SLF Sun Life Financial Inc.
$73.48
Sun Life Financial Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript
AI Conference Call Analysis
Sign in or subscribe to read.Gaylene
Conference Operator
Good morning and welcome to the Sun Life Financial Q3 2026 conference call. My name is Gaylene and I will be your conference operator today. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise and the conference is being recorded. After the presentation, there'll be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. The host of the call is Darko Mihalic. SVP, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. Mihalic.
Darko Mihalic
Senior Vice President, Head of Investor Relations
Thank you and good morning, everyone. Welcome to Sun Life's earnings call for the third quarter of 2026. Our earnings release in the slides for today's call are available on the investor relations section of our website at sunlife.com. We will begin today's call with opening remarks from Kevin Strain, President and Chief Executive Officer. Following Kevin, Tim Deacon, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, will present the financial results for the quarter. After the prepared remarks, we will move to the question and answer portion of the call. Other members of management are also available to answer your questions this morning. Please turn to slide two. I draw your attention to the cautionary language regarding the use of forward-looking statements and non-IFRS financial measures, which form part of today's remarks. As noted in the slides, forward-looking statements may be rendered inaccurate by subsequent events. And with that, I'll now turn things over to Kevin.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Darko, and welcome to Sun Life and to your new role. And good morning, everyone. Turning to slide five, we delivered solid third-core results with double-digit underlying EPS growth, a strong ROE and LICAP position, and solid insurance growth. Canada, Asia, U.S. stop loss, and Green Oak were all drivers of growth. We're executing well on our strategy, And that's showing up in our results with higher underlying earnings across all business groups. This growth is driven by our diversified business mix, which is performing well in an increasingly complex business environment. Underlying net income was $1.15 billion, up from $1.05 billion last year. Underlying EPS was $2.05, up 10% over the prior year. And underlying return on equity was 19%. Reported net income was $785 million compared to $1.1 billion a year ago, reflecting market related impacts and acquisition and integration costs, as well as some restructuring costs related to the Green Oak platform optimization. Tim will share more on this later. In asset management, underlying earnings increased 6% year over year. Green Oak delivered strong underlying earnings growth, reflecting growing fee earning assets, cost discipline, and the contribution from Bell Partners, our new U.S. multifamily residential real estate business. MFS delivered consistent earnings despite elevated outflows as market growth offset the outflows. U.S. retail investors continue to favor passive strategies driven by their concentration in the small number of technology stocks driving equity market growth. Our insurance and wealth businesses also delivered solid growth. Canada underlying earnings increased 6% in line with our medium-term objective. Strong business growth, particularly across our wealth businesses, helped offset lower insurance experience. Asia continues to perform well, underlying earnings were up 8% against a strong prior year comparison. Asia growth is broad-based across multiple businesses. In the U.S., health and risk solutions continue to perform well, while employee benefits experience elevated incidence and severity, reflecting elevated LTD experience consistent with what was seen across the industry. We delivered strong top line results in insurance and wealth and at Green Oak. Insurance sales increased 12% driven by continued growth in Asia and strong group benefit sales in Canada and the US. In Canada, wealth sales increased 21%. In asset management, Green Oak growth flows were up 8%. This partially offset lower growth sales at MFS. Green Oak also saw positive net flows of $4 billion. Overall, this was a solid quarter reflecting our disciplined execution and our diversified global business model. Now turning to slide six, let me touch on some areas where we made progress this quarter. In asset management, we launched Green Oak, our new brand for SLC, and began to bring together the businesses under one platform, building a stronger foundation for growth. We also made progress in building scale, announcing our strategic partnership with Wilton Rhee, where Green Oak will serve as the lead asset manager for a new reinsurance vehicle which is expected to grow to $10 billion US over time. For Green Oak, that means strategic access to permanent capital and significant long-term growth potential. Innovative partnerships like this are just one of the ways we're driving performance and fully realizing the value of the broad asset management capabilities we've built. Our fundraising capabilities in real estate continue to demonstrate the scale and strength of the platform Ranking in the top five globally for private real estate capital raised over the last five years in the PERE 100. We completed the acquisition of Bell Partners, an established U.S. multifamily real estate platform with specialized expertise that expands the solutions we can offer institutional clients. Finally, we committed $5 billion over five years to Canadian infrastructure. The commitment includes $1.5 billion for equity investments. This initiative speaks to our role as a source of patient long-term capital, which supports economic growth while delivering attractive long-term returns. Together, these developments show how we're leveraging the breadth of Sun Life to scale up, unlock synergies between our capabilities, and create new sources of growth across asset management. Turning to insurance and wealth, we introduced our refreshed Sun Life brand and new tagline, Making Life Brighter. Reflecting our continued focus on helping clients live healthier lives and achieve lifetime financial security. We are building on strong market positions across Canada, the U.S., and Asia, and bringing more capabilities together to serve more client needs. In Asia, individual insurance sales increased 9% to $937 million. Malaysia, India, and Indonesia led the growth, and Hong Kong showed continued strength. In July, we launched Sun Life Private Wealth. bringing together our global insurance, wealth, and advisory capabilities to meet the complex needs and rising demand from high net worth clients. In Canada, wealth AUMA increased 11% to $284 billion, supported by strong rollover activity and mutual fund sales. On the health side, we launched online counseling by dialogue, bringing mental health care to clients when and where they need it. In the US, medical stop-loss sales increased 62% as we continue to have success winning high quality business. Across our employee benefits and stop-loss businesses, we helped Americans get the care they need through initiatives like personalized care navigation and providing specialized second opinions through expert cancer review. These capabilities also benefit employers by improving both health and cost outcomes. Across our markets, we're combining the scale and reach of our leading businesses, differentiated solutions, and create more value. We're using AI to help us serve clients better while keeping humans at the center. With an AI and digital forward mindset, we're freeing up time by reducing repetitive tasks so our people can spend more time with clients when it matters the most. In the US, we're using machine learning on medical claims data to identify when employees qualify for supplemental health benefits. We've also used AI to accelerate reimbursements of claims. In Indonesia, we enhance claims automation to increase straight through processing by 20%. Across the Asia region, we continue to launch new AI tools for advisors, including our latest solution, which takes on routine tasks and streamlines client interactions. And in Canada, we've received two 2026 Global Insurance Innovation Awards, one for our enhanced mobile app with improved integration of online health capabilities, and a second for our digital insurance experience. These recognitions reflect our progress building a faster, more seamless client experience. Additionally, our continued focus on the digital client experience is delivering results, including a 25% increase in group wealth lump sum contributions and a 30% increase in health solutions. These examples are just a few of the ways we're making it easier for clients to choose Sun Life and to deepen their relationships with us. Our AI-forward mindset is strengthening the value of our advice and enabling more efficient, scalable growth. Turning to slide seven, our mix of business has built resilience despite headwinds for active asset management and for U.S. benefits and state dental. Canada, Asia, Green Oak, and our U.S. stop-loss business continue to deliver strong earnings, ROE, and growth. MFS's commitment to build active asset management in the right way is something we support despite the industry dynamics, and MFS continues to deliver solid earnings and cash flow to Sun Life, supporting our buyback program. U.S. Benefits and Medicare and Medicaid are experiencing significant change. We are focused on improving the disability experience in U.S. employee benefits through pricing actions and cost measures where appropriate. Depending on ongoing experience, these measures will take hold over a few quarters aligned to the pricing cycles. State Medicare and Medicaid are seeing some signs of improvement, and we are focusing on states that see the value in partnering with a high-quality trusted provider. David and his team are taking the right steps and we have the scale and capabilities to reposition this business for growth over time. As we tackle these challenges, we continue to make meaningful progress against our medium-term objectives. Underlying EPS growth this quarter is in line with our objective of 10%. Our underlying return on equity of 19% is within reach of our 20% target. Our dividend payout ratio of 47% remains within our target 40 to 50% range. And our balance sheet and capital fundamentals remain strong. Our LICAT ratio is industry leading. Our strong capital position gives us the flexibility to invest in our businesses while returning capital to shareholders. On that note, I'm pleased to share that our board has approved a $0.04 increase to our quarterly dividend to $1 per common share. We remain well positioned to continue delivering sustainable, broad-based earnings. I'll now turn it over to Tim.
Tim Deacon
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. Turning to slide 9, we delivered solid results in the third quarter, with underlying net income of $1.146 billion, up 9% from the prior year. Underlying earnings per share were $2.05, reflecting higher earnings across all four business groups. Reported net income was $785 million. The difference from underlying net income primarily reflects unfavorable market-related impacts, largely from the rise in interest rates and flattening of the yield curve during the quarter. and costs related to bringing the Green Oak businesses together and the completion of the Bell Partners acquisition. During the quarter, we completed our annual assumption review, which led to a one-time reduction in reported earnings of $33 million, primarily from policyholder behavior assumption updates in Asia. This year's assumption changes also included a $1.2 billion balance sheet reclassification between CSM and risk adjustment for the Canada Power Block. In aggregate, we expect these changes to have a slightly positive impact on go-forward shareholder underlying net income. Turning to slide 10, Sun Life Asset Management underlying net income increased 6% to $297 million U.S., driven by higher earnings at Green Oak, including the contributions from Bell Partners and higher fee-related margins driven primarily by expense management actions, while MFS earnings were broadly consistent with the prior year. Reported net income reflects ongoing integration and restructuring costs related to bringing our private asset affiliates in Green Oak under one platform, which we expect to continue in 2027, and acquisition and integration costs associated with the closing of the Bell Partners transaction. At MFS, gross flows were 25.5 billion U.S., and net outflows were 26.9 billion U.S., primarily in U.S. retail equity mutual funds, where returns continue to be impacted by an underweighting to technology stocks, and Investors' Preference for Passive Strategies. We expect these conditions to persist in the near term. Last year's comparative included the highest institutional gross and net flows since 2022, driven by several large mandate wins. While U.S. retail flows remain challenged, the business continues to build momentum in key growth areas, including ETFs and fixed income. ETF net flows of over $650 million U.S. included two new ETF fund launches this quarter. and fixed income net inflows were $300 million US. Fundraising at Green Oak was $3.5 billion US in the quarter, led by private credit and real estate, following the record close of our largest private credit fund to date in Q2. Gross deployments of $7.1 billion US were up over last year and last quarter, supported by higher activity in real estate across Europe, the US and Asia, while private credit continued to see solid deployment in the US lower mid-market lending. Turning to slide 11. Canada underlying net income increased 6% to $422 million. Growth was driven by higher fee income in our wealth platform, business growth in Sun Life Health, favorable investment earnings, and continued expense discipline. Morbidity experience remained positive, but lower in the quarter and within our normal range of expectations. Reported net income was $418 million, reflecting favorable assumption changes in management actions, offset by unfavorable market-related impacts. In Canada's wealth businesses, assets under management and administration increased 11% to $284 billion as a result of continued strong rollover in individual mutual fund sales combined with strong equity market performance. Total insurance sales were consistent with the prior year, reflecting higher large case sales in Sun Life Health and lower participating life sales in individual insurance as we seek a balanced insurance portfolio. Turning to slide 12, U.S. underlying net income increased 32% to $141 million U.S., driven by strong medical stop loss performance, reflecting a lower loss ratio compared with the prior year. The January 1, 2026 block is now 30% complete and is performing in line with expectations. In-force management earnings also contributed to growth, supported by favorable mortality and credit experience. In employee benefits, results reflected elevated long-term disability incidence and severity during the quarter, reflecting a broader industry trend. Disability claims were concentrated in specific industries and medical conditions, which we expect to persist in the near term. We are taking pricing and expense actions that should help moderate loss ratios over time. Dental results improved from the prior year, reflecting stabilized loss ratios and a more favorable mix of direct state contracts. Expense actions are progressing, yet lag the pace of Medicaid membership declines from terminated contracts and industry trends. Given these dynamics, we expect U.S. dental underlying net income to remain muted as we continue repositioning the business. Reported net income was $77 million U.S., reflecting unfavorable market-related impacts, acquisition, integration, and restructuring costs, intangible amortization in dental, and unfavorable assumption changes and management actions. Medical stop-loss sales increased 62%, demonstrating our ability to deliver strong growth while maintaining disciplined risk selection in a hardening market. Growth continues to be supported by our differentiated health and risk solutions and advanced analytics capabilities. Commercial dental sales more than doubled this quarter, reflecting our strategic focus on this higher margin segment of the dental market. Turning to slide 13, Asia underlying net income increased 8% on a constant currency basis to $227 million, despite lower mortality experience gains and lower morbidity. Reported net income was $124 million, reflecting the impacts of assumption changes in management actions and restructuring costs.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
Asia individual insurance sales increased 9% to $937 million, with growth across most markets.
Tim Deacon
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
In Hong Kong, sales increased 6% across all channels amid an increasingly competitive environment, supported by the expansion of our advisor force to more than 4,100 advisors. Malaysia, India, and Indonesia delivered sales growth of 60, 33, and 26% respectively, supported by strong bank assurance performance. New business CSM declined year over year, primarily reflecting the competitive environment in Hong Kong. Although margins are lower, they remain healthy and are expected to remain stable going forward. Turning to our capital position on slide 14. We ended the quarter with a LICAT ratio of 142%, down 3 percentage points from the second quarter, primarily reflecting the impact of interest rates. We continue to maintain an industry-leading capital position, providing significant flexibility to support our growth priorities. We delivered book value per share growth of 5% to $42.79 and finished the quarter with a financial leverage ratio of 24.1%. Total CSM of $14.1 billion, declined 2% from the prior year with the impact of assumption changes in management actions, CSM amortization and markets partially offset by new business CSM. Turning to slide 15, in the quarter we returned $780 million to shareholders through common shareholder dividends and share repurchases, delivering a dividend yield of 3.4%. We purchased $246 million of shares under our normal course issuer bid, partially offsetting the impact of the share issuance for the Bell Partners acquisition. In closing, our third quarter results reflect the benefits of our diversified business mix. Our strong balance sheet and capital position give us the flexibility to invest in growth, digital and AI, support our clients, and return capital to shareholders. We're making consistent progress on our medium-term objectives, finishing the quarter with a return on equity of 19%, delivering 10% underlying EPS growth and operating within the target range for our dividend payout ratio. Looking ahead, we remain laser focused on executing our strategy and delivering continued sustainable long-term value for shareholders. With that, I'll turn the call over to Darko to begin the Q&A portion of the call.
Darko Mihalic
Senior Vice President, Head of Investor Relations
Thank you, Kevin and Tim. To help ensure that all participants have an opportunity to ask questions this morning, please limit yourselves to one or two questions and then re-queue with any additional questions. I will now ask the operator to poll the participants.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
Thank you.
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
We'll now begin the question and answer session.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. You'll hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up the handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. One moment, please. The first question is from Doug Young with Desjardins Capital. Please go ahead.
Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets
Hi, I guess it's still good morning. Just maybe on the U.S. medical stop results, you know, obviously, you know, encouraging trends. Just wondering if you can kind of maybe parse out, you know, how much of the improvement year over year You know, with some pricing actions or morbidity or favorable prior year development. And if you can kind of tail that into how should we think about the sustainability of this as we look into 2027 and some of the actions that you're taking.
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Hey, Doug, good morning. It's David. Thanks for the question. Yeah, so, you know, we're very pleased with our results overall in health and risk solutions. We continue to benefit from a hard market, and they're clearly benefiting from our differentiated capabilities as well. In terms of how you should think about it, our earnings are up actually 45% year-over-year after adjusting for the Q3 25 reserve change. So, you know, they're certainly our results are in line with our expectations and we feel good about where we sit based on claim development today and we're watching carefully for the rest of the year but overall we see good opportunities looking forward as we look at the pipeline for Q4 and 1.1 sales and we're continuing to benefit like I said from our differentiated capabilities and we expect to you know continue to build on the success we've had recently.
Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets
And so maybe just to kind of follow up on that I guess the I just wanted to follow up on this. Obviously, 45% up is quite significant. I'm just trying to understand primarily where that came from. What was the main driver? Was it the pricing, prior development, or just a little bit more detail on that?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Yeah, so it's really related to our pricing actions coming into the year and how we position ourselves for the 1-1 cycle. So if you look at our performance, you know, year to date, it really reflects the fact that our claims, you know, are in line with where we expect them to be. And so our loss ratio assumption is the same. But most of it is driven by volume and year over year increase that we saw. in both sales and persistency as a result of our position in the market.
Doug Young
Analyst, Desjardins Capital Markets
Okay. I mean, I'll leave it there for now. Now, just on dental, I guess, two-pronged question. Obviously, there's a political change in the U.S. and, you know, prior administration or not really prior administration, but a lot of the change in Medicaid, Medicare was driven by By one side, you have a bit of a change in the political landscape in the U.S. How does that change your outlook for the Medicaid, Medicare, dental business, if at all? And then, as you're going through and repricing the U.S. dental, Medicaid, Medicare contracts and going through that, how do you think about still the further risks of further intangible asset write-downs?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Yes, so let me take the first half of that question. So in terms of the outlook of dental, it's certainly possible that there could be some favorable changes as a result of the recent administration or the results of the election. I would say it's a little too early to tell. What I can tell you is what we're watching, obviously, is what policies are going to emerge from the administration going forward and from Democrats in particular. We'll be watching overall support for government programs and financing, you know, and whether there'll be any changes there. We're also going to pay, you know, close attention to eligibility and work requirements and whether or not those will be adjusted at all. And then I think we're also paying attention to, you know, the local politics at the state level. You know, obviously we have a broad-based business. We operate in 33 states. There were 36 governor races with a few changes, and so a lot of funding priorities are also set at the state level when it comes to and how they'll approach their benefits. But overall, we're staying focused on serving members in the states and making sure that we're advocating on behalf of those members for the right level of funding and support for access to dental benefits overall. And then maybe I'll turn it to Tim for the second question.
Tim Deacon
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Doug. On the intangibles question, there's two parts to that. There's goodwill associated with this business, and there's also the customer relationship intangibles. And typically, we look at goodwill and intangible impairment testing in the fourth quarter. But where we sit right now, we're feeling good about the overall business and the repositioning that David spoke about overall as it relates to goodwill. And on the customer relationships, that's probably more a function of What are the contract mix that we have going forward? As we discussed on the prepared remarks and David's comments, work continues on repositioning the businesses. We're looking to exit contracts that are not profitable going forward. And to the extent that any of those have an associated customer relationship intangible, there would be exposure there, but nothing material to report at this time. Appreciate the comment. Thank you.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Alex Scott with Barclays. Please go ahead.
Alex Scott
Analyst, Barclays
Hey, just wanted to see if you could opine on disability and just give us a little more detail around the types of claims you're seeing, frequency, severity, what you expect in terms of looking into 4Q and into 27 on some of those trends. Specifically in the U.S. Alex, it's David again.
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Thanks. Yeah, sure. Thanks for the question. So as Tim noted in his remarks, we have seen elevated LTD claims in the quarter. They were both, we saw them in terms of incidents, but also higher severity of those claims as well. And it was consistent with what we're seeing being reported from other industry competitors in the market. You know, while the disability loss ratio has been trending up over the last year or so more broadly across the industry, It was more acute this quarter, not just for us, but for others. In terms of the types of claims we're seeing, certainly it's elevated mental health claims across the board, but it was somewhat broad-based. It's maybe a little more pronounced in some industries versus others, but we did see it more broad-based, consistent with what we've heard from others in the industry as well. In terms of our approach and what we're going to do about it, really our focus is around First of all, just helping people return to work and our claims and clinical management to help people get through their disability event and return to work. But also obviously pricing, you know, given the broader dynamic here, we will be continuing our pricing actions and make sure that we're working to get paid appropriately for the risks that we're taking. And then as Tim also noted, there'll be a little bit of focus as there always is on just prudent expense management as well. So that's our focus going forward and really reflecting Our experience is reflecting what we're hearing from the rest of the industry as well.
Alex Scott
Analyst, Barclays
Okay, that's all helpful. And then maybe if you could dig into MFS, and I hear some of the industry-level flow headwinds that have been out there, but is there anything you can tell us about the outlook for flows at MFS specifically? And just how that will dovetail with the expense management that you seem to be executing on there. I'm just trying to get a better understanding of what to expect out of the trajectory of earnings, just considering it's sort of closer to 15% to 20% annualized outflow at this point.
Ted Maloney
Chief Executive Officer, MFS Investment Management
Hi, this is Ted. I'll take the first part of that question at least. Thank you. The industry dynamics really are the driver of the outflows. So every truly active manager is experiencing the same headwinds that we are in this space. And as was mentioned in the prepared remarks, in this environment, equity indices have become dangerously concentrated, which create a high level of risk for equity investors. And we're positioned to protect our clients better than the indices and the peers when markets broaden. But in the current environment, indices have become more concentrated. As that's happened, we've underperformed along with pretty much all of our active equity peers. We're concentrated in active equity space. We have a number of strategic initiatives to make sure that we're growing in a number of other active public spaces, but for the moment, those industry headwinds led by shifts to passive as passive outperformed active pretty much across the board is what's driving the flow experience, and we would expect those trends to persist.
Alex Scott
Analyst, Barclays
Okay. Thank you.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Gabriel Duchene with National Bank Financial. Please go ahead.
Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial
Good morning. My first question is about the Canadian group business. You're a bit of an outlier there. It sounds like your group disability experience is still positive. I'm wondering if you can explain why that might be relative to the... The industry and what your outlook is. Is there still a need to reprice, given that you're doing relatively well?
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Hi, Gabriel. This is Jessica. Yeah, I think last quarter I explained that I think our group business, we've been very focused on one discipline, pricing, a lot of management actions on both, I think, our operations front. using technology also to help us, that and investing in our people. We'll continue to do that, and I think this quarter, there's fluctuations every quarter, but it still remains within the kind of variation that we see across. So I think we haven't seen any kind of out of the ordinary pieces, yeah.
Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial
Okay, and then in the US, a bit of a different story. The 81 million of negative experience or experience losses, you know, how much of that was this group LTD? Then, you know, bigger picture, you talked about some specific industries where you're seeing these incidence rates. Is this, you know, AI fallout? Some industries where, you know, job losses or attrition, whatever you want to call it, is accelerating. So that's having an impact on the incidence rates. And, you know, if it's, you know, possible to, How do you quantify the exposure to these industries? What percentage of your overall book? Thanks.
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Yeah, Gabriel, David, thanks for the question. You know, in terms of the morbidity experience, it was predominantly driven by LTD. And so both in both incidence and severity, that was really the driver. In terms of industries, we have a broad book. We certainly saw it show up in healthcare and manufacturing, but I wouldn't say at this point that we can point to AI as a specific driver here. What we do know is that the economy and broader concern about jobs typically can lead to a spike like this, although we haven't seen that for quite some time. I think the industry has had very favorable disability experience for many years now, but that certainly has been disrupted very recently. So I think we're just focused on the actions that I mentioned before, and certainly because of the nature of our book, we have a broad base across many industries. It's not particularly overly concentrated in one segment or in one industry or with one type of occupation.
Gabriel Dechaine
Analyst, National Bank Financial
Okay. Thank you.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Tom McKinnon with BMO Capital. Please go ahead.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Yeah, thanks very much and good morning. Tim, I think in your remarks you mentioned the expense discipline. If I look at the expense other line in your DOE, consolidated DOE, I see that at $459 million. That's down 5% year-over-year and even down more quarter-over-quarter. Is there anything unusual in that number or do you just kind of see that as being... Thank you, Tom.
Tim Deacon
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
It's Tim. You're right. The expenses are down year-on-year and quarter-over-quarter, and it really is primarily a reflection of the continued focus on expense discipline. And it's broad-based. It's across most of our businesses. You see that in Canada, in our investments, part of our businesses, and and in the U.S. as well. And a good chunk of that is going to be sustainable. As you know, we ran a restructuring program that really started in 2024. We took a restructuring charge at that time. That program was largely completed in the first quarter of this year and now you're seeing some of the effects come through. But I would also say that there is always going to be quarter to quarter fluctuations, you know, as we look at incentive compensation, accruals and other variability. So I would take the average that you would be seeing through 2026 has a good solid base and we continue to remain disciplined and that's a key area of focus for us in 2027 and beyond.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Okay, thanks. And then I have a question with respect to Canada. There's an other fee income line there that is kind of had a nice sharp jump up in the quarter and that I'm just wondering sustainability of that number. It's 126 and it's been running like in the 80s and 90s. As I understand, you've got GRS business in there, ASO, you've got probably some wealth. So what's contributed to that, the lift in that number and how sustainable is that? Thanks.
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Hi, Tom, this is Jessica. Actually, 80% of the line is from our wealth assessment. So what's driving it is really our wealth asset management business that Tim alluded to, whereby we say that our $284 billion is growing 11%. So that income grows at least with 11%, which I think drives higher fees. We also benefit actually from your previous remark about the efficiency from a lot of scale benefits as we increase or actually have a 25% increase in the margin of the wealth business. So I think that will continue to grow with the market and also scale efficiency.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Okay, so that line is kind of net of expenses associated with that. So operating leverage is going to be all reflected in that other fee income line. Is that correct, then?
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
It reflects the operating leverage for the wealth business. So 80% of that line is wealth net fee income, which reflects the operating efficiency there. If you want to see Canada overall efficiency, there is one page at the back that has the total Canada expenses. And if you look at it, we're also getting total efficiencies. I think at year to date, our total expenses is only growing 2%, whereas our earnings have grown 12%. So we're also getting Efficiency is actually across the board, as Tim alluded to.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Yeah, that's great. Now, so this level now that's been running 126, is there anything unusual on that, or do you think that that number is kind of sustainable at this level?
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Yeah, that line is going to be hard to model because it's basically all the other expenses. It reflects only about 20-plus percent of expenses. No, the other fee income line.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
I'm referring to the other fee income line. The other fee income line, 2026.
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Yes, that's right.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
So the other fee income line, 80%.
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Yeah, the other fee income line, 80% of that will continue to be driven by our wealth business. And so we've tracked very closely to our UMA. And then you will get some benefits again from scale benefits. But at least it will grow with the UMA line.
Tom MacKinnon
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets
Okay, thanks.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Mario Mendonca with TD Securities. Please go ahead.
Mario Mendonca
Analyst, TD Securities
Good morning. I want to go to MFS, but not the flows. That's been well discussed. What I want to focus on instead is the capacity of the business to manage expenses lower. And to be fair, it's extremely well done. Now, when I look at average AU, average assets, There really hasn't been much of a degradation, so any kind of impact on fees has been modest, and the company's done a good job of managing expenses lower. But barring a pretty healthy equity market recovery in this quarter, average assets will start to decline high single digits as early as next quarter, and certainly throughout 2027, unless we get some pretty aggressive move in markets. So what I'm getting at here is If assets start to decline year-over-year in the high single-digit range, can expenses be managed down at a high single-digit range? We certainly see your capacity to do it at a lower level, but can you do that? Can you manage the expenses lower when average assets start to decline more abruptly?
Ted Maloney
Chief Executive Officer, MFS Investment Management
Hi, Mario. This is Ted again. We'd agree with your analysis there. I think it would be helpful to go back and look at the long-term history of the firm to answer this question. We've managed expenses, particularly fixed expenses, extremely carefully for decades. As a result, we run very lean, very efficiently. Everything we invest in is designed to deliver excellent outcomes for our clients as a Our assets and profits were growing at a reasonably high level. Our expenses grew at a much lower level. That's because we don't think that investing more in those periods is going to help our clients. But at the same token, investing less in our business as assets are down with either markets or flows is also not going to help our clients. So we have a very variable cost structure. Roughly speaking, two-thirds of our costs are directly variable. But that fixed part is pretty fixed because of how prudently we've allocated. So in an asset-to-client environment, there will be operating leverage commensurate with that. And we think that it's the right thing to do for our clients. It's worth, therefore, getting into what we are doing, what we are spending on, what we can control, and importantly, our extreme conviction that we will grow organically over the long term. While we have an unwavering conviction in active management and public markets, we're also constantly evolving, innovating, and making adjustments on the margin within that strategic focus. So we're growing in fixed income, continuous inflows, almost $100 billion in AUM. We're seeing consistent growth in equity retail SMAs. Given the challenges to mutual fund wrapper, we've launched 13 active ETFs in the past two years and are seeing growth every quarter. And blended research, where lower tracking error strategies are gaining traction, AUM is up over is over $30 billion with consistent inflows. So then also in selected areas where we have outsized underperformance, we're taking clear action including appropriate people and process changes where necessary. All that's designed to deliver successful outcomes for our clients. So the key is that when we deliver for our clients, we will grow. and that will drive the business. To answer your question, within that we prudently manage costs to date. We'll continue to do so, but we won't be able to nor would we desire to take meaningful additional action because we're going to be investing on behalf of our clients so that we can grow and deliver the excellent outcomes for our clients and therefore our company over the long term.
Mario Mendonca
Analyst, TD Securities
So short-term, we could see some negative operating leverage in this business, but you think it's worth that sacrifice for the long-term. I think that's where you're going with that.
Ted Maloney
Chief Executive Officer, MFS Investment Management
Everything that we do is to drive value for our clients over the long-term for many reasons, but very much including that because it will drive the most long-term value for our business and therefore Sun Life shareholders.
Mario Mendonca
Analyst, TD Securities
Okay, I get it. Let's go to U.S. healthcare now, maybe Kevin and David. Philosophical question here. Having watched this business over the last few years and certainly under a Republican administration, the commitment to public health care is not strong under a Republican administration. Now, you could argue that in two years, Democrats win the White House and we're back to normal. But it's also clear that U.S. health care is not viewed in the U.S. the way we view it here in Canada. What is your impression on this business long-term? Does it make sense inside Sun Life when healthcare can be so polarizing in the US relative to what we see in Canada? Is this a business that you still have long-term confidence in as being a meaningful part of Sun Life? And when you think about answering that question, let me know how big a contribution U.S. Healthcare generally makes to that, say, 200 million quarterly Canadian earnings you get out of the U.S. Is that something like 80% of that 200 million Canadian quarterly? Is that businesses that are leveraged to U.S. Healthcare?
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
Mary, that's Kevin. Let me start. Back in 2012, we made the U.S. employee benefits and stop-loss business one of our four pillars. It was a conscious decision to make that a pillar because it was low capital business, repricable, and we had the skills to grow it. And you've seen that with employee benefits and stop loss over that period of time. As you've heard me talk about before, we've performed very well in the stop loss business. The earnings growth in stop loss has been aligned to the growth in premiums. And Doug had asked the question earlier on, Just looking at the premium growth in the sub-pack this quarter, Q3 2026, we had $879 million. Q3 2025, it was $679 million in premiums. That's a 30% volume increase where we've consistently hit above our margin other than one year and one particular quarter, which was Q4 2024. That hit in Q4 2024 is what's allowed us to grow at our margins in 2025 and 2026. Most of that happened in 2026 because 2025 was almost too early to get it. And on the employee benefits side, we bought Assurant. We've added capabilities. We're seen as a strong player here. I can tell you when I talk to U.S. CEOs or other CEOs, they all love the employee benefits business in the U.S. It offers diversification, and it's been a consistent performer. So the employee benefits business and the stop loss business have been core to us, one of our pillars. and they've performed really well. This quarter has been less than we would like on the disability side. The whole industry is experiencing that and we'll be able to price through that and build our capabilities. And David ran that business and we feel pretty confident in that. The state business is a different sort of thing. The state business is going through a structural change and we're positioning ourselves to do that and you've heard us talk about it David talked about it and was asked earlier about how we view the changes. So, you know, the state business dental has been much tougher. And I do see David and his team taking all the right steps there. So if you step back and you go, the employee benefits stop loss is an important piece of our operation. We are the largest player in Canada on the same if you include the dental business. We have the skills to operate that. It's been a good performer for us. You are seeing a cycle on disability that's challenging, but at the same time, you're seeing stop-loss perform really well, and we think we have the right team and the right capabilities. I don't know, Dave, if you'd add to that?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
No, I think that's right on. I certainly feel very confident about the... Thank you. Thank you. and many more. Thank you. So I'm focused there and we're making, you know, solid progress, but there's still ways to go to make further progress in dental.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
I mean, not to pile on, but I might add to it that the disability and life insurance benefits side of the business is not as tied to the US healthcare and some of the changes that's happening as other parts of that business are. And I would say even on the stop loss business, you know, it's, we're of a size and scale and capabilities that we are able to work with that and you're getting into, We see the claims when they're on a really high level. So it also experiences the U.S. healthcare space differently. So those are two businesses we really do like.
Mario Mendonca
Analyst, TD Securities
So just to be clear, though, is U.S. healthcare, when I think of employee benefits, stop loss, dental, anything U.S. healthcare related, am I right in suggesting that that's about 80% of U.S. earnings?
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
Well, the employee benefits in the stop-loss business are basically the U.S. earnings other than IFM, which we've outlined in the materials.
Mario Mendonca
Analyst, TD Securities
So it's greater than 80% then? I'm assuming the international business makes some contribution.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
Sorry, I think the international business is part of the IFM, right? That's the closed block out of the U.K. All right.
Mario Mendonca
Analyst, TD Securities
So do you disclose earnings in that segment?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Yeah, we do. That's segmented out in the supplement. Okay, I'll find it then. Thank you.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Paul Holden with CIBC. Please go ahead.
Paul Holden
Analyst, CIBC
Thanks for taking my questions. First one is with respect to Asia. I saw a bit of a slowdown in year-over-year earnings growth this quarter. I looked at Expectant Insurance Earnings, I see it's up 6% year-over-year. If I look at free tax underlying earnings, down 2% year-over-year, so some noise of experience, etc. Is this now, at least in the near term, is this sort of a mid-single-digit growth business, or maybe more importantly, how do you get it back to double-digit growth, which is, I think, where you want it to be?
Manjit Singh
President, Sun Life Asia
Good morning, Paul. It's Manjit. As you know, every quarter is going to have some items that can impact sort of the year-over-year growth trend. So the story is really about last Q325. As you well recall, we had an elevated level of security gains in our joint venture line. So that's skewing the trends a little bit. So I think you want to look more at the year-to-date growth rate and year-to-date earnings are up 14% on a year-over-year basis. And we continue to feel very comfortable in generating double-digit earnings growth going forward.
Paul Holden
Analyst, CIBC
Thanks for that. Second question is with respect to higher interest rates. I remember the last time we went through a rate hiking cycle. Sun Life was opportunistic and shifted some securities into floating rate notes to capture that move quickly. Just wondering if you've taken any such actions or if there's any plan to kind of shift duration to accelerate the ability to capture higher rates.
Randy Brown
Chief Investment Officer
Hi, Paul. It's Randy Brown. Thank you for the question. We pretty closely match ALM out through 30 years. We're not really taking interest rate bets. The place you're referring to in surplus, we built up some cash and floating rate positions You know, a while ago. And some of those continue and some of those, as we have new cash, you'll see has stayed short in surplus as we built up cash to pre-fund a debt pay down.
Paul Holden
Analyst, CIBC
Okay. So no, no, no, no shift in that. It's more than the liabilities backing surplus, I think, because we recaptured it previously. But no plans to sort of try to manage that and interest rate bet, if you will. Correct. Okay. All right. That's it for me. Thank you.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Mike Rusanovic from Scotiabank. Please go ahead.
Mike Rizvanovic
Analyst, Scotiabank
Good afternoon. I wanted to go back to David on LTD in the U.S. Can you talk a bit about the repricing dynamic? I'm sure those contracts are staggered throughout the year, but what is a reasonable timeline? How does the repricing timeline work for that business?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Yeah, Mike, thanks for the question. So in terms of repricing, so the majority of the business, first of all, is effective for one-one. It's generally at least half of the business overall for the year, but there is some off-cycle. and then these contracts are typically two to three years in duration depending on the size and the commitment made. So you would see typically affecting about a third of the premium volume each year as you work your way through any repricing work on renewals. Obviously immediately your new business gets impacted right away but for renewals themselves which is where the majority of the premium is, That takes some time. So you're typically looking at a two to three year time frame.
Mike Rizvanovic
Analyst, Scotiabank
Okay, that's helpful. And then just in terms of your comment about this quarter being, the experience loss being acute, just wondering, it sounds like you're not expecting anywhere near this level of noise in the quarters ahead, but what's the risk? What's the risk that there could be similar size losses in the quarters ahead? I'm I'm not sure if there's something, this is maybe out of your control, but just how unique is this level of loss for the business versus historical precedent?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
Yeah, so I would say, like I'd mentioned earlier, there's really been quite a tailwind over the past, really, 20 years, with the exception of COVID, around disability in general, and there's many contributing factors to that. The most recent's probably been just virtual work where people can return to work in certain occupations without necessarily having to physically return to the office so there's been quite a bit of tailwind so this is quite an anomaly we're seeing across the industry in terms of the outlook I would say first of all we do expect it to remain elevated in the near term but I think it's too early to say how long this will persist because it is so different than what we've seen in the past our focus is really like I said just on helping the individuals that are coming through so that we can get them the right case management and clinical support, get them back to work and off claim. It's good for them and it's good for us. And that's where our focus is along with the repricing work that I mentioned.
Mike Rizvanovic
Analyst, Scotiabank
Just on the expense partial mitigation that you alluded to, is that in the numbers this quarter? Is that something more so for the quarters ahead? How far into that expense mitigation for the U.S. business are you in?
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
I would say, first of all, just expense mitigation. Discipline in general is really a priority across our businesses. Tim talked about that. It is also the same in the U.S. We've been able to demonstrate that in the last number of quarters and certainly within our dental business and more broadly in the U.S. It's something we're going to continue to focus on. So that's just a part of really how we think about operating the business as a core fundamental principle and something we'll keep doing.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
It's Kevin, Mike. I just want to add a couple of quick things. One, like this is We started to see in the industry last quarter a little bit. We're seeing the entire industry see the pricing impacts this quarter. I've been in this business a long time. You start to see this when you see people worried about their jobs and job loss. And that could persist for a bit of time. And it's that the fact that the whole industry seeing it gives me more confidence in the ability to reprice. Right. But that repricing will take some time. as David had talked about. At the same time, we continue to see good sales results in the stop-loss business at a way we can earn our margin. And that's coming from other competitors that are having a more challenging time there. And so the combination of those two, it's important to look at them in combination. And I would also say that there is synergies between the two because David's using the same distribution channel to tap into those. having the combination of stop loss and benefits together we think is powerful and it will help us to manage through this higher disability that we're seeing this quarter that we'll be watching closely as we head through the rest of the year.
Mike Rizvanovic
Analyst, Scotiabank
Okay, thank you for the caller.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Bart Zarsky with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
Bart Zarsky
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Great, thanks for taking the questions. Wanted to ask around Green Oak and the FRE margin. So I look at a business that's got about $200 billion of AUM, high 20s FRE margin, seems low for that asset base. So is there an expense opportunity there as well? Should we think about margin expansion over time or is high 20s the right margin for this business? Thanks.
Sonny Kalsi
Chief Executive Officer, GreenOak
Bart, thanks for the question. It's Sonny Kelsey from Green Oak. No, I don't believe that high 20s is the right ending margin for the business. We have a target out there to get to 35% plus, and we remain very confident in our ability to get there. What I might do is just take a step back. I think we have said before that we view 2026 as a bit of a transition year. kind of taking five independent businesses and integrating them into one business. And if I think about the year, in March of this year, we finished the put calls for BGO and Crescent, which are the two biggest businesses. And Sun Life was able to increase its ownership of those platforms. And as a result of that, since April, we've been operating as one kind of integrated business. That's allowed us to do a couple of things. Brand is the first thing, so we're now Green Oak, no longer SLC. We've launched a management equity plan. We have 300 plus employee shareholders. We created two operating divisions instead of five individual businesses. We've got a global credit arm and a real assets arm. And I think that'll bring a lot of both revenue and expense synergies. We've centralized institutional distribution We've consolidated corporate functions. I think about more of an integration than a restructuring, but we've been able to kind of bring basically five different middle and back offices together into one, and that will create a significant amount of synergy. Refocused on wealth, we've launched a number of new strategies. So I think that the results to date this quarter have been strong year over year. I actually think we're just getting going and so I feel very confident that we're going to be able to kind of unlock a lot of these synergies both from a revenue standpoint in terms of integrating you know running as one firm top down but also from an expense standpoint so that's required a bit of investment as that's come through in the restructuring charge but we really believe the ROI on that investment will be very creative so Look, we've got the 35% plus target out there. I'm very confident we'll hit that. That'll be a combination of top-line AUM growth, and we have some good momentum there, and then being smart on the expense side.
Bart Zarsky
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Okay, great. Thanks for that. It's helpful. And then I just want to step back and ask a question on ROE. So on the investor day, the two biggest drivers of the 20% target were asset management in the U.S., Just hearing the comments this morning on the call, you're running at 19% today. How should we think about that 20? Is that now a stretch goal, if you will, or you still think you'll get there? And if so, what are the drivers of the confidence to hit that? Thank you.
Tim Deacon
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Bart. It's Tim. I'll start and see if anyone wants to supplement. But we, as you know, are making great progress towards our medium-term objective of 20%. We ended the quarter at 19%. We were over 19% last quarter as well. The world has evolved since we set up those targets in the fall of 24, so the mix of businesses that were contributing to that in the bridge that I had laid out have shifted slightly. As you noted, the U.S. was the largest contributor at that time based on the projections that we had. We're still confident in the growth in the outlook for the U.S., as David talked about, but in the medium term, it's really been Canada and Asia, and now with Green Oak, coming along that are contributing outsized relative to the contributions that were originally laid out. So we still have strong conviction in our medium-term objective. The mix shift has altered slightly since 2024 but that really shows the power and diversification of our business mixes that allows for that because you do get volatility obviously from time to time. And we did express that as a medium-term objective which For us, it means three to five years. When we first set that out, on the early side, it would have been three years. But we're midway through that time period, and we're on a good trajectory. Great. Thanks, Tim.
Bart Zarsky
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets
Thanks for taking my questions.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
The next question is from Tom Gallagher with Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.
Tom Gallagher
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Hi, thanks. One disability question, one stop-loss question. The disability question, are there any differences in the type of disability risks you take in Canada versus the U.S. that would limit this behavioral health impact for the Canadian business? Or is it possible you start to see the same impacts there? I guess I'm just trying to compare what happened to the U.S. to why Canada is holding up better. And also, do you have any at least thing to offer in terms of why your business is holding up better versus the Canadian peers related to that is it you think it might be differences in reserving or do you have any kind of underwriting structural differences that we should consider hey Tom it's David I'll start on that question first of all there are you know quite a number of differences between
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
really the benefit offering and the contract requirements that are associated with them within the US market versus the Canadian market. So one example of that is mental health. So there are two year limitations typically in the US industry around mental health claims, whereas that is not the case in Canada. So I would say it is important not to just compare because the industries work quite differently and the competitive environment is different too. But maybe I'll turn it over to Jessica to talk about the Canadian business.
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Yeah, as David was saying, the nature of the market is very different. What's in scope is quite different. So if you look at the Canadian disability market, actually the bulk is long-term duration, which are five years and beyond. And then the whole market also, about 40% is mental-related, illness-related. So the mix, what you pay, et cetera, is very different. So I think that's We do compare trends, you know, for example, the impact of economy or unemployment, etc. But by and large, I think because the nature of the business is different, we don't often see the same thing.
Tom Gallagher
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Gotcha. And any sense why your results are holding up better than Canadian peers? Do you have any underrating differences, the structure of the contracts?
Jessica Tan
President, Sun Life Canada
Because we're good. Yeah, no, I... As I said, I think because this is long-term disability, whereas five years and then there's also a long-duration block, traditionally we've just been very disciplined across all dimensions, and we care a lot about the sustainability as opposed to short-term pieces. So that is something that I think we've learned in the past, and we continue to try and do so, yeah.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
It's hard to point exactly at this, but we've invested a lot into health and into client experience and working closely with our clients. And we work with Dialog and we've invested in Pillway and they're doing pharmaceuticals there and building these deep, deep relationships with our clients and understanding them. And a little bit then also comes down to mix of business and where you're seeing it. And we have been investing, as Jessica said, into the disability process. But I think the The work we do to stay close to our clients is really important. It's also a difference between Canada and the U.S. In Canada, you typically have the entire benefits program. In the U.S., you may have one piece of it or a slice of it. And in fact, in no case, we have all of it. But in Canada, we typically have all of it. And so you build those deeper relationships at the customer-client level.
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
One last point for me. I just want to mention that, you know, also just we have to look at disability in the broader context of the US business so it is a smaller part of our business overall we have a very diversified portfolio we're certainly benefiting from our medical stop-loss business as Kevin and Tim noted and you know we feel good about where we sit today and as we enter into 2027 and so you know we're really well positioned in that business and you know disability of course is an important part of our business and we pay a lot of attention to it but we have a broader portfolio here and and we're certainly looking to the full portfolio to contribute over time.
Kevin Strain
President and Chief Executive Officer
Tom, I may say one other thing. If you lose your job in Canada, you don't lose your healthcare.
Tom Gallagher
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Gotcha. Yeah, that's an important difference. Hey, just quick follow up on U.S. stop loss. David, just curious how you're feeling into January 27 renewals. I was just hearing on the Cigna call This morning they're the industry leader in stop loss. They sounded more positive on the trends and the outlook for that business. Voya said the same thing a couple of days ago. So it sounds like it's getting more competitive there after there was a lot more caution last year. How are you thinking about growth? How are you thinking about pricing into Jan renewals? Thanks.
David Healy
President, Sun Life U.S.
We feel very good about our position right now, like I mentioned, and we're paying a lot of attention, of course, to 1-1-27. There is quite a large pipeline, which we're encouraged about, and we certainly see us continuing to build on our position and the growth that we've been seeing as we enter into 2027. We feel good about our pricing position and our differentiating capabilities, and so we're really well positioned coming into the close of the year as we look into 2027. So, It remains a hard market and we expect that to continue through the 1-1 cycle.
Tom Gallagher
Analyst, Evercore ISI
Thanks.
Gaylene
Conference Operator
We have no further questions at this time. This concludes today's conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.