NBTB NBT Bancorp Inc.

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NBT Bancorp Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Good day, everyone, and welcome to the conference call covering NBT Bancorp's third quarter 2026 financial results. This call is being recorded and has been made accessible to the public in accordance with SEC regulation FD. Corresponding presentation slides can be found on the company's website at nbtbancorp.com. Before the call begins, NBT's management would like to remind listeners that as noted on slide two, today's presentation may contain forward-looking statements as defined by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual results may differ from those projected. In addition, certain non-GAAP measures will be discussed. Reconciliations for these numbers are contained within the appendix of today's presentation. All participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will follow at that time. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. And now I'd like to turn the call over to NBT Bancorp's President and CEO, Scott Kingsley, for his opening remarks. Mr. Kingsley, please begin.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thank you, Jonathan. Good morning, and welcome to this earnings call covering NBT Bancorp's third quarter 2026 results. With me today are Annette Burns, NBT's Chief Financial Officer, Joe Stagliano, President of NBT Bank, and Joe Ondesco, our Treasurer. We are pleased with our solid third quarter operating performance, which demonstrates the strength and momentum of NBT's diversified financial services franchise. We generated noticeably stronger earnings than in both the third quarter of last year and the second quarter of this year. Productive loan growth across our markets contributed to record net interest income for the quarter. We also remained very disciplined in our cost of funds management while focusing on net new account growth. We are very pleased with the engaged and consistent approach of our teams across the company. Operating return on assets was 1.41% for the third quarter, while operating return on tangible equity was 16.53%. Tangible book value per share ended the quarter at $27.75, an increase of 8.8% from a year ago. Our capital utilization priorities remain focused on supporting organic growth while maintaining our long-standing commitment to annual dividend increases. At $0.40 per share, NBT's quarterly dividend is 8.1% higher than the prior year and affirms our continued commitment to providing favorable long-term returns to our shareholders. Our strong capital levels also allow us to continue to evaluate a variety of strategic opportunities as well as enable measured share repurchases. We remain encouraged by the opportunities we see across our seven-state footprint. Through NBT's support of economic development projects, customer expansion activity and investments in new bank locations in several of our markets, we continue to position NBT for sustainable growth while supporting the communities we serve. Since 2019, the company has been able to successfully grow earnings at a 6% compounded annual growth rate while maintaining our conservative risk profile. and looking forward, we believe we are well positioned for the remainder of 2026 and beyond to continue executing on our diversified operating strategies. Before Annette reviews our third quarter results in greater detail, I'll ask Joe Stagliano to provide a brief update on semiconductor related activities in our markets. Joe?
Joe Stagliano
President, NBT Bank
Thank you, Scott, and good morning. As we've discussed on prior calls, NBT Bank maintains a significant presence across many of the markets benefiting from New York's growing semiconductor and advanced manufacturing industry. With about 70 branches located across this corridor, we are already serving many of the businesses and communities connected to these developments. What stands out this quarter is the progress being made on several major projects and the growing evidence that their impact is extending beyond the project sites themselves. In Central New York, activity surrounding Micron continues to accelerate. Following the project's groundbreaking in January of 2026, construction and clay has advanced from site preparation into more visible phases of development. Infrastructure investments are moving forward. Crews began driving pilings for the first fabrication facility earlier this month, and an on-site concrete batch plant will support construction throughout the winter. While the first chip production is not expected until about 2030, we are already seeing increased focus on workforce housing and related development to support long-term growth. Central New York businesses, including many NBT Bank customers, are participating in site development, engineering, environmental construction, and other support activities related to the project. While many of these projects are still taking shape, the pace and scale of activity support our positive outlook We are also excited to expand our presence in the area with a new branch expected to open in the first half of 2027, about one mile from the Micron campus. More broadly, Micron is one part of a larger semiconductor story unfolding across upstate New York. The Mont Valley remains an important component of that story, supported by ongoing activity around the Marcy site near Utica and continued interest in the region's manufacturing future. In the Capital Region, New York Creates, a leading semiconductor research and innovation organization, supports research and development that strengthens New York's position within the industry. We were also encouraged by Global Foundry's recent announcement of plans to expand its campus in Saratoga County through the addition of two new semiconductor fabrication facilities, further highlighting the scale of investment taking place across the state. Thank you for joining us. as these opportunities continue to evolve. What we are seeing across these regions reinforce our confidence in the long-term outlook for the markets we serve. Importantly, this opportunity extends beyond New York through semiconductor-related activity across our broader footprint, including Global Foundries Facility in Burlington, Vermont, where CHIPS Act-supported investments are advancing next-generation semiconductor technologies and strengthening domestic manufacturing capabilities. With that overview, I'll turn the call over to Annette Burns to discuss our third quarter financial results in greater detail. Annette?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thank you, Joe, and good morning. Starting on the results overview page of our earnings presentation, we reported third quarter net income of $58 million, or $1.11 per diluted common share. Earnings benefited from continued balance sheet growth, record net interest income, Net interest margin expansion and solid contributions from our diversified fee-based businesses. We've generated record quarterly earnings and maintained strong capital levels. Turning to loans on the next page, total loans ended the quarter at $11.9 billion, increasing $427 million, or 4% from December 31, 2025, excluding our consumer runoff portfolios. All business lines experienced growth with commercial loans increasing $234 million despite payoffs remaining elevated from last year's levels and consumer loans increasing $116 million during the first nine months of the year. Commercial and consumer portfolios remain well balanced at 56% and 44% of total loans respectively. The increase in commercial loans reflect continued customer activity across our footprint and a disciplined approach to growth. We continue to maintain a diversified CNI and CRE portfolio with balanced exposure across industries and property types while preserving strong credit quality standards. New commercial originations during the quarter carried a yield of 6.41% providing for continued repricing opportunities. On page six, total deposits were $13.6 billion at quarter end and increased modestly from year end levels. Core deposits grew 2.6% in the first nine months of 2026. We maintained a strong funding profile with almost 60% of total deposits in no and low cost checking and savings accounts at a blended cost of 38 basis points. Total deposit costs declined by one basis point during the quarter to 1.32%, while the total cost of funds increased by one basis point to 1.42%. From year-end levels, we have experienced a favorable change in our mix of deposits out of higher cost time deposits and into checking, savings, and money market products. During the year, $99 million of brokered CDs matured and $25 million of subordinated debt was also redeemed. We continue to tactically manage funding strategies to grow relationships while maintaining better than peer cost of funds. Net interest income and margin trends are highlighted on the next slide. Our net interest income increased to a record $143 million, up $5 million from the second quarter and more than 5% above the third quarter of 2025. The increase from the second quarter was driven by organic loan growth, higher earning asset yields, including increased purchase accounting accretion, and the benefit of one additional calendar day in the quarter. Net interest margin increased by basis points to 3.78% compared with the prior quarter. Our balance sheet remains well positioned across a variety of interest rate environments and continues to demonstrate low sensitivity to rate changes. The opportunity for further upward movement in earning asset yields and net interest margin will largely depend on the shape of the yield curve with the reinvestment of loan and investment portfolio cash flows. The trends in non-interest income are outlined on page 8. Excluding securities gains, our fee income was $52.9 million, seasonally higher than the prior quarter with an increase of $3.3 million, and increased 2.9% from the third quarter of 2025. Growth was led by retirement plan administration revenues, which increased 8.7% from the prior year. Combined revenues from retirement plan services, wealth management and insurance services generated approximately $34 million in quarterly revenues, a new high. Non-interest income represented approximately 27% of total revenues in the third quarter and reflects the strength of our diversified revenue base. As a reminder, consistent with historical trends, the fourth quarter is typically the lowest revenue generating quarter for these fee businesses, reflecting the seasonal decline in activity-based fees. Total operating expenses increased 3% from the prior quarter, Salaries and employee benefit costs were $70 million, a modest increase from the prior quarter. This increase was primarily driven by one additional payroll day and higher incentive compensation expenses which were partially offset by lower employee benefit costs. The quarter-over-quarter increase in other operating expenses was primarily due to activity-based costs and a higher reserve for unfunded loan commitments. Slide 10 provides an overview of key asset quality metrics Provision expense for the three months ended September 30th, 2026 was $3.8 million compared to $6.1 million for the second quarter of 2026. The decrease in the provision for loan losses during the quarter was primarily due to a lower level of loan growth compared to the prior quarter and a decrease in the allowance for loan losses due to a modest improvement in the economic forecast and portfolio mix changes. Reserves were 1.17% of total loans and covered two times the level of non-performing loans. We delivered record third quarter earnings driven by broad-based business activity and continued momentum across the franchise. Our diversified balance sheet, meaningful fee income, disciplined balance sheet management, and strong capital position continue to support consistent performance and position us well for sustainable growth. Thank you for your interest in our results. At this time, we welcome any questions you may have.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Certainly. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you do have a question at this time, please press star 1-1 on your telephone. If your question has been answered and you'd like to remove yourself from the queue, simply press star 1-1 again. Our first question comes from the line of Freddie Strickland from Hoog Group. Your question, please.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Hey, good morning, everyone. Good morning, Freddie. Just wanted to ask kind of thoughts about loan growth going into the fourth quarter. I mean, I know the residential solar and other consumer, I guess, deceleration has been pretty consistent there. I know you've had some payoffs, but just could we see loan growth potentially tick up a little bit into the fourth quarter, or do we expect something similar to what you saw in the third quarter?
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thanks for the question. I think we're thinking a consistent outcome going into the fourth quarter. We like where we are from a pipeline standpoint, and we have a lot of really productive new construction projects in place across our markets. The fourth quarter is usually not the quarter of massive draws on construction projects because of where we sit from a weather standpoint. But I think you've hit it on the head. We've demonstrated a 4% growth rate for the first nine months of the year, excluding those consumer portfolios, but 3% including them. So I think consistent for the fourth quarter is our expectations.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Thanks. I appreciate that, Scott. Should we expect loan discount accretion to step back down from here after the little bit of an increase this quarter?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
I would expect that. Our accretion related to purchase discounting kind of runs somewhere between $6 and $6.5 million on average. It was a little bit higher this quarter, so it's all dependent on different levels of payoffs and things like that, but I would expect it probably normalize again next quarter.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
and just one last one for me on the margin you know I appreciate that the shape of the yield curve is kind of going to determine what happens there but you know let's say we have a couple more rate hikes here through early next year and the five-year sort of holds up where it is I mean in that scenario does the back book repricing and you know pretty low cost deposits mean you'll continue to see the margin rise in that scenario so we we speak to us being fairly neutrally positioned so
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
In the rising rate environment scenario, we see our $3 billion about of earning assets reprice almost immediately. I think we have some ability to lag on the funding side where obviously borrowings are repricing almost immediately while we can lag a little bit on our deposit costs. But we expect to probably respond to some deposit pricing pressures So I think fairly neutrally positioned as it relates to rising interest rates. Where we really see the benefit on our net interest margin is the repricing of our assets, both investment securities and loans, continuing to see a favorable rate environment, especially where we price our loans in that two to five year spot. So that's where we see a few basis points of margin improvement continue as a trend.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Agreed. I think Annette said it on the head there. We've got a big portfolio of mortgage products, residential mortgage products, that we would love to have inflect a little bit faster from a repricing standpoint. But at current rates, and I don't think our geographies are dissimilar to much in the country, at current rates that are hovering around 7%, activity is just at muted levels today.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
All right, great. Thank you both for taking my questions. I'll step back. Thank you.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of David Conrad from KBW. Your question, please.
David Conrad
Analyst, KBW
Hey, good morning. And I just had a follow-up question on kind of the asset yields, specifically on the securities book. You know, you had about six bips improvement there, but still relatively low yield at, you know, 2.76%. So just wondering what you're currently investing in, the yield there, and would you expect If the five-year, kind of 10-year stays in this range, is kind of six dips a good progression going forward, or how do you think the securities portfolio will reprice?
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Yeah, I don't think it's wildly out of line, David. What I think is that we're at $300 million of cash flows on an annual basis today. So you're probably in the $65 to $75 million a quarter. We have a little bit of our portfolio that's in a variable rate status. We got probably a little tiny bump in September for that. Maybe that continues a little bit into the fourth quarter relative to inflection. But we're probably targeting stuff that's in the four to six year duration when we replace. And it's typically mortgage-backed instruments of some fashion or form. So very consistent and really consistent with what our pledging requirements are for our municipal deposit base. So like where that's headed, I think I've said this before, I think we're the lone person in our peer group that didn't do a portfolio reconstruction or restructuring. Right. and, you know, and I'll say this out loud, you know, if we would have been one of those people considering or doing that in the first six months of the year, we probably wouldn't feel good about the assets we bought then. You know, they would argue we'd probably be underwater already. So I think we can stay the course on that. We know that, you know, it's probably holding back, you know, total asset yields a little bit, but that's all coming back to us over time.
David Conrad
Analyst, KBW
Great. Thank you. And then One follow-up, just the expenses were a little bit higher than what I was looking for. Maybe any commentary on your expectations next quarter for expenses?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
Sure. Expenses ticked up in the third quarter. For us, typically, the first half of the year is a little bit lighter for us, and we typically see a little bit higher expenses in the back half of the year. That's really activity-related timing of some initiatives. So I think we'll continue to see probably a similar level in the fourth quarter. That's about a 3% increase over where we were this time last year. So that's kind of in line with our expectations. And, you know, it might not be all the same expense lines, but, you know, there's probably some different activities we're expensing related to, you know, occupancy, maybe professional and marketing, and that might offset lower OPEX. So similar levels we're expecting.
David Conrad
Analyst, KBW
Got it. Okay. Thank you. Appreciate it.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thank you.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Manuel Neves from Piper Sandler. Your question, please.
Manuel Naves
Analyst, Piper Sandler
I appreciate the update on kind of the CHIPS Act momentum. It seems like you're trying to make sure you have branches in the right places. On the other side of that, I mean, that'll help you with deposit growth. On the other side of that, at some point, would there be an expectation of low growth acceleration? And do you have the talent in place for that? Or is that something you will add as needed?
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
So really good question. You know, I think from a team standpoint, we're really like we're positioned today. And if you think of where that momentum is, It's central New York into the Mohawk Valley in the capital region. And in fairness, we have really strong teams in those areas, arguably the strongest teams in the market. And so I think we're really well positioned to take advantage of those from an opportunity standpoint. I think what we'll see first through the construction phase of Micron and the second fab build out at Global Foundries, it honestly might be a need for more lending opportunities for some of our customers who are in the contracting side of the world. Maybe before we see household growth that we would expect to generate deposit growth. So I feel good about that. We've said this for a long time and it's really hard to sort of prognosticate when this actually happens. But if you've heard from us that in our marketplaces and kind of the way we think about discipline, sustainable growth, it's kind of in that three to five or four to six percent growth. If we get some outsized activities, you know, in the markets we just described, might that move us to five to six, you know, five to seven? I think that would be our hope. I think the activity, you know, sort of lifts all boats, but we are really, really well positioned to get our requisite share of that activity.
Manuel Naves
Analyst, Piper Sandler
I appreciate that. With that kind of in mind, do you have a sense of early thoughts on 2027? It seems like that's the three to five, four to six growth pace seems consistent. You talked a little bit about NIM. OPEX next quarter is about 3% year-over-year increase. Is that a similar pace into 2027? Any kind of broad Thank you for joining us.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Knowing where we are with expected early payoffs and the runoff of some of our consumer portfolios, I think three to five is a really good starting point for that. Annette may have some other color on this, but I think as we think about going forward into 27, broadly speaking, we think that merit changes for our people are probably in the three to three and a half percent range. I think we think other operating expenses are not radically different from that. We do have some branch expansion activities in our plan, and so that may push that up a little bit, half a percent or something. And I think the only other thing that seems outsized for us, and we've now weathered this for three or four years in a row, probably like most people, is we kind of expect medical costs for our people to be double-digit increase again. and so you know we're doing lots of things you know to try to mitigate that outcome but in fairness we need our people to be healthy and we need to have a robust program for them in order for them to be successful so you know for today we continue to look at solutions for that but we think that's the expectation going forward I appreciate that I'll step back into the queue thank you
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
As a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question at this time, please press star one one on your telephone. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Moss from Raymond James. Your question, please.
Steve Moss
Analyst, Raymond James
Good morning. Scott, maybe just start off on the retirement plan income. You know, that was up about nine percent year over year. Just kind of curious if you guys are thinking that's probably a good year over year run rate growth rate for that in the fourth quarter.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
I think in the fourth quarter, remember that the fourth quarter for us in that business is generally lower than the third quarter. There's a bunch of activity-based necessary outcomes, tax filings and other related things that we do on behalf of our customers. Typically, we see a center two down in revenue in the fourth quarter in that business. That's been pretty consistent for the last several years. I think if you were to think about that on a going forward basis, because I think our 8% or 9% growth was a year-over-year outcome. We'd probably be a little bit more tempered for that into 27, probably think that that's more in the sort of the 5 to 7 range going forward next year. We had a really great year this year of onboarding some larger plans and some books of business, you know, that certain of our advisor partners moved to us early in the year. We would expect some of that for 2027, but, you know, we don't have, you know, sight lines on some of that that we might have had a year ago today.
Steve Moss
Analyst, Raymond James
Okay, appreciate that. And then in terms of, you know, just curious on the driver of payoffs here with regard to loans, you know, is it, you know, higher coupon stuff that's paying off or, you know, was it just expected, you know, maturities and things going on in the current market? I mean, Any color you can give on the payoffs you guys are seeing.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Steve, we'd like to tell you that there's something that's really running the front of that. But I'll tell you, just from our perspective, as we've tried to work through that, there's a handful of things, which is, as rates have inflected up a little bit, we certainly have customers that have decided to use their liquidity to take away maybe a high 6% or 7% yielding instrument on the debt side. The second thing is the asset values have remained very, very high. So we have a number of customers probably in advance of maybe their planning have monetized themselves out of certain assets, whether that be on the real estate side or even on the operating business side. And that continues to be – I think there's a lot of investable dollars chasing return, and I think those businesses have been an example of that situation. And from a logical standpoint, we do a fair amount of construction financing where essentially at the end of the project or at some general term after the end of the project, we expect to be taken out as well. And maybe the last thing I'd say, and maybe it's just a couple of recent transactions, is Some of the people we compete with on the government finance side, on the agency side, have been very, very assertive. We've had a couple instances of being displaced by farm credit in the last quarter with terms and conditions that may make sense for them from their entity, but we can't validate as carrying them on the balance sheet of the bank. So, you know, kind of a combination of a lot of things. And I think good for us. I think we thought if it was more systematic and, you know, directed at one particular cause, we'd have a little bit more concern on future growth.
Steve Moss
Analyst, Raymond James
Okay. Appreciate that. And then I guess the other thing I'm curious on here is, you know, the auto loan originations at about 5.5%, you know, pretty tight relative to the Treasury. Just kind of curious. What are your thoughts on that book of business going forward, and how should we think about the pricing there in terms?
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
I'll start with that, Annette, and feel free to jump in. I think when we look at that portfolio, in our markets across our seven states, it's an asset our customer needs. The financing of something that they use every day is still paramount to meeting our customer needs. From a pricing standpoint to your point, think about that having to price at a spread somewhere above the two-year point of the curve. From a duration standpoint, we're starting to see that portfolio be sort of in the 30 to 36-month duration on a consistent basis. So, quote, early paydowns and accelerated return of principal is noticeable in that portfolio. Think about what we like about that is it really lines up well for us from an ALCO standpoint. So, you know, if you're going to make those commitments to your point in the mid-five range, you better expect the duration to be a little bit lower than something you might make a commitment on for five to seven or ten. So still very happy with that from a performance standpoint. We still have a charge-off and a delinquency level in that portfolio. It's very attractive for us. And we continue to move forward. We have aspirations to make sure that we're banking that customer on both sides of the balance sheet. And that's not the easiest thing to do from a systematic standpoint. But we're dedicated to making sure that holistically it's more than a car loan.
Steve Moss
Analyst, Raymond James
Right. Okay. Appreciate that there. And then, you know, just on, you know, deposit costs, good to see them basically stable here, plus or minus. Just kind of curious, like, how are you guys thinking? Like, you know, is there going to be a lower deposit beta this cycle? Or, you know, just given that we're at a 4% Fed funds rate, maybe we go to four and a quarter, four and a half, you know, a higher beta?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
You know, Thank you for having me. For us, I think we'll be actively managing that and continuing to focus on full relationships. But, you know, I think it should be similar and has the potential to be at maybe just a little bit higher beta this cycle.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Yeah, and I would probably argue that this is probably the right time that if we're going to allow for some inflection in deposit increases, is we have, you know, $3 billion of variable rate assets that are actually getting a boost, you know, with changes in Fed funds rates. So this is actually probably the time to allow a little bit of that to happen and make sure we've got a product suite that our people in our branches and our people on the commercial team can actually deliver solutions that make sense for the customer. We have resisted that and done a great job with that for the last 9 to 10 to 11 quarters, but given the fact that we're getting a little bit of push and a little bit of benefit off the asset inflection, this might be the right time to consider that.
Steve Moss
Analyst, Raymond James
Okay, appreciate that. I'll step back in the queue here. Thank you very much.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Appreciate it, Steve. Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Matthew Brees from Stevens Inc. Your question, please.
Matthew Breese
Analyst, Stephens Inc.
Hey, good morning. Good morning, Matt. A few questions for me. Maybe start with slide five.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Annette, I really appreciate the new origination yields.
Matthew Breese
Analyst, Stephens Inc.
The footnote states that it's for the third quarter. So I'm curious, how did those origination yields change by the end of the quarter versus for the average, just given some of the rate movement we had? And are you starting to see more deals not pencil out because of higher rates? Are there instances where you or the borrower are starting to walk away?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
That's a great observation, Matt, especially when you think about residential mortgage and maybe some of our commercial loans. The average for the quarter compared to our new origination yields today, we probably moved up as the yield curve also moved up, so you're probably seeing some additional positive repricing opportunities there. I would say we probably are seeing a little bit of tightening in spreads given just where the overall higher level of rates are. So it's probably not a one-for-one with the movement of the curve.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
And then your question around... Yeah, in terms of your question around is this slowing volume and demand, absolutely. Is it profound? Not yet. But there are certainly projects and maybe more of the things that on the real estate side that have strained some of these things. And it's not because the project can't handle another 25 basis points. It's because when the project was penciled out, maybe rates were actually 75 basis lower than they are today from a standpoint of a similar spot on the curve. So you're exactly right on that. I think, you know, really solid projects because in most of our marketplaces, housing demand is still necessary. And what we haven't seen in our markets is a return back to single-family housing in any significant way. So multi-family housing projects have led the way. As I'm sort of fond of saying, our people in our markets have to live somewhere. So I still think there's demand. But to your point, the rates are putting that at an outcome that means rents are having to go up. And there probably is a ceiling there.
Matthew Breese
Analyst, Stephens Inc.
Got it. Okay. And then I was hoping for a little bit more detail. Service charges on deposit accounts this quarter took a really nice step higher. The earnings release talks about maybe some account levels. You know, fee-based changes. Curious when that was implemented, if there's, you know, if we might see some continuation in the fourth quarter growth-wise for that line item. Yeah, maybe just start there.
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
Sure. Most of that was put in place right at the beginning of the quarter. So, you know, from a trajectory, you probably would see similar levels in the fourth quarter and moving forward. And it was really a result of some, you know, comparison to markets. and responding to being in line with market rates on those fronts.
Matthew Breese
Analyst, Stephens Inc.
Got it. Okay. Last one for me, and I asked another upstate New York bank this question, but it applies to you as well. We're fielding a lot more questions around the risk to deposit basis like yours because of agentic AI and products like Muse and more efficiently moving dollars around. I'm just curious how you'd respond to that and if you feel like, you know, franchises like yours are more or less at risk and why.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Well, let's start with that on two fronts, which is, you know, as much as there might be additional tools out there that would allow for, you know, better optics for the consumer. We have those similar products today. So if a customer has reached a point where their short-term balances have got to a level above their utilization and an emergency base sitting in their checking or small money market account, they can make that change. And truthfully, we have instruments out there in our suite of products that can bring them a more significant yield than they might be enjoying on the base today. So one, we think we can do some of that stuff. Number two, Given our granularity, I think there's less of that with our current base. But clearly, we have long-term have had a lower funding cost and probably our peers in upstate New York have had a similar outcome. So is the difference between an acceptable yield and where we're priced today different than maybe in certain other markets so that beta might look a little bit larger? But I think we've been through multiple cycles on this, and we've been able to actually be very consistent and sustain those type of movements. But are we focused on the fact that, hey, listen, our customer needs to know that they've got choices inside our products that are on the balance sheet? Absolutely. And we continue to think about the profile and the suite of products to make sure that they're happy with where they are.
Matthew Breese
Analyst, Stephens Inc.
I appreciate all that. I'll leave it there. Thank you.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thanks, Matt.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Jacob Chiviello from DA Davidson. Your question, please.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Hey, good morning. I'm Scott, Annette, and Joe. Morning, Jake. Morning. I apologize if I missed this, but did you have an exit NIM for the month of September?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
We did not share that. I would say it's not dissimilar from what you saw for the quarter. And, you know, just think X, the accretion impacts. which is about three basis points.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Yep. Okay. Okay.
Steve Moss
Analyst, Raymond James
Then is there – so on – let me make sure I get the right page of the deck. So on page six of the deck on deposits, is there any particular reason for the sequential decline in the absolute number of consumer deposit accounts in the quarter?
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
It's an interesting question. I think as we've looked at across the level of what our product mix is in terms of the types of accounts that we offer, there may have been some selection out of certain of our accounts, and I think as Annette mentioned earlier, we did add some fee structures to some of our accounts, and maybe that allowed the customer to consolidate their and some of that. And I think those accounts that probably had the fee changes on were low balance in nature.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Okay. Makes sense. Thank you.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thanks, Jake.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. And our next question comes from the line of Daniel Cardenas from Freedom Capital. Your question, please.
Daniel Cardenas
Analyst, Freedom Capital
Good morning, guys. Hey, good morning. So just a quick question on non-performings. I mean, levels seem to be normalizing here over the last three quarters or so. Just kind of wondering if there's any trends emerging as it relates maybe to specific industries, or is this kind of just a broad-based type of increase that we're seeing?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
Yeah, we had a slight uptick in our non-performing loans. We were able to kind of Resolve some and maybe one or two came back in on the commercial loan portfolio front. We're not seeing any specific trends, industry, regions. It's really more tied to some very borrower-specific events and we're able to kind of manage through those and we think we have the right reserve levels against those credits as well.
Daniel Cardenas
Analyst, Freedom Capital
Okay. and then maybe thoughts on criticized and classified levels. How are those looking coming out of the third quarter?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
Criticized and classified levels are ticking down a little bit from where we were last quarter and significantly lower from where we were about a year ago. We had a little bit of uptick in criticized and classified related to when we onboarded Evans and we've been very successful in managing through some of those credits and some upgrades, some strategic exits. So, you know, we're kind of feeling good about where we are as far as the management of those levels and a little bit down from where they were last quarter.
Daniel Cardenas
Analyst, Freedom Capital
Great. And then last question for me is tax rate came in a little bit higher than what I was looking for this quarter. I mean, how should we be thinking about that coming into Q4?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
I think we're kind of in a good spot, especially if you look at where we are from a year-to-date basis. We probably had a little bit of true-up, and that's just really around our overall revenue expectations versus taxable income-based expectations. So just really just our overall level of growth and truing it up for the quarter.
Daniel Cardenas
Analyst, Freedom Capital
Okay, great. Thanks, guys. Thank you.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. Once again, ladies and gentlemen, if you do have a question at this time, please press star 11 on your telephone. Our next question is a follow-up from the line of Freddie Strickland from Hovd Group. Your question, please.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Hey, just two quick follow-ups. One on the expenses. Annette, were you saying that the overall expense number of that $115 million or so is flat-linked core, or are you saying we'd see a repeat of the roughly 3% growth in the expense line?
Annette Burns
Chief Financial Officer, NBT Bancorp
I think you can expect to see relatively similar levels, so right around that $114 to $150 million in the fourth quarter that you saw in the third.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Yeah, I think Annette's other comment, you know, Teddy, just for clarification was that those levels represented a three or three and a half percent increase over where we were at the same time last year, which is in line with our expectations.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
Thanks for that. I just want to ask pace of M&A conversations. Has the rate environment changed those at all from potential partners? Just anything there.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
So I don't think the rate environment has changed anything. And you know our approach to M&A, which is it's relationship building. We spend a lot of time in the field with like-minded, smaller community banks. and typically, you know, maybe much like the industry in general, you know, the current shape of the yield curve and where demand is is that most smaller banks feel pretty good about where they are today. And I think they believe that with a, you know, with a yield curve with some shape to it that they're capable of sustaining there. I think for us a lot of times, whether it's succession planning, whether it's technology initiatives, or just the need for some liquidity in their shareholder base. Those tend to be the items that typically drive decision timing for the people that we're probably interested in partnering with. But I would say our conversations are always productive. I think people are really interested in understanding our strategies and when the time comes where independence might not be for them, we want them to understand the value proposition of partnering with MBT Bank. So that's our general thought generally in the market today. We believe we have, whether that's through organic growth characteristics or that's through some M&A, we've got some spots that we can fill in our franchise. Buffalo, New York to Portland, Maine is a long ride. So don't travel behind Joe in the winter months. You're not going to enjoy it. But that being said, there's lots of spots in that franchise for us to fill in. Our concentration in several places could be improved. And we're working on that. And we're working on that with different sites organically and build out of some of our teams. And we're always on the know with who's in the markets that would help us do that a little more quickly.
Freddie Strickland / Jacob Chiviello
Analysts, Hovde Group / D.A. Davidson
All right, great. That's all I have. Thank you both so much. Appreciate it.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you. This does conclude the question and answer session of today's program. I'd like to hand the program back to Scott Kingsley for any further remarks.
Scott Kingsley
President and Chief Executive Officer, NBT Bancorp
Thanks, Jonathan, and appreciate everyone's attendance here. I think we talked about this in our comments, but we want to make sure everybody has the takeaway that We are in a really, really great spot from a capital standpoint. Capital levels at almost 10% from a leverage standpoint, 12.5% for CET1 and north of 14% for risk-based capital gives us so much flexibility. And I think we'll be able to use that flexibility in our markets over the coming years and really for the net benefit of the shareholder. So look forward to future conversations. Thanks everyone for participating today. And again, we appreciate your continued interest in MBT. Thanks.
Jonathan
Conference Call Operator
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for your participation at today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect. Good day.