QTWO Q2 Holdings Inc
$65.28
Q2 Holdings Inc Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
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Conference Operator
Good afternoon. My name is Kevin, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Q2 Holdings 3rd Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please raise your hand. If you have dialed in to today's call, please press star 9 to raise your hand and star 6 to unmute when called upon. Thank you. I will now hand the conference over to Josh Yankovich, Investor Relations. Sir, please begin.
Josh Yankovich
Investor Relations
Thank you, Operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. With me on the call are Matt Flake, our CEO, and Jonathan Price, our CFO. This call contains forward-looking statements that are subject to significant risks and uncertainties, including, among other things, statements with respect to our expectations for the future operating and financial performance of Q2 Holdings and for the financial services industry. Actual results may differ materially from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements, and we give no assurance that such expectations or any of our forward-looking statements will prove to be correct. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected in the forward-looking statements are included in our periodic reports filed with the SEC, copies of which may be found on the Investor Relations section of our website, including our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the third quarter of 2026, and the press release distributed this afternoon and filed in our form 8K with the SEC regarding the financial results we will discuss today. Forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions only as of the date discussed. Investors should not assume that these statements will remain operative at a later time, and we undertake no obligation to update any such forward-looking statements discussed in this call. Also, unless otherwise stated, all financial measures discussed on this call other than revenue will be on a non-GAAP basis. A discussion of why we use non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures is included in our press release, which is available on the investor relations section of our website and in our Form 8K filed today with the SEC. We have also published additional materials related to today's results on our investor relations website. Let me now turn the call over to Matt.
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Thanks, Josh, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us today. Before I turn to the quarter, I want to share an exciting leadership announcement we made this afternoon. We have appointed Jonathan Price, our Chief Financial Officer, as Co-Chief Executive Officer. Jonathan will lead alongside me, and I will continue to serve as President and Chairman of the Board. Jonathan will also be joining our Board of Directors. He has been a driving force behind our strategy and performance for nearly a decade, and this structure reflects the Board's focus on long-term continuity as we continue to scale. Jonathan will continue to serve as our Chief Financial Officer while we conduct a search for his successor. Now, turning to our performance, I'll start by sharing our third quarter results and highlights from across the business. I'll then hand the call over to Jonathan to discuss our financial performance in more detail and provide our updated outlook. We delivered another quarter of strong financial performance, generating revenue of $225.8 million, representing 12% year-over-year growth. We also generated adjusted EBITDA of $67.8 million, worth 30% of revenue, and free cash flow of $55 million. These results reflect our consistent execution against our profitable growth strategy, while we continue to invest in the products and customer experience that support our long-term opportunity. On the sales front, we had a solid bookings quarter led by digital banking and highlighted by seven total Tier 1 and Enterprise wins, complemented by meaningful activity in Tier 2. We signed both net new and expansion deals with contributions from digital banking, risk and fraud, and relationship pricing. Credit unions were a notable part of our digital banking success, including two of our most significant wins from the quarter. The first was an approximately $3 billion credit union that selected our digital banking platform. This tier two win was our largest deal of the quarter in terms of contracted recurring revenue and a good reminder that our opportunity to win meaningful business extends well beyond the tier one and enterprise segments. The second was an approximately $10 billion credit union that selected Q2's commercial digital banking platform as it builds a commercial banking business within the credit union, serving everything from small businesses to large commercial clients. In a competitive evaluation, they chose Q2 because they wanted a true commercial platform, not an extension of a retail tool. and capabilities like treasury fulfillment, direct ERP integration and instant payments gave them confidence that we can enable their ambitions. Their in-house development team was also drawn to the openness of our platform, including our SDK and innovation studio. Our wins this quarter underscore how important credit unions remain to our business and we're committed to helping them compete and grow. Our digital banking experience across retail, small business and commercial Delivered on a single platform with an expanding set of AI and developer tools allows us to support credit unions as their needs become more complex. Our existing customer relationships also continue to create meaningful expansion opportunities across the portfolio. For example, a bank with more than $60 billion in assets that already uses our digital banking platform added multiple risk and fraud capabilities during the quarter. While much of that expansion was for our Centrix product line, it also included our AI-driven account takeover solution, user activity monitoring, which continued to see strong demand in the quarter. Whether customers are adding new capabilities or growing through acquisition, the breadth of our portfolio gives us more ways to support them over time. That's one of the reasons we continue to view our existing customer base as an important source of long-term growth. Beyond our sales performance, we recently hosted our third annual Dev Days, bringing together hundreds of attendees from customers, partners, and developers who build on the Q2 platform. As a reminder, our annual client conference, Connect, is where we showcase production-ready capabilities and customer success stories. Dev Days is where we work with our developer community to explore the next frontier of the platform. It's an important opportunity to understand our customers' challenges and help shape the next wave of innovation together, and AI was again at the center of this year's discussions. Our AI work remains focused on three practical priorities, helping protect the institution, helping bankers operate more efficiently, and helping customers and partners build faster. While we covered all three at Dev Days, our new product previews focused on expanded capabilities for Q2 Code and Q2 Assistant in two key areas. The first is helping customers and partners move from concept to execution faster within the Q2 platform. For many financial institutions, the challenge isn't a shortage of good ideas. It's having the resources to turn those ideas into something their account holders can use. And writing code is only one part of that process. At Dev Days, we shared our vision for expanding Q2 code beyond simple code generation and into all aspects of the software development lifecycle, from planning and testing to deployment. The goal is to reduce routine development and operational work while building in Q2's platform knowledge and best practices. The outcome is that small teams can spend more time building the experiences that differentiate their institutions and less time on the work required to get those experiences into production. The second area we covered is evolving from simple information retrieval to helping complete work for FI employees. Today, resolving a customer service request can require an FI employee to move between systems, look up information, and work through a series of manual steps. At Dev Days, we shared new capabilities we're building for Q2 Assistant that will help employees complete multi-step customer service and back office tasks. Our goal is to bring more of that work together. with AI helping employees resolve issues more efficiently and spend more time serving their account holders. These two examples demonstrate why we believe Q2 has such a central role in driving AI innovation for our customers. These tools are built on our architecture and data inside the workflows where both account holders and FI employees make banking happen. And while some of this work is still early, the customer outcomes we're pursuing are straightforward. Foster Development, Less Manual Work, and A Better Experience for Bankers and the People They Serve. In addition to these new concepts, we continue to make progress with the AI offerings we've already introduced, including Q2 Code, Q2 Assistant, and User Activity Monitoring. During the quarter, we continue to sign customers into our early adopter programs, and we remain on pace to begin making these offerings generally available over the next 90 days. For user activity monitoring, we signed nearly 20 financial institutions into our early adopter program, roughly twice what we expected. The feedback from Dev Days combined with the engagement we're seeing from customers and partners in the early adopter phase of these three offerings reinforces our confidence in the role Q2 can play as our customers navigate their AI journeys. Our platform connects the data, systems, and workflows our customers rely on every day. That gives us banking-specific context, an established way to deliver new capabilities, and long-term customer relationships built on trust. Our developer and partner ecosystem extends that opportunity, helping customers benefit from innovation both within Q2 and across the broader market. That combination is why we continue to believe AI innovation and financial services will flow through Q2 and not around us. Overall, we're pleased with our third quarter performance and the progress we're making across the business. We had another solid bookings performance. We continue to see strong demand for and engagement with our AI and developer solutions. And looking ahead, our pipeline remains strong through the remainder of the year and into 2027. Our results and outlook give us confidence in our ability to continue executing against our long-term financial framework. As we execute against it, I couldn't ask for a better partner than Jonathan. He and I have built a tremendous partnership over the years, and I'm thrilled to now lead Q2 alongside him as co-CEO. With that, I'll hand the call over to Jonathan to walk through our financial performance in more detail and discuss our increased full-year 2026 guidance.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Matt. I'm honored to step into the role of co-CEO and share Matt's excitement in continuing to build a great company for our employees, customers, and shareholders. I'm also pleased to take you through another strong quarter for the company with third quarter results above the high end of our guidance on both revenue and adjusted EBITDA. We also delivered record results across gross margin and adjusted EBITDA, including our first quarter with adjusted EBITDA margin of 30%, and we continued to repurchase shares while operating debt-free. Let me start by discussing our financial results in more detail, and I'll finish with our updated fourth quarter and full-year 2026 guidance.
Matt VanVliet
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Total revenue for the third quarter was $225.8 million, an increase of 12% year-over-year and 3% sequentially.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Our revenue growth was driven by subscription-based revenues, which grew 14% year-over-year and 3% sequentially, and ended the quarter at 83% of total revenue. The year-over-year and sequential revenue growth was primarily driven by a combination of new customer goal lives and expansion with existing customers. Total non-subscription revenues grew approximately 3% year-over-year, with the increase largely attributable to the timing of professional services revenue. Consistent with prior expectations, we continue to expect pressure in our more discretionary services revenue. Total annualized recurring revenue, or total ARR, grew to $989 million, up 11% year-over-year, from $888 million at the end of the third quarter of 2025 and up 2% sequentially from $971 million at the end of the second quarter. Our subscription ARR grew to $846 million, up 13.5% from $745 million in the prior year period. Our year-over-year subscription ARR growth was largely driven by bookings from new customer wins, as well as expansion with existing customers. Our total ARR growth remains below subscription ARR growth, driven by the trends we previously discussed related to non-subscription-based revenue. Our ending backlog of $2.8 billion increased by $5 million sequentially and increased $248 million year-over-year from $2.5 billion, representing 10% growth. The year-over-year increase was driven by booking success across new, expansion, and renewal activity. Non-GAAP gross margin was 62.6% for the third quarter, up approximately 470 basis points from 57.9% in the prior year period, and up approximately 30 basis points from 62.3% in the prior quarter. The year-over-year improvement continues to reflect the benefits of our cloud migration. The year-over-year and sequential improvement was also driven by the continued shift in our revenue mix towards higher margin subscription revenue. Total non-GAAP operating expenses for the third quarter were $81.7 million, or 36.2% of revenue, compared to $76.1 million, or 37.7% of revenue in the third quarter of 2025, and $81.7 million, or 37.2% of revenue in the prior quarter. The year over year increase in operating expenses was driven primarily by higher research and development costs to support our continued product and AI investment. Sequentially, total operating expenses were essentially flat as lower sales and marketing costs following our annual client conference in the second quarter were offset by modestly higher research and development costs. Total adjusted EBITDA was a record $67.8 million in the third quarter, up 39% from $48.8 million in the prior year period, and up 8% from $62.8 million in the prior quarter. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 30%, expanding approximately 580 basis points from 24.2% in the prior year quarter, and up approximately 140 basis points from 28.6% compared to the second quarter of 2026. The year-over-year and sequential improvement was driven primarily by strong revenue growth and gross margin expansion. We ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents, and investments of $123 million, up from $106 million at the end of the prior quarter, as free cash flow generation more than offset $39 million of share repurchases during the quarter. We generated cash flow from operations of $65 million in the quarter up from $46 million in the prior year period and delivered $55 million of free cash flow of 48% year-over-year and representing approximately 81% of adjusted EBITDA. We continue to expect free cash flow conversion of at least 90% for the full year. We remain debt-free following the retirement of our convertible notes in June. Combined with our continued strong free cash flow generation, we believe this gives us substantial balance sheet capacity and flexibility in how we allocate capital. Turning to capital allocation, we repurchased approximately $39 million of our stock during the third quarter and had approximately $336 million remaining under our share repurchase authorization as of quarter end. We remain focused on maintaining a healthy balance sheet and preserving flexibility to support organic investment, inorganic opportunities as they arise, and a disciplined approach to share repurchases. Let me finish by sharing our fourth quarter and updated full-year 2026 guidance. We forecast fourth quarter revenue in the range of $226 to $230 million, and we are raising our full-year 2026 revenue to the range of $888 to $892 million, representing year-over-year growth of approximately 12%. We continue to expect full-year 2026 subscription revenue growth of approximately 14.5% up from the at least 14% we expected in our initial full-year 2026 guidance. We also expect non-subscription revenue to decline slightly year-over-year for the fourth quarter and to be roughly flat for the full year. We forecast fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA in the range of $62.4 million to $65.4 million, and we are raising full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA to the range of $253 million to $256 million, representing approximately 28.6% of revenue at the midpoint. This represents approximately 500 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion for the full year, roughly double the approximately 250 basis points implied by our initial full year 2026 guidance. Looking ahead to 2027, we are reiterating our full year subscription revenue growth outlook of 12.5% to 13% and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 150 to 200 basis points. We measure our Rule of 40 performance as subscription revenue growth plus adjusted EBITDA margin. On a full year basis, we have expanded adjusted EBITDA margin by more than 20 percentage points since 2022, while consistently delivering strong subscription revenue growth. And we expect to finish 2026 at approximately a Rule of 43, well above 40, with our 2027 outlook also implying that we will meet or exceed that level next year. In summary, we delivered another strong quarter with record gross margin and adjusted EBITDA and both revenue and adjusted EBITDA finishing above the high end of our guidance. This performance, coupled with our outlook for the remainder of the year, has given us the confidence to raise our full year guidance on both revenue and adjusted EBITDA for 2026. We remain dedicated to delivering growth, profitability expansion, and improved capital efficiency and believe that our results to date collectively illustrate our progress and potential as we continue to evolve our business and drive shareholder value. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Matt for his closing remarks.
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Thanks, Jonathan. Before we open it up for questions, I'll close with a few final thoughts. We delivered another strong quarter of financial results alongside solid bookings performance led by digital banking, Our credit union wins and continued expansion activity demonstrate the breadth of the opportunity we have with both new and existing customers. We're also continuing to advance our AI strategy in close partnership with our customers. The engagement at Dev Days and progress with our early adopters reinforce our belief that Q2's platform and ecosystem will become even more valuable as our customers put AI to work. Looking ahead, I believe we're well positioned to capitalize on continued demand, support our customers as they grow organically and through M&A, and finish the year strong. We remain focused on executing against our long-term framework and delivering durable growth and continued improvement and profitability. Thank you to our employees, customers, and partners for their continued commitment to Q2. With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for questions.
Kevin
Conference Operator
We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please raise your hand now. If you have dialed in to today's call, please press star 9 to raise your hand and star 6 to unmute. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. And your first question comes from the line of Alex Sklar with Raymond James. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Alex Sklar
Analyst, Raymond James
Great, thank you. Can you all hear me? We got you. Okay. All right, Matt, maybe first one for you. Just on the rise of the personal agents, particularly over the last couple of months, and I really appreciate Josh, Adam, and Hema putting out that webinar this week. What's been the response from your FI clients and prospects in terms of demand for your various solutions? And are you seeing it kind of unlock any new pockets of opportunity, particularly upmarket with tier one and enterprise customers where they may have previously elected to do more in-house?
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Yeah, I think at Dev Days, we really were able to show off Q2 code and the ideas, the ability to build quickly, iterate and wrought new ideas and put them in production quickly was what was really impressive. And that video that Hema and Adam put out is really compelling when they talk about it. The thing that's been interesting is whether it's UAM or assistant is when you begin working or code, when you begin working with the customer's ideas start to flow and human in the loop ideas, they begin to figure out we can add this or we can keep this element of it. So the flexibility and the ability to get product into production quickly has been a game changer for us. And As far as agents go, we're building our platform and solution for all customers to explore agents however they want to do it. And that flexibility, it's up to them. Some people are going to allow agents to transact or have certain limitations on it, but some have taken a position that they're not. So we're neutral on it. We're trying to stay as flexible. flexible as we can so our customers have optionality, but the engagement continues to increase around AI every quarter.
Alex Sklar
Analyst, Raymond James
Okay, great. And Jonathan, congratulations on the co-CEO appointment. I'll ask you a CFO question, maybe for the last quarter here, but really strong profitability. I think the incremental EBITDA margins were the highest in three-ish years. So can you talk about how much of this was timing-related on planned spend and how that's flowing through the Q4 guide versus any structural efficiency gains you're realizing? Thanks.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Alex. Appreciate it. Really, really pleased with the third quarter and year-to-date profitability performance. We've talked a lot about increasing the ramp of our investments as we head into 2027. You see that when you look at the sequential for Q4 of this year when it comes to the EBITDA margin. A lot of that spend came online late in Q3 and then starting full in Q4. You do see a little bit of outperformance in Q3 relative to Q4 in that regard. More broadly, I think you're seeing the continued mix shift of the business towards subscription. You're seeing us stay disciplined and execute on a whole bunch of efficiencies in the organization, including with AI. I think we're really pleased to see the degree to which that flowed through in the third quarter. As you get into Q4 in 2027, as we've talked about the last couple calls, we are continuing to invest heavily in the product roadmap and the priority areas that we've talked about. Thank you both. Thanks, Alex. Thanks, Alex.
Kevin
Conference Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Terry Tillman with Truist. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Hey, Terry.
Kevin
Conference Operator
A reminder that you may need to press star six to unmute.
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
I think you just muted, Terry.
Kevin
Conference Operator
There you go. Okay, we can move on to the next question. Our next question comes from the line of Michael Infante with Morgan Stanley. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Yeah.
Michael Infante
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Hey, guys.
Matt VanVliet
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Hey, Michael.
Michael Infante
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
I wanted to ask on just air-related unit economics. I'm curious what you're seeing underneath the hood in terms of the mix of Customer inquiries that actually might require, you know, third party inference versus those that can be resolved internally without going out to actually have to source the incremental compute. Like, do you expect to sort of monetize both at the same rate? And what are you actually seeing in terms of, you know, the flows between sort of human in the loop versus more agentic?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Michael, I just want to make sure I understand your question. When we think about, if you're talking about products that we're distributing to our clients and how we monetize those versus the underlying compute costs that are either inherent in those products or that we use to build our products, I just want to make sure I'm answering the right question.
Michael Infante
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Yeah, I guess the question is just As you sort of think about the gross margin dynamics, you know, associated with more like agentic driven workflows versus those that require a little bit more human in the loop intervention, like, how are you sort of seeing that evolved? And what are you seeing internally on both of those fronts?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
I think as we are in the early adopter phase on these new products and we look at the total cost structure of these new solutions along with the pricing models that we're testing, the early returns, at least in the EA phase, look good in terms of the margin opportunity. We're doing what we need to do to protect ourselves. Thank you for joining us. The number of, or the use cases that we are solving for. So we're getting, in that regard, a gross margin outcome that we're pleased with in the EA phase, but we just haven't seen it yet at scale. And whether it's sort of some of the stuff in the background on the infrastructure side or the compute, we're confident that this is going to look positive, but we just don't know enough yet to say it with certainty at scale in GA. Okay.
Michael Infante
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Scott Kerr, Robert Seale, Adam Blue I think that gets me closer to 12% growth, at least on the ARR metric. Can you just sort of frame confidence levels in terms of the 12.5% to 13% level and sort of how you're thinking about things like backlog conversion, either incremental acceleration on subs in that new ARR, or some of the incremental cross-sell initiatives that you guys have in place? Thank you. Thanks, Michael.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
We feel really good about the Q4 opportunity we have for the step-up that you talked about and potentially even more. Obviously, we've got to go execute the bookings in Q4 and the renewals, etc., but I think we're well set up to do that. In terms of the degree of confidence we have in reiterating the 2027 Guide, we can talk about it. Obviously, it depends somewhat on the Q4 execution. We feel really, really good about that 12.5% to 13%. And we've had that as our 2027 early look since the beginning of the year. And as we sit here in late October, we feel incrementally more confident in that 12.5% to 13%. Because you've got to remember that the subs ARR execution that we had in the third quarter at 13.5% year-over-year growth, as well as Q1 and Q2 of this year, which were both north of 14%, all helped contribute to sort of the overall picture and 2027 subs growth. So Feel really good about that. Obviously, we talked about it coming into Q3 and Q4. The second half has some tougher cops relative to the back half of last year on both subs ARR and renewals, but very pleased that we were at a healthy number here in the third quarter, like you mentioned, of almost 21 million of subs ARR in Q3 and feel really good about the opportunity we have in Q4 that will only reaffirm that forward growth rate even more.
Michael Infante
Analyst, Morgan Stanley
Thanks, Jonathan, and congratulations.
Kevin
Conference Operator
Thank you, Michael. And your next question comes from the line of Ella Smith with JP Morgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Ella Smith
Analyst, JPMorgan
Good evening. Thank you for taking my questions, and congratulations again, Jonathan. Thanks, Ella. Maybe for Matt first. In April, you said that 30% to 35% of digital banking customers use your fraud products. I'm curious where that is today, and where do you think it can go longer term, given that that was growing above the company average?
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
I think it's about the same when you take the new customers we've added as well. And I think that that number could probably shoot to 60 to 70 percent over the next two to three years. That's I'm taking a swag at it, but with UAM and we continue to build more products as well around, we're seeing the UAM product expand even beyond with rights access and other things that we're adding to it. So I think we'll continue building products, but the adoption of the product should continue. And I feel like we should be able to get to 60, 70% in the next couple of years.
Ella Smith
Analyst, JPMorgan
Makes a lot of sense. Thank you. And for Jonathan, you're debt free with over 300 million of share repurchase capacity. What would catalyze you to pick up the pace of share repurchases? And would you ever consider using leverage to speed up the buybacks or stay funded from free cash flow?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
It's a good question. We want to be flexible on making sure we're allocating capital for what we believe will be the best return for shareholders. You can see in the third quarter, we did about $39 million of share repurchases, a little lighter in the second quarter, but obviously there we were timing up against the maturity wall of the convert, so we're just staying disciplined. We're open to obviously deploying and using it, and we have the cash balance and the building a free cash flow to use. We just want to stay nimble with regards to obviously the share price performance can dictate how much we buy and when, but also making sure that we are in a position to exercise other capital allocation levers like investing back in the business, which you're seeing some of that in the 27 and beyond EBITDA guide where the margins are expanding less than what we've put up over the last four years. Some of that's baked into that, but then also building the balance sheet for future potential M&A is always a potential use of proceeds, but obviously a lot has to go right for us to go down that path. I think what we're really valuing now is just flexibility, and in the meantime, we execute at a high level, and we can build the cash balance up, and then we have all the options at our disposal. As far as leverage, I think of that as something we've created capacity to do, but there would, again, have to be a compelling reason why we would need to lever up to do more because, again, between the cash we have and the cash we're generating, we think we could theoretically utilize that entire program over the next, call it, 12 to 24 months. It's just a question of timing that up with what makes sense from a valuation perspective and then the other options we have, as I mentioned.
Ella Smith
Analyst, JPMorgan
Makes a lot of sense. Thanks so much.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from Andrew Schmidt with KeyBank. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Andrew Schmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Hey, Matt. Hey, Jonathan. Thanks for taking the questions this evening. Maybe just starting off, Jonathan, congrats on the new appointment. Maybe just for both of you, how are you going to split up the responsibilities? And obviously, Jonathan, look, you've been with the company for a long time. Obviously, this is well-deserved, but I'm just curious, just any sort of initial remarks as you kind of step into the role? I imagine it's business as usual, but just curious if there's any particular focuses. Thanks. Thanks.
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Yeah, Andrew, I appreciate it, and congratulations to Jonathan. We're co-CEOs. We're going to manage the business collectively together. Obviously, I'm going to continue to foster culture, focus on customer relationships, and drive strategic direction, but Jonathan and I will share in the roles and the leadership team we have. is really strong, and then even a couple clicks below it, we've got a deep bench. I have a lot of confidence in the team. The business is performing at a high level, and we'll continue to make decisions collectively, and the reporting structure will operate in a co-CEO fashion, and so it'll be interesting to see how it plays out, but Jonathan and I collectively agree on a lot of stuff, and I think anything we disagree on, we've always been able to resolve it, so it'll just be a co-CEO structure.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
And Andrew, just to your second question, you sort of said it, it is business as usual. Matt and I and the rest of the executive team, we've sort of crafted our corporate strategy and our go-forward plans that are all multi-year in the making. And we sit here today executing on a plan that we crafted together and that we still have a ton of conviction in. So obviously, I'm humbled and honored to step into this role and I'm excited to work with Matt in this new way, but it's heads down, it's business as usual, and we got to keep executing because I think we have an incredible opportunity in front of us. And this is an amazing business, but we just got to keep capitalizing on the opportunity we have in front of us, as I mentioned. So it's just business as usual and excited for what's ahead.
Andrew Schmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
Yeah, appreciate that. Great remarks. Maybe just shifting gears to fraud and cyber and echo the comments on the... Robert Seale, Robert Seale, Robert Seale, Robert Seale, Robert Seale, in this category. Are you building a broader platform? And then I think you've talked about the right to win as being sort of the having those user interactions at touch points as well. Maybe just talk about your right to win versus perhaps other specialist providers or infrastructure players in that market. I know it's a big market. It's kind of hard to uncover, but any comments there in terms of the evolution of the platform would be helpful. Thanks.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I would just say we sit in a pretty special position with regards to the data we sit on top of and sort of the ability to protect the digital session from multiple angles. And when we think about this future of what we're calling the fraud intelligence platform, there is a pretty comprehensive view that we have that with our data, with our signals, and with our ability to continue building new products like UAM that we've talked about, We can have a differentiated ability to protect the financial institution, and that ultimately is what it comes down to. We're investing heavily in this space. We think it's a very significant pain point for our customers. When you think about everything it takes to protect the institution, it's not just about the software that we write and how we deploy it. It's also how we operationalize it. and more. We think of all the different ways we can do it, whether we're building new products, we have some great partners in this space, and it's something we're very committed to and excited about. And again, I think you're right that being the digital banking platform, we're in a privileged position when it comes to our relationship with these FIs, but the data we have to ultimately be able to help them solve this problem. I don't know if there's anything else.
Andrew Schmidt
Analyst, KeyBanc Capital Markets
No. Makes sense. Thank you, Jonathan. Appreciate it.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from Bill Karkash with Piper Sandler. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Bill Karkash
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Thank you. Can you hear me?
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Yeah, we got you.
Bill Karkash
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Great. Hey, Matt and Jonathan, thank you so much for your thoughts today and appreciate your taking my question. And let me extend my congratulations, Jonathan. The fundamental performance has been exceptional. I wanted to take the opportunity to ask you if you could speak directly to the broad topic of AI-related terminal value concerns, which have been at the heart of the bull bear debate in our discussions. As investors continue to debate whether increasingly capable AI models could erode the long-term value of digital banking platforms, I was hoping you could Just discuss some of the dynamics the market may be overlooking, you know, beyond your regulatory expertise. How do variables like core integration, security, auditability, implementation, accountability for mission-critical workflows, those sorts of things, protect Q2's role with banks? And maybe just what gives you confidence that these capabilities will remain difficult to replicate even as AI advances?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, Bill, you gave part of the answer there really well, because I think it goes way beyond just building the software, writing the code. And when you think about some of the elements you mentioned, we spent the last 20 plus years building all those things. And whether it's the security apparatus around the system, everything around the adapters and the integrations. There's so much operational investment that goes into this that goes way beyond code development, code writing. And so I think that that is sort of at the heart of the arguments. And when you look at the conversations we're having with customers starting a year plus ago all the way up through we had our client advisory board this week, it's pretty clear they are leaning on us when it comes to their future AI journeys. And I think one of the things that we saw even in the third quarter is In our renewal data was even longer duration. So the customers are voting with their wallet that they want to partner with us and help them solve their AI and work with them on their AI journey. So when we talk about the terminal value debates that's been going on for the last 12, 18 months. I think our customers and our prospects speak the loudest. But again, it is hard to overstate how much goes on around this platform to operationalize it and serve our customers day to day that goes way beyond replicating a digital banking experience.
Bill Karkash
Analyst, Piper Sandler
Thank you. That's very helpful. And then separately, I wanted to follow up on the I believe banks have historically had pretty siloed view of their customers across different products, whether it be CRE loans or CNI or different deposit products. Could you just go a little bit deeper into the features of that relationship-based pricing tool? Does it give banks the ability to look at the customer across different loan and deposit products more holistically so they can make more informed decisions about whether to give that customer a bit more of a favorable rate on the profitability of the relationship? Any sort of additional details you can give there would be helpful.
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Yeah, Bill, it's... The thing that's driving a lot of the activity for us is the complexity of the rate environment right now. And pricing a loan when it was at zero was not that complicated. But when you have deposit rates up, loan rates up, and you've got other factors you've got to build into, it could be treasury pricing. There's a lot of things you have to factor in. We sit on $2 trillion of loans, about $2 trillion of deposits, and we can use that data to help the bank make a more informed pricing decision, which might be you price the loan a little tighter than you want to, but you get more on the deposits or you charge more for the treasury. So The backdrop is the complexity of the pricing environment, and that's why you're seeing the demand environment, because they need real data to make these decisions, because it's more complex. And so I think you're going to see that continue into the future, especially with the Potential for rate hikes and the complexity around that. So that asset of ours, our relationship pricing tool, continues to be more and more valuable and continues to see more and more momentum behind it and an interest in engagement.
Bill Karkash
Analyst, Piper Sandler
That's very helpful. Thanks again for taking my questions.
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
Thanks, Bill.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from the line of Brett Huff with Stevens. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Brett Huff
Analyst, Stephens
Good evening, guys, Matt, Jonathan, and Josh, and it's nice to be speaking with you again after a few years off. Congrats on a nice quarter, and thanks for taking the questions. One question on fraud. You mentioned sort of outcome-based pricing on some of the fraud products. And I'm wondering, that's a trend that we're seeing kind of across software. How are those conversations going? Is it something specific about fraud and the sort of very, I guess, calculatable nature of that that makes outcome-based pricing work there? Or is that something that customers seem open to more generally? Yeah.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Well, I do think you're hitting on a point around on the fraud product that the value proposition there is very clear to the financial institution. It's clearly something they're watching closely and measuring our ability to help them reduce the degree of it. I do want to correct something you said around outcome-based pricing. What we're really doing on the fraud side is we're pricing it in a way where we get – Payne, and so on. The end consumer or the end business. And that is how we're pricing it, at least for that product.
Brett Huff
Analyst, Stephens
Okay, thanks. And then follow up on the renewal question. I think, Matt, you hit on this a little bit. And I know that you've been feeling the love on maybe early renewals, better expansions. Have those conversations evolved any as probably banks are looking more and more for a longer term? Partner to kind of get in bed with for the Folsom digital and AI transformation. Is anything materially different happening or positive or negative?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
I sort of alluded to it earlier. One thing I would say that whether you look in Q3 here of 26 or even earlier, it is worth noting that when you look at the economics of these renewals, so think about things like price increases, the amount of cross sale that goes into a renewal, what we call annual increases or effectively our inflation index. And then maybe more important than all of that when it comes to backlog math is duration of these contracts. All of those things are performing really, really well. And Q3 was the strongest on those dimensions so far this year and even stronger than the really strong renewal quarters we had in the back half of 2025. So, you know, I think we're in a good position when it comes to the underlying health issues. of the renewals. And like you said, we're working with our customers, trying to paint the journey of how we can help them on the AI front, on the fraud front, obviously on the digital banking side. And we're trying to lock them in and grow those relationships. So it's going really well. And we're excited because there's a lot more opportunity ahead of us on that front as we move into 27. Great.
Brett Huff
Analyst, Stephens
Thanks so much for the time. Appreciate it.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Brett.
Brett Huff
Analyst, Stephens
Welcome back.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Thanks.
Kevin
Conference Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Terry Tillman with Truist. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Luke Redis
Analyst, Truist
Hi, can you guys hear me?
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
We can now, Terry.
Luke Redis
Analyst, Truist
Hi, yeah. Sorry, this is Luke Redis on for Terry. Apologies about the technical difficulties. But first off, congratulations, Jonathan, on the new role. And I guess to start off, how was the Do you see a cross-selling relationship between relationship pricing and digital banking? And do you kind of still see it as a one-way street where relationship pricing is only being really sold into commercial customers? Or are you starting to see relationship pricing customers at commercial banking? And I guess, in your view, what needs to occur to kind of upstart this cross-sell?
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
I would say it's more selling relationship pricing into existing commercial customers. You just have a bigger footprint with digital banking and a bigger relationship in the financial institutions that it runs in. Remember, we have nine of the 15 biggest banks in North America that use the relationship pricing tool, so some of those aren't necessarily a great fit for our digital banking, but some of them We are expanding the relationships, having bigger conversations. Some of them have actually, I think we've sold fraud into some of the relationship pricing customers to some standalone fraud products. So the important thing is that we're engaging with our customers, finding out where their challenges and the opportunities are and what problems we can solve for them. I don't really have a timeframe on when we would do more of that, but I think it's important to know that we're engaging with the customers and trying to figure out what solutions we can plug in and what problems we can solve for them.
Luke Redis
Analyst, Truist
That makes sense. It's great to hear. And I guess as a quick follow-up, it was great to hear about the traction with UAM signing roughly 20 customers. Anything you could share on the revenue ramp and timing of these customers with UAM or maybe just the broader AI products, or is that still too early?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
It's pretty early. I mean, we'll share those customers. They're all alive and in production now in the context of the early adopter phase. But the reason it's too early to talk too much about the revenue ramp and the trajectory there is we obviously are not in GA yet. And we need to see how pricing and scale and the timing of selling the deals in GA will shake out. And so You know, part of early adopter is more favorable pricing and also experimentation on pricing. So until we're in GA as we get into the new year, and well, in the case of UAM, it should be by before then at late this year. We just need to see that to be able to comment on the revenue opportunity. To be clear, that is not factored into the guidance that would be early look of reiterating the 27 outlook. So If GA proves positive and we see good traction, that could provide upside to that. But there's just not enough there for us to comment on yet.
Luke Redis
Analyst, Truist
Awesome. Thank you, and next quarter. Thanks, Luke. Thank you.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from Matt VanVleet with Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Matt VanVliet
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the questions and congrats, Jonathan. Very much deserved. Thank you, Matt. First on the success that you called out this quarter on the credit union side, I'm curious if you can just peel that back a little bit. Anything changing in the underlying trends in the credit union market, or is this more of a factor of internal changes and investments made around covering that market? What, if anything, do you attribute some of that strength to?
Matt Flake
Co-Chief Executive Officer, President and Chairman
I think it's largely the The $3 billion credit union that we highlighted, credit unions are getting more and more into business banking, and they see the opportunity there, and a single platform provides them with the ability to take a member who's on the credit union system who may be running a small business and offer them On Demand, ACH Wire, Entitlement, whatever type of commercial functionality where they don't have to get a new login ID and they don't have to set up a new system and have two different logins to look at their information. And that's what our platform provides. So our experience with cash management, we have advisory services where people can go out and help them and figure out and teach them how to sell the products. The whole suite that we have is what's really driving a lot of the engagement there. We've been in credit unions since 2008 or 2009. Half of our 28 million users are credit union members. 50% of the top 100 credit unions, we've always been a credit union provider. I think it's starting to show up. I would say the sales team is doing a good job and the marketing team is going to continue to drive that message to the credit unions about how our product can help expand from Thank you very much.
Matt VanVliet
Analyst, Cantor Fitzgerald
As you look at the Helix business, it would seem like a lot of the FIs or maybe some just the non-traditional customers that you're reaching there are maybe struggling with the higher rate environment. But I guess, how is the business of Helix progressing lately if you kind of delineate between Traditional banks launching maybe new product lines or new ways to attract customers versus those non-traditional and the overall health of that market.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I mean, there hasn't been a lot of change so far in the second half of 26. What I'd say is, you know, we did a good job in the 2020 or 2019, 2018 through 2023 when, you know, or late 22 when rates started rising into 23 when the bank failures happened and before the bass space really changed fundamentally in adding a bunch of very I would call them marquee and high volume customers. And those folks have really oriented themselves around their programs and being profitable and active engagement with their customers as opposed to spending money to grow really fast. And so those customers for us, we've done a good job renewing them and they're healthy and they're growing, but they're not investing and growing like they were three, four years ago. And then when it comes to net new on the traditional or the non-traditional side, the fintech side, for example, There, since 2023, the backdrop has been pretty slow. And so as we've shifted more of the messaging and the value prop and the team towards traditional financial institutions and the opportunity there, that's where we're having some exciting conversations and intrigued about the opportunity, especially on the retail banking side with the Helix Core and our digital banking platform. But it's still early and we haven't We haven't seen enough traction there yet to be able to sort of tell a story of meaningful progress to report on. All right, helpful. Thank you. Thanks, Matt. Thanks, Matt.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from Parker Lane of Stiefel Nicholas. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Parker Lane
Analyst, Stifel
Hey, guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Jonathan, when you look at the framework for 2027, the 12.5% to 13% growth, and look at the pipeline you have in place, Do you expect any deviation from this year's growth drivers? Do you expect bigger contributions from risk and fraud and relationship pricing relative to core? And just to clarify, it doesn't sound like there's any meaningful AI contribution in there. Is that correct?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
The latter part is correct, yes. And the former, we do expect a little bit more continued mix shift and contribution and more rapid growth, candidly, from, for example, the fraud side of the business. but you know still feel really good about the pipeline on digital banking across retail and commercial and banks and credit unions so very optimistic about Q4 into Q1 and Q2 but as far as we can see right now and then also Matt already talked about on the relationship pricing side feel like we got some good opportunities we got to go execute on and sign before the end of the year and the pipe into 27 also has some meaningful deals so it's pretty broad based and you know we just got to go execute them.
Parker Lane
Analyst, Stifel
Got it. And just to follow up on an earlier question about the price discovery around AI functionality, what are you learning from those conversations you're having with customers in the early access program? Is there going to be a single or consolidated pricing offering? Do you expect more bespoke pricing based on customer needs? What's the current ideation around that?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, it's a great question. It's very topical. I mean, I think we're learning sort of what you just said is that it's not going to be uniform across products and even potentially across customer types. So it varies by product. But what we're seeing is, in all cases, some form of hybrid model. and many more. or in the case of Assistant, the number of use cases that we're using to drive value on. So it really is a hybrid model and we're really looking forward to seeing how this scales in once it's generally available because the feedback has been very positive. And I think we've chosen three lanes for AI in protect the institution, create builders and drive efficiency for the bank and the back office. These are areas where the FIs are willing to start experimenting. We're seeing more and more adoption every quarter, and so we've sort of mapped our product roadmap to those three lanes, and it seems to be resonating, and pricing has not been a major hurdle for us so far. So we feel optimistic that that can show well as we get into 27 from a bookings perspective and then 28 and beyond when it comes to the real revenue opportunity.
Parker Lane
Analyst, Stifel
Got it. Thanks, guys. Thanks, Parker. Thanks, Parker.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from Joe Ruink with Robert W. Baird. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Joe Vruwink
Analyst, Robert W. Baird
Hey, thanks. Can you hear me okay? We got you, Joe. Okay, great. In the past, when you've tried defining your risk and fraud areas, I think that was quantified as a $4 billion TAM. I'm wondering if you think that's still the right number. One thing that stood out from Adam and Hema's talk this week was just talking about how the personal agents and the bank setting creates a lot more surface area that now needs to be tracked and monitored. It would seem like That expanded scope should translate into economics and what broad intelligence can garner.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, it's a great point. I mean, the reality is we run this analysis annually and coming into the year, we would admit that the $4 billion is maybe a little conservative. And certainly, as you listen to Adam and Hema on the podcast, it is clear that these use cases are evolving and the surface area is growing, and that's leading to more opportunity. It's hard to quantify the monetization rate. That's great. And congrats, by the way, Jonathan. Maybe just on the sequential development and RPO.
Joe Vruwink
Analyst, Robert W. Baird
I know we've been talking about how when you look at the renewals that transacted really good developments, were the number of renewal events a bit lighter in the 3Q period? And does that maybe step up in 4Q, which is naturally going to be good for sequential RPO development? I think if I go back to like the fourth quarter of 2023, obviously a great new bookings quarter, but were there also renewals happening then, which kind of are going to come back around now here at year end?
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Robert Seale, Robert Seale, and so on. are holding strong, and all of those are strong, if not stronger, than earlier in the year and late last year. So for us, feel good about Q4 when it comes to the number of opportunities and the dollars available, but obviously we've got to just execute on those and continue to see the fundamentals hold strong, because that, I would argue, matters more in the long run than any one quarter and what's available to be renewed within a given quarter. Great. Thank you. Thanks, Joe. Thanks, Joe.
Kevin
Conference Operator
And your next question comes from the line of Chris Kennedy with William Blair. Your line is open. Please go ahead.
Chris Kennedy
Analyst, William Blair
Great. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking the question. Can you provide any update on Innovation Studio and talk about how AI can impact the opportunity with that asset? Thank you, guys.
Jonathan Price
Co-Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer
Thank you very much. I think that's becoming par for the course. And so I think that's a nice halo effect on our business because we can participate in all of that technology as we distribute it to our customers and the associated economics. But yeah, AI is touching everything. And we're grateful that our partners are leaning in and and adding new partners that are maybe more AI first and coming from a different angle than some of the incumbents. So really pleased with where we're at with Innovation Studio and looking forward to a strong fourth quarter and beyond.
Chris Kennedy
Analyst, William Blair
Thanks for taking the question.
Kevin
Conference Operator
Thank you. Thanks, Chris. There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.