to the bottom line. So 17% compounded growth since 2022. Our OpEx has compounded at 10% during that time. And because of a shift we have made in our comp ratios, our fee-related comp has compounded at 2% during that time. So we've taken the 17% management fee growth and translated that into 22% FRE growth. That's what's really important. And I think if you think about our business model, we spend a lot of time on these calls talking about it. We want to be great in areas that we are already present. And to your question, we see a lot of room for growth across our platform. We have $75 billion of AUM not yet earning fees. That's a record number for us, and that's up 24% just from the beginning of the year. But at the same time, we don't want to be all things to all people in asset management. We've said that for a while now. We're not going to start something new unless it can be really scalable and we think we can be uniquely great at it. As a result, we're not the platform that's going to go downmarket for that last dollar of management fee growth. But what we do know is that our strategy is going to yield maximum efficiency as it relates to how we translate management fee growth into FRE growth. and that's what we care the most about because we do not think our model requires a lot more operating complexity or people intensity to be able to achieve those results. And maybe lastly on the point as we're talking about business model because I think it's important, I think it's worth remembering that this strategy has much more focus to it and it is also much more compatible with keeping our small collaborative culture which in turn is what we think generates a lot of our investment alpha which in turn makes the flywheel continue to perpetuate. Hopefully that's helpful in terms of how we think about it big picture. A lot of specifics that of course go into any one year but that is how we approach this topic of management fee growth and really it's a translation into durable management fee growth over time and bottom line results.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Operator, let's go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Benjamin Budish with Barclays Bank. Your line is now live.
Benjamin Budish
Analyst, Barclays
Hi, good morning, and thanks for taking my question. I wanted to ask a few follow-ups on the back of, I think, Craig's question from earlier on the insurance side. I guess you talked about the allocation to alts. I'm curious if you could also spend a bit of time talking about your allocation to investment-grade private credit on the fixed income side. And then you guys mentioned earlier that the capital markets fees related to GA had kind of stepped up this quarter. I'm curious if you could unpack that a little bit. I know that's been sort of part of the thesis, sort of another place that KKR can benefit more broadly, but what did you see in Q3? You know, how can we think about that scaling up over time as well? Thank you.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Hey, Ben, it's Craig. Why don't I start? So I think, look, at the starting point here, I think I'd even take it up a level as it relates to ratings and capital position. So looking across the four agencies, GA has been affirmed or upgraded by all four of these agencies over the last 18 months. Capital position remains really strong, ahead of its RBC range, lots of liquidity. And so I think when we look at GA's portfolio as a whole, diversified by asset class, industry sector, geography issuer, quality of the portfolio remains high, 94% NAIC 1 or 2. Now to your question, we do get asked a lot about GA's exposure to private originated fixed income. So you may have seen on GA's website as it relates to where you see the bondholder presentations, we've actually added quite a bit of I think to summarize some of that disclosure of GA's adjusted investment assets, around 4% of that is invested in senior secured direct lending. And if someone is more narrowly focused on the non-IG rated portion of that piece of the pie, the number's lower. So the non-investment grade rated portion of that's around 1% of adjusted invested assets. So again, it's a small piece. And I think if you look back more holistically, When you look at where we've chosen to invest in risk assets, it's really been this first lean senior secured risk. We've been less focused on the equity bucket, for instance. So I think, again, looking at the portfolio as a whole, GA would have more limited equity exposure relative to peers. So I think as it relates to the overall investment portfolio and on this topic, those are some of the things that give us comfort.
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Ben, let me follow up real quickly on your question on capital markets. We've talked about it being a very significant opportunity for our business model. In the quarter, we generated plus or minus $50 million of revenue and insurance-related capital markets fees. As Scott mentioned, we started to see some of those structured alts come to fruition. I think that, in particular, is a big opportunity for the broader platform, inclusive of capital markets syndication.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Yeah, we've shared in the past we expect that to be several hundred million of capital markets revenues a year. That continues to be our expectation.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
We'll go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Michael Cypress with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now live.
Michael Cyprys
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Hi, good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I just wanted to circle back to capital allocation and the $3.3 billion of USI sale proceeds heard you outline four areas for potential allocation of capital there. Just curious how you're weighing those different opportunities, where incrementally you're seeing at the margin more attractive opportunities, how to maybe buybacks most immediately. And just curious, what's the timeframe for putting that capital back to work? And with the recent strategic holdings investments, how should we think about the contribution of dividends from holdings into 27 and 28, given the newer investments you've made?
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Great. Thanks, Mike. Listen, it's a dialogue that we are having absolutely all the time, right, as it relates to capital allocation. We have no fixed dollar amount or percentage to go against any one of our four buckets of capital allocation. It is really all about how we take that marginal dollar-free cash flow and deploy it in a way that generates the most amount of earnings per share that are both durable and growth-oriented. That's our goal, and variables are going to be changing all the time. As we talked through as an example, we saw variables shift a little bit in the quarter on insurance, and we started to allocate more capital there. Share buybacks, obviously an area where we've allocated real capital in the quarter and for the year. And our expectation is that could be an interesting and compelling opportunity for our shareholders going forward. As it relates to your question on strategic holdings and USI, so we've already announced three new investments. I touched on those in my prepared remarks. One has already closed. In Q4. Taken together, we would expect these three investments to generate roughly half of USI's anticipated operating earnings by 2028 and nearly match it by 2030. So in short, we've not even closed on USI yet, and we already have investments that would largely replace the 2020 Thank you for joining us today. and a number of other people involved in our business.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Mike and Scott, just one thing I'd add. If you go back to April 24 when we had our investor day, one of the things we shared is that we saw a path to 15 plus dollars per share of ANI in 10 years or less, so-called that 2034 or earlier. And so what we're really doing as we look at these capital allocation questions is thinking about where can we generate the biggest impact on that $15 plus outcome. And the good news is right now buybacks are creative and look good, strategic holdings are creative and look good, and insurance is creative and looks good. So we're able to have a pretty good debate around how and where to allocate amongst those three, but they all look quite attractive. Some are more attractive immediately, some are more attractive longer term, but it falls in the good problem category.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Rob, let's move on to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Mike Brown with UBS. Your line is now live.
Mike Brown
Analyst, UBS
Thanks for taking my question. So KKR is returning more than 40 billion to clients in 2026, and so you're exceeding your prior annual record. How deep is the remaining monetization pipeline here? And as we look out to 2027, Is the 20% plus level that consensus is taking in for realized performance revenues achievable given the current market conditions? And then just given you've given a view into 4Q, can you maybe help frame the monetization level that you're expecting to see for the fourth quarter based on what you know currently?
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Yeah, sure. Mike, let me take those questions. So as we look forward to our monetization Visibility, obviously that number is quite robust with USI. Three and a half plus billion dollars over the next couple of quarters. That'd be split roughly 75% realized investment income, 25% realized performance revenue. Ex-USI numbers about 600 million. About 85% of that 600 million is going to be realized investment income. or other forms of revenue that have a similar complot, so a high flow-through to that $600 million. And on a look-forward basis, there's no predictions as it relates to 2027, lots of different things that can impact where we are. But our embedded gains across our platform today at 930 stand at $18 billion. That is up around 60% over the past three years. And that has happened while I think it's fair to say that we have outpaced the industry on monetizations which clearly have a negative drag to that $18 billion. So feel good about how we're positioned heading into 2027 and we'll of course see how the market performs and where it makes sense to monetize on behalf of our clients.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Operator, let's go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Dan Fannin with Jefferies. Your line is now live.
Dan Fannin
Analyst, Jefferies
Thanks. Good morning. So, we're hoping to get an update on your outlook for private wealth and your K-Series suite of products and just where you are in the distribution rollout and as we think about more products into next year, other things that are in the pipeline or planned at this point.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Hey, Dan. It's Craig. Why don't I start? In terms of the progress, in some ways, we think the statistics speak for themselves. So AUM was $45 billion at September 30. That's up 55% relative to a year ago. On a year-to-date basis, up over 30%. And we think those are pretty positive numbers. Think of all the volatility, all the angst, all the headlines on wealth in AUM over the first nine months of the year is up a pretty healthy amount. Six of our eight strategies, if you look more recently, had positive flows in the quarter. And for the two that were negative, one was negative $4 million and the second was negative $15 million. So again, I think all of those statistics speak very positively about our franchise, about the brand, about the distribution, about the investments we've made, about this being a global opportunity. And to your point on new products, we're not done yet, so we don't have We don't have anything to announce at the moment in terms of incremental products and strategies but stay tuned. And I think the wealth platforms themselves remain very interested in the engagement that we have as it relates to this very topic and opportunities that we see to continue to expand the K-Series into additional directions.
Dan Waldron
Analyst, Wells Fargo
We'll go to the next question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Var Zarsky with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now live.
Var Zarsky
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to ask around in an incrementally higher rate environment, you know, how you're evolving or adopting the value creation plans to ensure performance and private equity is maintained. You talked about a through the cycle acumen and you've got operational DNA. So I just wanted to see how you're thinking about that in the current environment for private equity.
Benjamin Budish
Analyst, Barclays
Thanks.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Hey Bart, Scott, I'll take a shot. So first thing I would say is back to the prepared remarks. We don't view this as a kind of a strange environment with rates where they are. We kind of view this as more of a return to normalcy. If you kind of put on a chart the 10-year Treasury yield back to 1976, you'll see what I mean. The strange period was the 10 plus years where it was kind of really low, close to zero. We don't think we need to meaningfully evolve our value creation tools. We keep adding more clearly, but we tend to also find in a period of time like this where rates are a little bit higher than maybe they've been, is your entry multiple probably on the margin can be a bit lower. So what happens when you think about buying a business or an asset, you know, when rates are really low, you probably need to think about whether rates are going to be higher when you exit. And the answer is probably yes. So you're probably assuming you're going to have multiple contraction over the course of your ownership period. In a period of time like this, maybe that's less the case. But our ability to kind of invest in good assets and companies and make them great is something that we have been systematically developing over the course of the three plus decades I've been here. And I think we're much better at it now than we've ever been. And I think that is the case regardless of the trades are at one, five, or 7%. And if you need to know what I'm talking about, You know, kind of take a look at a buyout model. Insensitize, you know, every 100 basis points of interest rate move. What does that mean to your overall returns? You may pay down a little bit less debt, but that happens one time. If you can take a business and double its profitability, you get a multiple on every incremental dollar of that profitability that you create. It's much more powerful than any impact of interest rate moves. And so in a way, if you're going to kind of buy lower and keep creating value, we actually think the return opportunity is at least as compelling as it's been. And so I appreciate you asking the question, because unless you've actually been around our industry before the financial crisis, you don't know what I'm talking about. That's what actually the map shows you, and that's been our experience.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Devin Ryan with Citizens Bank. Your line is now live.
Devin Ryan
Analyst, Citizens Bank
Great morning, Scott, Rob, and Craig. I want to take the realization conversation from a slightly different angle. You drew the contrast of the record capital being returned by KKR to your investors this year, you know, in a year where the industry is not doing a great job of that, which is part of this kind of case-shaped narrative. So, it would just be great to make this a little bit more tangible, you know, how much are LPs actually realizing the differentiation? Is it bringing new LPs to KKR? Is it speeding up fundraising, improving cross-sell? What areas of the business are you seeing kind of the most positive sentiment? Just trying to get to maybe more of the specific implications of that outperformance and what it means beyond what we're seeing in the actual financials today. Thanks.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Hey, Devin and Scott. So I just came out the road, kind of Europe, Middle East, Asia. We are definitely hearing about this from our investors. They are noticing that firms, and we're not alone, but firms like ours that have a broader, longer experience set are giving more cash back and the portfolios are performing a lot better than some others. And keep in mind, in a kind of a more normal environment, the difference between a top quartile performer and private equity and bottom quartile can be 1600 or 1800 basis points. So you want to be with top quartile managers. We think that kind of differential is actually going to go up. as we head into the next few years. So no doubt the color when you're in these meetings is like, wow, you guys are doing something different. And that's why you hear the optimism in our voice. We had 2010 through 2020 that we felt we were doing the right things. Portfolio construction, linear pacing, being really thoughtful about diversification and the risks we were taking that had been informed by prior cycles we'd been through. It did not matter because there was a rising tide and everybody looked smart. That was a period of time it was really straightforward to confuse a bull market with grains. The reason that we're having more fun right now is that you can actually see a huge difference in kind of how we've built portfolios relative to how some others have built portfolios in our space. And that's showing up in capital raising. So you can see kind of what's happened in most recent private equity and infra funds in particular. You can see that showing through. And so it's clearly showing how we're differentiated. And so it's much less frustrating time for us right now. I appreciate the question.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Crispin Love with Piper Sandler. Your line is now live.
Mike Brown
Analyst, UBS
I'm curious if you can share your initial thoughts on the midterm elections from last week. The market seems to be trying to figure it out, but wondering your view of potential impacts to KKR and the alternatives broadly.
Michael Cyprys
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
could be related to data centers or just other areas worth calling out.
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Hey, Crispin. So one of the really nice things about our business model is the long duration of our capital. And so as we think about our investment periods, in most cases, they last political cycles and we remind our teams of that all of the time. And so certainly there could be some volatility coming out of the midterms. and sitting here with substantial dry powder. I think that can be a real advantage for our platform, our people, our access to capital. And so we'll watch what transpires. But, you know, the benefit of our business model is we get to focus on the long term and take advantage on behalf of our clients and a kind of short term volatility.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Brian Bedell with Deutsche Bank. Your line is now live.
Dan Fannin
Analyst, Jefferies
Brian Bedell Great. Thanks. Good morning, folks. Thanks for taking my question. I just want to come back to capped markets. Just in terms of the longer-term trajectory of that business, obviously, you've had fantastic growth over that. Historically, the last three years, including this year, it's hovering more around that $1 billion level. If you can talk about what you see as the potential inflection to grow that from here on an annual basis. And you mentioned, of course, you know, having a better contribution from GA over time. And I think you also mentioned geographically you're looking at opportunities in Asia. And what other things, I guess, on the client coverage side and product, you know, might also help inflect it. I don't know if you're able to comment on 4Q. and what you're seeing in cap markets for this upcoming 4Q as well.
Rob Lewin
Chief Financial Officer, KKR
Sure. Let me start with business building, which we think is a pretty exciting opportunity. And I'd really bucket it into four areas, Brian, for us. Number one, as KKR does more around the world and deploys more capital, We think that should be a real benefit to our capital markets platform, given the resources that we have built out on the ground across the world. Number two, we have talked of the opportunity around insurance-related capital markets fees. Scott talked about the several hundred million dollar annual type of opportunity. We are making progress, but we are certainly not there. But I believe with our platform and what we've created, that is certainly an attainable The third piece of it where I think we've got a very differentiated approach is on third-party capital markets and the way we approach our third-party clients across the world is really with our private credit capital alongside our capital markets expertise and so we can go to clients and be able to hold their capital structures through our private credit business distribute their capital structures through our capital markets business, and often it's a combination of the two. That is a very unique approach to third-party client coverage where we can pull everything together. And we know that middle market buyouts, as an example, have been slower. That won't stay slow forever given the amount of dry powder on the sideline, and we're really well positioned there. And then the fourth area, you hit on it in your question, is going to be Asia-Pac. And as the Asia-Pac markets continue to mature and become more institutionalized. I think that is an opportunity for our leading platform in the region. In terms of Q4, we've got, I would say, a healthy pipeline heading into the quarter. Hopefully we'll finish out a strong year here, but we'll see how that pipeline materializes and go through that in some detail with you on our Q4 call.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Patrick Devitt with Autonomous Research. Your line is now live.
Patrick Davitt
Analyst, Autonomous Research
Hi, everyone. Since you're leaning into KKR's age and experience on the call today, I want to ask another historical perspective question related to the AI opportunity. A lot of the naysayers like to point to the fiber build out of the late 90s as a corollary to what's happening today with the AI infrastructure build out. So as you look at the nature of the investments you and others are doing today, I think it'd be helpful to get your historical perspective on that specific comparison and why you think this is a different and or better investment opportunity than what you saw back then. Thank you.
Scott Nuttall
Co-Chief Executive Officer, KKR
Hey, Patrick, it's Scott. Thanks for the question. I think it is different. I mean, I get that some aspects of it could rhyme. But if you think about back at the time of the We were largely just an equity focused firm, largely just private equity. So a pretty small percentage of the opportunity was kind of relevant to what we did at the time. Obviously now with the capabilities we have across in particular infrastructure and credit and the ability that we can invest and do invest meaningfully in investment grade opportunities, I think that is a critical distinction. The opportunity set now, if you think about the risks we're taking, as I mentioned, we're really focused on being on the other side of highly profitable investment grade hyperscalers and governments around the world. So as we think about the risk that we are taking as all this develops, it's quite a bit different than maybe what other people might be taking. And certainly there's some aspects of it that, you know, if you think about people that are building data centers on spec, we don't do that. If you think about folks that are taking risks with companies that are less investment grade in terms of their status and less cash flow that they develop from other parts of their business, we've been more cautious on that front in aggregate than the market at large. So I really do think it's about how you approach it. And given the tools we have now, I feel quite good about the risks that we're taking and for the downside protection that we will have as part of how we're doing this. but it is it is some similarities I think if you're taking those types of risks we're not that's where I think you think but better make sure you're getting the reward because back to what I said nobody really really knows how this is going to play out and that's just not what we do.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Dan Weldon with Wells Fargo. Your line is now live.
Dan Waldron
Analyst, Wells Fargo
Hi, good morning. I had a question on real estate. You talked about North American real estate equity as a deployment driver this quarter, and I wonder if you could elaborate on where you think you can underwrite the most attractive returns right now. You've talked in the past about some of the best opportunities and sort of one-off high-quality assets with motivated sellers. Are you beginning to see a broadening in the market opportunity and a greater deployment opportunity in real estate? Thanks.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Hey Dan, it's Craig. Why don't I start? Look, we started our real estate business back in 2013. If you look at where we are today, we've got about $85 billion of AUM split pretty equally between credit and equity, again, with professionals now on a global basis. I think your point is well taken in terms of the opportunity today. Real estate's always been a cyclical asset class, and in our view, In pockets, you're seeing some very positive fundamentals. So I think you're seeing a decline in supply across in favor assets where you're seeing positive demand. In our view, there are opportunities to buy assets below replacement cost. And that's with inflation expected to continue to impact new supply at the same time. And I think all else equal in this asset class, look, you'd rather put capital to work with a 10-year treasury at 485 versus a 2% Treasury environment. So I think while capital formation has still been difficult, the investing environment for this vintage actually still feels pretty good to us. And I think for those clients that have an appetite for some cyclicality and some volatility, we're constructive on this environment.
Conference Operator
Operator
Our next question comes from Arnard Giblett. with BNP. Your line is now live. Yes, good morning.
Benjamin Budish
Analyst, Barclays
I was wondering if we could get an update on the 401 opportunity and how the results of the midterm elections might have changed the timeline here.
Mike Brown
Analyst, UBS
Thank you.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
I hear notes. Craig, why don't I start? Thanks for the question and thank you for being patient. Look, I think we've talked a lot on these calls historically. about 401k and about retirement broadly. You won't be surprised to hear that we think there's a lot of industrial logic to introducing alts as individuals invest behind their future retirement and as they're thinking about asset allocations decades out. And we welcome the DOL's efforts to provide some greater clarity on how 401k plans can access private investments in an effort of enhancing diversification as well as risk-adjusted returns at the same time. So we think this shows progress. We think it's going to take some time, but again, we remain very constructive on what this can mean for us over the long term. So I don't think you need to adjust your models for Q4 of 26, but as we think about the long term, we think this has an opportunity to be another meaningful tailwind for us in our industry.
Conference Operator
Operator
We have reached the end of the question and answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Craig Larson for closing comments.
Craig Larson
Partner and Head of Investor Relations, KKR
Rob, first, thank you for your help in a longer call. Thank you, everybody, for your interest in KKR. Please feel to reach out directly if you have any questions. Otherwise, we look forward to speaking with everyone in 90 days or so. Thank you so much.
Conference Operator
Operator
This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.