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SPX Technologies, Inc. Q3 F2026 Earnings Call Transcript

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Conference Operator
Operator
Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q3 2020 SPX Technologies, Inc. conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be an answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message that your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, Please press star 11 again. In the interest of time, I will ask that you limit yourself to one question and follow up. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your first speaker today, Johann Rawlinson, Vice President, Investor Relations.
Johann Rawlinson
Vice President, Investor Relations
Thank you, Operator, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us. With me on the call today are Gene Lowe, our President and Chief Executive Officer, and Mark Carano, our Chief Financial Officer. A press release containing our third quarter results was issued today after market closed. You can find the release and our earnings slide presentation, as well as a link to a live webcast of this call, in the investor relations section of our website at sbx.com. I encourage you to review our disclosure and discussion of gap results in the press release and to follow along with a slide presentation during our prepared remarks. A replay of the webcast will be available on our website. As a reminder, portions of our presentation and comments are forward-looking and subject to safe harbor provisions. Please also note the risk factors in our most recent SEC filings. Our comments today will largely focus on adjusted financial results and comparisons will be to the results of continuing operations only. You can find detailed reconciliations of historical adjusted figures from their respective gap measures in the appendix to today's presentation. Our adjusted earnings per share exclude intangible amortization expense, acquisition and integration related costs and non-service pension items, among other items. Finally, we look forward to meeting with investors at various events during the upcoming months. And with that, I will turn the call over to Gene.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Johann. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. On the call today, we'll provide you with an update on our consolidated and segment results for the third quarter of 2026, as well as an update on our four-year outlook. We delivered a strong third quarter. Adjusted EPS grew by 20%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of a 20% plus year-over-year growth. Our HVAC segment delivered excellent growth during the quarter, driven by strong demand in core end markets and the continued execution of our capacity expansions. The DNM segment delivered another quarter of strong margin performance, Our recent acquisitions are performing well and delivering on our strategic objectives. Inorganically, we recently announced the addition of FIS water to the HVAC segment. This acquisition complements our existing cooling product offering and expands our capabilities and attractive adjacencies. Finally, we are updating our guidance to reflect our third quarter results and outlook for the fourth quarter. At the midpoint, our updated guidance implies approximately 25% adjusted EBITDA growth for the full year, reflecting continued momentum in both segments. Turning to our high-level results for the quarter, we grew revenue by 21% and adjusted EBITDA by 22% year-over-year, primarily driven by robust organic growth in the HVAC segment, strong margin performance in the DNM segment, Thank you. As always, I'd like to update you on our value creation initiative, starting with our organic growth activities. The capacity expansions across our HVAC facilities to meet the strong demand for our data center and custom air handling solutions remain on track with the timeline and capital requirements previously outlined. We continue to expect approximately $1.1 billion of total data center capacity once full production. Importantly, Madison commenced assembly activities during the quarter Shipping both Olympus Max and Ingenia products and will ramp its production throughout the balance of the year. Turning to new product innovation, our heat trace launch is gaining momentum, providing a new avenue for growth across both industrial and commercial applications. Early customer engagement has been strong, and we see meaningful opportunities to scale the offering through our established channels. Turning to FIS Water, this acquisition enhances our cooling platform with complementary water management and control solutions that broaden our offering to customers and strengthen our position in attractive end markets, including data centers. These products are typically paired with cooling towers. We believe FIS Water will benefit from SPX's global channels, OEM relationships, for their specification-driven sales capabilities, creating additional opportunities for growth. We welcome the FIS Water to the SPX team. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Mark to review our financial results.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks, Gene. Our third quarter results showed strong growth. Year over year, adjusted EPS increased by 20% to $2.21. For the quarter, revenue increased and Michael F. X. Tailwind. Adjusted EBITDA increased by $29.6 million, or 21.7%, to $165.7 million, primarily driven by strong organic growth and the benefit of recent acquisitions. Adjusted EBITDA margin increased by 20 basis points to 23.2%. In our HVAC segment, revenue grew by a record 35.5% year-over-year, Thank you. Segment income grew by $26.4 million, or 28%, primarily driven by strong organic volume and acquisitions. Segment margin declined approximately 140 basis points as Gene noted earlier, with the former primarily associated with additional labor and outsourcing costs. Segment backlog on an organic basis increased 69% year over year, 15% sequentially, approximately $1.1 billion, crossing the $1 billion mark for the first time. In our detection and measurement segment, revenue decreased 7.7% year over year, largely due to the prior year and many others who have benefited from project timing as highlighted in prior earnings calls. Segment income increased by approximately $1 million, or 1.7%. Segment margin increased by 260 basis points. Increase in margin was largely driven by favorable project mix and continued benefits from our segment synergy initiatives, as well as a commercial resolution with a customer. Segment backlog ended the quarter at $322 million, up 3% sequentially. Turning now to our financial position at the end of the quarter. We ended Q3 with $121 million of cash on hand and total debt of $1.3 billion. Our leverage ratio, as calculated under a bank credit agreement, was approximately 1.8 times at quarter end, including the impact of the acquisition of FIS Water. Year-to-date adjusted free cash flow was $111 million. Moving on to our full-year 2026 guidance. We are lowering the top end of our full-year adjusted EPS guidance range to $8.50, resulting in a midpoint of $8.35. This update reflects our revised outlook for both segments and modest accretion from FIS Water. For HVAC, we are increasing our revenue range to incorporate the addition of FIS water and modestly hire organic bodies. The revised segment margin range for HVAC reflects the impact of growth-related inefficiencies and elevated input costs experienced in the third quarter, as well as the expected impact of these items in the fourth quarter. For DNM, we are updating our segment margin range to reflect our results for the third quarter and revised forecast for the fourth quarter. As always, you will find our updated 2026 guidance on this slide and modeling considerations in the appendix to our presentation. And with that, I'll turn the call back over to Gene for a review of our end markets and his closing comments.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Mark. Current market conditions continue to support our 2026 outlook. Supply is approximately 25% adjusted EBITDA growth. In HVAC, core end markets remain healthy, including robust demand for our data center solutions. In detection and measurement, our run rate demand remains healthy while the project-oriented businesses continue to see an active front log. In summary, I'm pleased with our strong third quarter growth in revenue and profit. As we look to the rest of 2026, we expect to continue to drive additional shareholder value through both our organic and inorganic initiatives, including our ongoing efforts to expand capacity and deliver on our data center demand, integration of FIS Water and our other recent acquisitions, which further scale our HVAC platforms and strengthen our positions in key end markets, and an active pipeline of attractive acquisition opportunities. Looking ahead, I'm excited about the opportunities in front of us. Differentiated Businesses, Attractive End Markets, and an Experienced Team, we believe we're well positioned to deliver sustainable long-term shareholder value. With that, I'll turn the call back to Johann. Thanks, Gene. Authorizer, we will now go to questions.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. At this time, as mentioned, we'll conduct a question and answer session. As a reminder, to ask a question, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Please also note to limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you'd like to withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please stand by while we compile our Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Andrew Obin with Bank of America. Your line is now open.
Andrew Obin
Bank of America
Yes, good morning. Good morning. Good afternoon. It's been a really long day. Sorry about that. Hey, Andrew. Yeah, I understand. A lot of guys going today. Sorry. Yeah, so maybe we can talk about these inefficiencies in terms of the ramp, you know, as we look at sort of the guide for your HVAC. You know, HVAC certainly seems like they will continue into the fourth quarter. But can you just describe... What are you seeing and what's the rate? Is it going to get better in the fourth quarter? Is it sort of continues to get worse? What sort of stops and reverses it? Thank you.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, Andrew, thanks. I figured you'd ask that question. And let me just put a little context around this. As I think you know, we've seen tremendous growth in our HVAC business this year. and our cooling platform is going to grow by 30% or so in the second half organically. And we've just been seeing accelerating demand right through the year and really into next year. So, you know, as we began to ramp our capabilities to really meet this demand, you know, and we rolled into the third quarter as that sort of unfolded, you know, quite honestly, I don't think we felt like our capabilities or our productivity was ramping fast enough. So really as a result of that, we made a decision. It was an intentional decision to kind of accelerate our hiring and secure additional suppliers to ensure that we can meet the demand that's out there really for the balance of this year and really set us up for next year as we look into, you know, what should be another strong year, particularly around data center but across HVAC growth. That was really kind of the context of it, the background. We do expect these, obviously, to continue on into Q4, so you'll see that impact through the balance of the year. What I would say, though, as you kind of look into next year, my expectation is this labor will get more productive. We'll begin to see efficiencies off of that. That said, we will be hiring as we continue to ramp the The facilities. And then on the outsourcing front, we're increasing our outsourcing. But as the equipment we have comes online, particularly at Madison, and we begin to insource more of that, you should see that come more online and be insourced more within our plant facilities. but I caveat that with demand is still very strong. So if we've got the capability to kind of drive and serve our customers, we're gonna be balancing that without sourcing. And this is really around metal fabrication, so you know.
Andrew Obin
Bank of America
Okay. And then maybe we can talk about the state of the supply chain because I think a number of HVAC companies have reported already and it sort of seems a long list of things You have a somewhat different product exposure, but I would imagine you're impacted by some of it. What has been your experience? And once again, how do you feel about the state of supply chain at the end of the third quarter and into the fourth quarter in early 27? Thank you so much. And look, I appreciate that it was not an easy quarter and you made the numbers. I don't mean to take away from all the hard work that the team is doing. and the growth is terrific, but I just want to sort of focus on these issues. Thank you.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Well, thanks, Andrew. And I think if you look at the supply chain, I think in general, as Mark had alluded to, you are seeing a tremendous amount of growth. That is putting more pressure on the supply chain in general. I think if you look at our supply chain, I don't think we have anything material That has been a significant impact to us as we look in Q3 and Q4. The biggest impact is the specific supply chain items that Mark is really alluding to is a lot of what we were doing ourselves. Our metal fabrication with the size and scale of the growth, we did have to outsource some of that to meet customer requirements. and so overall we feel like our supply chain is in good shape, but we are keeping a close set of eyes on it. Anything else, Mark, you'd kind of?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think the only other thing I would add to that is, you know, particularly in what you were just referencing, right, we're expanding our sourcing on some of this outsourcing that we are doing and, you know, as we go to secondary suppliers with lead times that are appropriate for meeting this demand, Just given the environment we're in, it's coming in at a higher cost than I think we would have originally thought.
Andrew Obin
Bank of America
Terrific. Great answer. I appreciate it. Thank you. Thanks, Heather.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes to the line of Brian Blair with Oppenheimer. Your line is now open.
Brian Blair
Oppenheimer
Thank you. Good afternoon, guys.
Conference Operator
Operator
That's great.
Brian Blair
Oppenheimer
I'd like to... Stay on HVAC margins for now, and I guess approach it a little bit differently. Is there a way to parse out the impact of growth-related inefficiencies versus direct inflationary or price-cost pressure in Q3? And if so, are you willing to size that either on a dollar or margin basis? And then similarly, how are you thinking about Q4 on that front?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, Brian, I'll start. Listen, I think if you look year over year in the margin change, Q3 of last year, Q3 of this year, you would see that about two-thirds of that delta really relates to the volume net of these growth-related inefficiencies, as we call them. And then the balance of it, about another third really relates to higher input costs or the price-cost dynamic that we talked about. That's how you should think about it. Those are sort of the two pieces of the puzzle there. As we look into Q4, listen, we're into October. We feel good about the start of the quarter. Remember, this is an intentional or conscious decision that we made around around labor and the sourcing side. We've got our arms around it, we feel, but those costs will impact us in Q4. You know, that said, the guide will imply about 150 basis points of change, of increase sequentially. You know, so about two-thirds of that is going to be the operating leverage. So the increased revenue, again, net of these... growth-related inefficiencies, and then the balance of it is going to be from accretion from the acquisitions. Understood. That's very helpful.
Brian Blair
Oppenheimer
And sticking with margins, D&M profitability was eye-catching in the quarter, and full-year segment margin guidance now sits well above the medium-term framework that your team has out. I understand there's mixed favorability to consider for this year, but Are we getting to the point where there's been enough structural margin improvement in DNM that the 22% to 24% medium term margin level target is officially stale at this point?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, that's a great question. We obviously haven't updated that yet, Brian, but we're clearly that that business has done a very nice job, I think, resetting the structural margin profile of DNM. I expect we'll update that perhaps as we roll out the guide for next year. But no doubt, as we I think talked about in Q2, the business is really running at a higher margin level than that, as you described it, stale guide. So that said, this year has had some unique elements to it. I think as you recall back in Q1, we had the scope expansion. related to a transportation project. We obviously called out this, what I would refer to as a kind of a discrete or one-time commercial resolution. You know, and the mix was attractive this year, kind of relative to a normal mix. So, you know, when you think about our guide for 2026 and you sort of take those three elements, which I think we've shared the impact over the last few quarters, that equates to about 175 basis points or so. I think if you pull that out, that kind of gets you to where, you know, I would argue, you know, the structural margins of DNM should be operating at.
Brian Blair
Oppenheimer
Understood. Again, very helpful. Thank you.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes from the line of Jamie Cook with Truist Securities. Your line is now open.
Jamie Cook
Truist Securities
Hi. Good evening. I guess two questions. To what degree, I understand some of the issues with capacity and inflation that you lowered the margins for HVAC are sort of tied to each other, but to what degree do we need to be worried with your backlog growing, that you have backlog potentially that it's not at an optimal margin level just with inflationary pressures broadly just continuing to get worse. So I'm just wondering as we look to 2027, is there a sort of inflation risk to margins? And then I guess my second question, if you could just, you know, obviously everyone's very excited about data centers, but if you could just talk to what you're seeing in other markets or how you would characterize, you know, industrial growth outside of data centers, just sort of your broader portfolio organically. Thank you.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, Jamie, I'll start on your first question. I'll turn it over to Gene. You're right. I think like a lot of folks, we saw, you know, a material increase in our input costs. in Q3, and you think about steel and, frankly, diesel that moved up dramatically that really leaks through the supply chain. And when I think about this year, we're really now kind of roughly price-cost neutral on a dollar basis for the full year, but it's clearly had a margin impact as a result. That said, we have been raising price throughout the year We continue to look at raising price across all of our HVAC businesses to really offset or mitigate these inflationary pressures. You're right, with respect to some of the near-term backlog that we have, and you can kind of see that, obviously, in the margin profile, that takes some time to pass through to new projects, and to the extent Some of that backlog, we have the ability to adjust price related to these costs. We will do that. But I think net-net, we will be in a better price-cost position next year.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, we have a lot of the price increases that are already in the backlog. That's correct. As we're set up for Q4 and then the first half. On the second question, Jamie, I think the markets that we're seeing, you know, overall, we're feeling very favorable. So, you know, you look at HVAC, obviously data center is very strong. We're seeing, I would say, even accelerating traction there. We're feeling very good about what we're seeing for this year and next year. But if you look about the other HVAC markets, I would say power, very healthy, a lot of activity. Industrial and Semiconductor, very healthy. Healthcare, Pharma. We've seen a good amount of sports and entertainment projects, and then I would say commercial replacement activity is very healthy. If we look at what's flat to down, I would say education and government seems to be soft. New commercial still remains pretty soft. and then chemical, we don't see a lot of activity right now. But net-net, if you look at HVAC, we're very pleased with the organic growth and we're both in the core markets and in the data center markets. If you go to detection and measurement, I'll give you a quick look by the platforms. Transportation's very healthy, good growth this year. We have new products. We feel good about 27 there, so healthy there. ComTech, We see continued growth. That would really be, you know, our biggest brands there would be KTS and TCI. L&I, our location and inspection business, I would say is normal, right in the kind of mid-single. The one that I would say is a little bit lower than our normal mid-single would be our Aton business. We're seeing modest growth there, but we are seeing slower growth in Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. So I'd say that would be the one platform that we're seeing some slower growth, some modest growth, but not the mid-single. But if we look at, as we know, about 15% or so are mid-teens is data center. You take that 85% that you're referencing, we feel very good about our normal growth model for our core markets as we look ahead to 27. So I think that'd be a good baseline to think about. where we will be for 27 for our HVAC and detection and management. And then when you layer data center on top of that, that's obviously going to be a very high growth rate. And we're not prepared to, you know, obviously do 27 guidance, but we're seeing good momentum there as we look ahead to 27. So net-net, the markets are feeling pretty good.
Jamie Cook
Truist Securities
Okay. Thank you. I'll get back to you.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Thanks, Jamie.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes in the line of Amit Mahotra with UBS. Your line is now open.
Amit Mehrotra
UBS
Thanks. Good afternoon, everybody. I just wanted to... I'm doing well. Thank you very much. I wanted to ask about the supply chain issue, and I know a lot's been talked about, but I wanted to just understand sort of how it came to be in terms of when did you get visibility on it? Certainly, you're not alone. A lot of people have had these issues. I think what's been interesting to me at least is sometimes they sort of come out of nowhere and really bring things down. And I think you guys do use a decent amount of contract. I know you have the IP, but you do use a lot of contract manufacturing. So I guess my question is, maybe shed some light on when this became really evident to you. Does the use of contract manufacturing... We can your visibility into the tier 2, 3, 4 of the supply chain and what gives you comfort that the visibility has been kind of addressed.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah. Let me take a cut at that and we can throw it over to Mark to add a little color. But I think specifically with Q3, some of the challenges that we had was, as a reminder, at the end of Q2, we raised our guidance for data center and we had very high customer demand and we agreed with the customer to take on approximately $130 million, or the change was a very significant change, another $100 million. So as we ramped up, you're talking ramping several hundred people into the facility, but when we're talking about supply chain, this is really our product, our components that we're making. Think about cut steel, punch steel, that frankly, we just got over, we had more demand than our supply. So it's pretty typical. You can outsource, cut products, things like that. It's our bill of materials, it's our intellectual property, but there are third parties that do that. I would say we had a much higher amount of that than we were planning. And I would say the costs of that were higher. I think that in general, there's a lot of demand on supply chains everywhere But that's really what happened. What I would say is we have seen very nice improvement in performance. If you look at our supply chain in September and actually where we are year-to-date in October, we're very pleased with what we're seeing. But that's the specific dynamic. In the macro, what I would say is there is a lot of growth here, so you always have to keep an eye on all of Your supply chain elements, as we've talked about in the past, you look at our typical products, most of it is our intellectual property. So most of it we own. So if there is a supplier or that we need more capacity, we can actually go out to another supplier that can fabricate that component for us. So it gives us a lot more control and flexibility than being typically sole source. That's not always the case. There are a few times I know, like, for example, EC Fans is a very hot topic. Vast majority of our products do not use EC Fans, but we do use EC Fans in a few areas in our custom air handling and so forth. But we haven't seen the disruption that I think you're well aware of that has been out there. And Mark, what other color would you like to add?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think I just may be back to your, just to be clear, you know, on this outsourcing and we're really talking as Gene referenced to metal flat fab. You know, in that case, we, just because of the demand, You know, we went to secondary suppliers where we had shorter lead times, but it was given the environment I think we're all working in, that came at a premium cost, right? Input costs are higher, obviously, but we needed that at that time and place to support the demand for the growth. And that, you know, we will see that, I think, through the balance of the year, just given the demand that we have. but recognize that as the existing facilities and the new facilities come on, they're gonna have substantial metal fab capabilities. Once we get those fully operational and efficient, more of this will ultimately be insourced.
Amit Mehrotra
UBS
Right, okay, that makes perfect sense, thank you. And just as a follow up, I guess we're sort of on this journey from 430 million to 1.1 billion. later this decade. I think that path is fairly linear, if you can sort of correct me if I'm wrong on that. And I do think in addition to the facilities you're ramping, you do take advantage of maybe some lease facilities where the economics can be quite positive in terms of throughput and returns on those investments. Is there an opportunity to, I guess, it's kind of a juxtaposition from the supply chain challenges, but Is there an opportunity to maybe accelerate that linear path based on maybe some lease facilities as well?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think, you know, let me start. I think with respect to the $1.1 billion that we've talked about and the timing on that, you know, when we referenced that, I believe it was last quarter, and we, you know, at the time we talked about it being kind of linear in nature. You know, that said, I think I think the bias is that there will be more than what the linear might imply next year in 2028. Particularly when you think about some of the activities that we've taken on to accelerate labor, these growth-related efficiencies, they're impacting us today, but they should set us up better for 2027 to be able to drive more throughput and reach that potentially that $1.1 billion. If not sooner, certainly the ramp will be steeper. But that's all within the confines of what we have underway and in our control today. A leased facility or something like that.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, I think the leased facility is something we could do. One good example, and I think We've talked about our Springfield facility, which is a facility that we're very proud of that built a lot of our cooling towers, our Everest cooling towers, a variety of products very successfully, very well. That is a leased facility that we added a very small amount of capital, a couple million dollars, and are pushing a couple hundred million of revenue through. So we are very well aware of that model. When we look at Madison. That is fully integrated. So there is capital there. There's lasers there. There's metal bending. So that is a soup to nuts. But as we look about, you know, I'm inferring from your question, once we get to a billion one, how would you go beyond that? You know, and what I would say, we're very actively looking at different models here, and we're very comfortable with both models. The way I look at it, Madison, we needed Madison because really with custom air handling as well as cooling and data center, that is a critical bottleneck that we had. But as you look forward, I think you have to be more thoughtful on what is the The duration of the demand, and we're going to be very thoughtful and careful as we look at the options. But as we look ahead, there's a lot of hyperscalers talking very big numbers in 28, 29, and 30. So it's certainly something that we are evaluating in great detail, and there's a lot of work going on. And it's a model that we're very familiar with. So yes, we are actively all over this.
Amit Mehrotra
UBS
And do you think we can get to the 1-1 run rate like early 28 instead of late 28? I don't want to put a fine point on it, but any additional thoughts there?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think, you know, I'm not giving, obviously, 2027 guidance yet, so I'm probably not going to give any 2028 guidance. Listen, you know, we're optimistic. We're going to work as fast as we can to get as much throughput through there.
Amit Mehrotra
UBS
Sorry, it's my job to ask. It's my job to ask, but I appreciate it. You should, absolutely. I'll see you guys on Monday, I guess, or Tuesday. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.
Piyush Kattan
JPMorgan
Yes, thank you.
Zach Shefman
Wells Fargo
Thanks so much.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes in line of Daniel DeCicco with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is now open.
Daniel DeCicco / Joe O'Day
BMO Capital Markets / Vertical Research
Great. Thank you for taking my question. Hey, Dan. We will... We'll go now on HVAC. So I'm losing count of the number of deals you've done this year. So maybe if you could just refresh us on anticipated accretion and then just how those are tracking, any areas that kind of stand out or any of the markets that stand out, and then any potential areas you're excited about as we move into 27 related to those deals. Thanks.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, sure. I think we're very, very excited about the strategic deals we've done this This year, there's really been four strategic deals. Crawford, which is really air enterprises and a smaller coil business called ROM, Thermalect, Neptronic, and most recently, FIS Water. If you look at the amount of capital deployed, it was about $1.2 billion. And then really, you're talking about approximately $310 million of revenue run right here. These are really good businesses, very strong competitive positions. We see a lot of synergies across all of these and a number of dimensions, channel, technology, and so forth. If you look at the blended multiple that we paid for these four transactions, it's approximately 11.7 times. And then really, how are we tracking? We are basically on track or... Slightly to modestly ahead on a couple of these. So very, very pleased with the activity to date. As you look ahead, what I would say is we have a very strong pipeline. I would not expect anything as large as FIS, but there are some very strategic opportunities that are still in the pipeline. In terms of where we're seeing opportunities, there's been a little bit of change there. In HVAC, we typically talk about the very significant amount of opportunities in engineered air movement and electric heat. That remains true. What I would say is we're seeing more cooling opportunities and we're seeing more niche hydronics opportunities. So really, across all of our areas in the HVAC side, we're seeing a lot of activity. We're seeing a lot of activity coming out in 27 as well. On detection and measurement, I would say the two areas that we see the most activity right now would be on the location and inspection side and then on the transportation side. So, you know, I'm very pleased, you know, busy integrating these four transactions and some very good strategic opportunities in front of us, but probably nothing major before the end of the year. So anything else, Mark, on the M&A side?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think one thing to point out, you know, they've all been accretive to margins, and when you look at the full year this year and kind of look at... You know, year over year, you'll see is about 60 basis points of margin accretion, give or take, from the four acquisitions. Great. Very helpful. Thank you. Thanks.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes in the line of Joe Giordano with TD Cowen. Your line is now open. Hey, guys.
Joe Giordano
TD Cowen
Thank you. A lot of my stuff's been asked already, but... Are we still, is the guide for HVAC, is it still 430 for data center? I know we're adding FIS. Just curious if that number has changed.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
I think it's modestly above that. There's probably another 20 or 30 above that. One thing to point out, I think, is worth noting. I think there is some data center in both Neptronic and FIS. That's not included in these numbers. We're still kind of keeping calculating the percentages. This one we'll dive into more detail as we come into the guide for next year.
Joe Giordano
TD Cowen
Okay. And then, yeah, can you just talk us through like the mechanisms you have in some of these backlog contracts to like, you know, to work with the customer on some of these inflationary things as they pop up? Like are these Mechanical kind of if X goes up by this much, we get compensated or this like discussions or how kind of in place are these mechanisms?
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, I think what I would say is there, you know, when you have these frame agreements, you very clearly have mechanisms for how to do, you know, to make price adjustments. You know, typically the last point demonstrating and showing the actual delta or the change in the input cost. You go through a process and, you know, and I think we're really talking about more the data centers where you have these very, or the hyperscalers where you have these larger frame contracts. But yeah, I think the mechanism we have used this over the past couple of years, it works. It doesn't happen in like a day or a week. There's typically a process you go through, you sit down, you have some meetings. But it works very effectively. It's something we're very careful on because we don't want to get pinned into a situation where we have structurally eroding margins due to backlog. So yeah, we feel good about our structures. It's something we're very cognizant of and something we pay a lot of attention to in all of our hyperscaler contracts. Thanks, guys.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes to the line of Piyush Kattan with JPM. Your line is now open.
Piyush Kattan
JPMorgan
Piyush Kattan Hey, thanks for taking the question. Yeah, good evening. Hi, good evening. Maybe just wanted to ask about backlog. On HVAC side, usually haven't seen backlog increasing from 2Q to 3Q sequentially. I understand like a lot of data center growth is being embedded in there, but seeing the demand that you see out there, is it fair to assume backlog continues to grow on a sequential basis going forward?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I think, listen, I mean, the backdrop on, well, Gene talked about it, our kind of core markets is healthy, and then, of course, I think we all know what's going on in the data center market, right? That demand remains very strong. So, You always run into some puts and takes around backlog from quarter to quarter because sometimes you have a big release of a project or projects within a short period of time. But the backlog is 1.1 billion. It's at a record level. I would expect that we're going to continue to see more and more opportunities on the data center side. which will continue to drive that backlog higher.
Piyush Kattan
JPMorgan
Thank you. And the next follow-up would be like more on the pricing front. You guys talked about like increasing pricing. Is it coming under any particular business or in markets or is it like across the company on the HVAC side? And we have seen like we heard from like the other HVAC peers like there has been some pushback on pricing. So are you
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
We haven't seen any pushback on pricing. When I talk about that, it's really mainly the HVAC businesses. And of course, we're pushing price at different levels and at different times across all of those business units that are a part of it. So up till now, we've been effective at moving price Great, thanks.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thanks. Thank you. Your next question comes in the line of Zach Shefman with Wells Fargo. Your line is now open.
Zach Shefman
Wells Fargo
Hey, good evening, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Hey, doing well, thanks. Since supply chain is a hot topic, I figured I'd dive a little deeper into that. One of your heat rejection competitors talked about a coil shortage. We're just wondering what you're seeing in terms of demand in your Roncoil business. Anything to highlight there on industry capacity and if that's giving you a noticeable competitive advantage at this time?
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
You know, we haven't had any coil shortages. I do think you have to develop your supply chain. And we do, as a reminder, we do some coils internally, some coils externally. As a part of our Madison expansion, we will be expanding our coil manufacturer, but the way we're set up is we structurally do have outside suppliers that will fabricate. We have the engineering, we have the design, we have the quality, but we do have outsource providers. So we do have a number of suppliers that provide us you know really our design of coils and as we grow you have to keep keep developing that because that's really if you look at the Olympus Max or the Olympus V product categories are dry or adiabatic they're very very coil intensive so it's probably your most important bill of material item but we've been able to manage this we feel good we have we have good suppliers here We will have to continue to expand and grow as we scale our volumes looking forward.
Zach Shefman
Wells Fargo
Got it. Thank you. And then just on the dry cooler side, are you seeing competition ramp there from some of the other players? It seems like the air-cooled chillers from the legacy chiller OEMs have free cooling capabilities built in, but are you seeing new entrances to spaces as water-cooled chiller demand starts to ramp? Anything that you could touch on there?
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, we see a lot of different things. What I would say is a very common question we get is what architecture do you see? Do you see people with no chillers? Do you see people preferring water-cooled chillers? When you have a water-cooled chiller, you typically put a dry cooler, an adiabatic tower, or a cooling tower on it. Or do you see air-cooled chillers? One of the interesting things that we're seeing is we have seen some architectures where typically if you use our product, which you can use in free cooling, which would mean you don't require a chiller. You require lower capital investment. We've seen one or two data center I would say more on the neocloud side that are using this architecture. But typically you're going to have chillers there. I would say more commonly we see water-cooled chillers. But we have seen a few solutions where there's an air-cooled chiller with a dry cooler attached. And so when you need to get the mechanical delta T, You can do it with a water-cooled chiller or an air-cooled chiller. Typically, the air-cooled chillers are standalone, and they do not link into an external heat rejection. But we have seen some architectures where that's the case. So I don't think there's one standard. I think that there's different design criteria. There's different ways people are approaching this. Some of it is just design philosophy. Some of it is The weather, you need a little bit less heat rejection in the northern regions than you would in Houston, Texas, for example. So, yeah, we're seeing a lot of different solutions. I don't see one and say it's a variety. But, yeah, there's a lot of activity and a lot of differences there. The more I look at it, though, what I would say is the TAM, our addressable opportunity, that we can compete in is becoming a bigger and bigger share of the market. And that's one thing that we're very confident in, and we're seeing this typically with the larger hyperscalers and the larger neoclads and so forth. So overall, we feel like we have a good opportunity set in the evolving and changing data center technology space.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Got it. Thanks, guys. Thanks.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your next question comes to the line of Joe O'Day with Vertical Research. Your line is now open.
Daniel DeCicco / Joe O'Day
BMO Capital Markets / Vertical Research
Hi. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my questions. Hey, Joe. Hey, Joe. Yeah. Hi. I'll bring it back to HVAC margins and really just trying to get a sense for dollar quantification of the headwinds relative to prior expectations. And so looking through it, I think back after the year margins were previously anticipated around 26 and a half, now maybe closer to 24. That would suggest something like 25 to 30 million of cost headwinds. So any color on that. And then more importantly, as you think about next year, how do you see that pacing Meaning, are those costs going to be there for a while, or by the time we're in the back half of next year, have you really worked through that such that you could be back at that 26.5 kind of margin level?
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, Joe, so your math is close to right when you kind of do that bridge on the second half. You know, it's about $25 million or so of cost. The majority of it or more of it is really related to these growth-related inefficiencies. Think about $15 million in the balance is around price cost. These are obviously, you know, I think we've talked about this earlier on the call, particularly with the growth-related inefficiencies. I mean, it was... It was a conscious decision that we made to set ourselves up to deliver for the balance of this year and, as I mentioned, really for next year. I think I also said this already, but I just repeated it. With respect to labor, I mean, expect this labor that we've hired, we're going to see the efficiencies and the productivity out of that, but we will be hiring more. as we ramp Madison into full production at the beginning of next year. And, you know, the outsourcing, we will begin to insource more of that, but we'll be weighing that, I think, against the overall demand profile as that insourcing capability comes online. So I think you're going to see some of that dynamic leak into 2027. But what I would say, and I'm really not prepared to kind of give 2027 guidance at this point, you I would expect our margins to be towards the high end of our medium term target range that we've outlined next year for the full year.
Daniel DeCicco / Joe O'Day
BMO Capital Markets / Vertical Research
That's helpful color. And then just thinking about the revenue versus cost side of that. So the HVAC revenue guide moved up about $40 million at the midpoint. We're talking about 25 million of costs that went higher. It seems like it's probably wrong to draw a direct line saying 40 million of revenue translated to 25 million of cost. It was more the total revenue base, and achieving that was just a little bit harder to achieve, and that led to bringing on some of these costs.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, your latter point is spot on. I mean, it was really Thank you.
Conference Operator
Operator
Your next question comes from the line of Walter Liptak with Seaport Research. Your line is now open.
Walter Liptak
Seaport Research
Hi, thanks guys for taking my question. So as we Monday morning quarterback this in-source versus production and efficiency issue, you know, kind of in retrospect, was there anything that you could have done differently? you know like would you you know could you have gone to outsourcing and then ramp the capacity would that have any had any cost difference or is it purely just a uh uh an issue of you know uh we thought one thing that's what was in the guidance and you know now we're we're doing something else yeah well when I start and then you know that mark dive in I think that
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
You know, when you're ramping very rapidly and you're talking in the, you know, several hundred employees and bringing them on, it's pretty obvious and we were expecting not to have, you know, brand new employees, you know, performing as someone who had been in their roles for five years or 10 years. And so we obviously took that into account. What I would say is where We had some material differences in how we thought things were going to play. We did have higher turnover in the quarter. We also were off on productivity. So there was some variances there in our expectations as we've grown. We have, I would say, changed how we're recruiting, how we're training, how we're scaling. So I think, yeah, you know, there's certainly things we could do better. I think there are some lessons learned that we are very actively applying. But, yeah, I think that, you know, we're very pleased to get to meet our customer demand. And, you know, we have some very important customers. We're very, you know, as Mark said, we We invested to make sure we're going to meet our obligations and satisfy our customers. And did we perhaps overinvest to some degree? We might have a little bit. But overall, I feel like it was the right decision. And Mark, you have more color on the breakdowns here.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah, I mean, I might just add a point. Final point to it, just because it dovetails off of really even the last question we had, right? And big picture, right? Meeting the customer demand that was out there was important to us. And we really thought it was the best long-term decision for us to be in that position to capture that demand, meet that demand, you know, and service our customers. So, you know, while it's... While the... The numbers and the impact that it had, we'd rather not have that. It does set us up and we consciously did it so that we could be in a position to roll into 2027 in the best possible.
Walter Liptak
Seaport Research
Okay, understood. Thank you very much.
Conference Operator
Operator
Thank you. Your last question comes to the line of Jeff Van Sinderen with B. Reilly Securities. Your line is now open.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Hi, everyone. Can you give us a sense of how your customer concentration is evolving in data center among hyperscalers, neoclouds, and colos? What is your high-level view of the scope and cadence of data centers getting built out considering the complex backdrop?
Piyush Kattan
JPMorgan
Thanks for taking my questions.
Gene Lowe
President and Chief Executive Officer
Yeah, I think, you know, with data centers, if you're playing in data centers, you are going to have some structural customer concentration. What I would say is we have a lot of blue-chip customers here. The majority of what we have, I would say north of 90%, is really pointed to the hyperscalers. We do have some neoclouds and some smaller data center activity, but I would say the bulk is really with the hyperscalers, a number of the hyperscalers. Obviously, confidentiality, we don't talk specifics. What I would say in the evolving landscape of data centers, what we see and hear from our customers is very good visibility over the next two to three years. What I would say is there's probably going to be some external factors that drive demand growth beyond that. The revenue generation of the customers that are using AI or using data centers or using these applications. It might be harder to see what, you know, we have all the market research reports that predict out for quite a long time, but from what we see over the next two or three years, we see very healthy demand. And like I said earlier on the call, where we sit today versus three months ago is increasing and accelerating demand. So it's a very good opportunity set, one that we feel like We have a good set of solutions that we can bring to the party here.
Mark Carano
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you.
Johann Rawlinson
Vice President, Investor Relations
Thanks. Great. Thank you all for joining today's call. We look forward to updating you again next quarter. And operator, with that, we can conclude the call. Thank you.